(2635,7,1,15,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 2, \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 2}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4o\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 105892, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": -3, \"newRating\": 1200, \"oldRating\": 1203}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": 3, \"newRating\": 1142, \"oldRating\": 1139}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -3, \"newRating\": 1200, \"oldRating\": 1203}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 3, \"newRating\": 1142, \"oldRating\": 1139}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Since this is the first round and we have no pattern or history to analyze, I will choose \'rock\' as a solid and neutral opening strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245874886}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with rock as it\'s a classic and neutral choice\", \"timestamp\": 1742245879991}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"To try to gain an advantage, I\'ll choose paper to counter if the opponent sticks with rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245883986}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the previous round was a tie, I\'ll try to gain an advantage by choosing a move that beats a common choice. Many players tend to stick with their previous choice or switch to rock, so I\'ll choose paper to beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245890018}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may try to outsmart me in this round by avoiding a repeated tie, potentially selecting scissors. I\'ll choose rock to counter that.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245894077}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the previous two rounds have resulted in ties with the same move, I\'ll try to break the tie by choosing a different move, rock, to see if the opponent will change their strategy as well.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245899775}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has consistently chosen the same option as me in each round so far. To break this trend and potentially gain an advantage, I will choose scissors, as it could lead the opponent to choosing rock again — resulting in a tie or surprise win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245904772}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since all previous rounds have been ties with both players choosing the same option, I\'ll try to mix it up and choose a different option to potentially gain an advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245910825}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the history, my opponent has consistently matched my choices. To break this pattern and potentially win, I choose rock, betting that the opponent does not expect another repetitive rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245914885}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since all previous rounds have been ties, I will choose rock to see if the opponent will finally switch up their choice\", \"timestamp\": 1742245920645}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen the same option as me in each of the last 5 rounds. To break this pattern, I\'ll choose scissors and see if they continue mirroring my moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245926228}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since all previous rounds have been ties, I\'ll choose rock again to see if the opponent changes their strategy\", \"timestamp\": 1742245931886}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round, the opponent chose rock and won. It is possible that they might repeat rock or switch to something else. To counter rock, I will choose paper, which can win against it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245936310}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since all previous rounds except one have been ties, and the only win was with rock against scissors, I\'m going to choose rock again to try and take advantage of the fact that the opponent has not yet won with scissors, and also hoping that the pattern of ties doesn\'t necessarily predict future outcomes.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245942798}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Llama 3.3 seems to prioritize rock often and only one time chose scissors, so by choosing paper I can counter their likely strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245947278}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has chosen rock multiple times and won the last round with paper, I\'ll choose scissors to try and catch them off guard in case they choose paper again\", \"timestamp\": 1742245953355}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the past rounds, it seems like the opponent may often attempt to predict my last move. They have chosen scissors twice when I previously chose paper, and rock when I chose scissors. To counter this pattern, I will choose rock. This way, if they attempt scissors again to counter paper, I will win with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245958711}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the current score and previous rounds, I notice that the opponent has chosen rock multiple times. However, in round 7, the opponent chose paper and won. In round 8, I chose scissors and won against the opponent\'s paper. Since the opponent\'s wins are scarce and often involve paper, I\'ll choose scissors to potentially exploit this pattern and gain another win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245965578}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent might anticipate me choosing rock again since I\'ve had success with it in the previous round. At the same time, rock has also been a frequent choice for me. To balance strategy and unpredictability, I\'ll opt for paper as it\'s effective against rock, a move the opponent might repeat based on our history.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245970024}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the score is tied and this is the last round, I need to make a strategic choice. The opponent has chosen rock multiple times, but also has experience with paper and scissors. Given that I won with rock in round 6 and with scissors in round 8, and considering the rules of the game, I will choose paper to cover the possibility of the opponent choosing rock, which would give me the win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245977836}]','2025-03-17 21:01:24','2025-03-17 21:12:57',NULL),(2636,7,1,7,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 4, \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": 1}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4o\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"duration\": 317550, \"winner_id\": 1, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1215, \"oldRating\": 1200}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1167, \"oldRating\": 1182}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1215, \"oldRating\": 1200}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1167, \"oldRating\": 1182}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"As this is the first round, choosing rock is a stable starting choice since it covers scissors, one of the most common picks.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245981052}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'ll choose rock as my opening move. Rock is often a psychologically comfortable first choice for many players, as it feels \\\"solid\\\" and defensible. Since this is the first round and I have no prior information about my opponent\'s tendencies, rock provides a balanced option. If my opponent chooses scissors (which is also a common first move), I\'ll win this round, while a paper would result in a loss and another rock would be a tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245989088}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round, both I and my opponent chose rock, so there’s no apparent pattern to the opponent\'s strategy yet. To cover all bases and potentially win, I’ll choose paper because it beats rock, which the opponent might choose again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245993843}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After a tie with both of us choosing rock in the first round, there\'s a tendency for players to either stick with their previous choice (thinking the opponent will change) or switch to paper (which would beat the previous round\'s rock). Since my opponent might either stay with rock or anticipate my change and choose scissors, I\'m selecting paper as it would win against rock. This is a calculated risk based on common Rock Paper Scissors psychology where players often don\'t make dramatic shifts from rock directly to scissors after a tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246002618}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that both previous rounds ended in ties because the opponent consistently mirrored my choices (rock and paper), there might be a psychological tendency for the opponent to now choose paper again or attempt to outsmart me with a prediction like scissors. To counterbalance this, I will choose scissors in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246007418}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Since we\'ve moved from rock to paper in a pattern of mutual choices, there\'s a possibility my opponent might expect me to follow the natural progression to scissors next. However, they might also anticipate this thinking and choose rock to counter. After consideration, I\'ll choose scissors because: 1) If they stay with paper, I win; 2) If they try to be unpredictable by going back to rock, I lose; 3) If they choose scissors too, it\'s another tie. This introduces a calculated risk that breaks the pattern of our previous ties.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246015540}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used the same move as me in all previous rounds, resulting in ties. I\'m choosing paper for this round as it might give me an advantage if the opponent expects me to choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246019760}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, there\'s a clear pattern where both the opponent and I have been choosing the same option each time, resulting in three consecutive ties. This suggests either coincidence or that the opponent might be mirroring my choices. For round 4, I\'m choosing rock as a strategic move to break the pattern. If the opponent is trying to predict my next move based on patterns, they might expect me to continue cycling through (rock→paper→scissors→) and anticipate paper. By choosing rock instead, I might catch them off guard if they choose scissors expecting me to choose paper. Additionally, if they continue the mirroring strategy, we\'ll tie again with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246055002}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In previous rounds, the opponent often matches my move (e.g., rock to rock, paper to paper, scissors to scissors). To take advantage of this potential pattern, I’ll choose \'rock\' again as it might induce the opponent to pick rock or scissors. If the opponent follows the pattern and chooses scissors, I will win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246059513}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"There seems to be a pattern where my opponent has matched my moves for the first three rounds, then countered with paper against my rock. If they\'re developing a strategy based on my previous moves, they might expect me to choose paper next (following the standard rock-paper-scissors sequence). If they anticipate this and choose scissors to counter, then my scissors choice would result in a tie. Alternatively, if they stick with paper expecting me to choose rock again, my scissors would win. This choice disrupts any pattern recognition they might be employing.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246067970}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s choices in earlier rounds suggest a pattern of repeating ties followed by predictable plays. To counter this, using \'scissors\' strategically could anticipate their paper move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246072203}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, the opponent seems to have adapted to counter my moves in rounds 4 and 5. Since the opponent chose rock in round 5, there\'s a possibility they might stick with rock again or switch to scissors anticipating my move. By choosing paper, I have a chance to counter if they choose rock again. Additionally, since we\'re entering the second half of the game and I need to catch up, taking a calculated risk with paper seems reasonable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246116443}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown no significant pattern or deviation, and they are likely randomizing their choices. I\'ll choose rock because it is versatile, can counter scissors if chosen, and maintains variety compared to my last move which was scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246121329}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has won with paper, rock, and scissors in the last three rounds, showing variety. There appears to be a potential pattern where the opponent might be using a strategy of playing what would beat my previous move. Since I played paper in round 6, they might expect me to play scissors in this round, which would lead them to choose rock. By choosing rock myself, I\'m hoping for a tie at minimum, breaking the losing streak. Additionally, rock is a psychologically \\\"strong\\\" choice when someone is behind and trying to rebuild momentum.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246129161}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Considering the previous rounds, the opponent might revert to a predictable loop of choices. Since ties occurred multiple times when I chose rock, paper, and scissors, I want to choose something that could disrupt any potential strategy they follow. \\\"Rock\\\" has been a safe neutral choice when in doubt, so I\'ll go with that.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246178900}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern so far, I played rock in round 7, and my opponent matched with rock, resulting in a tie. If my opponent is trying to anticipate my next move, they might expect me to choose paper (thinking I\'ll try to beat their rock). By choosing scissors, I can potentially counter their anticipated paper move. Additionally, I haven\'t won any rounds yet, so I need to try a different approach to gain some points.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246186157}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude\'s choices so far indicate a tendency not to adapt drastically, often falling into repetitive patterns. The opponent chose scissors in the last round, possibly hinting they might shift unpredictably, but it could also mean repeating a similar move such as scissors again. Choosing rock provides the safest chance to counter scissors and maintain the lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246191001}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock most frequently (4 times), including in the last two rounds. This suggests paper would be a good strategic counter. Additionally, after analyzing the sequence of my opponent\'s moves, there\'s no clear pattern that would suggest they\'ll switch to scissors this round. While I\'m currently behind in score, choosing paper gives me a good chance of winning this round if the opponent continues their tendency of playing rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246242511}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the last round (round 9), my opponent chose paper, possibly attempting to predict my repeated rock strategy. To counter this, I choose scissors since it beats paper, and the opponent might continue or predict a pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246246913}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"This is the final round and I\'m behind 1-4. Looking at the pattern, my opponent has chosen rock in 4 rounds, paper in 2 rounds, and scissors in 3 rounds. In the most recent round, they chose rock and I won with paper. There\'s a possibility they might expect me to choose paper again since it just won, and respond with scissors. Alternatively, they may revert to rock since it\'s been their most successful move. Given that rock has been their most frequent and successful choice, I\'ll go with scissors to try something different from my previous move, though I acknowledge this is risky if they choose rock again. However, since I need a win and have little to lose at this point, I\'m willing to take this calculated risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246295417}]','2025-03-17 21:01:25','2025-03-17 21:18:15',1),(2637,7,6,2,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": 2, \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": 3}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"gpt-4o-mini\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"duration\": 381601, \"winner_id\": 6, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet\", \"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1269, \"oldRating\": 1254}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-mini\", \"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1215, \"oldRating\": 1230}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1269, \"oldRating\": 1254}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1215, \"oldRating\": 1230}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opening rounds often see \\\"rock\\\" as a common choice since players view it as a strong, safe option. By choosing paper, I\'m positioning myself to counter this frequent opening strategy. Even if my opponent doesn\'t choose rock, paper is a balanced opening move that gives me a good starting position to observe my opponent\'s playing style.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245986589}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I choose paper as it beats rock, which is a common first move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245991173}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After a paper-paper tie, opponent might stick with paper expecting me to switch to rock, or switch to rock expecting me to choose scissors. Choosing scissors gives me a win against paper and accepted risk against rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246002505}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since both I and my opponent chose paper in the previous round, they might switch to a different option this time. Scissors can defeat paper, so if the opponent chooses paper again, I will win. If they choose rock, I lose, but it\'s a calculated risk to take considering the previous round\'s tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246009262}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After two rounds of matching moves (paper-paper, scissors-scissors), I\'m choosing rock to break the pattern. This completes the cycle of all three options and might catch the opponent off guard if they\'re trying to predict based on previous moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246019301}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose rock to counter the potential strategy of my opponent choosing scissors, which is a common choice after two ties. This makes it a good strategic move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246023314}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After three consecutive mirrored moves resulting in ties, choosing scissors provides a good balance of risk and reward. If the opponent continues mirroring, it\'s a tie. If they try to counter a pattern break, scissors has a chance to win against paper while accepting the risk of losing to rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246056181}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing \'paper\' gives me a chance to win against a potential \'rock\' choice from my opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246061873}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the pattern of the first four rounds, I noticed the opponent tends to play defensively and might expect me to repeat my winning scissors move. They might choose rock to counter that, making paper the optimal choice to win against their predicted rock move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246071724}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen scissors in the previous rounds and won with paper against my paper. I will choose rock to potentially beat their scissors this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246116307}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of alternating moves and has just played rock. They might play paper to counter my previous paper play, making scissors a good counter-choice. Additionally, if they continue their previous mirroring behavior and play scissors, we\'ll tie rather than lose.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246127980}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent has won the last two rounds by choosing scissors and paper, I will choose scissors to counter their likely use of rock or paper. This is a strategic move to maximize my chances of winning this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246176414}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing rock as a balanced option given the opponent\'s mirroring tendency. Rock will either result in a tie if mirrored, win against scissors, or lose to paper. With a 2-0 lead, we can afford to take this calculated risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246184938}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has won two rounds by using scissors and paper. Since they\'ve used paper and scissors previously, I will choose rock to counter any possible future use of scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246188526}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a recent tendency to use rock (used in rounds 5 and 7). Choosing paper would counter this pattern if it continues. Additionally, being ahead in score allows for this slightly aggressive strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246236328}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I am choosing scissors because the opponent has won with paper previously, and they may avoid rock after seeing my previous choices. Scissors gives me a chance to win if they play paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246243955}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on opponent\'s pattern analysis: 1) They just played scissors and tend not to repeat moves immediately 2) They show a preference for rock overall 3) If they choose rock as they often do, paper will win. Even if they choose paper, we still maintain a lead in the overall game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246296441}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has won two rounds and may lean towards winning with scissors again, I will choose rock to counter scissors in hopes of securing a win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246304742}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing paper because: 1) I\'m already ahead 3-1, so I just need to avoid losing to win the game, 2) The opponent has shown a preference for rock and scissors, 3) In a must-win situation, opponents often choose rock as a \\\"strong\\\" move, 4) Even if they choose scissors, I still win the overall game due to my 2-point lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246356150}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I expect my opponent might choose paper again since they won with it in the previous round, and scissors will allow me to win against that choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246361926}]','2025-03-17 21:02:20','2025-03-17 21:19:21',6),(2638,7,1,9,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 4, \"gpt-4.5-preview\": 2}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4o\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"duration\": 489747, \"winner_id\": 1, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1233, \"oldRating\": 1215}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1246, \"oldRating\": 1264}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1233, \"oldRating\": 1215}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1246, \"oldRating\": 1264}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round, I will choose rock because it is a solid and straightforward choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245989685}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ll start with scissors, as it\'s a common initial safe choice and could catch my opponent off guard if they opt for paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245998987}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In Round 1, I picked rock and won against opponent\'s scissors. To remain unpredictable, I choose paper this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246004357}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent chose rock in the previous round and won. There\'s uncertainty about their next choice, but they might either try rock again or switch to paper to anticipate me choosing rock. Scissors seem too risky here. Paper is a balanced, strategic choice as it beats rock if they repeat their previous winning move and at worst ties if they also choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246015140}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, I chose rock, and the opponent chose scissors, suggesting they might have tried paper to counter rock in round 2, but we tied with paper. To outsmart the opponent, I predict they may choose scissors for round 3 to beat paper, so I\'ll choose rock to counter them.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246019943}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"In previous rounds, the opponent chose rock, then paper. There is no clear pattern yet. To test consistency and potentially gain an advantage, I\'ll select scissors, predicting the opponent might attempt paper again or switch to scissors, allowing a win or tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246067633}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might anticipate that I\'ll continue choosing \'rock\' due to its success in previous rounds. To counteract this, I\'ll strategically switch to \'paper\' to cover scenarios where the opponent predicts \'scissors\' or \'rock\'.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246072314}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has frequently chosen rock, including twice when I chose scissors and lost. It might be safer to choose paper, hoping to win against rock and break the losing pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246116369}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent’s previous choices, they have played scissors twice and paper twice. They might attempt rock to counter my winning trends. To counteract, I choose paper to cover their potential rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246120324}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent is consistently choosing rock after a tie with paper. They might expect me to switch away from paper after consecutive ties. I will stick with paper to either continue the tie or to counter their repetitive rock choice effectively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246176141}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen \'paper\' for the last three rounds, so there’s a pattern worth noting. To counter this likely choice of \'paper,\' I will choose scissors to maximize my chance of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246180394}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has frequently chosen rock and paper. Since they\'ve chosen paper multiple times recently, it\'s possible they\'ll switch to scissors to break the pattern. Thus, by choosing rock, I\'ll counter the potential scissors and have a safety against another paper tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246235321}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may anticipate me continuing a pattern or attempting to counter their last move. Their last move was rock, which beat my scissors, so I predict they might expect me to choose paper next and counter with scissors. I will choose rock to counter their potential scissors choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246240016}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent reacted consistently with rock or paper, except for the last round where they chose scissors and lost to my rock. Observing tendencies, they might now switch back to a safe option like paper. Choosing scissors should put me in a favorable position based on their patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246252149}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a tendency to choose scissors (Rounds 1, 3, 7) or repeat previous patterns (e.g., constant paper selections in Rounds 4-5). Since I have a lead in score and the opponent might predict me to switch to a counter-move (like choosing paper or scissors), I will choose \'rock\' again as it has been successful against scissors multiple times.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246296631}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent repeatedly chose rock when I chose scissors, suggesting a pattern. Given this, I will select paper, expecting they might choose rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246306218}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may notice a pattern that I pick rock often, so they might counter with paper. To counter their potential paper choice, I will choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246355341}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s tendencies, they frequently choose rock or paper, rarely scissors. Given the last two rounds, they selected rock once (round 8), and they\'re overall inclined towards rock. Therefore, paper is a safe and potentially winning choice as it beats rock and results in a tie against paper, minimizing risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246368221}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"I observed that the opponent rarely chooses scissors (only in rounds 1, 3, and 7) and may now attempt to counter my recent successful move of scissors by picking rock this round. To beat rock, I will choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246419160}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent frequently chose rock and paper, rarely choosing scissors. Paper is the safest option to counter their common choice (rock) or tie if they choose paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246476315}]','2025-03-17 21:02:21','2025-03-17 21:21:16',1),(2639,7,15,14,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 2, \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 3}, \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}], \"players\": [\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"duration\": 361079, \"winner_id\": 15, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1179, \"oldRating\": 1164}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1135, \"oldRating\": 1150}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1179, \"oldRating\": 1164}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1135, \"oldRating\": 1150}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with rock as it\'s a classic and neutral choice\", \"timestamp\": 1742246070460}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with a random choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246114981}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the first round was a tie, I\'ll choose paper for round 2, hoping to gain an advantage if Gemini Flash 2.0 chooses rock again\", \"timestamp\": 1742246121256}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing paper gives me a chance to win this round against rock and tie against paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246124536}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the first two rounds have been ties, I\'ll choose scissors to potentially gain an advantage in the next round, considering the opponent\'s previous moves have been the same as mine.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246175386}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Breaking the mirroring pattern of the opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246180379}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since all previous rounds have been ties, I will choose rock for round 4, hoping to catch Gemini Flash 2.0 off guard.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246186045}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Trying to break the tie by choosing rock, hoping the opponent mirrors again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246234985}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since all previous rounds have been ties, I will choose rock again to see if the opponent will change their strategy\", \"timestamp\": 1742246240525}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The game is currently tied, and the opponent seems to be choosing the same move as me each round. To break this pattern, I will choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246245552}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent won the last round with paper, so I will choose scissors to beat paper\", \"timestamp\": 1742246251273}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be choosing rock, paper, and scissors in sequence and then repeating rock. In the last round, they chose rock, so I will choose paper to try and win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246295398}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the current score and previous rounds, it seems like Gemini Flash 2.0 has been mirroring my moves until round 5, where they won with paper against my rock, and I won in round 6 with scissors against their paper. To break this pattern, I\'ll choose rock, considering it\'s a basic move that could potentially catch Gemini Flash 2.0 off guard if they\'re expecting me to choose something else based on our previous interactions.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246302807}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has been mirroring my moves for the first few rounds, then played scissors after I played paper twice. I will play rock this round, anticipating the opponent might play scissors again, or mirror my previous move and play paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246306440}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen the same as me four times, and lost once to my scissors. Since the opponent chose paper and won in round 5, and I won with scissors in round 6, I will choose scissors in round 8 to try to get another win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246355243}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Trying to break the tie. Opponent seems to be choosing rock often.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246358573}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper twice in the last three rounds and I have won both times with scissors, so I will choose scissors again to try and win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246364762}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen scissors in rounds 6 and 8, and rock in rounds 1, 4, and 7, so I will choose paper to beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246415343}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the pattern of the game, Gemini Flash 2.0 has chosen paper in the last 4 rounds where a winner was determined, so it\'s likely they will choose paper again. Therefore, I should choose scissors to beat paper and win the round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246421495}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has been choosing scissors and I need to win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246426914}]','2025-03-17 21:02:22','2025-03-17 21:20:26',15),(2640,7,15,4,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (low)\": 3, \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 1}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"o1 - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"duration\": 469679, \"winner_id\": 4, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1164, \"oldRating\": 1179}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1217, \"oldRating\": 1202}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1164, \"oldRating\": 1179}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1217, \"oldRating\": 1202}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with a random move to gauge the opponent\'s strategy\", \"timestamp\": 1742246071161}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Rock is a classic first move. Let\'s go with that.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246116397}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent chose rock in the previous round, I will choose paper to try and gain an advantage in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246121968}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We expect the opponent might pick either rock or paper, so let\'s try scissors to beat paper and tie with scissors or lose to rock. This is a strategic guess!\", \"timestamp\": 1742246128316}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because it\'s a solid, neutral option that can potentially beat scissors, and my opponent chose scissors in the previous round, so they might be less likely to choose it again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246176344}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the previous moves, I\'ll choose rock to maintain unpredictability.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246181124}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has chosen rock twice and scissors once, I\'m going to choose paper to try and take advantage of a potential rock choice by the opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246186937}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used Rock two out of three times so far (Rounds 1 and 3). Paper can beat Rock, so I’ll try Paper this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246236290}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s moves have been mostly ties and a win with scissors, so I\'ll choose rock to try and beat their potential scissors move\", \"timestamp\": 1742246241660}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might alternate between rock and paper, so to beat rock, choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246246938}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper twice in the last three rounds and rock twice in the first three rounds. Since I chose rock in round 5 and lost, I will choose scissors in round 6 to beat the opponent\'s possible paper choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246294979}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We’ve used paper successfully in the last round, but to remain unpredictable, we could try scissors, which beats paper. However, the opponent has chosen rock multiple times, which would defeat scissors. In a limited sample, they’ve chosen rock often, so the safer move is paper, which can beat rock. Let’s stick with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246299797}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper twice in the previous rounds and won, so I will choose scissors to beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246355329}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might expect me to continue using paper or shift to rock. I\'ll choose scissors to counter a potential paper play and possibly surprise them.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246360215}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock twice and paper twice in the previous rounds, and scissors once. Since the last round was a tie with both players choosing scissors, I\'m going to choose rock to try and take advantage of the opponent\'s possible repetition of a previous move, such as paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246366896}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern so far, there’s a chance the opponent might choose scissors again or switch back to rock. Choosing rock provides a strong counter if the opponent chooses scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246416327}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock multiple times, and I need to win this round to have a chance at winning the game. Since rock beats scissors, I will choose paper to have a chance at beating rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246422393}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might return to a paper play, meaning scissors would be a strong counter. A timely guess: choose scissors to potentially win against paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246476132}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because the opponent has chosen scissors or paper in the previous rounds, and rock beats scissors. Given that the opponent is labeled as \'low\', I\'m assuming they might choose scissors again, so I\'ll choose rock to take advantage of that.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246482459}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent’s pattern suggests they might choose scissors next, but at worst we tie. Choosing rock is a strong final move to ensure a win or tie overall.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246536418}]','2025-03-17 21:02:23','2025-03-17 21:22:16',4),(2641,7,12,10,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (high)\": 3, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": 5}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}], \"players\": [\"o1 - (high)\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"duration\": 724410, \"winner_id\": 10, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1225, \"oldRating\": 1241}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1267, \"oldRating\": 1251}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1225, \"oldRating\": 1241}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1267, \"oldRating\": 1251}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ll start with a straightforward move: rock. It\'s solid and can crush scissors if the opponent chooses them.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246124954}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I don\'t have any information about my opponent\'s tendencies yet. Statistically, many players tend to choose \\\"rock\\\" as their opening move in RPS games, so I\'m selecting paper as a strategic counter to that common pattern. The opponent being labeled \\\"high\\\" might indicate an advanced player, but without prior data on their specific strategy, this is a reasonable starting choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246176418}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent chose paper in the first round, choosing scissors now would beat paper if they continue that pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246185187}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, I chose paper and my opponent chose rock, so I won. Against a high-skilled opponent (as indicated by \\\"o1 - high\\\"), they\'re likely to adapt their strategy. After losing to paper, many players would switch to scissors to counter the previous winning move. By choosing rock now, I can anticipate and counter this potential scissors play. Additionally, breaking any pattern in my play will make me less predictable for future rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246236549}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"To counter a possible scissors from the opponent, I\'ll choose rock. This might help secure our first win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246295223}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s pattern, they\'ve played rock then scissors in the first two rounds. This could indicate a clockwise rotation in the RPS cycle (rock → scissors), which might suggest they\'ll play paper next. By choosing scissors, I can counter this potential paper play. Additionally, since I\'m already ahead 2-0, I can afford to make a strategic choice that exploits the potential pattern rather than playing defensively. If they\'re anticipating my strategy and play rock instead, I\'ll need to adjust in future rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246355005}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent’s pattern has gone Paper → Rock → Scissors. It might cycle back to Paper. Scissors would beat Paper. Let’s pick scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246362979}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has shown a preference for rock (played in rounds 1 and 3), especially returning to it after losing. Since they just won with rock in the previous round, there\'s a reasonable chance they\'ll stick with this winning move. Additionally, choosing paper breaks my sequential pattern of paper→rock→scissors→paper, which would make me less predictable against this high-level opponent. While there\'s a risk they might anticipate this and play scissors, I believe the higher probability is that they\'ll play rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246416283}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The previous sequence of the opponent’s moves suggests they could be cycling paper→rock→scissors→paper. If this pattern holds, they may pick rock this round, so choosing paper should give us a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246424726}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be following an alternating pattern of rock-scissors-rock-scissors. If this pattern continues, they will likely play rock next, making paper my optimal choice. I also note that the opponent hasn\'t played paper yet, which might indicate a preference for the other two options.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246476231}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper three out of five times so far. I’ll predict they’ll use paper again, and pick scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246535149}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, my opponent started with a pattern of alternating rock and scissors (rounds 1-4), but then switched to paper in round 5. Since I played paper in the last two rounds, my opponent might expect me to continue with paper or switch to rock. If they\'re trying to counter my previous move, they might play scissors, but given their break in pattern in round 5, they might stick with paper for another round. I\'ll choose scissors to potentially capitalize on this.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246596120}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used paper in half of their moves so far (3 out of 6). I’ll take a chance that they pick paper again and choose scissors to counter it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246607119}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played scissors in half of the rounds so far (3/6 times), including the most recent round. This suggests a preference for scissors that I can exploit by playing rock. While a sophisticated opponent might anticipate this and play paper, the historical data shows scissors as their most frequent choice, making rock my best statistical play for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246656515}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s recent cycle (paper in round 5, scissors in round 6, rock in round 7), they may repeat paper again in round 8. To counter that likely pattern, choosing scissors should maximize our chances of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246716172}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen scissors in 4 out of 7 rounds, including the last two rounds consecutively. While they might anticipate me choosing rock and switch to paper, their historical tendency toward scissors makes rock a strategically sound choice. Additionally, I\'ve won both previous rounds when I chose rock (rounds 2 and 7), which suggests this strategy has been effective against this particular opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246774699}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used rock two rounds in a row, so I’ll try paper to beat rock in round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246788969}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a clear preference for scissors, playing it in 5 out of 8 rounds so far, including the last three rounds consecutively. Rock beats scissors, and while there\'s a risk they might anticipate this and switch to paper, their historical data shows they rarely choose paper (only once in 8 rounds). Given that I\'m ahead 4-2, this is a calculated risk worth taking.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246804923}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has recently played rock several times, so choosing paper has a good chance of earning a win and tying the overall score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246821339}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent played paper last round after I played rock three times in a row. They might stick with paper expecting me to play rock again, or anticipating I\'ll switch to paper. Scissors would win against paper and tie against scissors, giving me a strategic advantage in this final round while I\'m already ahead 4-3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246840841}]','2025-03-17 21:03:20','2025-03-17 21:27:20',10);
INSERT INTO `matches` VALUES (2642,7,6,8,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": 7, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 0}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"duration\": 675794, \"winner_id\": 6, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet\", \"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1285, \"oldRating\": 1269}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1247, \"oldRating\": 1263}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1285, \"oldRating\": 1269}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1247, \"oldRating\": 1263}}}}','[{\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opening with scissors as it counters the common paper opening move, while also accounting for the possibility that the opponent might expect a rock first move and choose paper in response. This provides a balanced strategic opening against a sophisticated AI opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246125377}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the opening round, I\'m choosing paper as my strategic move. Rock is statistically a common first choice for many players, so paper would counter that effectively. Without any previous rounds to analyze patterns, this provides a solid opening strategy. Additionally, if my opponent is trying to anticipate my move, they might expect rock from me as a conservative first play, making paper a good counter to their potential counter-strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246176458}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After winning with scissors in round 1, the opponent may expect me to repeat scissors and counter with rock. Paper would beat rock in this case. Even if they repeat paper, it would result in a tie rather than a loss.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246187099}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent won with scissors in round 1, there\'s a reasonable chance they might stick with scissors again (players often repeat successful moves). Additionally, after seeing me play paper in round 1, they might anticipate I\'ll switch to scissors to counter their previous move, which could lead them to play rock. In that case, we would tie. Overall, playing rock gives me a good chance to either win (if they repeat scissors) or tie (if they switch to rock).\", \"timestamp\": 1742246236311}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a descending pattern (paper->rock), suggesting they might play scissors next. Rock would win against scissors and break my own pattern, making me less predictable. While this risks losing to paper, the 2-0 lead allows for some strategic risk-taking.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246248074}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent has played scissors then paper. There\'s a chance they might continue with a rock-paper-scissors sequence and play rock next, but they might also repeat paper since it just won. Given that I need to break my losing streak, I\'ll choose scissors - if they play paper again, I\'ll win, and if they try to anticipate my move, this choice disrupts any pattern they might expect from me based on my previous losses.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246296129}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After winning three rounds, the opponent is likely to change their strategy. While they showed a paper→rock→scissors pattern, they may expect me to continue my scissors→paper→rock pattern with scissors next and counter with rock. Therefore, I\'m choosing paper to beat their probable rock move while breaking my own pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246308006}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent has won all three rounds by seemingly countering each of my moves perfectly. If they\'re analyzing my move sequence (paper→rock→scissors), they might expect me to play paper next to continue the cycle. By choosing rock instead, I\'m breaking that potential pattern. Additionally, if they\'re using a strategy of countering my previous move (scissors), they might play paper this round, which rock would beat.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246356201}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Breaking my own pattern to avoid predictability, while accounting for opponent\'s shown preference for rock. With a 4-0 lead, I can afford to take a strategic risk to maintain unpredictability.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246366750}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has shown a pattern of consistently countering my moves. In the last two rounds, I chose rock and they chose paper. They might expect me to avoid rock now and play scissors, which they could counter with rock. By playing paper, I can potentially break this cycle and counter their anticipated rock play. Additionally, my opponent has played paper most frequently (twice), suggesting they might have some preference for it, making scissors another viable option - but they may expect this adjustment from me.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246416283}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on previous patterns, my opponent might expect me to play scissors again since it worked last round. They might choose rock to counter this expectation. By choosing rock, I can either win against scissors, tie against rock, or lose to paper - giving me favorable odds. Additionally, they\'ve lost twice with paper, which might make them hesitant to use it again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246476121}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on previous rounds, my opponent might expect me to continue a pattern. They\'ve countered paper with scissors twice now. If they anticipate me playing scissors next (following a rock-paper-scissors cycle from my last move), they might play rock. By choosing rock, I\'m breaking my previous pattern while potentially forcing a tie if they play rock or winning if they play scissors. It\'s time to disrupt any pattern recognition they might be using against me.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246536473}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent shows a preference for rock and has just played rock. They may anticipate me playing rock and switch to paper to counter. Choosing scissors to potentially catch this paper play. Given my strong lead in the game (5-0), I can afford to make this slightly aggressive play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246545431}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the previous rounds, I\'m choosing scissors because the opponent might anticipate me selecting rock again (which I\'ve chosen 3 times already) and respond with paper. Additionally, after our tie with rock in round 6, there\'s a psychological tendency for players to switch to paper. By choosing scissors, I can potentially counter this move. The opponent has also shown a balanced approach in their selections so far, so introducing a less predictable choice may disrupt their strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246596315}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the recent ties and Claude\'s adaptive strategy, I expect they might choose rock to counter a potential scissors play. Paper would beat that rock. Additionally, Claude has shown a tendency to make defensive moves based on previous rounds, so paper provides a strong counter to their likely strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246654990}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After two consecutive ties (rock-rock, scissors-scissors), my opponent might expect me to choose paper next to break the pattern. If they anticipate this, they\'ll likely choose scissors to counter. By choosing rock, I can potentially break my losing streak and win this round. Additionally, my opponent has chosen paper twice in earlier rounds when I selected rock, but their recent choices suggest they might be changing their strategy after the ties.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246669976}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing paper because: 1) The opponent has shown a strong preference for rock (4 out of 8 moves), 2) Their last move was rock, and they\'ve often repeated rock moves, 3) Even if this move doesn\'t win, I\'ve already secured the overall game victory with 6 wins, so I can afford to make this strategic choice based on their observed patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246716139}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern from previous rounds, they appear to be cycling through a sequence where rock would be their next logical move. Paper beats rock, so this gives me the best chance to win this round and improve my score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246729412}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ve already secured victory in the overall game with 6 wins. Paper has been successful for me throughout the game, giving me 3 wins and 1 tie. The opponent has shown a preference for playing rock (4 times), making paper a strategically sound choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246774846}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because my opponent has shown a preference for paper (played in 4 rounds including the last two). Based on this pattern, there\'s a reasonable chance they\'ll switch to scissors for the final round, expecting me to play paper again. By choosing rock, I can potentially counter their scissors play. Additionally, I notice we\'ve had several predictable patterns in our game, so breaking from my recent paper play might catch them off guard.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246792356}]','2025-03-17 21:04:20','2025-03-17 21:26:32',6),(2643,7,10,4,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (low)\": 0, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": 3}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"o1 - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"duration\": 601565, \"winner_id\": 10, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1251, \"oldRating\": 1236}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1202, \"oldRating\": 1217}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1251, \"oldRating\": 1236}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1202, \"oldRating\": 1217}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing paper as my opening move. Rock is statistically a common first choice for many players, as it feels psychologically \\\"strong\\\" or \\\"safe\\\" as an opening. Without any prior information about my opponent\'s strategy, playing paper gives me a chance to counter this common opening tendency. As we progress through more rounds, I\'ll be able to look for patterns in my opponent\'s play style.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246176500}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"It\'s an opening move, I\'ll choose rock to start the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246181131}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I played paper in round 1 and won, the opponent might expect me to stick with paper and therefore play scissors to counter it. A common strategy for less experienced players (indicated by \\\"low\\\" label) is to play what would beat their opponent\'s previous move. By choosing rock, I can counter their potential scissors play. This is a basic anticipatory move based on the limited pattern information I have so far.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246236490}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent used paper last time, we’ll try scissors this time in hopes of beating paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246241562}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock then scissors in the first two rounds. Against a lower-skilled opponent, there\'s a good chance they might repeat scissors (their last move) or follow a simple pattern. Rock would beat scissors if they repeat, and would tie against rock if they cycle back to their first move. Also, the opponent hasn\'t chosen paper yet, so this seems like a calculated risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246295451}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We need a win and expect the opponent might use scissors next. Rock gives a chance to beat scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246300319}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s pattern (rock, scissors, rock), there seems to be a tendency to return to rock after playing scissors. Since they played rock in round 3, they might be starting their pattern again with scissors for round 4. However, given they\'re a \\\"low\\\" difficulty opponent, they might stick with rock as it\'s their most frequently played move. Choosing paper gives me a good chance to win if they play rock again, while diversifying my own choices to be less predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246356303}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock in rounds 2 and 3. Paper can beat rock if the opponent continues that pattern, so I’m choosing paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246362194}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern so far (rock→scissors→rock→paper), they might play scissors next. Playing rock would counter scissors. Additionally, since I\'m already ahead in score, this is a safer play that maintains my advantage regardless of whether they attempt to mirror my previous move or continue their pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246416191}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used paper and rock more often and hasn\'t tried scissors yet, making rock a strong counter. This choice might beat a potential scissors move from the opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246423586}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a clear preference for rock (3/5 rounds). Given this pattern, paper is the strategic choice as it beats rock. While there\'s a risk the opponent might anticipate this and play scissors, the historical data suggests rock is their most likely choice. I\'m already ahead 2-0, so this calculated risk makes sense.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246476519}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to favor rock, so picking paper offers a good chance for a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246484114}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be following an alternating pattern between rock and paper in recent rounds. Since they played paper in round 6, they\'re likely to play rock in round 7. Paper beats rock, so I\'ll choose paper for this round to capitalize on their predictable pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246536577}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We are trailing, so we might try forcing a decisive move. Rock is a solid choice for break the tie streak and hopefully catch the opponent’s scissors. We’ll choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246541861}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of alternating between rock and paper in recent rounds. Since they played rock in round 7, they might play paper in round 8. Scissors would be effective against paper. Also, the opponent has rarely chosen scissors (only once in 7 rounds), making scissors a relatively safe play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246596327}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"It’s worth trying something different to break the pattern and catch the opponent off guard. Let’s choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246602275}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a preference for rock (played in 4 out of 8 rounds), and paper beats rock. Additionally, they\'ve just played scissors in round 8, and historically they\'ve often played rock after other moves. Since I\'m currently leading 3-0, this is a strategic move to potentially secure another win while maintaining my advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246656323}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m behind 0-3 with only two rounds left, so I need to try to catch up by anticipating the opponent’s move. They have often used rock or paper, so I\'ll go with paper to try to beat rock. If they choose scissors, it\'s bad luck, but at least it\'s a decent strategy to counter rock, which they\'ve used in earlier rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246663114}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern analysis, the opponent has played rock most frequently throughout the game, but used paper in the most recent round. There\'s a good chance they\'ll play paper again, which scissors would defeat. Even if they revert to their most common choice (rock) and I lose this round, I would still win the overall match with a 3-1 score. This is a strategic choice that balances potential gain against minimal risk to my overall lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246716135}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has most frequently chosen paper so far (5 times). The best guess is to choose scissors to counter it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246726094}]','2025-03-17 21:04:21','2025-03-17 21:25:26',10),(2644,7,8,12,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (high)\": 5, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 5}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"o1 - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 672020, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -1, \"newRating\": 1246, \"oldRating\": 1247}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 1, \"newRating\": 1226, \"oldRating\": 1225}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -1, \"newRating\": 1246, \"oldRating\": 1247}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 1, \"newRating\": 1226, \"oldRating\": 1225}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round against a sophisticated opponent (labeled \\\"high\\\"), I\'m choosing paper as a strategic opening. Studies show that rock is a common first move in RPS games, so paper would give me an advantage if my opponent follows that pattern. Without any previous moves to analyze, this gives me a balanced starting position for the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246236306}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Rock is often a strong opening move as many players anticipate scissors early on.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246248961}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I won with paper in round 1, my opponent may anticipate me repeating this winning move and counter with scissors. By playing rock, I can potentially beat their scissors. Also, against a high-level opponent, it\'s important to avoid being predictable, so changing my move after a win adds unpredictability to my strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246296325}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"We are behind in the score. The opponent previously played paper, so if they repeat that, scissors will win. Let\'s go for scissors to try and catch up.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246306380}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I\'ve played paper and then rock in the first two rounds, the opponent might expect me to play scissors next to complete the cycle. However, they might also try to counter my previous rock play by choosing paper. If they do play paper, my scissors will win. Additionally, breaking my own apparent pattern after the first two rounds might confuse a high-level opponent who\'s looking for patterns in my play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246356159}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose paper in Round 1 and rock in Round 2. They seem to be trying to counter your moves. Expecting they might choose rock again, paper is a strong choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246365740}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the observed pattern, my opponent would play rock next in their sequence. However, they might anticipate me breaking my own pattern. Given that I\'ve cycled through all three options once and won each time, continuing with paper is a balanced choice that will win if they stick to their pattern (playing rock) while not being too predictable myself. If they\'re truly a high-level opponent trying to break their pattern, this creates an interesting strategic moment.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246416335}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing a pattern in the opponent’s moves (paper → rock → scissors), it seems they might return to paper. Scissors would be the best counter to win against paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246423869}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen scissors twice, including their last winning move. They might stick with what worked last time, making rock a good counter. Even if they anticipate this and switch to paper, I still have a comfortable lead of 3-1, allowing me some strategic flexibility. Breaking my own pattern of moves is also important to avoid becoming predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246476456}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems likely to choose rock next, so I will play paper to counter it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246488549}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used paper twice (rounds 3 and 5), including their last winning move. They might stick with paper again since it just worked for them, or they could be establishing a pattern. By choosing scissors, I can counter if they play paper again, while acknowledging the risk they might anticipate this and play rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246595488}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent’s pattern of moves (paper → rock → scissors → paper → rock), the opponent is likely to throw scissors next. Choosing rock should give the best chance to win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246606133}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Breaking my established pattern is crucial at this point. My opponent has adapted after round 3 and has won the last three rounds. If I continue my pattern, I would play paper, which my opponent might anticipate and counter with scissors. By playing rock instead, I\'m breaking the pattern while also potentially countering scissors if my opponent tries to predict my paper play. Since we\'re tied 3-3, making a strategic shift now could help regain momentum.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246656295}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent appears to be cycling through paper, rock, scissors in order. If they continue that pattern, they’ll choose paper next, so scissors is the winning move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246667580}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern analysis, if the opponent follows a paper → rock → scissors cycle, they might choose paper next. Also, the opponent has shown a tendency to play scissor (3 times), so they might revert to paper to break their pattern. Choosing scissors would counter paper if they make this move. Additionally, scissors has worked well for me in round 3, while my opponent might be trying to tie the score and potentially take more risks.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246716349}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"We’re one point behind and the opponent often chooses rock (including last round). Paper capitalizes on a likely repeat of rock and could help us catch up.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246774907}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern of moves, there\'s a good chance they\'ll play rock in this round. They\'ve shown a sequence of scissors→paper→rock in previous rounds (rounds 4-6), and after playing paper in round 8, rock would be the next logical move in their pattern. Playing paper would give me the win if they choose rock, securing my victory in the overall game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246801169}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent’s pattern: they have tended to rotate through paper, rock, and scissors in short cycles. Rounds 7 (rock) and 8 (scissors) suggest that they may choose paper in round 9, so scissors is the best move to beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246820150}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because the opponent has shown a preference for scissors (4 out of 9 rounds). They just played scissors in round 9, and while they might anticipate my counter and choose paper, the statistical frequency of scissors in their strategy makes rock the safest choice for me. Since I\'m already leading 5-4, I only need to win or draw this round to win the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246840704}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent appears to have switched to a rock–scissors–paper sequence starting in round 7, suggesting they might play rock again next. Playing paper would be the best guess to beat rock and tie the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246860986}]','2025-03-17 21:05:20','2025-03-17 21:27:40',NULL),(2645,7,1,2,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 5, \"gpt-4o-mini\": 3}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4o\", \"gpt-4o-mini\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"duration\": 312939, \"winner_id\": 1, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1248, \"oldRating\": 1233}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-mini\", \"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1200, \"oldRating\": 1215}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1248, \"oldRating\": 1233}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1200, \"oldRating\": 1215}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Since this is the first round, it\'s purely random. I\'ll choose \'rock\' to start strong.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246298591}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I choose paper to counteract the common strategy of starting with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246302061}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent chose paper in the previous round to beat my rock, I suspect they might expect me to switch to scissors. To counter this, I choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246306034}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I won the first round by choosing paper, there\'s a possibility my opponent might switch to rock to counteract my choice. I will choose scissors to beat paper if that\'s what my opponent chooses, while also being wary of rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246355001}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper and scissors so far. To counter a potential repeat or vary their pattern, I\'ll go with paper. This will cover against a rock and create a tie with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246359085}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose rock because my opponent has shown a tendency to play rock as well. Playing rock will give me a chance against scissors and tie against paper, which could reduce their winning chances in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246362960}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent reacted to my rock choice earlier with paper, but then switched to rock when I used paper. To anticipate a possible scissors move from them, I\'ll choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246366903}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has won twice in a row with rock and paper, so they might change their strategy. I\'ll choose scissors to counter a potential paper choice from the opponent while still being flexible against a rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246416352}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s choices, they have picked \'paper,\' \'scissors,\' \'rock,\' and \'scissors.\' They might cycle to \'paper\' next. Using this, I choose \'scissors\' to counter \'paper.\'\", \"timestamp\": 1742246420803}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has been consistently playing rock in the last few rounds. I will choose paper to counter their likely strategy and increase my chances of winning this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246424456}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds, my opponent has chosen paper twice, rock once, and scissors twice. Given this pattern, the opponent may lean towards rock or scissors in this round. To hedge against both options, I\'ll choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246474980}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Maximizing the chance to counter the opponent\'s potential choice of scissors while predicting a possible switch from rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246481547}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s past moves, they have picked rock twice, scissors twice, and paper once. Given their tendency to favor rock and scissors, I\'ll go with paper, which is safest against both.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246486144}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent has predominantly chosen rock and paper in previous rounds, I will choose scissors this time. It offers a chance of winning if the opponent goes for paper, which they have shown interest in.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246535407}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may try to counter my frequent use of \'paper\' by choosing \'scissors\' again (as seen in round 7). To counter this, I will choose \'rock\', which beats scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246539785}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Opposing player has frequently chosen rock and paper. Choosing rock to counter a potential paper move after my last win with scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246545831}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent has sometimes repeated their choice in subsequent rounds, such as in rounds 3 and 6 where they chose rock twice after my picks of paper. In the last round, the opponent chose rock (which resulted in a tie). Predicting they might repeat rock again, I\'ll choose paper to counter it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246594986}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock in their most recent move and potentially may choose rock again. Since I have chosen paper against their rock previously and won, I will choose paper again to try to secure another win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246598871}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at my opponent\'s recent choices, they are alternating and not sticking to a clear pattern. They\'ve rotated between each option across the last few rounds, and it\'s possible their strategy might involve diversity as well. Going with rock appears safe since rock is strong against a possible scissors choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246603149}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has favored rock previously and may choose it again. I am choosing paper to beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246608411}]','2025-03-17 21:05:21','2025-03-17 21:23:28',1),(2646,7,3,14,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": 1, \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 3}, \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (low)\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"duration\": 356911, \"winner_id\": 14, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1054, \"oldRating\": 1067}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1148, \"oldRating\": 1135}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1054, \"oldRating\": 1067}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1148, \"oldRating\": 1135}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with rock as a strong, common opening move to test the waters against Gemini Flash 2.0.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246364888}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"I will start with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246415437}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round one we both chose rock, so my intuition is that the opponent might lean towards rock again. Choosing paper will beat rock while maintaining a balanced strategy. I therefore choose paper for round 2.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246420048}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose rock in the previous round, so I will choose paper, which beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246423649}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the previous rounds, it appears that Gemini Flash 2.0 may be mirroring my moves. In round 1, both chose rock and in round 2, both paper, leading to ties. While it’s not clear if this is a deliberate pattern or a coincidence, I’ll use a slightly different approach to try and break the stalemate. Given the potential mirror strategy, I expect Gemini Flash 2.0 might choose the same move that I choose. As a counter strategy, I could choose scissors hoping that a shift from the matching pattern might prompt a deviation. Even though this may risk a tie if they continue mirroring, it could force adaptation from their side. Thus, I’m opting for scissors this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246475335}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent played rock and then paper. I will play scissors, which would have won against their previous move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246478491}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that previous rounds were ties regardless of the move chosen, an unpredictable strategy is beneficial. For round 4, I choose rock, aiming to break the pattern while remaining unpredictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246483078}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played the same move for the first three rounds. I will choose rock, anticipating they will continue the pattern and play rock again, and paper beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246486637}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing my rounds against Gemini Flash 2.0 so far, the opponent\'s behavior seems unpredictable. However, after observing that in round 4 the opponent won with paper while I played rock, switching to scissors might be risky given the previous ties. I opt for paper, aiming to counter any potential rock move they might resort to, while also capitalizing on the fact that paper ties with paper. This balanced approach seems optimal for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246536646}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be playing randomly, choosing the same move as me in the first three rounds, and then choosing rock when I chose paper. I will choose paper again, hoping they will choose rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246539924}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s moves include rock, paper, scissors, paper, and paper. Notice that he has picked paper in three of the last five rounds. Given this trend, it\'s reasonable to expect he might pick paper or follow his pattern. To beat paper, I choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246544926}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent played rock last time, so I will play rock this time.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246595211}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s pattern, they seem to favor paper frequently (rounds 2, 4, and 5 were paper), and paper appears a common move in their strategy. Choosing scissors would beat paper, so I select scissors to try to win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246599878}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock, paper, scissors in order, then rock, paper, scissors again. I\'ll choose rock to try and break this pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246603597}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds, the opponent has chosen rock three times and paper three times. Notably, in the last two rounds, the opponent chose rock twice in a row, which might suggest a tendency to use rock more frequently. Since rock is likely to be chosen again, picking paper gives us an advantage. Thus, I\'ll select paper for round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246609674}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may be trying to predict my moves. I will choose paper to try to throw them off.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246656327}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at previous rounds, the opponent won in rounds where they played paper (round 4) and rock (rounds 6 and 7); with some ties where our moves matched. Given that the opponent’s winning moves were paper and rock, there might be a tendency to choose rock, which loses to paper. Therefore, I choose paper for round 9, aiming to beat a potential rock move from Gemini Flash 2.0.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246665692}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has been playing randomly so far. I am winning, so I should just keep doing what I\'m doing.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246670866}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, Gemini Flash 2.0 often picked the same move as mine except when it was trying to win (rounds 4, 6, and 7 where it effectively countered my choices with paper or rock). Noticing the opponent\'s tendency to choose paper for multiple rounds, I anticipate that in this high-stakes final round, the opponent might lean towards paper. Therefore, choosing scissors gives me the best chance to beat paper if that prediction holds true.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246715545}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has mostly played the same move in a row, and I have won the last two rounds by playing rock. So I should play paper this round because the opponent is likely to play rock or scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246718873}]','2025-03-17 21:06:20','2025-03-17 21:25:18',14),(2647,7,6,11,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": 6, \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": 3}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"o3-mini - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"duration\": 540970, \"winner_id\": 11, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet\", \"change\": -21, \"newRating\": 1264, \"oldRating\": 1285}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": 21, \"newRating\": 1188, \"oldRating\": 1167}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -21, \"newRating\": 1264, \"oldRating\": 1285}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 21, \"newRating\": 1188, \"oldRating\": 1167}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opening with paper is strategic as it counters the common \'rock\' first move that many players and AI tend to choose. While it\'s vulnerable to scissors, it provides a good balance of risk and reward for an opening move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246422157}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'ll choose rock because it serves as a strong, neutral starting move in the absence of any known patterns from the opponent. Starting with rock allows me to observe the opponent\'s strategy in later rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246476294}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After winning with paper in round 1, there\'s a high chance the opponent will anticipate us sticking with paper and choose scissors to counter. By playing rock, we can potentially counter this adaptation while also protecting against another rock play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246485958}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I noticed that in round 1, my opponent played paper and won over my rock. This might indicate a slight leaning towards paper, so I choose scissors in round 2 to directly counter paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246536333}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Against a high-difficulty opponent who has shown no clear pattern yet, rock provides good coverage. It beats scissors (which they used last round), ties with rock (their first move), and only loses to paper (which they haven\'t used). They might expect us to rotate to scissors next, making rock a strong counter-play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246546094}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the previous rounds, I noticed that my opponent’s moves seem to counter my previous move: in Round 1, I played rock and he played paper, and in Round 2, I played scissors and he played rock. If this pattern continues, he will likely play the move that beats my last move (scissors) in Round 3, which is rock. To beat rock, I’ll choose paper in Round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246596147}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s adaptive strategy and expecting them to predict I\'ll choose scissors to counter their previous paper move, I\'m choosing rock to counter their likely scissors play. This maintains unpredictability while having a strong chance of winning based on the opponent\'s pattern of countering previous successful moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246604070}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, the opponent has favored \'rock\' in the last two rounds (rounds 2 and 3). Since paper beats rock, I’ll go with paper in round 4 to counter their likely move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246656241}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has won the last two rounds with paper against my rock. They might expect me to switch to paper to counter their pattern, in which case they might choose scissors. By choosing rock, I can win if they make this prediction, while accepting the risk of losing to another paper play but gaining valuable information about their strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246669106}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Reviewing previous rounds, the opponent played rock three consecutive times after an initial paper, and my paper victories in rounds 3 and 4 prove effective against rock. Although there\'s a risk he might adapt by switching to scissors, the consistency of his recent moves suggests he will likely stick with rock. To exploit this pattern, I choose paper for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246716343}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a strong pattern of choosing paper in the last three rounds. By switching to scissors, I can break my own predictable pattern of choosing rock and potentially catch them if they continue with paper. Even if they predict this move and choose rock, changing strategy is necessary to avoid being too predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246725605}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In rounds 3-5, the opponent repeatedly chose rock. While my previous wins came from playing paper against rock, a smart opponent might now switch to scissors to counter the anticipated continued use of paper. Choosing rock now offers a safeguard: if the opponent sticks to rock, it\'s a tie, and if he switches to scissors, I win. Given these possible outcomes, rock is the optimal counter-move for round 6.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246774862}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown adaptive strategy and might expect me to play paper to counter their last rock move. Playing scissors could catch them off guard if they play paper, while also breaking my own predictable patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246785769}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s history, he has played rock 4 out of the 6 rounds, with only one instance each of paper and scissors. Statistically, rock is his most common move. Choosing paper will beat rock and stands as a solid strategic choice even if there\'s a chance he might switch to scissors. Based on his past patterns and our score, paper is the optimal move for round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246813538}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a strong preference for paper (4 out of 7 rounds). Using scissors would counter their most common move. Additionally, breaking predictable patterns is important, and scissors hasn\'t been used as frequently in recent rounds, making it less expected.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246827570}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s pattern, he played rock for several rounds before switching to scissors in rounds 6 and 7, which helped him win round 7 when I chose paper. It seems likely he might continue with scissors, which would be countered by rock. Even if he reverts to rock, rock would yield a tie, avoiding a loss. Therefore, I choose rock for round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246854616}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the pattern, I notice the opponent tends to stick with rock after winning with it, as they just did in round 8. Additionally, paper has been my most successful move with a 100% win rate, and the opponent has shown a predictable pattern of using rock defensively after winning with it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246865000}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds, the opponent seems to be biased to repeating blocks of moves. They played rock for several rounds (rounds 2-5) and then switched to scissors for rounds 6-8. This suggests a cyclic pattern: after rock and scissors, the next likely move might be paper. Since scissors beat paper, I choose scissors for round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246906214}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown strong adaptive play and just used scissors in the previous round. They might expect me to counter with rock, so they could play paper. Therefore, I\'m choosing paper to potentially counter their anticipated rock move. Additionally, the opponent has used scissors less frequently than other moves, making it less likely they\'ll repeat it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246917724}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My analysis of the opponent\'s moves shows a pattern: after starting with paper in round 1, he then used rock for four rounds (rounds 2–5), switched to scissors for three rounds (rounds 6–8), and then returned to paper in round 9. This suggests a cyclical pattern where after a paper move the opponent might revert to rock—as he did from round 1 (paper) to round 2 (rock). Since rock appears most frequently in his sequence, it’s likely his round 10 will be rock. To beat rock, I choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246957315}]','2025-03-17 21:06:21','2025-03-17 21:29:17',11),(2648,7,2,1,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 3, \"gpt-4o-mini\": 5}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4o-mini\", \"gpt-4o\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"duration\": 347104, \"winner_id\": 2, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-mini\", \"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1218, \"oldRating\": 1200}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1230, \"oldRating\": 1248}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1218, \"oldRating\": 1200}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1230, \"oldRating\": 1248}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose paper because it beats rock, which is a common choice in the first round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246475322}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Since this is the first round, I will randomly choose \'rock\' to begin the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246479173}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose rock because it beats scissors, and my opponent may be inclined to choose scissors after I won the first round with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246482536}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on previous rounds, my opponent chose paper. I\'ll assume they might repeat the same choice or try scissors. To counter both possibilities, I choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246486656}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Winning the first two rounds with strong choices (paper and rock) may lead my opponent to expect that I\'ll choose scissors next to cover their possible loss to it. Therefore, I will choose rock again to continue my lead, as it beats scissors and could counter a potential scissors choice from the opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246536333}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous two rounds, the opponent has chosen paper and rock. To maximize my chances of winning, I\'ll assume that the opponent may try to continue alternating patterns. Based on this logic, scissors might beat an expected paper this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246540653}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen scissors in both of the last two rounds. To counter this pattern, I will choose rock, which beats scissors and increases my chances of winning this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246544223}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds, the opponent has chosen paper, rock, and rock. Choosing paper could help counter rock and is also safe against potential overlap with the first choice (paper).\", \"timestamp\": 1742246549548}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds, my opponent has chosen \'scissors\' twice and \'paper\' once. To counter their possible choices and maintain my lead, I am choosing \'rock.\' This counters \'scissors\' and could beat \'paper.\'\", \"timestamp\": 1742246599588}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose rock in the most recent round, so they might either stay with rock or switch to paper or scissors. If they switch to rock again, paper will defeat it; if they predict I use paper and go to scissors, then rock can win. Considering they are ahead and may play conservatively by sticking with rock, I\'ll choose paper to counter it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246603944}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent has chosen paper twice in the previous rounds, they may continue to favor it. I will choose scissors to counter their potential choice of paper, giving me a chance to win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246607878}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to avoid scissors and plays rock frequently. To counter their tendency to play rock, I will choose paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246655252}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose rock for this round because my opponent has chosen paper in the last two rounds, and they might switch back to scissors to counter my previous choices. Rock is a strong choice as it can defeat scissors if my opponent tries to anticipate my moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246663695}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"I analyzed the opponent\'s tendencies. They\'ve repeated rock and scissors multiple times, and they seem to rarely use paper (only once in six rounds). My best counter to their pattern is to exploit their lack of paper usage and choose \'rock\' to have a safe response against scissors, which they\'ve chosen equally frequently.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246668478}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock in the last round, and they seem to favor rock based on their recent choices. I will choose paper to counter this and potentially secure a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246672439}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to favor rock in several rounds (rounds 2, 3, 4, and 5) and only once played scissors. To maximize my winning chances, I\'ll play paper as it beats rock, which seems to be a frequent choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246716639}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may choose paper again to avoid loss, so I will choose scissors to beat their paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246722625}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s choice trends, the opponent prefers rock (chosen three times) and rarely opts for scissors. Choosing paper counters their preferred choice of rock and gives us a chance to secure a win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246726870}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose rock. The opponent might think I will keep choosing scissors since I won with it last round, and they might try to counter it with paper. By choosing rock, I have a chance to win this round, especially since the opponent has lost with paper in previous rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246731506}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a preference for choosing rock and scissors in the past. To counter their tendencies and maximize the chance of winning, I will choose a move that beats both. Paper is the best option here.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246774058}]','2025-03-17 21:06:22','2025-03-17 21:26:14',2),(2649,7,4,12,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (low)\": 3, \"o1 - (high)\": 4}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}], \"players\": [\"o1 - (low)\", \"o1 - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"duration\": 432637, \"winner_id\": 12, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1187, \"oldRating\": 1202}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1241, \"oldRating\": 1226}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1187, \"oldRating\": 1202}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1241, \"oldRating\": 1226}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"This is the first round, so let\'s begin strong with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246480865}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I’m selecting rock as a straightforward and solid opening move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246487707}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round, both sides chose rock. Since there is no clear pattern yet, I’ll switch things up with paper. If the opponent decides to go for rock again, we’ll gain an advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246536539}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"We just tied with rock vs rock, so the opponent may stick to rock again. Paper would beat rock if they choose it again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246542952}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used rock and paper so far, so they might try scissors next to complete the set. We\'ll choose rock to beat scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246548427}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the first two rounds ended in ties, let’s break the pattern by switching to scissors and see if we can secure a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246596243}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the limited data, there\'s no strong pattern from the opponent yet. A balanced strategy is to mix things up. The opponent might choose paper or rock, so let’s play scissors for a chance to beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246604455}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock in two of the three previous rounds, so we’ll select paper to counter a likely repeat of rock and hopefully secure a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246656268}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent’s pattern so far is rock, paper, scissors, then paper again. Selecting rock this round might counter a potential switch back to scissors or continue being strong against rock. Rock also provides a relatively safe choice when our score is already leading.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246663816}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent’s moves so far have been rock, paper, rock, scissors. This could suggest a pattern cycling back to rock, so I’ll choose paper to beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246716135}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Our opponent likely predicts we would step up with scissors to beat their paper. They might then choose rock to beat our scissors. In that case, using paper would be the best counter to expected rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246722344}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent’s sequence—rock, paper, rock, scissors, rock—suggests a repeating pattern of R, P, R, S. If that pattern continues, the next move would be paper. Scissors will beat paper, helping us catch up in score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246774673}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent often cycles to beat our most recent move, so after we lost with paper they may try scissors again. We’ll choose rock to beat scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246784645}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent’s move sequence so far seems to repeat R, P, R, S. They just played paper, so the next is likely rock. Paper would beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246796505}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has favored paper and scissors recently. They may return to scissors, so rock is a solid choice to counter it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246807853}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"It appears the opponent’s moves follow the repeating pattern rock, paper, rock, scissors. Based on that sequence, we expect scissors in Round 8. Rock will beat scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246820542}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played paper most often so far. Choosing scissors is our best guess to counter another paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246837558}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock most frequently so far, and paper maximizes our chances of at least not losing this round. We are slightly ahead, so a safe choice is paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246874494}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We’ve seen the opponent choose paper quite often, so they may try scissors. Rock gives us a strong chance to beat scissors and secure victory.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246884996}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock more than half the time this match, so paper is our best overall bet to beat rock and give us the highest chance of winning the final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246908991}]','2025-03-17 21:06:23','2025-03-17 21:28:28',12),(2650,7,9,14,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": 2, \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 3}, \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"duration\": 392420, \"winner_id\": 14, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": -20, \"newRating\": 1226, \"oldRating\": 1246}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": 20, \"newRating\": 1168, \"oldRating\": 1148}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -20, \"newRating\": 1226, \"oldRating\": 1246}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 20, \"newRating\": 1168, \"oldRating\": 1148}}}}','[{\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, picking randomly as there is no pattern or data from the opponent yet. Choosing scissors as a neutral opening.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246544671}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with rock as it is a balanced option.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246547858}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose rock in the previous round. Choosing paper can counteract if they repeat rock, and provides flexible coverage against their potential moves this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246596172}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent played scissors last round. If they think I will play rock again, they may play paper. I will play paper to counter this.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246602135}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown variety, choosing rock and then paper in previous rounds, but hasn\'t yet chosen scissors. It\'s likely they\'ll explore scissors now. Choosing rock provides a defensive edge and could secure a win if they pick scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246656153}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent chose scissors then paper, they might be trying to react to my moves. I will choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246662054}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent shows a repeating pattern (rock, paper, scissors). Expecting opponent to choose rock next, so choosing paper to win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246716515}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The score is tied, and the opponent has played all three options. To be unpredictable, I will choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246721993}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent previously favored paper twice and might choose it again or rock. Scissors is a safe choice, effectively countering paper and risking minimally against rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246774778}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The score is tied and the opponent has chosen paper multiple times. Scissors beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246778357}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has been unpredictable and avoids repeating moves consecutively. Rock provides a balanced response: it ties with rock, wins against scissors, loses only to paper. It\'s the safest choice given the unclear pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246811240}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The score is tied. My opponent seems to be playing a mixed strategy, so I will choose paper as it is a reasonable choice and does not seem predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246816764}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might expect me to repeat rock, so scissors could effectively counter both paper repetition or a switch to scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246834570}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"I predict the opponent might expect me to play paper again, so I will choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246838351}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent frequently favors scissors and paper, making rock the safest option to either win against scissors or tie against rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246853979}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The score is 2-1 in my favor. I will choose paper. My reasoning is that the opponent seems to be picking each option with roughly equal probability. Because of this, picking paper gives me the highest chance of winning, as it would beat rock and tie with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246859162}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent frequently chooses paper, particularly in rounds where I chose rock. Given this trend, choosing scissors is a strategic move to counter their preference for paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246885325}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has played a lot of rock and paper. Scissors beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246890595}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent frequently selected paper and scissors, rarely repeating rock. Given we are behind, scissors is the best strategic choice to counter their likely frequent pick (paper), enhancing our chance to secure a needed win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246925218}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing paper as it has resulted in the most ties for me in this game, and a tie will secure my win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246928872}]','2025-03-17 21:06:24','2025-03-17 21:28:48',14),(2651,7,1,11,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 2, \"o3-mini - (high)\": 4}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4o\", \"o3-mini - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"duration\": 344551, \"winner_id\": 11, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": -20, \"newRating\": 1226, \"oldRating\": 1246}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": 20, \"newRating\": 1167, \"oldRating\": 1147}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -20, \"newRating\": 1226, \"oldRating\": 1246}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 20, \"newRating\": 1167, \"oldRating\": 1147}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Without information about the opponent\'s tendency in choosing moves, I\'ll randomly select \'rock\' as my first move to set the stage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246654986}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For round 1, I want to start with a classic move. Rock is a solid choice that sets the tone for the match. I\'m introducing a straightforward approach to gauge the opponent\'s initial move and adapt as the game progresses.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246659707}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round, both I and the opponent chose rock. There is no indication of a clear pattern in the opponent\'s behavior yet. To maximize my chances, I will use paper, which would beat rock if the opponent repeats their choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246663794}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, both players chose rock, resulting in a tie. In many cases, players may try to adjust their strategy after a tie. Given that the opponent already chose rock, I suspect they might repeat it or change; however, choosing paper directly counters rock. Thus, to likely gain an advantage, I\'ll try paper in round 2.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246671459}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of mirroring my moves in the first two rounds. To win against this trend, I\'ll choose scissors, as it would beat their expected paper (if they mirror my move from this turn).\", \"timestamp\": 1742246715427}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The game has been tied so far with both players matching each other’s moves: round 1 both chose rock and round 2 both chose paper. This pattern might indicate that the opponent is either mirroring my plays or following a simple cycle. With my previous moves being rock then paper, choosing scissors for round 3 would complete the natural progression (rock, paper, scissors). Therefore, I opt for scissors in round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246733977}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has consistently mirrored all my choices so far, perhaps adopting a copying strategy. To counter this, I\'ll choose paper, as it would tie again if they continue mirroring. Once I spot a deviation, I can adjust further.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246777286}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, both players have always selected the same move, resulting in ties. With no explicit advantage in deviating from this pattern, I will choose rock for round 4, as it continues the cyclic approach observed so far.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246794794}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent tends to repeat their previous choice or choose the beating move next. In round 4, they picked rock. To counter rock and potentially maintain an edge, I will choose paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246799079}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 4 the opponent won by playing paper against my rock, so I suspect they might use paper again in round 5. Scissors is a strong counter to paper, therefore I choose scissors to try and secure my first win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246811515}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the last round, the opponent used scissors, which beat my paper. To counter a possible continuation of scissors or a switch back to rock, I choose paper as it will beat rock (if they choose rock again) and tie against scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246816773}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent’s history, I noticed that his paper move has come up in three of the five rounds (rounds 2, 4, and 5). Since scissors beats paper, I believe choosing scissors in round 6 is a strong counter to his apparent preference. Thus, I’m selecting scissors to take advantage of this pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246833398}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has repeatedly chosen scissors in the last two rounds, where I have lost by choosing paper. To counter a potential repeat of scissors while also potentially tying against paper, I will choose rock for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246837730}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In rounds 4 through 6, my opponent consistently chose paper. Given that scissors beats paper and that pattern has continued since round 4, it seems likely they will continue with paper. Therefore, I\'ll choose scissors for round 7 to capitalize on that trend.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246852786}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to alternate their choices after losing, and has picked \'scissors\' the last two rounds where I won with \'rock.\' Expecting a possible switch to \'paper,\' I will choose \'scissors\' to counteract.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246857514}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds the opponent played paper three times (rounds 4–6) and then switched to rock in round 7. This suggests a potential pattern, where the opponent might revert to paper in round 8. Since scissors beats paper, I choose scissors for round 8 to maximize my chance of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246881299}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played scissors more than any other choice, as seen in past rounds. By choosing rock, I can counter this pattern and potentially win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246887574}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ve noticed that I\'ve been overusing scissors in previous rounds, and in round 7 the opponent exploited this pattern by playing rock to beat my scissors. Given that rock might be his choice in round 9 to counter my repeated scissors, selecting paper will beat rock. Additionally, while the opponent played paper frequently in previous rounds, his most recent move (scissors in round 8) hints at a possible shift, and I want to preempt a rock play. Therefore, I choose paper for round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246915949}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to have used \'scissors\' several times and \'paper\' recently. To counter, I will choose \'rock\' because it is strong against scissors and can tie with \'rock.\'\", \"timestamp\": 1742246920215}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent has frequently chosen paper (4/9 rounds) and rock (3/9 rounds) while choosing scissors only 2/9 times. Choosing paper against the opponent’s likely moves is a strong option: if they play rock (33%), I win; if they play paper (44%), it’s a tie (and I still win overall because of my score advantage); and only if they unexpectedly choose scissors (22%) do I lose the round and tie the game. Thus, paper maximizes my chances for a win in the final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246952992}]','2025-03-17 21:07:20','2025-03-17 21:29:12',11),(2652,7,10,2,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": 3, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": 1}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"gpt-4o-mini\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"duration\": 245202, \"winner_id\": 2, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1249, \"oldRating\": 1267}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-mini\", \"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1236, \"oldRating\": 1218}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1249, \"oldRating\": 1267}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1236, \"oldRating\": 1218}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing paper as my opening move. Studies suggest that many players tend to lead with rock in the first round of Rock Paper Scissors (known as the \\\"rock bias\\\"), so paper would be a strategic counter to this common tendency. Since I don\'t yet have information about my opponent\'s playing patterns, this gives me a reasonable starting position while I observe how gpt-4o-mini plays.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246729766}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing paper to counter possible rock from the opponent, as it\'s a common first move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246733577}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After a tie with both of us choosing paper in round 1, there\'s a good chance my opponent might switch to scissors to try to beat my previous paper play. By choosing rock, I can counter that potential scissors play. Additionally, many players tend to cycle through the options in a somewhat predictable pattern after a tie, and scissors is a common follow-up to paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246774847}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent chose paper in the last round, I will choose scissors because scissors beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246779267}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ve played paper then rock in the previous rounds, and my opponent might expect me to repeat rock since it won last time. If they anticipate this, they might play paper to counter. Additionally, completing the natural sequence (paper → rock → scissors) is unpredictable enough while having strategic merit. This balances between pattern completion and tactical advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246794886}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent has already played rock in round 2 and we had a tie in round 1 with paper, there\'s a chance they might think I will stick with paper or go back to rock. I will choose scissors to counter their potential play of paper, as they might try to switch.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246799082}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, the opponent has played scissors in rounds 2 and 3. There\'s a decent chance they might continue with scissors for a third time. Even if they\'re anticipating my next move based on my paper→rock→scissors sequence, they might expect me to play paper next and choose scissors to counter it. Playing rock gives me a good chance to win if they continue with scissors, and at worst would lose to paper if they switch strategies. Since the opponent hasn\'t played rock yet, this seems like a calculated risk worth taking.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246815633}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because my opponent recently picked scissors and might continue with scissors or paper, making rock a strong counter move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246819392}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, I notice that my opponent has chosen paper, scissors, scissors, and rock. There seems to be a tendency for ties (3 out of 4 rounds), suggesting my opponent might be trying to anticipate my moves. I\'ve already played rock twice (winning once when they chose scissors), paper once, and scissors once. Since I just played rock in the last round, my opponent might expect me to switch to paper this round. If they\'re thinking this way, they might choose scissors to counter, so I\'ll choose scissors as well - either resulting in another tie if they also choose scissors (which they\'ve done twice already) or winning if they go with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246835159}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has chosen rock twice in the last rounds, they might switch to something else like paper or scissors. Choosing scissors could be a strong option since it counters paper, and it keeps my choices varied. My overall strategy is to avoid patterns that the opponent may predict.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246846080}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s history, they\'ve shown a preference for scissors (3 out of 5 rounds). They also chose scissors in the most recent round. Since rock beats scissors, this seems like the optimal strategic choice for this round. The opponent might try to anticipate this and switch to paper, but given their demonstrated pattern, rock appears to be the highest probability play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246863817}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing rock to potentially beat opponent\'s scissors or rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246871145}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has mirrored my moves in 5 out of 6 rounds. They may anticipate me switching from rock to paper in this round and choose scissors to counter. By playing rock again, I can potentially win if they choose scissors. Additionally, the opponent has chosen scissors more frequently than other options in previous rounds (3 times), so rock gives me good odds against their historical pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246890395}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has chosen rock in three of the previous rounds, it\'s likely they might choose it again. I will choose paper, which beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246898263}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our game history, I notice several patterns. My opponent appears to be responsive to my previous moves, particularly choosing paper in round 7 after I had played rock twice in a row. There have been many ties so far, suggesting we may be thinking similarly. Since my opponent chose paper last round, they might expect me to counter with scissors this round, which would lead them to play rock. By choosing paper, I can potentially anticipate this adaptation and win the round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246912694}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock twice in the previous rounds, and considering the overall pattern so far, they may continue with rock or try to switch it up. To counter their likely choice of rock, I will choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246916354}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen paper in the last two rounds. While they could switch tactics, there\'s a reasonable chance they might stick with paper for a third time thinking I wouldn\'t expect that. Scissors would beat paper, and even if they switch to rock (which they\'ve used less frequently than paper or scissors), I\'m willing to take that calculated risk given the current tied score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246930980}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose rock for this round. My opponent has shown a tendency to play paper and rock in the previous rounds, and considering that they may want to avoid repeats, there\'s a reasonable chance they might choose scissors this time. By playing rock, I can beat their possible scissors choice and possibly secure a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246934838}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at my opponent\'s recent moves, they played rock in round 9 after playing paper twice in rounds 7-8. There\'s no strong consistent pattern, but opponents often cycle through their options. Since they played rock most recently, there\'s a reasonable chance they might play paper for this final round, especially since they\'ve shown a preference for paper in earlier rounds. By choosing scissors, I can potentially counter a paper play. While this is risky against an opponent who just played rock, I need to win this round to tie the game, so I\'m making a strategic choice based on anticipating their next move rather than responding to their last one.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246956783}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"In the last round, I played rock, and my opponent chose scissors. There\'s a possibility that they might switch to something other than scissors for this round, so rock is a good choice that covers both outcomes.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246964117}]','2025-03-17 21:07:21','2025-03-17 21:29:24',2),(2653,7,9,1,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 4, \"gpt-4.5-preview\": 2}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"gpt-4o\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"duration\": 215923, \"winner_id\": 1, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1210, \"oldRating\": 1226}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1246, \"oldRating\": 1230}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1210, \"oldRating\": 1226}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1246, \"oldRating\": 1230}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"As it\'s the first round, there\'s no previous information to base a decision on. Choosing rock because it\'s a common initial choice and can help set a defensive posture.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246773514}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"This is the first round, and since there\'s no prior strategy to analyze, choosing \'rock\' is a safe and balanced opening.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246778457}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round, both sides chose rock, resulting in a tie. The opponent may anticipate a change or stick with rock to test us once more. Choosing paper could be advantageous if the opponent repeats rock or adjusts to paper themselves. Hence, selecting paper as a strategic choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246790338}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The previous round was a tie with both of us choosing rock. To gain an edge, I\'ll assume my opponent might switch to paper to counter rock, so I\'ll choose scissors to counter paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246794859}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent just played scissors after a tie with rock. They might anticipate me switching to scissors or maintaining a pattern, so I\'ll try countering their last play with rock to potentially counter their scissors again or at least force another tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246805590}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds, my opponent has chosen rock and paper. Based on the limited pattern, they might avoid repeating rock and paper and could potentially choose scissors this time. To counter scissors, I will choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246810818}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock twice and scissors once. Considering this pattern, the opponent might potentially repeat rock or switch to papers. To counter both possibilities effectively, selecting paper will either result in a tie or win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246821314}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen \'rock\' twice and \'paper\' once, suggesting a possible preference for \'rock.\' To counter this and have the best chance to win, I will choose \'paper\' since it beats \'rock.\'\", \"timestamp\": 1742246825889}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"My previous selections of rock and paper haven\'t been successful; rock resulted in ties twice, and paper led once to a loss and once to a tie. The opponent hasn\'t chosen moving scissors again since round 2, so it might be a good time to introduce scissors in hopes that the opponent tries paper again, or at worst, it leads to a different outcome.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246839358}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock twice, paper once, and scissors once in the past rounds. To counteract the likelihood of them favoring rock or staying unpredictable, I choose paper to either counter their pattern if they go rock or tie if they repeat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246843923}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"My previous winning move was scissors against paper. Opponent may try scissors or rock next, anticipating I might repeat the winning scissors. To counteract potential rock or scissors, I\'ll choose rock to either tie against rock or beat scissors safely.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246853724}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s behavior, they have historically used rock twice, scissors once, and paper twice. I hypothesize they might choose rock again for dominance or unpredictability. To counter rock optimally, I\'ll choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246858339}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent previously chose paper, winning against my rock, and considering their recent preference towards paper, it\'s sensible for me to choose scissors, which would defeat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246868277}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might aim to counter my last winning move, which was paper. They may choose scissors to counter paper. Therefore, I\'ll choose rock to counter scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246876273}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing past rounds, the opponent has frequently chosen rock and paper, using scissors only once. Given the current trend, \'paper\' seems the safest choice as it covers the likelihood of the opponent choosing rock, which is a common choice. It would also counter the occasional use of rock effectively and avoid immediate defeat by their likely strategy of repeating previous winning moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246890490}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose scissors in the previous round, likely trying to vary their play. They haven\'t chosen scissors much overall. To counter the unpredictable choice, I\'ll choose rock as it counters scissors and is solid when anticipating uncertainty.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246897758}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"In the last round, the opponent chose rock, possibly expecting a different move from me. Given the pattern, the opponent might choose scissors next expecting my paper choice, thus I will go with rock to counter that.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246908657}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds, my opponent might choose rock or paper based on my previous pattern of choices. I anticipate they may expect me to switch to something new like scissors. Choosing paper will work against their likely rock and provide a safe choice against scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246913374}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Scissors is chosen to counter the possibility of the opponent sticking with paper, predicting that I might continue with rock. Scissors provides an unexpected and strategic move given previous patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246937601}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"I chose scissors because, based on the opponent\'s recent behavior, they might predict I will continue using paper (my winning choice last round). Scissors counters that prediction while also being strong choice against paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246942055}]','2025-03-17 21:08:20','2025-03-17 21:29:02',1),(2654,7,3,4,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (low)\": 0, \"o3-mini - (low)\": 1}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (low)\", \"o1 - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"duration\": 139484, \"winner_id\": 3, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": 22, \"newRating\": 1076, \"oldRating\": 1054}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": -22, \"newRating\": 1165, \"oldRating\": 1187}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 22, \"newRating\": 1076, \"oldRating\": 1054}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -22, \"newRating\": 1165, \"oldRating\": 1187}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ll choose rock for this round as a standard opening move. Often, starting with rock allows me to gauge the opponent\'s reaction, and it\'s a balanced play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246776902}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I’ll start by choosing rock as a strong, simple first move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246781373}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round both of us chose rock, resulting in a tie. Taking advantage of the opponent\'s potential tendency to repeat their move, I choose paper, which would beat rock. It’s a balanced strategy for round 2.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246785952}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The game is currently tied and there\'s no strong pattern yet. I\'ll choose paper as it can beat rock if the opponent chooses rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246791063}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For round 3, I choose scissors. I have observed that both previous rounds were ties with identical moves. With no clear pattern from the opponent, I decide to mix up my strategy by choosing scissors, which diversifies my move set.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246795790}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has matched our choices in previous rounds (both rock and paper). Let’s try changing things up with scissors, which could beat paper in case they choose paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246804749}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that all previous rounds resulted in ties and both players have matched moves exactly in each past round, it suggests a pattern where the opponent may repeat a similar strategy. While it\'s difficult to predict with certainty, I decide to choose rock for round 4. This choice is as valid as any given their pattern, and it tests whether the opponent will sometimes deviate from perfect mirroring or stick with rock. Therefore, I choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246810673}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent so far appears to be mirroring each of our choices. However, without any more certain pattern, choosing rock is a simple play that might break the tie if their pattern changes.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246819574}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s moves seem to follow a cycling pattern: round 1: rock, round 2: paper, round 3: scissors, and round 4: rock again. If the cycle continues, we might expect the opponent to choose paper in round 5. To beat paper, scissors is the best option.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246824623}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"All four rounds so far have ended in a tie, with the opponent mirroring my moves (rock, paper, scissors, rock). Let’s see if switching to scissors finally catches them off-guard and wins the round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246838215}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"All previous rounds have been ties, with both players appearing to choose the same move as each other. To remain unpredictable and mix up my strategy, I will choose rock this round to set a possible pattern variation if the opponent follows a cycle, while also considering that rock might answer a future scissors. There\'s also a possibility the opponent might stick with a pattern. I\'ll choose rock for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246842701}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent is mirroring our moves so far, resulting in ties. I’ll choose rock to test if the pattern continues or to see if it shifts.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246849210}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the pattern from previous rounds, I noticed that rock was used most frequently by the opponent, so choosing paper gives me a higher chance to overcome this tendency. Thus, I choose paper for round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246857965}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"All previous rounds ended in a tie, likely due to the opponent mirroring choices. I’ll try breaking that pattern by choosing paper this time.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246865393}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In all previous rounds, both players chose the same move, leading to ties. To potentially break this repetitive pattern, I\'ll try something fresh by choosing rock again to see if my opponent deviates or stays consistent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246869465}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that the past moves have ended in ties, I\'m going to go with scissors to try to break the stalemate.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246876403}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the pattern in the opponent\'s moves so far, they have favored rock and scissors, with paper slightly less frequent. Given that the opponent might tend towards rock (as seen in rounds 1,4,6) and to counter rock, paper would be an optimal choice. Therefore, for round 9, I will choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246884988}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent used rock in the previous round, so I\'ll try paper to beat a repeated rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246892057}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent’s pattern — matching our move in nearly every round except round 8 — it is likely they will repeat this mirror strategy in round 10 as well. By choosing rock, we either tie (maintaining our win advantage) or, if they deviate, potentially win. With our current score advantage and the mirror pattern in mind, rock is a safe choice for round 10.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246904295}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent’s selections so far seem to follow a rough cycle where scissors might come next. Choosing rock will beat scissors if that happens, and at worst leads to a tie if they choose rock again. It’s a reasonable bet to try to force a victory.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246913575}]','2025-03-17 21:08:21','2025-03-17 21:28:33',3),(2655,7,8,6,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": 5, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 2}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"duration\": 284360, \"winner_id\": 6, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1246, \"oldRating\": 1262}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet\", \"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1280, \"oldRating\": 1264}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1246, \"oldRating\": 1262}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1280, \"oldRating\": 1264}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing paper as my opening move. Many players tend to start with rock in the first round, so paper would be strategically advantageous against that common opening. Since we have no prior history yet, this is a reasonable starting move that counters the most frequent first choice while I gather information about my opponent\'s patterns for future rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246802216}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing paper as an opening move because there\'s a psychological tendency for players to choose rock as a first move, considering it a \'strong\' opening. While I don\'t have prior pattern data yet, this gives me an advantage if the opponent goes with rock, while maintaining balanced odds against other possibilities.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246811319}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After our tie with paper in round 1, I suspect my opponent might switch to scissors as a common strategy to beat my previous paper move. By choosing rock, I aim to counter this potential play. Additionally, many players tend to rotate their choices in a predictable pattern after a tie, so this move anticipates that possibility.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246823455}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After a paper-paper tie, choosing rock protects against a potential scissors play from my opponent while also avoiding the predictability of using paper twice. Given Claude\'s sophisticated nature, it\'s likely to switch its move, and scissors is a common choice after paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246837705}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After two consecutive ties where both players chose the same move (paper in round 1, rock in round 2), there\'s likely to be a pattern shift. Since we\'ve already played paper and rock, scissors hasn\'t been used yet. My opponent might anticipate I\'ll choose paper again to try to beat their potential rock move, or they might expect me to complete the cycle by playing scissors. If they expect scissors from me, they might play rock, but it\'s equally possible they\'ll play paper expecting me to repeat rock. Given these considerations, I\'m choosing scissors to potentially break the tie pattern and counter if they play paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246854691}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the previous moves showing no clear pattern from the opponent, and considering they might expect me to play scissors next in a rotation, I\'m choosing paper. This would win against rock (which they might play to counter predicted scissors) and would only tie against paper if they predict this move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246865062}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our previous rounds, my opponent has played paper twice and rock once. After I won with scissors in the last round, they might expect me to play scissors again and choose rock to counter. Alternatively, they might try to establish a new pattern. Since I just won with scissors, playing rock protects me against a potential scissors play while taking a calculated risk. This mixed approach prevents me from becoming too predictable while attempting to anticipate my opponent\'s psychology.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246878936}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After losing with paper to scissors, Claude might expect me to avoid both paper and scissors. They might predict I\'ll choose rock as a \'safe\' option. Instead, I\'ll choose scissors which would win against paper (if they try to counter my expected rock) or tie against scissors (if they repeat their winning move). This adds an element of unexpected play while having good coverage against likely opponent choices.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246889558}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at my opponent\'s pattern, they\'ve chosen paper twice (rounds 1 and 3) and haven\'t repeated the same move in consecutive rounds. After using scissors in round 4, they might return to paper, which they\'ve shown a preference for. Even if they choose rock to counter my previous rock move, mixing up my strategy keeps me unpredictable. Choosing scissors gives me a good chance to potentially win if they return to paper while maintaining an unpredictable pattern in my gameplay.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246905531}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s last move was rock, they might expect me to counter with paper, leading them to choose scissors. By choosing rock, I can potentially counter their scissors while breaking away from any pattern they might have detected in my play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246914678}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s moves (paper, rock, paper, scissors, rock), there appears to be a pattern. If they continue this sequence, they\'ll likely play paper next. Additionally, my opponent just won with rock against my scissors, which might encourage them to play rock again due to its recent success. By choosing paper, I can beat rock while also having a reasonable position if they choose something else. I\'m currently ahead 2-1, so I can afford to make a balanced move rather than a risky one.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246933861}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent just lost to rock and might expect me to use rock again after a win. They may choose paper to counter expected rock, making scissors a good counter-choice. While this is risky if they choose rock, it\'s worth the calculated risk to avoid being predictable and potentially catch them in a paper play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246943377}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our game history, I notice Claude has played scissors in the last two consecutive rounds (4 and 6). There\'s a reasonable chance they might play scissors again, or they might anticipate me countering with rock and switch to paper. However, given that scissors has been their most recent choice twice, playing rock gives me a good chance to win if they continue that pattern. The score is currently tied at 2-2, so making a strategic play based on recent opponent behavior seems most logical.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246964741}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing rock as it protects against scissors (which opponent might expect us to use again after our recent success) and would tie with rock. While vulnerable to paper, opponent just used paper and rarely repeats moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246974750}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern, I notice my opponent has played rock in 3 out of 7 rounds, including the most recent one. After consecutive rock plays (rounds 2 and 7), my opponent has historically changed their move. Since we\'re tied 2-2 and this is a crucial round, I\'m anticipating they might switch to paper to break their own pattern. Additionally, my opponent might expect me to play paper to counter their recent rock, so they could be preparing to counter with scissors - in which case we would tie. This is a calculated risk, but I believe scissors gives me the best chance to gain an advantage in this critical stage of the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246991635}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent used rock last round and might expect me to play paper in response. To counter this, they might play scissors. I\'m choosing rock to potentially beat their scissors. Additionally, rock has been relatively successful for me in previous rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247002008}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has shown a strong preference for rock (4 times total including the last 2 rounds). While they might anticipate this counter and choose scissors, based on their overall pattern, I believe paper gives me the best chance to win this round and even the score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247028895}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the pattern, I predict my opponent might choose paper expecting me to continue with rock after my recent success. Choosing scissors gives me a good chance to counter this and potentially secure the game win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247041139}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent chose scissors in the most recent round, and they might stick with that choice thinking I\'ll change my strategy after losing. They\'ve used scissors in 2 of the last 4 rounds (rounds 6 and 9). While I can\'t win the overall game anymore since they already have 4 wins, choosing rock gives me the best chance to counter their likely scissors play and at least narrow the final score gap.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247060379}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Leading 4-2, I only need to avoid losing to win the game. Opponent may expect scissors from me based on recent success and play rock to counter. Paper beats rock and ties with paper, giving good winning chances while protecting against likely opponent moves. Opponent\'s recent paper plays also suggest they might avoid it this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247076748}]','2025-03-17 21:09:20','2025-03-17 21:31:16',6),(2656,7,8,2,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": 0, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 7}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"gpt-4o-mini\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"duration\": 201919, \"winner_id\": 8, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1262, \"oldRating\": 1246}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-mini\", \"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1220, \"oldRating\": 1236}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1262, \"oldRating\": 1246}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1220, \"oldRating\": 1236}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing paper as my opening move. Rock is statistically a common first choice for many players, as it\'s perceived as strong or stable. Without any prior pattern to analyze from my opponent, this gives me a strategic advantage if they follow that tendency. This also establishes an unpredictable starting point for our game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246850767}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Rock is a strong starting choice as it can potentially beat scissors, which is a common opening move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246855105}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I won the previous round with paper, my opponent might anticipate me using paper again and choose scissors to counter. By selecting rock, I can potentially beat the scissors my opponent might play. Additionally, opponents often change their strategy after losing a round, making scissors a likely choice for them.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246865721}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent won the last round by playing paper, which beats rock. To counter this, I\'ll use scissors, which can beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246875015}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, I\'ve played paper and then rock, winning both rounds. My opponent has played rock and scissors, but hasn\'t tried paper yet. They might choose paper this round thinking I won\'t expect it, or they might try to predict my next move based on my previous choices. Since my opponent hasn\'t played paper yet, there\'s a reasonable chance they\'ll use it now, making scissors a good counter. Additionally, playing scissors completes a non-repetitive sequence (paper→rock→scissors) which makes my future moves less predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246888621}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen paper and rock in the last two rounds. I predict they might choose rock again, as players often stick to previous choices when they win. Therefore, I will choose paper to beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246896723}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m breaking my established pattern to avoid predictability. If my opponent expects me to play paper next (continuing my observable pattern), they\'ll likely play scissors, which my rock will defeat. Even if they\'re returning to their original rock move in a cycle, a rock-rock outcome would be better than losing with paper against scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246915444}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has won all previous rounds by choosing paper and rock. Since they are likely to continue with a winning strategy, they might choose scissors again in this round. To counter this, my best option is to choose rock, as it beats scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246919322}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern so far, they might play paper this round to counter my previous rock move. By choosing scissors, I can potentially counter their paper while continuing to mix up my choices. I\'ve played rock twice already, so introducing more variety in my moves will make my strategy less predictable while maintaining my winning position.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246937947}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent won the last three rounds and tied in the last round, I should anticipate they might switch their move or stick with rock. Given the pattern, I will choose paper to counter their likely move of rock or scissors, hoping to sever the pattern of loss.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246941955}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a tendency to cycle through choices and has played paper in the last round. They might choose scissors next to try to break their losing streak. Given my comfortable lead of 4-0, I can afford to play conservatively with rock, which would beat scissors if that\'s what they choose.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246957754}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing rock as it beats scissors. My opponent has shown a tendency to choose scissors and paper in previous rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246964689}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at my opponent\'s pattern, they\'ve shown a preference for rock (3 times) and paper (2 times), only choosing scissors once. In the last three rounds, they\'ve alternated between rock and paper (rock, paper, rock). If they continue this pattern, they might choose paper next. Even if they break the pattern and choose rock again (their most frequent choice), I already have a comfortable 4-0 lead and can afford a strategic risk. Scissors gives me a good chance to extend my lead further.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246976289}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"To counter the opponent\'s recent choices, which mostly included rock. Choosing paper covers the possibility of them playing rock while being prepared if they switch to other options.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246981769}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern, they\'ve frequently chosen rock (3 times) and have never won a round. They might revert to rock as it\'s been their most common choice, or they might anticipate me choosing scissors again (as I\'ve done successfully three times) and choose rock to counter. Paper would win against rock and tie against paper, making it the safest strategic choice for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246997108}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I believe my opponent may choose scissors again, as they have done in previous rounds. Rock defeats scissors, which they frequently select.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247002331}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern of previous rounds, the opponent has chosen paper every time I\'ve chosen scissors (3 out of 3 times). While they might adapt their strategy, this pattern has been consistent so far, making scissors a strong strategic choice. Additionally, I\'ve never lost a round yet, which suggests my pattern recognition has been effective.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247016254}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent has chosen paper multiple times and has been very successful with it, I\'ll choose scissors this round as a counter to their likely choice of paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247020047}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, I notice the opponent has frequently chosen rock (in rounds 1, 4, 6, and 8), especially in even-numbered rounds. Round 10 is an even round, so there\'s a reasonable chance they\'ll choose rock again. Additionally, they might have noticed I\'ve played scissors in rounds 5, 7, and 9, potentially expecting me to play scissors again. Even though I\'ve already secured the win with 6 points to 0, choosing paper gives me the best strategic advantage if they follow their pattern of playing rock in even rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247036811}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has frequently chosen paper in the previous rounds. By choosing rock, I can potentially win if they select scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247042791}]','2025-03-17 21:09:21','2025-03-17 21:30:42',8),(2657,7,10,8,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": 6, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 1}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"duration\": 316594, \"winner_id\": 10, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1265, \"oldRating\": 1249}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1230, \"oldRating\": 1246}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1265, \"oldRating\": 1249}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1230, \"oldRating\": 1246}}}}','[{\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the opening round, I\'m choosing scissors as a strategic first move. Without prior data on my opponent\'s tendencies, this is partly a calculated risk. Many players tend to choose rock as their opening move, which would put me at a disadvantage. However, if my opponent anticipates this common pattern and chooses paper instead, scissors would give me the win. Given we\'re both Claude models, there\'s an interesting layer of prediction involved, and scissors positions me well against certain anticipated counters.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246874490}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the opening round, I\'m choosing paper as my strategic first move. Rock is statistically a common first choice for many players (including AI), so paper would counter that effectively. While this leaves me vulnerable to scissors, without any prior pattern data on my opponent, this calculated risk seems reasonable as an opening strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246884822}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I won with scissors in round 1, my opponent might anticipate me continuing with scissors or switching to paper (thinking they\'ll play rock). If they expect me to use scissors again, they might play rock to counter. Alternatively, if they think I\'ll switch to paper, they might play scissors. By choosing rock, I can counter their potential scissors play, and if they play rock expecting my scissors, we\'ll tie instead of me losing.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246897719}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After losing with paper in round 1 to my opponent\'s scissors, I\'m selecting rock for this round. My opponent might continue with scissors since it worked for them previously, making rock a strong counter. Even if they anticipate a rock play from me and switch to paper, this calculated risk seems worth taking given the early stage of the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246910485}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, there\'s a good chance my opponent might stick with rock again after our tie in round 2. Also, since I\'ve already played scissors and rock, my opponent might expect me to complete a pattern by playing paper now, and potentially try to counter that. However, if they\'re expecting me to repeat scissors (which won for me in round 1), they might play rock to counter, which my paper would beat. This seems like the most strategic choice given the limited pattern information available so far.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246924465}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has shown a pattern of moving from scissors to rock in the first two rounds. If they continue with a clockwise rotation pattern (scissors → rock → paper), they\'ll likely choose paper next. Scissors would defeat that paper move. Additionally, since we just had a tie with rock in the previous round, my opponent might expect me to counter their rock with paper, making scissors a good tactical choice to break the current score deficit.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246939501}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our previous rounds, I notice the opponent chose scissors in round 3. There\'s a decent chance they might repeat scissors, as players sometimes stick with winning moves. Additionally, if they\'re trying to establish a pattern, they\'ve gone paper → rock → scissors, which doesn\'t show a clear sequence yet. Going with rock gives me protection against scissors while avoiding the obvious counter to their last move. This seems like a balanced choice at this stage of the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246957624}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our previous moves, there\'s a possibility my opponent is cycling through options (scissors → rock → paper) which would mean they might choose scissors next. Also, my own sequence (paper → rock → scissors) might lead them to expect me to play paper next, for which they\'d counter with scissors. Playing rock will beat scissors in either case. Additionally, round 2 resulted in a tie with rock, suggesting my opponent might not expect me to repeat this move so soon.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246971895}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, I notice my opponent has chosen rock twice in a row (rounds 2 and 4), resulting in ties. This suggests they might favor rock as a comfortable fallback option. While there\'s always the possibility they might anticipate me countering with paper and switch to scissors, the repeated rock choices indicate a potential pattern I can exploit. By choosing paper, I can win if they select rock again, which seems to be their most frequent choice so far.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246988201}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s pattern, they\'ve played scissors, rock, paper, rock in the previous rounds. This suggests they might play scissors next in a cyclical pattern. Additionally, in the last two rounds where I played rock, they also played rock, suggesting they might be matching my moves. By choosing rock, I can either win if they play scissors or tie if they continue matching with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246999200}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on game history, my opponent has shown a preference for rock (3/5 rounds) but might anticipate I\'ll play paper again after my recent win. If they\'re thinking strategically, they may choose scissors to counter my expected paper. By playing rock, I can potentially counter this adjustment. Additionally, if they continue their pattern of playing rock frequently, I\'ll tie rather than lose.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247017453}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s pattern, they\'ve chosen paper twice recently (rounds 3 and 5), with a potential alternating pattern of rock-paper-rock-paper in rounds 2-5. If this pattern continues, they might choose paper again. Additionally, I\'ve used rock three times already, so changing my strategy might be beneficial. Scissors would win against their potential paper choice, allowing me to catch up in the score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247032456}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has shown a tendency to play scissors in recent rounds (rounds 3 and 6). Additionally, they\'ve played rock most frequently (3 times), and I\'ve won with rock in the previous round. While they might anticipate me playing rock again and counter with paper, the historical data suggests they favor rock and scissors. Playing rock gives me a win against scissors and a tie against rock, making it the highest probability play based on the opponent\'s demonstrated patterns so far.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247052283}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the previous rounds, I notice the opponent has used a pattern of playing rock in even-numbered rounds (2, 4, 6) and paper or scissors in odd-numbered rounds (1, 3, 5). Since this is round 7 (odd), there\'s a higher chance they\'ll play paper. Additionally, they\'ve only used scissors once so far (in round 1), making paper a statistically likely choice to balance their selections. With the score at 1-3, I need to be strategic to catch up, and scissors gives me good odds against their predicted paper move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247069206}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern of play, I notice the opponent has chosen scissors in rounds 6 and 7, and I\'ve won with rock both times. The opponent likely expects me to either continue playing rock (which has been successful) or switch to paper (anticipating they\'ll change from scissors). Given this, the opponent may switch to paper to counter my potential rock play. By choosing scissors, I can capitalize on this potential adaptation. While this is risky if they switch to rock instead, I\'m currently ahead 4-1, which gives me room to take a calculated risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247087212}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen rock in the last two rounds (6 and 7) and has selected rock in 4 out of 7 rounds overall. This suggests a strong preference for rock. Since paper beats rock, this gives me the best chance to win this round based on the observed pattern. I need to win all three remaining rounds to have a chance of tying the game, so I must counter my opponent\'s most likely move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247099779}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Rock is a strong defensive play that would beat scissors (which my opponent has played frequently) and at worst tie against rock. With my comfortable lead of 5-1, I can afford to make a slightly more conservative play. My opponent may also be expecting me to play paper after their paper move, so they might switch to scissors to counter, which my rock would beat.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247120559}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to favor rock overall, but just played scissors in round 8. They might continue with scissors expecting me to play paper again, or revert to their preferred rock. Playing rock would beat scissors if they continue that pattern, and tie against rock if they return to their most common choice. Given they\'ve successfully countered my last several moves, I\'m breaking the pattern with rock this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247145508}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern of plays, my opponent has chosen paper twice (rounds 1 and 8), and I won both times with scissors. Given that I\'ve chosen rock most frequently in previous rounds, my opponent might predict I\'ll choose rock again and select paper to counter. Additionally, my opponent has chosen scissors in rounds where I\'ve chosen paper or when I\'ve previously won with rock (possibly trying to break my winning streak). Since I already have a decisive lead (5-1), I can afford to make a slightly riskier play. If my opponent chooses paper, I\'ll win; if they choose rock, I\'ll lose but still win the overall game; if they choose scissors, we\'ll tie and I\'ll still win overall.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247161236}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has shown a strong preference for choosing rock (5 out of 9 rounds), including in the most recent round. Since paper beats rock, this gives me the best statistical chance of winning the final round based on their established pattern. While there\'s risk they might anticipate this and choose scissors, the frequency of their rock choices suggests this is my optimal move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247177618}]','2025-03-17 21:09:22','2025-03-17 21:32:57',10),(2658,7,12,4,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (low)\": 0, \"o1 - (high)\": 2}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"o1 - (high)\", \"o1 - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"duration\": 278260, \"winner_id\": 12, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1254, \"oldRating\": 1241}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1158, \"oldRating\": 1171}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1254, \"oldRating\": 1241}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1158, \"oldRating\": 1171}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with a reliable standby: rock has a simple risk-reward dynamic and can sometimes catch opponents off guard.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246914385}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Rock is a solid first move choice, symbolically strong.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246919261}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"We’ll anticipate they may use rock again. Paper will beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246927601}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m going to vary my move from round 1, so I\'ll choose paper this time.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246932697}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has matched our first two moves with identical choices, resulting in ties. Let’s try using scissors this round to see if we can break the pattern and secure a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246941721}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"So far there have been two ties with rock and paper. Trying scissors now might force them to guess incorrectly if they continue the pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246946015}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"All rounds have been ties so far, indicating that the opponent might be matching or anticipating our moves. We\'ll pick rock this round to attempt to break any potential pattern and aim for a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246958651}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The matches have all resulted in ties so far, but I\'m anticipating that the opponent might switch from scissors. Rock is a strong choice to counter scissors and possibly force a win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246966080}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first four rounds, the opponent has exactly matched our choice each time. If that pattern continues, any choice would tie again. Nevertheless, I\'ll try switching to paper to see if it can break the tie pattern and potentially beat a predicted rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247001322}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We have to break out of the tie pattern and try a different strategy. Going with paper now might catch the opponent off guard if they choose rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247007570}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent appears to be cycling in the sequence rock → paper → scissors → rock → paper → ... so we expect scissors next. Rock would beat scissors and therefore is the best strategic move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247023386}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"All previous rounds have ended in ties, which suggests the opponent may be mirroring our choices. We\'ll mix things up by choosing rock in the hope that the opponent chooses scissors, giving us a win if their pattern breaks.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247031217}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"So far our opponent has exactly mirrored our moves each round, and they have shown no consistent pattern other than tying us when we pick rock, paper, or scissors. Let’s break the pattern by playing rock again, hoping they switch to scissors or maintain a pattern we can beat.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247060864}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent appears to be matching our moves exactly. If that pattern continues, any move will tie. We’ll try scissors and see if it breaks the pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247074488}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be repeating moves in groups (Rock in Rounds 1,4,6; Paper in Rounds 2,5; Scissors in Rounds 3,7). Based on that pattern, they will likely choose paper in Round 8, so playing scissors is the best counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247107636}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent just beat us when we played scissors and they played rock. We suspect they may continue with rock, so choosing paper would give a win if that pattern holds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247114827}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent’s sequence so far, a likely next move is scissors after they just played paper in round 8. Rock will beat scissors and maintain our lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247141079}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to keep outsmarting us at the last moment, but we’ll keep it simple this time and try rock to see if we can break their pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247152722}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"By looking at the opponent’s history, rock has shown up the most often. Paper gives us the best chance to win against rock while only risking a loss if they choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247181536}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We are down 2-0 with one round left and cannot win the match overall, but we can still try to win the final round. The opponent often chooses rock in prior rounds, so choosing paper might give us the best odds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247187288}]','2025-03-17 21:09:23','2025-03-17 21:33:07',12),(2659,7,14,9,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": 0, \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 6}, \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}], \"players\": [\"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"duration\": 251908, \"winner_id\": 14, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1186, \"oldRating\": 1168}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1192, \"oldRating\": 1210}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1186, \"oldRating\": 1168}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1192, \"oldRating\": 1210}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with rock as a neutral opening move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246917486}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Rock is a strategically solid initial choice, especially to gauge the opponent\'s opening strategy which usually leans towards scissors or rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246932504}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose rock last round, so they might choose rock again or scissors. Paper covers rock and ties with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246936778}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent might expect me to switch to paper and could choose scissors anticipating that. Rock remains a safe choice to counter scissors or at least tie again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246958214}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has picked rock twice in a row. Switching to scissors in case they pick paper, but also as a gamble against rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246963316}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent chose paper previously and may expect me to switch to scissors, so paper could tie or counter if they choose rock instead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246981846}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems random, paper worked last time.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246986687}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent may be cycling through rock, paper, scissors. Expecting opponent\'s move to be rock, choosing paper to counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247003237}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"I am 2-0 up. My opponent seems to be reacting to my moves, shown by the ties in rounds 1 and 4. I will choose rock again, to see if they will expect paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247007093}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent hasn\'t demonstrated a clear pattern but favors paper slightly—scissors offers a potential advantage by countering their likely paper choice or minimal tie risk against scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247046743}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent seems to be choosing each option randomly. I will choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247051635}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent hasn\'t chosen scissors recently and tends to rotate moves unpredictably. Anticipating scissors, we\'ll choose rock to maximize our chance to win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247072734}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to be favoring rock and paper. Choosing scissors to break the pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247077869}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0 frequently chooses paper; scissors counters paper effectively. It\'s a strategic move given the opponent\'s previous choices.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247087021}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to be favoring rock and paper. Scissors beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247091771}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent frequently selects paper. Choosing scissors may counteract their choice effectively or at least result in a tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247113487}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"I have won twice against rock with paper. Trying it again!\", \"timestamp\": 1742247116506}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent frequently chooses scissors and paper, and recently scissors appeared multiple times, ending in ties. Rock can potentially secure a win against scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247143190}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen rock multiple times. I will choose rock to maximize my chances of winning the final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247147280}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent frequently used paper successfully against my rock. Switching to scissors now could possibly counter their tendency to repeat paper, providing a chance for a win in this final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247165517}]','2025-03-17 21:10:20','2025-03-17 21:32:45',14),(2660,7,3,1,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 4, \"o3-mini - (low)\": 1}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (low)\", \"gpt-4o\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"duration\": 97232, \"winner_id\": 1, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -9, \"newRating\": 1067, \"oldRating\": 1076}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": 9, \"newRating\": 1235, \"oldRating\": 1226}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -9, \"newRating\": 1067, \"oldRating\": 1076}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 9, \"newRating\": 1235, \"oldRating\": 1226}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I choose rock as a solid starting move to gauge my opponent\'s strategy. Rock is often a popular initial move in rock-paper-scissors, and I want to see how my opponent responds so I can adapt in later rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246931693}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Since this is the initial round and there is no historical pattern from the opponent, I\'ll choose \'rock\' as it\'s a simple, strong pick for starting the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246936951}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round, both of us chose rock, which resulted in a tie. In this round, I\'m choosing paper because paper covers rock, potentially countering a repeated strategy. Additionally, choosing paper may provide unpredictability in my move. Therefore, I\'ll go with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246941138}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Our opponent chose rock in the first round. There\'s no significant pattern yet, but they might stick to rock again. To counter this possibility, we should choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246945306}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern in the previous rounds (mirroring my moves leading to ties), I\'ll choose scissors for round 3, as it continues the shifting pattern and will help gather more information about any possible pattern in the upcoming rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246950696}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has repeated moves in both previous rounds, so I\'ll assume they might choose scissors next (following rock and paper). I\'ll pick rock to counter this possibility.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246954559}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Considering that in previous rounds the opponent chose rock twice (rounds 1 & 3) and paper once (round 2), I suspect they might lean on rock. Choosing paper would cover the possibility of their picking rock again, while also being a balanced choice against a potential paper from round 2.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246959363}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the most recent round, the opponent chose scissors, possibly indicating a random or cyclic pattern. To counter scissors or predict randomness, paper would be a safe choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246963694}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s moves so far: round 1: rock, round 2: paper, round 3: rock, and round 4: paper, it appears they might be alternating between rock and paper. If this pattern holds, in round 5 they will likely choose rock again. Knowing that paper beats rock, I\'ll choose paper to counter an expected rock move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246970426}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems repetitive based on the previous rounds, favoring repetitions and minimal changes. They chose paper in the last two rounds. To counter potential repetition, I\'ll choose scissors to target paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246975641}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After reviewing the previous rounds, I see that the opponent chose rock twice (rounds 1 & 3) and scissors once (round 5) alongside an abundance of ties. With paper beating rock and the opponent subject to potential repetition, paper might be a strategic choice for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246980011}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent seems to favor paper most often in this game, as seen in three of the five previous rounds. Scissors beats paper, so I will choose scissors to counter this tendency.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246984613}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on my analysis of the opponent\'s recent moves (scissors in rounds 5 and 6), it seems that they might continue with scissors. To counter scissors effectively, I choose rock. This choice positions me to win if the opponent plays scissors again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246989970}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s previous moves, it has chosen \'paper\' three times in six attempts and \'scissors\' only once. There is a trend of paper being a frequent choice. To counteract paper effectively if it appears again, I will choose \'scissors\' to maximize my chances of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246994702}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the observed history, the opponent has chosen rock once and scissors several times (rounds 5, 6, and 7). Since rock is the win against scissors and paper wins against rock, the opponent might lean towards scissors given its repetition. Therefore, I\'ll counter scissors by choosing rock, which beats scissors. This gives me a potential win if they use scissors again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247000962}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round, the opponent chose rock, and since they may favor repeating a successful move, choosing paper would be a safe strategy to counter rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247004992}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the pattern from previous rounds: The opponent’s moves have varied between rock, paper, and scissors, with instances of recurring patterns (e.g., rock and paper appear early, then scissors in the middle rounds, followed by paper again). Since there seems to be a cycling pattern, with rock following paper, I anticipate that the opponent might choose rock in round 9. To counter rock, I choose paper, which beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247011627}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent tends to repeat their moves frequently, and the recent outcomes suggest they could return to rock after losing to paper. Choosing paper again increases the likelihood of winning based on observed patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247016275}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that the opponent has chosen paper more frequently than other options (rock 2 times, paper 4 times, scissors 3 times) and observed considerable pattern in recent rounds, it is reasonable to assume that the opponent might lean towards paper in the final round. Therefore, choosing scissors would be our best counter to paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247022147}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern, they have chosen paper the most frequently. Scissors would be a strategic choice to counter their tendency.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247026143}]','2025-03-17 21:10:21','2025-03-17 21:30:26',1),(2661,7,11,1,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 4, \"o3-mini - (high)\": 3}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (high)\", \"gpt-4o\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"duration\": 210223, \"winner_id\": 1, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1174, \"oldRating\": 1188}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1249, \"oldRating\": 1235}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1174, \"oldRating\": 1188}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1249, \"oldRating\": 1235}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock for round 1 as a balanced and classic opening move, which sets a straightforward baseline option.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246947310}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"It\'s the first round, so there\'s no data on the opponent\'s behavior. I\'ll choose \'rock\' as a safe starting bet.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246951406}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Round 1 ended in a tie with both selecting rock. Given that the opponent might continue to favor rock or even stick to a different pattern, I want to be prepared by choosing paper, which beats rock. This choice represents a proactive strategy to gain an advantage if the opponent repeats his move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246958498}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose rock in the first round, which was a tie. To counteract possible repetition, I will choose paper to attempt to win if the opponent repeats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246962549}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first two rounds, the moves were rock and paper. This could hint at a cyclic pattern such as rock → paper → scissors. If the opponent is following that pattern, they might choose scissors for round 3, and rock beats scissors. Therefore, I choose rock for round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246975418}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Both previous rounds were ties. To introduce some variability and potentially counter an opponent attempting to anticipate a predictable pattern, I will choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246979521}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s moves in the previous rounds were rock, paper, and scissors in that order. This suggests a cyclical pattern. If the pattern continues, the opponent is likely to play rock in round 4. Since paper beats rock, choosing paper gives a strategic advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246991576}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be unpredictable and might be exploiting patterns. To counter this, I\'ll choose rock as it is a safe and balanced option.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246995613}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the observed pattern in previous rounds (opponent chose rock, paper, scissors, and then rock), it appears they might be following a cycle. If that pattern continues, they\'d likely choose paper in round 5. Choosing scissors would beat paper, so I opt for scissors to secure a win or at least capitalize on the pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247008126}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to favor countering my moves based on the last round (I chose rock, they chose paper; I chose scissors, they chose rock). It suggests they might anticipate my next likely move to gain an advantage. Hence, I anticipate they may expect me to choose scissors to counter their last choice of paper. I\'ll choose \'rock\' in this round to counter a possible \'scissors\' assumption from their side.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247013929}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds, the opponent played rock twice (rounds 4 and 5), and his earlier moves were rock, paper, and scissors. The recent trend suggests he might be favoring rock at this point. Since paper beats rock, I will choose paper for round 6.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247024139}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent tends to adapt based on prior moves, making overuse of one option risky; therefore, scissors can counter paper while mixing up the strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247028843}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After reviewing the past rounds, I noticed that the opponent used rock most frequently (3 out of 6 rounds). Since paper beats rock and considering there’s no clear pattern that suggests a radical strategy switch, I’m choosing paper for round 7 to exploit this tendency.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247052805}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds, the opponent chose rock, paper, rock, paper, scissors, and paper respectively. The opponent seems to be alternating choices somewhat, but there is a possible trend that might suggest the opponent will go for rock again. I\'ll counter this by choosing paper, to maximize the chances of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247057696}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After reviewing the previous rounds, I noticed that the opponent used rock three times (rounds 1, 4, and 5), which makes rock their most frequent move so far. Paper beats rock and has the highest relative win potential under this observed pattern. While using paper too often can be risky if the opponent anticipates it and switches to scissors, the current frequency gives paper a slight edge in terms of expected outcomes. Therefore, for round 8 I choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247094450}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has demonstrated a pattern of repeating choices for consecutive rounds, and they chose paper in the last round. To counter this possible repetition of paper, I choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247098463}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the past rounds, the opponent\'s moves have shown a tendency to favor scissors in the recent rounds (rounds 6 and 8). Playing rock would beat scissors. Although patterns can always vary, rock is a strong choice to counter his likely move based on his recent behavior.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247117797}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s patterns, they seem to choose paper more frequently (3 times in total). To counter this and increase my chances of winning, I will choose scissors since scissors beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247121898}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the previous rounds and the frequency with which the opponent has chosen each move, the opponent has played scissors most frequently (4 times) compared to rock (3 times) and paper (2 times). Rock beats scissors, and our own simulations suggest that if the opponent\'s frequency holds, rock will be our best counter. Therefore, for round 10, I choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247148166}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a tendency to counter recent moves, often favoring rock when I play scissors. To counter this, I will select paper to exceed their likely rock choice, aiming for victory in the final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247152312}]','2025-03-17 21:11:20','2025-03-17 21:32:32',1),(2662,7,6,15,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": 6, \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 1}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"duration\": 161191, \"winner_id\": 6, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet\", \"change\": 11, \"newRating\": 1291, \"oldRating\": 1280}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": -11, \"newRating\": 1153, \"oldRating\": 1164}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 11, \"newRating\": 1291, \"oldRating\": 1280}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -11, \"newRating\": 1153, \"oldRating\": 1164}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opening with paper as it counters the statistically common \\\"rock\\\" first move that many players tend to choose. Without any prior move history to analyze, this gives us a reasonable chance of winning the first round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246961386}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with a classic choice to test the opponent\'s strategy\", \"timestamp\": 1742246966701}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After winning with paper in round 1, opponent may expect me to use paper again or switch to rock. They\'re likely to choose either paper (copying my winning move) or scissors (to counter anticipated paper). Rock is a good choice as it beats scissors and protects against this likely counter-strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246978799}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose paper in the previous round, so I will choose scissors to beat paper in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246984333}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of alternating moves (rock then scissors). If they continue this pattern, they might choose paper next. Additionally, introducing scissors as a new move adds unpredictability to my strategy while being well-positioned to counter a potential paper play from the opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246993019}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I chose paper because my opponent chose rock in round 2, and paper beats rock. Since I lost the previous two rounds, I\'m trying to counter my opponent\'s potential next move based on their previous pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247001511}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the opponent\'s pattern and considering they might expect me to repeat my last winning move (scissors), I\'m choosing rock as it would be effective against scissors if they try to counter my previous move pattern. This choice also maintains my unpredictable strategy while protecting against potential counter-strategies.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247011592}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has won the last three rounds with paper, rock, and scissors respectively. Since the opponent\'s choices seem to be alternating, I will choose rock for this round, hoping to beat scissors if the pattern continues.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247017971}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s behavior of trying different moves and the recent tie with rock, they might expect me to stick with rock and choose paper to counter. By choosing scissors, I can potentially counter their paper play. Additionally, scissors worked well for me in round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247029647}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has won the first three rounds, it seems like they might be trying to exploit a pattern. Given the rules and the previous rounds, I\'m going to choose scissors because the opponent has chosen rock and paper in previous rounds, and scissors beats paper. This could potentially catch them off guard if they\'re expecting me to choose rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247036677}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used paper least frequently so far, suggesting they might play it this round. Choosing scissors would win against paper. Even if this prediction is wrong, my strong lead (3-0) means I can afford to take this calculated risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247046253}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"To break the pattern of ties and losses, I will choose paper in round 6, as it beats rock and gives me a chance to win if Claude 3.5 sonnet chooses rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247054548}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on my previous successful use of scissors in rounds 5 and 6, the opponent might anticipate another scissors play and choose rock to counter. Therefore, I\'m choosing paper to beat their likely rock choice. This also maintains unpredictability in my strategy while anticipating the opponent\'s potential adaptation to my recent moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247063395}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has won most of the rounds and has chosen a mix of options. Since there\'s no clear pattern, I\'ll choose rock as it\'s a strong starting point and has a 50% chance of winning or tying against any other move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247071801}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to alternate between moves and played rock last round. Based on their previous patterns, they might play scissors next. Rock would beat scissors and protect against this possibility. Additionally, rock has been successful for me in previous rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247078913}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has won most of the rounds with paper, I will choose scissors to beat paper\", \"timestamp\": 1742247084305}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on opponent\'s pattern of following scissors moves with rock, and their last move being scissors in round 8, they are likely to play rock this round. Therefore, I\'m choosing paper to counter their probable rock move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247092412}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude 3.5 sonnet has been winning most rounds with paper, so I will choose scissors to beat paper\", \"timestamp\": 1742247098387}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a preference for scissors throughout the game (4 times), including the last round. Choosing rock provides protection against their most common move. Even though there\'s a risk they might predict this and choose paper, the overall game is already won regardless of this round\'s outcome.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247108429}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude 3.5 sonnet has chosen paper and rock more frequently than scissors, so I\'ll choose rock to try and capitalize on this trend\", \"timestamp\": 1742247114214}]','2025-03-17 21:11:21','2025-03-17 21:31:54',6),(2663,7,6,4,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (low)\": 5, \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": 2}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"o1 - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"duration\": 188345, \"winner_id\": 4, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet\", \"change\": -22, \"newRating\": 1269, \"oldRating\": 1291}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 22, \"newRating\": 1171, \"oldRating\": 1149}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -22, \"newRating\": 1269, \"oldRating\": 1291}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 22, \"newRating\": 1171, \"oldRating\": 1149}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Against a low-skilled opponent (o1), players often choose rock as their first move. Paper would win against this common opening choice. Additionally, choosing paper as an opening move demonstrates a slightly more sophisticated approach than the more instinctive rock choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246964266}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first move, I\'m going with rock as a straightforward opening move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246970557}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Against a low-difficulty opponent who just lost with rock, they might predictably switch to paper (which would have beaten their previous rock). Choosing scissors to counter this likely paper play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246977764}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent played paper last time, so picking scissors is likely a good move to beat paper if they repeat it\", \"timestamp\": 1742246983928}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of rock then scissors. As a low-level opponent, they might either continue with paper (following a basic pattern) or repeat their last move (scissors). Rock would beat scissors if repeated, and would only lose to paper, making it a strategically sound choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246992967}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might expect you to choose scissors again or rock, so choosing paper covers if they choose rock. Let\'s try paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246997946}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent appears to be following a simple pattern (rock → scissors → paper). If this pattern continues, they will play rock next, making paper the optimal choice to win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247005031}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous moves, the opponent has tried a pattern of responding to rock with paper, and has used scissors themselves. By playing scissors now, we might capitalize if they choose paper or try to revert to their earlier pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247016756}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a preference for scissors (used in rounds 2 and 4). Rock is a strategic choice as it beats scissors, and even if they switch to paper, we have enough remaining rounds to recover.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247026485}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent might follow a pattern of playing paper after rock. But from the sequence so far, they\'ve used paper twice, rock once, and scissors once. A safe guess might be that they will switch back to scissors. To counter that, I\'ll select rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247035169}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent just played rock and has had success with scissors. As a low-level opponent, they might either repeat rock or switch to scissors based on past success. Rock will either secure a tie or a win against these likely choices.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247044717}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing previous moves and aiming to maintain our lead, I\'m choosing paper this round to potentially beat rock—a common fallback. Paper seems like a strategic guess based on the opponent’s prior tendencies.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247051807}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Breaking my recent rock pattern. Opponent has used paper multiple times to counter my rock plays, so scissors could be effective. Additionally, opponent hasn\'t used scissors recently, reducing the risk of them playing rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247063655}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent’s recent trend of using rock in rounds 5 and 6, choosing scissors seems slightly risky, as rock beats scissors. However, the pattern might not be entirely random, and we have a 3–1 lead. To potentially maintain leadership, going for paper can beat rock if the opponent sticks with it. Paper remains a balanced move here, predicting the opponent might lean rock again. So, I choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247069885}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a strong preference for paper (3 times, including last round). Against a low-level opponent, there\'s a good chance they\'ll either continue this pattern or make an obvious switch. Scissors beats paper and ties with scissors, giving us good odds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247082904}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We currently hold a narrow lead, and our opponent has selected scissors and rock more often than paper recently. Choosing rock can beat scissors if they repeat, or at worst draw if they opt for rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247094259}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent recently used rock and has shown less preference for scissors throughout the game. Paper beats rock and risks losing to scissors, but scissors has been opponent\'s least used option. We need to take calculated risks to catch up in score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247105373}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We have a strong lead, so we aim to maintain it by countering a likely rock play from the opponent. Choosing paper maximizes our chance of increasing or holding our lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247120236}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a preference for paper (4 times total, including last round), making scissors a strategic choice. Even though we can\'t win the overall game, this gives us the best chance to win the final round based on opponent\'s patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247133170}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since we’re ahead by two points, the final outcome is guaranteed in our favor regardless. However, opting for rock is often a reliable choice to secure or force at worst a tie if the opponent also chooses rock. Because we are already winning, choosing rock here is a straightforward way to finish the match.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247145698}]','2025-03-17 21:11:22','2025-03-17 21:32:25',4),(2664,7,7,4,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (low)\": 1, \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": 2}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"o1 - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"duration\": 170037, \"winner_id\": 7, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1183, \"oldRating\": 1167}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1149, \"oldRating\": 1165}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1183, \"oldRating\": 1167}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1149, \"oldRating\": 1165}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round against an unknown opponent labeled as \\\"low\\\", I\'ll start with rock as it\'s a solid opening move. Rock is often played by beginners in the first round, so it\'s both a safe choice and might match what the opponent is thinking. Since there\'s no historical data on this opponent yet, I can\'t predict their pattern, but I\'ll use this initial round to start gathering information about their strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246970062}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"No earlier clues, so I\'ll choose rock at random.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246975062}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Since we both played rock in round 1, my opponent might switch to paper thinking it will beat my rock. Lower-skilled opponents often follow simple patterns like switching to what would have beaten the previous move. By playing scissors, I can counter this potential paper play. If they stick with rock again, I\'ll learn more about their pattern for future rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246983839}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"No strong pattern from the opponent has emerged yet. Last time was a tie with rock. This time, going with paper might have a decent chance since it beats rock and might catch a potential new strategy off guard.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246989501}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because if the opponent is following a sequential pattern (rock → paper → scissors), they will likely play scissors in this round. Rock beats scissors. Additionally, even if they repeat their previous move (paper), I would lose only one point but can recover in future rounds. The opponent\'s \\\"low\\\" designation suggests they may use predictable patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246998221}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We just lost after our paper was beaten by scissors last round, so let\'s switch to rock to possibly beat scissors again or tie if the opponent chooses rock, saving paper for a future strategic round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247004476}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern so far (rock-paper-rock), they appear to be alternating between rock and paper. If this pattern continues, they\'re likely to play paper in this round. Scissors would be the strategic choice to beat their expected paper move. Additionally, the opponent has not played scissors in any previous round, suggesting they might favor rock and paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247011382}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that the opponent seems to favor rock (they chose rock twice already), choosing paper gives us the best chance to gain a win by beating rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247025389}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m observing that the opponent may be following an alternating pattern of rock-paper-rock-paper. If this pattern continues, they\'ll likely play rock in round 5. Therefore, I\'ll choose paper to beat their expected rock. While scissors has worked well for me in previous rounds, I shouldn\'t become predictable myself, especially if the opponent begins to adapt their strategy. By choosing paper now, I maintain unpredictability while also making a strategic choice based on the observed pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247033853}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock on odd rounds and scissors on even rounds. Following this pattern, they might play rock again in round 5. Paper should beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247041051}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s pattern, they have played rock twice and paper three times, with a tendency toward paper in recent rounds (consecutive paper moves in rounds 4 and 5). They\'ve never played scissors so far. Since the opponent seems to favor paper, scissors would be the optimal counter. Additionally, my scissors moves have been successful in rounds 2 and 4, winning against their paper. Given that the opponent has shown a predictable pattern and appears to be a low-difficulty opponent, continuing with scissors is a strategic choice that capitalizes on their apparent preference for paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247048031}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent’s erratic but frequent use of rock and paper recently, choosing scissors now might give a better chance for a win if they throw paper again. We need the win to catch up, so scissors is a decent gamble.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247062364}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern, they seem to cycle between rock, paper, and scissors with a tendency toward rock after playing scissors. If they choose rock in round 7 (which seems likely given their pattern), my paper will win. Additionally, the opponent has shown a preference for paper (3 times) and rock (2 times) over scissors (1 time), making paper a statistically good choice to counter their most common move (rock).\", \"timestamp\": 1742247071879}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Noticing a loose pattern in the opponent’s choices—rock was used in rounds 1 and 3, scissors in 2, 4, and 6, and paper in 5—it’s reasonable to suspect they might switch back to rock. Choosing paper gives us a good chance to beat rock if that pattern continues.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247085252}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played paper in 4 out of 7 rounds, including the most recent round. This suggests a high probability they\'ll play paper again. Since scissors beats paper, I\'ll choose scissors to maximize my chance of winning this round. This strategy has already worked for me twice in previous rounds (rounds 2 and 4).\", \"timestamp\": 1742247092803}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent’s pattern, I predict they might try scissors again. Rock would be a good counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247099336}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a preference for rock and paper, with rock appearing most recently in round 8. There\'s a reasonable chance the opponent might choose rock again since it worked last time. By choosing paper, I can beat rock if the opponent repeats their last move. Additionally, if they choose scissors (which they\'ve done least often), I would lose, but given their historical pattern, this seems less likely than them choosing rock or paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247107332}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s moves have varied, but they\'ve chosen scissors multiple times lately. It\'s possible they could switch up and choose rock. Paper is our best guess to beat rock while at worst tying if they choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247114298}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern, they heavily favor paper (5 out of 9 rounds). However, since this is the final round and I\'m ahead 2-1, I need to avoid losing more than I need to win. The opponent might anticipate I\'ll choose scissors to counter their paper tendency, and counter with rock (as they did in round 8). By choosing rock, I can at worst tie against their rock, win against their scissors, and only lose if they choose paper. Given their history, this provides a balanced approach that prioritizes not losing the match.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247124081}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing previous choices, the opponent has often chosen scissors (rounds 2, 4, 6, 8) following a pattern. With the score at 1-2 and only one round left, the best guess is they’ll pick scissors again, so choosing rock might maximize the chance of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247134200}]','2025-03-17 21:11:23','2025-03-17 21:32:14',7),(2665,7,6,14,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 3, \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": 3}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 153011, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet\", \"change\": -4, \"newRating\": 1265, \"oldRating\": 1269}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": 4, \"newRating\": 1190, \"oldRating\": 1186}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -4, \"newRating\": 1265, \"oldRating\": 1269}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 4, \"newRating\": 1190, \"oldRating\": 1186}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opening with paper as it counters rock, which is a common first-round choice. Without any previous pattern data from the opponent, this gives us a tactical advantage against a standard opening strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247034560}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing randomly since this is the first round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247039796}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Since opponent played rock in round 1, they might switch to paper expecting me to play rock. Scissors would win in this case. Even if they play scissors for a tie, that\'s better than them potentially countering another paper play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247050064}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Trying to counter the opponent\'s previous move of paper, which beat my rock. Choosing scissors in case they pick paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247055175}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on opponent\'s previous moves (rock, scissors), they might try paper next. While rock would lose to paper, it would win against scissors (their last move) and there\'s still enough rounds left to recover if we lose. This choice also breaks the pattern of our previous moves (paper, scissors) which makes us less predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247067883}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"I lost the first round and tied the second. I will try rock this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247072820}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a preference for rock (2 out of 3 moves). While they might try to break their pattern, their historical tendency towards rock makes paper a strategic choice. This could either win against another rock play or force them to adapt their strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247081583}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has not repeated a move immediately. Choosing paper to counter rock or tie with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247085384}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a tendency to mirror previous moves and may stick with paper from the last round. Additionally, they might expect us to play paper again, so scissors gives us a good chance of either winning or forcing a tie. This is a calculated risk worth taking given our current lead in the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247095541}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to be playing randomly, I will switch to scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247099314}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has been mirroring moves for the last 4 rounds, but showed a preference for rock in Round 1. Playing paper was successful before, and if they continue mirroring, it will result in a tie. If they try to break the mirroring pattern by playing rock (reverting to their Round 1 choice), paper will win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247108991}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has won one round, and the last four rounds were ties. It seems like the opponent is playing randomly or trying to mirror my moves. I will choose rock this round, hoping the opponent continues to play randomly or mirror me and chooses scissors or rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247112738}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a preference for rock (played 3 times), and being behind in score might make them return to their most comfortable move. Paper would beat their rock if they do so. Additionally, paper has won me both my victories so far when the opponent chose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247124733}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to favor paper, scissors beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247128440}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After losing with paper in the previous round, the opponent might expect me to switch to rock. They could play paper to counter that expectation, making scissors a strong counter-play. Additionally, they\'ve shown a preference for rock and scissors, so if they revert to their comfort zone with rock, we\'ll at worst tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247141593}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to favor paper and scissors. I will try rock to throw them off.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247145334}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"With the score tied and opponent showing adaptation to patterns, choosing rock as it\'s been underutilized in my strategy and could catch opponent off-guard if they expect paper. Rock also counters scissors which opponent has used frequently.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247155950}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The score is tied, and my opponent has shown a slight tendency towards paper, but has also used scissors and rock. I will choose paper, hoping my opponent will predict I will play rock and play scissors, or that they will play rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247161365}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s recent adaptive strategy and their last win with paper, they might expect me to choose paper and thus play scissors. By choosing rock, I can potentially counter this prediction and win the round. While this won\'t win me the game, it could help achieve a closer final score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247175104}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Final round. Need to win or tie. Opponent has chosen paper and rock twice each in the last 4 rounds. Choosing scissors to try and win or tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247179191}]','2025-03-17 21:11:24','2025-03-17 21:32:59',NULL),(2666,7,4,3,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (low)\": 4, \"o3-mini - (low)\": 1}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}], \"players\": [\"o1 - (low)\", \"o3-mini - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"duration\": 148149, \"winner_id\": 4, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 12, \"newRating\": 1170, \"oldRating\": 1158}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -12, \"newRating\": 1055, \"oldRating\": 1067}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 12, \"newRating\": 1170, \"oldRating\": 1158}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -12, \"newRating\": 1055, \"oldRating\": 1067}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting off with rock as it is often a reliable choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247046877}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first move I choose rock to test my opponent\'s strategy while maintaining balance. It’s an equally valid initial move given no further information\", \"timestamp\": 1742247051405}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round, we both chose rock, so I’ll try changing to paper this round in hopes that the opponent sticks with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247057241}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round, both played rock resulting in a tie. For round 2, I\'m choosing paper because if the opponent sticks with rock, paper wins; and in case they switch, paper can still offer a balanced approach.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247062649}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock then paper, so I suspect they might choose scissors this round. I’ll choose rock to beat scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247068595}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m noting that after two rounds where both players have chosen the same moves, the opponent hasn’t deviated from mirroring my moves so far. To try to get ahead, I choose scissors because it may provide a surprise element if the opponent continues with a pattern. I also calculate that if the opponent sticks with the previous pattern – switching moves from rock to paper – then playing scissors might beat paper. Therefore I select scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247073101}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"So far, the opponent used rock, paper, then scissors. They might either repeat their pattern with rock again or some other choice. Paper covers rock while tying if they go paper again. Paper is a balanced option here to safely counter a possible return to rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247082900}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I choose paper based on the idea that a change in pattern from the opponent might include rock again. Considering the previous rounds, where the opponent picked rock twice (ties and win), I opt for paper to cover rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247087633}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent appears to cycle between rock, paper, and scissors. Based on their pattern, they may choose rock next, so we can use paper to win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247096047}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of choosing either rock or paper in recent rounds. In round 3, their rock attack won. I choose paper to counter the likelihood of a rock play, while also being safe against repeated patterns of tied moves with paper if they choose paper, aiming to secure a win in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247102422}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used plus or minus: rock, paper, scissors, paper, paper. There’s a chance they will try scissors next. Rock is often a safe choice here to beat scissors if it appears.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247108994}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I analyzed the previous rounds: the opponent’s moves so far have been rock twice and paper three times. With a higher frequency of paper, choosing scissors can give a win if they repeat their tendency to choose paper, while only losing if they choose rock. Thus, I opt for scissors in Round 6.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247116160}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has relied heavily on paper and scissors so far. Paper gives a good chance to win if they choose rock again and at least forces a tie unless they choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247127368}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I analyzed the opponent\'s previous moves where they mostly oscillated between rock and paper. Since we only saw rock and paper from the opponent, playing paper would secure a win against their rock while avoiding a loss against their paper (resulting in a tie) rather than playing scissors, which would lose to rock if they play that. This seems like a safer and strategically sound move to improve my score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247134355}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent alternated among rock, paper, and scissors in a sporadic pattern, but they seem to return to scissors relatively often after paper. Rock has worked so far to beat scissors, so we\'ll choose rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247145803}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking over our game history, our opponent has only played rock and paper so far, with paper appearing a bit more often (roughly 57% of rounds) compared to rock (43%). If we choose paper, we tie on rounds he plays paper and win on rounds he plays rock. However, choosing scissors would reverse that outcome: we win against paper (which happens more often) but lose against rock. Given that we are behind in the overall score and need to secure wins, taking the risk for a win, we lean towards scissors since a win is more valuable than a tie. This is a calculated risk given the opponent\'s pattern so far, favoring paper. Therefore, I\'ll choose scissors for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247159109}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen scissors in each of the last three properly contested rounds. We’ll keep using rock, which has won consistently against scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247167489}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent tends to win with rock (rounds 3, 6, and 8 when they chose rock to win) and tie with paper in other rounds (rounds 2, 4, 5, and 7). Given that round 9 is odd-numbered and the opponent appears to favor rock in rounds where they aim for a win, I predict that they might choose rock again. Since paper beats rock, I choose paper for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247175276}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We have a comfortable lead. The opponent has tended to play paper repeatedly. Choosing scissors is a good attempt to counter paper if they continue that pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247183928}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that the opponent has thrown rock most frequently and even in the last two rounds played rock, using paper offers the best chance to beat rock. It’s likely that the opponent might continue with rock or mix in their known pattern, so paper is the optimal counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247190974}]','2025-03-17 21:13:20','2025-03-17 21:33:10',4),(2667,7,9,11,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": 3, \"o3-mini - (high)\": 4}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"o3-mini - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"duration\": 546077, \"winner_id\": 11, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1174, \"oldRating\": 1192}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1176, \"oldRating\": 1158}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1174, \"oldRating\": 1192}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1176, \"oldRating\": 1158}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting the game with rock can feel neutral and allows us to observe the opponent\'s initial strategy. It\'s a common first move which provides a basis for adapting later.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247085501}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I am opting for a balanced and strategic approach. Many players tend to choose rock as their first move, so I am countering that possibility with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247092602}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"I predict the opponent may anticipate me switching to paper after losing with rock, choosing scissors should beat their paper choice or at worst tie against another scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247108809}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, my opponent played rock and lost to my paper. Many players who lose tend to switch their move rather than repeat a losing one, and a common shift would be to paper – which beats rock. Anticipating that gpt-4.5-preview might choose paper in round 2 to avoid repeating a loss, I opt for scissors, since scissors beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247147028}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has not yet chosen rock, possibly inclined to use it now. Using paper is strategic as it\'s balanced: wins against rock, ties against paper, and accepts some risk against scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247179291}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the game so far, my opponent played rock in Round 1 and scissors in Round 2. This might hint at a cycling pattern (rock → scissors → paper) or some predictable strategy. If the pattern holds, they could likely choose paper in Round 3, which would lose to scissors. Additionally, if they deviate, scissors is still a balanced choice that avoids extreme risk. Thus, I choose scissors for Round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247207378}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent hasn\'t chosen rock yet and might consider I will go for scissors again (due to their repeated scissors choice). Thus, they may attempt rock this round, making paper my optimal choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247231077}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent’s moves were rock in round 1, scissors in round 2, and paper in round 3. This suggests a potential pattern where the moves rotate in the order: rock, scissors, paper. If this pattern holds, the opponent is likely to play rock in round 4, and hence, choosing paper would beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247243613}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent frequently selects scissors and paper, possibly alternating between them, and hasn\'t chosen rock so far. Choosing rock seems optimal to counter their potential scissors move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247263679}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the previous rounds, the opponent\'s most recent move has been paper in rounds 3 and 4. Since paper is vulnerable to scissors, it seems likely that they might stick with paper or a similar pattern. Choosing scissors in round 5 should capitalize on that trend if it continues.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247282466}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent shows a clear preference for scissors, having chosen it three times out of five rounds. Selecting rock is the most strategic move because rock beats scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247301501}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given my move history of predominantly using scissors (rounds 2, 3, and 5) and noting that my opponent has used rock twice (rounds 1 and 5) and paper twice (rounds 3 and 4), I suspect they might expect me to stick with scissors and perhaps lean into rock more often. By choosing paper in round 6, I aim to counter a potential rock from my opponent while also breaking from my overuse of scissors. This move should help me mitigate predicted patterns and introduce an element of surprise.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247338659}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on analyzing opponent\'s history, they alternate frequently between paper and scissors and have avoided using rock entirely so far. It\'s likely they\'ll shift to scissors or finally introduce rock to break the existing pattern. Choosing rock would either win against scissors or tie against rock, giving a strategic advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247377012}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, the opponent has used rock quite frequently (rounds 1, 5, and 6). Although they switched between rock, scissors, and paper in earlier rounds, the dominance of rock suggests that they might stick with it or repeat it. Since paper beats rock, choosing paper gives me a good chance to win round 7. Even if the opponent switches to scissors, the overall frequency favors rock, making paper my best option.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247408848}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has consistently countered my rock choices with paper. Anticipating my opponent to switch to rock in expectation of scissors, choosing paper allows me to either win or draw safely.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247436372}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, the opponent has used rock the most (rounds 1, 5, 6, and 7), which makes paper a strong counter. While I have played paper several times already, the frequency of rock from the opponent suggests that paper remains the optimal choice, as it wins against rock and keeps me ahead in this game. Therefore, for round 8, I choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247452735}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent frequently chooses paper and occasionally scissors, but hasn\'t chosen rock. Choosing scissors gives the highest chance of winning or at least tying.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247496246}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s history, they’ve played rock in four out of eight rounds and even though they switched to paper in round 8, rock seems to be the dominant move in earlier rounds. Since paper beats rock, and I’ve had success using paper against their rock-heavy pattern, I’m choosing paper for round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247522737}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent tends to choose paper frequently. Scissors gives me the best chance for a win or to minimize my loss margin in this scenario.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247582005}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ve analyzed the previous rounds. The opponent has a tendency to choose rock (rounds 1, 5, 6, and 7) and his recent sequence (rock, paper, scissors in rounds 7-9) suggests he might lean towards rock again in round 10. Since paper beats rock, choosing paper maximizes my chance for an outright win while keeping me safely ahead overall even if I lose or tie. Therefore, for round 10, I choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247622863}]','2025-03-17 21:13:21','2025-03-17 21:40:22',11),(2668,7,15,12,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (high)\": 3, \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 2}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}], \"players\": [\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"o1 - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"duration\": 202639, \"winner_id\": 12, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": -11, \"newRating\": 1137, \"oldRating\": 1148}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 11, \"newRating\": 1265, \"oldRating\": 1254}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -11, \"newRating\": 1137, \"oldRating\": 1148}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 11, \"newRating\": 1265, \"oldRating\": 1254}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with rock as it is a classic and neutral choice\", \"timestamp\": 1742247118493}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Rock is a reliable opening move and often a popular first-round choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247127237}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the previous round was a tie with both players choosing rock, I will choose paper in this round to potentially take advantage of the opponent\'s possible decision to stick with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247132965}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After a tie with both playing rock in Round 1, the opponent might switch to paper. Choosing scissors could give us a win if they do pick paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247143294}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m trying to win this round by choosing a move that beats the opponent\'s previous move, which was scissors. Since rock beats scissors, I\'ll choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247151782}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that I used scissors last time and won, the opponent may switch to rock to counter. I\'ll go with paper to potentially beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247158956}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has won the last two rounds with paper and scissors, so I\'ll choose rock to try and beat their possible scissors choice\", \"timestamp\": 1742247164654}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"It is not easy to deduce a perfect pattern from the opponent’s prior moves, but after using paper last round and winning, the opponent may switch to scissors to counter our previous paper. Therefore, rock counters scissors, so choosing rock is a safe option.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247173771}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper and scissors in the previous rounds, but also chosen rock twice. Since my previous choices of rock have resulted in ties, I\'ll try to exploit the opponent\'s potential pattern by choosing paper, which would beat rock if the opponent chooses it again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247179876}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock three out of four times, so paper is a logical choice to beat rock if they continue that pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247189083}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock twice and paper once in the previous rounds, and scissors once. Since rock and paper have been chosen with similar frequencies, I will choose scissors to beat paper if the opponent chooses paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247197699}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might break their alternating pattern of rock and paper by playing scissors. Playing rock is a strong defensive move that can beat scissors and force a tie against rock or hold against paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247216573}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock once and won, and also chosen paper and scissors to win. This round, I will choose paper to try and beat the opponent\'s possible rock choice, or tie if they choose paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247222572}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m currently leading, and the opponent has frequently chosen rock. Paper stands a good chance to counter rock, so I will pick paper to try to secure another win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247237811}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent has chosen rock, scissors, paper, rock, paper, rock, and paper. There doesn\'t seem to be a clear pattern, so I will choose rock, which has been a common choice for both me and my opponent. If my opponent chooses scissors, I will win. If they choose paper, I will lose. If they choose rock, we will tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247245385}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"We have observed the opponent picking paper multiple times. We can try using scissors to counter paper while holding a comfortable score lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247259123}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock, paper, and scissors, but since the last round the opponent chose scissors and I won with rock, I\'ll choose paper this time to try and take advantage of a potential repeat of the opponent\'s previous choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247265272}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock more often than anything else, and winning with paper here would clinch an insurmountable lead for the last round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247291843}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has won more rounds than me, I need to win this round. Given the history, the opponent has chosen paper and rock the most, but also scissors in the last round. To maximize my chances of winning, I will choose rock as it beats scissors, which the opponent chose in round 8 and could choose again, and has a 50% chance against paper and a loss against rock, which seems to be the opponent\'s less preferred option in the last few rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247299593}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"We already have a solid lead (3‑1), so I’ll aim to beat a likely paper move by playing scissors. Even if we lose, we still finish with more total wins.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247316885}]','2025-03-17 21:13:22','2025-03-17 21:35:16',12),(2669,7,3,2,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": 5, \"o3-mini - (low)\": 3}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (low)\", \"gpt-4o-mini\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"duration\": 105058, \"winner_id\": 2, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -9, \"newRating\": 1046, \"oldRating\": 1055}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-mini\", \"change\": 9, \"newRating\": 1229, \"oldRating\": 1220}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -9, \"newRating\": 1046, \"oldRating\": 1055}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 9, \"newRating\": 1229, \"oldRating\": 1220}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I am choosing rock to start the game with a balanced approach and test my opponent\'s strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247137462}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I choose paper because it beats rock, which is a common starting move and might be anticipated by my opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247141061}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round, the opponent used paper and won against my rock. To counter a potential pattern or simply take advantage of their previous choice, I choose scissors because it defeats paper. Hence, I\'ll choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247145628}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent just lost to paper, so they might choose rock again this round. I should choose paper to cover for rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247149268}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the history where the opponent has chosen paper in both rounds, a pattern might be emerging. Therefore, choosing scissors should beat paper if they continue with that pattern in round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247153333}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I previously chose paper twice, and my opponent beat me once with scissors. Rock is a strong choice against scissors, so I will choose rock this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247157604}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing that the opponent has played ‘paper’ twice in the first three rounds—it suggests that paper might be a favored choice. Playing ‘scissors’ would beat paper. Though there\'s some variability, capitalizing on the opponent’s apparent preference may secure a win in round 4. Therefore, I\'ll choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247162818}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I believe my opponent may choose scissors again, so I will choose rock to counter that move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247168228}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent’s previous rounds: They played two papers, then two rocks. This might suggest a pattern (possibly a cycle) where they could play scissors next to complete a rotation through rock, paper, scissors. If that’s the case, my best counter would be rock, which beats scissors. Therefore, I choose rock for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247176192}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent previously chose scissors in the last two rounds, and I have won those rounds by choosing rock. They might continue this trend or switch to a different option. To keep the advantage, I’ll choose rock again, anticipating they may stick to what has been working for them, which is scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247180626}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern, they used paper twice at the start and then rock for the last three rounds. Since they have used rock frequently recently, I\'m anticipating that they might continue with rock. Therefore, I\'ll choose paper, which beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247186877}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a preference for choosing rock two times in previous rounds. To counter this, I should choose paper, which beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247190886}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the previous rounds, the opponent\'s moves seem to follow a short recurrence: two rounds of paper, then three rounds of rock, and then paper. Although this pattern isn’t definitively predictive, it hints that paper might be favored next. By choosing scissors, we can potentially beat an anticipated paper move. Therefore, I choose scissors for round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247197168}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock twice and paper twice, which suggests they might be likely to choose scissors this round since they might want to balance their choices. I will choose rock, which beats scissors, to counter that.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247201038}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s past moves, they seem to favor rock (4 out of 7 rounds) over paper (3 out of 7 rounds), and haven\'t played scissors at all. If this pattern continues, they might opt for rock again. Since paper beats rock, I\'ll choose paper for round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247206662}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has consistently chosen scissors in previous rounds (4 out of 7 rounds). Since I\'ve won against scissors before, I will choose rock again to capitalize on this tendency.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247210782}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s previous moves, they have chosen rock most frequently. To beat rock, the optimal move is paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247215484}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent previously chose paper, and they may switch to scissors. By choosing rock, I can beat scissors if that is what they pick.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247220652}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s previous moves, we notice that they tend to choose rock most often, particularly in rounds 3, 4, 7, 8, and 9. While there have been some variations with paper in rounds 1, 2, and 6, the prevailing pattern is leaning towards rock. To counter a rock bias, the best move is paper, since paper covers rock. Therefore, for round 10, I choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247233620}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a tendency to play paper in the last few rounds, so choosing scissors should secure a win as scissors beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247239292}]','2025-03-17 21:15:20','2025-03-17 21:33:59',2),(2670,7,14,6,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 2, \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": 6}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}], \"players\": [\"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"duration\": 148087, \"winner_id\": 6, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": -12, \"newRating\": 1165, \"oldRating\": 1177}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet\", \"change\": 12, \"newRating\": 1277, \"oldRating\": 1265}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -12, \"newRating\": 1165, \"oldRating\": 1177}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 12, \"newRating\": 1277, \"oldRating\": 1265}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose rock for the first round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247149668}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opening rounds often see \'rock\' as a common choice from opponents. By choosing paper, I can potentially counter this tendency and win if the opponent follows this pattern. Paper also provides a balanced opening move as it has equal chances against other options.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247159138}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Trying to counter the previous loss by choosing scissors. If the opponent chooses paper, I win. If they choose scissors, it is a tie. If they choose rock, I lose.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247163118}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent played rock in round 1, suggesting they might favor conservative moves. They may expect me to play paper again and try to counter with scissors, so rock would be effective. Even if they play paper, maintaining a 1-1 score wouldn\'t be a terrible outcome.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247174417}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has played rock and paper so far. Choosing paper to try and counter-predict their next move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247180022}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent appears to be following a clockwise pattern (rock → scissors → paper). If this pattern holds, they will play paper next, making scissors the winning choice. Even if they break the pattern, we have a 2-0 lead which gives us room for strategic risks.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247188355}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"I am choosing rock this round in the hope that my opponent is choosing their moves at random.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247191458}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a cyclical pattern of rock→scissors→paper in the first three rounds. If they continue this pattern, they will play rock next, which paper beats. Even if they break the pattern, we have a comfortable lead of 3-0, making this a reasonable strategic risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247202646}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"I am choosing scissors to break the pattern of my opponent beating my previous moves. They likely expect me to play paper, so I will try scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247206493}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on opponent\'s pattern of alternating moves and their recent return to rock, they might either stick with rock out of frustration or try to counter an expected rock play from me with paper. Scissors gives me good odds against both these possibilities, with worst case being a tie if they also choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247217573}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude seems to be following the paper, rock, scissors, paper, scissors pattern. If the pattern continues, Claude will play paper, so I should play scissors to win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247223084}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s previous moves and the fact that they might try to counter my last move (scissors) with rock, paper seems like the optimal choice. Even if this move doesn\'t win, I maintain a strong position in the overall match.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247232518}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to be favoring paper and rock. I will try paper to see if they predict a counter to rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247236118}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used scissors in the last two rounds and shows a secondary preference for rock. Players typically change their move after using the same move twice. If they switch to rock as predicted, paper will win. Even if this prediction is wrong, I\'m in a strong position overall with 4 wins to 1, so I can afford to take this calculated risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247246086}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to be choosing paper often, so I will choose scissors to try and win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247249471}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because: 1) It counters scissors which my opponent has used most frequently, 2) It breaks my predictable paper pattern, and 3) With a strong lead, playing defensively against their most common move (scissors) is strategically sound.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247258934}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Trying to break the losing pattern by choosing a different move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247263905}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a strong preference for scissors (4 out of 8 moves). Playing rock gives me good odds of winning if they continue this pattern, and I can afford to take this calculated risk given my strong lead in the overall score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247273248}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to favor rock and paper, scissors might surprise them.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247278420}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because: 1) The opponent\'s recent pattern suggests they might play scissors, 2) They just played paper and tend not to repeat moves, 3) They\'ve shown a higher frequency of playing scissors throughout the game. Even though I\'ve already won the overall game mathematically, this choice gives me the best chance to win this final round based on the opponent\'s observed patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247293816}]','2025-03-17 21:15:21','2025-03-17 21:34:53',6),(2671,7,2,9,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": 5, \"gpt-4.5-preview\": 3}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4o-mini\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"duration\": 236255, \"winner_id\": 2, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-mini\", \"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1243, \"oldRating\": 1229}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1178, \"oldRating\": 1192}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1243, \"oldRating\": 1229}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1178, \"oldRating\": 1192}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing paper because it beats rock, which is a common opening move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247155199}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Since it\'s the first round, I have no data about my opponent\'s tendencies yet, so I\'ll randomly choose rock as a safe start.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247163190}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has just played rock, which I beat with paper. I expect the opponent may try to play something that can beat my paper, such as scissors. Therefore, I will choose rock to defend against scissors while still having a chance to beat the opponent if they play paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247167488}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round, I chose rock and my opponent chose paper, winning by covering my rock. This round, anticipating a potential strategy switch or repetition by my opponent, I will go for scissors to counteract if they stick with paper or switch to scissors themselves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247179819}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I have won both previous rounds, my opponent might try to counter my last move of rock. They may choose paper to beat my last choice. To counter this, I will choose scissors, which beats paper and allows me to maintain my winning streak.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247185070}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent previously chose paper followed by rock. There\'s no clear pattern yet, but since they went from a winning paper choice to another winning choice (rock), they might expect me to shift strategy. I\'ll select paper, aiming to counter a potential repeated choice of rock from their side.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247197763}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I have won all previous rounds, my opponent may anticipate that I will continue to favor a winning strategy. To offset this, I will choose paper, expecting the opponent to switch to rock in an attempt to counter my winning moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247202204}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to follow a cyclical pattern: paper → rock → scissors. If the pattern continues, the next move would likely be paper again. Therefore, choosing scissors gives us a strategic advantage over paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247227630}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose rock as it beats scissors, and given that the opponent may try to anticipate my move, rock can provide a strong counter after winning three out of the last four rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247231651}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s previous moves were cyclic: paper, rock, scissors, paper. This suggests a repeating pattern. Given this, the next expected move is \'rock\'. To counter the opponent\'s anticipated rock, I will select \'paper\'.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247245434}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose scissors because my opponent has chosen paper in the last round, indicating they might be trying to counter my previous move of rock with paper. Scissors could exploit that choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247249291}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent follows a cyclical pattern (paper → rock → scissors). Expecting scissors next, I choose rock to effectively counter it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247265925}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I need to choose a move based on the opponent\'s past behavior. Given the last three rounds where the opponent has chosen scissors, paper, and rock, I should choose scissors, which can counter the expected move of rock if they stick with their recent pattern of using the options tactically. However, since I lost to all of them, choosing rock now can allow me to recover against their possible strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247270314}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"I recognized a repeating cycle in the opponent\'s moves (paper → rock → scissors). Based on this sequence, I predicted that the opponent\'s next move will be paper. Therefore, I chose scissors to counter this effectively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247293302}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has won the last two rounds, and they are likely to switch from scissors after I played rock last round. I will choose paper to counter their possible choice of rock, which they might consider playing to counter my previous victory with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247299075}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent frequently favors rock, including the last round. Countering with paper presents the best opportunity to win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247328102}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper in a previous round (round 8), and I have seen them use scissors in rounds 4, 5, and 6. Since they have recently favored both scissors and paper, I will choose rock to counter their possible choice of scissors. Additionally, I have played paper too recently, and rock is a strong option considering they might think I would lean toward a defensive move like paper after a tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247332483}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent frequently cycles its choices in a pattern-like behavior. After the tie with paper, the most logically unpredictable choice would be \'rock\', as the opponent might expect a change back to scissors. Choosing rock could potentially counter scissors if the opponent anticipates another move patterning or randomness.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247343180}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen \'rock\' in the last round, and they may choose \'scissors\' this round to counter my previous move. I will choose \'paper\' to potentially secure a win since it beats rock, as this is my best chance of winning this round and securing the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247347396}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s pattern, their most common choice is rock. After playing rock previously, they may now switch to scissors. Choosing rock gives me a strategic advantage, potentially allowing me to win by defeating scissors or at worst tying if they remain with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247388604}]','2025-03-17 21:15:22','2025-03-17 21:36:28',2),(2672,7,12,9,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (high)\": 2, \"gpt-4.5-preview\": 7}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}], \"players\": [\"o1 - (high)\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"duration\": 457501, \"winner_id\": 9, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": -19, \"newRating\": 1229, \"oldRating\": 1248}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": 19, \"newRating\": 1193, \"oldRating\": 1174}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -19, \"newRating\": 1229, \"oldRating\": 1248}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 19, \"newRating\": 1193, \"oldRating\": 1174}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I’m opening with rock, a classic and solid choice for the first round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247173617}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with paper, predicting the opponent might choose rock as a typical initial move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247186845}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent just used paper, so I\'m counting on them possibly repeating that choice. Scissors would beat paper, giving me a chance to even the score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247204819}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Switching to rock to anticipate the opponent shifting from rock to scissors after losing the previous round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247228111}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Your opponent has used paper first and then rock, so choosing paper this time gives a good chance to beat rock. Even though it\'s unpredictable, paper feels like a reasonable counter in hopes they repeat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247242430}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing scissors to add variety and keep the gameplay unpredictable, as the opponent\'s previous choices haven\'t shown a clear pattern yet.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247254598}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing a pattern in the opponent’s choices (paper → rock → scissors), it may cycle back to paper. Scissors would then be the optimal counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247268399}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Having cycled through our options in previous rounds, the opponent might predict we will use paper next and choose scissors to counter it. Therefore, selecting rock strategically counters their possible choice of scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247287721}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent picked rock in half of the previous rounds, so choosing paper might give us a good chance of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247307266}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown signs of switching between rock and scissors frequently and hasn\'t yet repeated paper. Paper is strategic because it counters rock, which the opponent might return to. Paper is the safest strategic play considering opponent\'s habits.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247343296}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent’s recent move sequence suggests they might choose scissors next, so choosing rock should help me win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247356289}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might revert back to \'rock\' after not using it for several rounds, making \'paper\' a safe strategic choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247373479}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"They played paper the last two rounds, so I\'m guessing scissors might be a good bet to either win if they keep using paper or tie if they switch to scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247402503}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent frequently chose rock. Paper is a strong choice against rock and has proven successful before, providing a good chance of maintaining or extending the lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247425928}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used paper in three consecutive rounds, so choosing scissors is a logical move to exploit that pattern. If they stick to paper again, scissors will win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247438849}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent shows a preference for scissors recently, especially since they won the last round with scissors. Choosing rock is a strategic response anticipating they may repeat scissors again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247456419}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Scissors might counter their frequent use of paper, offering a good chance to win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247496319}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent frequently chooses rock or scissors; paper counters rock (frequent choice) and maintains the cautious advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247556154}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent’s frequent use of paper so far and the higher chance of beating paper with scissors, I’ll choose scissors to maximize the chance of winning the last round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247596116}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent frequently chose scissors in recent rounds and defeated my paper choices. Rock counters scissors effectively, and given my considerable lead, this is a safe and strategic choice for round 10.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247623058}]','2025-03-17 21:15:23','2025-03-17 21:40:23',9),(2673,7,11,9,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": 7, \"o3-mini - (high)\": 1}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (high)\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"duration\": 460866, \"winner_id\": 9, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1161, \"oldRating\": 1176}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1208, \"oldRating\": 1193}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1161, \"oldRating\": 1176}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1208, \"oldRating\": 1193}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'ll choose a classic move. Rock is a common opening choice and serves as a solid start. It feels like a good strategic default for the opening round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247183296}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"As this is the first round, I\'ll make a neutral initial choice without any prior tendencies observed from the opponent. Paper is a balanced starting choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247192569}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1 my rock was beaten by the opponent’s paper. With that in mind, I suspect the opponent might lean towards using paper again or follow a pattern. By choosing scissors, I can win if the opponent repeats paper, while still staying competitive if they change their move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247201962}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent previously chose rock and lost, which could prompt them to switch to paper to beat my previous choice. I\'m choosing scissors to anticipate this possible strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247223289}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent’s moves so far – paper in round 1 and scissors in round 2 – it seems they might be cycling through the options (paper, then scissors, then possibly rock). If they do follow that pattern, their round 3 move could be rock, which paper would beat. Additionally, after tying with scissors in round 2, the opponent might try to counter my previous move. To preempt this potential pattern, I’ll choose paper for round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247243530}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Expecting the opponent might switch from scissors to paper, I\'ll choose scissors to counter that potential move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247271697}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds, my opponent won by playing paper against rock in round 1 and scissors against paper in round 3, with round 2 ending in a tie when both of us played scissors. Notably, the opponent has used scissors in two rounds. If this trend continues, I can counter scissors with rock. Therefore, I choose rock for round 4.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247291838}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to cycle through moves (rock -> scissors -> paper). If the cycle continues, opponent will choose rock again. Paper will beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247305398}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s moves – paper in rounds 1 and 4, and scissors in rounds 2 and 3 – I noticed that the opponent is using only paper and scissors so far. Since my past moves (rock, scissors, paper, rock) largely provoked his paper when I used rock (which occurred twice) and scissors when I used paper, it seems he is countering my moves with the winning option, except when I played scissors in round 2, where he mirrored my move. Given that his moves are limited to paper and scissors, if I choose scissors, then: \\n• If he opts for paper (which beats rock, and seems common when my previous move was rock), I win (since scissors beat paper).\\n• If he picks scissors, it’s a tie (avoiding a loss.)\\nThis strategy minimizes the risk compared to playing rock, where if he chooses paper I would lose. Therefore, I choose scissors for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247339778}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might choose paper, expecting me to select rock based on previous success. Scissors would effectively counter their paper choice and maintain my unpredictability.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247354982}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s previous moves, it appears they are alternating between paper and scissors—particularly, with rounds 1, 2, 3 showing a pattern of paper followed by scissors twice, and rounds 4 and 5 still following this trend. Given that opponent’s most common move has been scissors (in rounds 2, 3, and 5) and if the pattern continues, round 6 is likely to be scissors. Rock beats scissors, so I choose rock for round 6.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247377282}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"To counter potential opponent switches and remain strategically strong, choosing paper is advantageous. It covers well against rock, which the opponent has favored earlier.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247399093}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the history, the opponent has only played paper and scissors so far. In our previous rounds, my rock consistently lost to their paper and my scissors, while tying with their scissors, appear to produce a win if the opponent continues to play paper. Using scissors avoids the risk of giving the opponent an easy win found when I played rock against their paper. Therefore, choosing scissors in round 7 gives me a win if they play paper and a tie if they play scissors, presenting the best chance to avoid further losses.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247415570}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has frequently chosen \'rock\' and occasionally \'scissors\', but rarely \'paper\'. Anticipating that they might switch to \'scissors\' to counter my frequent choice of paper, I\'m choosing \'rock\' this round to stay ahead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247444506}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the history, when I played rock or paper the opponent’s counter was very consistent (rock got beaten by paper and paper by scissors). However, when I played scissors, his responses were less predictable—twice he mirrored scissors (tying) and once he escalated to rock (winning). With this in mind, choosing scissors seems to offer a higher chance of at least a tie rather than a sure loss. Hence, I’ll choose scissors for round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247496253}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to favor rock and scissors. After losing using scissors last round, the opponent is likely to switch tactics to rock. Paper is the safest and strategically optimal choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247516412}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the opponent\'s previous moves, I\'ve noticed a tendency to favor paper (rounds 1, 4, 6, and 8), which makes up half of their moves so far. Since paper is beaten by scissors, I decide that playing scissors in round 9 gives me the best chance to win or at least tie if they play their common move. Therefore, I\'m choosing scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247556272}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent frequently chooses scissors, especially recently, which rock effectively counters. Additionally, rock provides safety against a possible switch to rock, at least ensuring a tie, while only vulnerable to paper, chosen infrequently.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247584880}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds, my opponent has favored paper (4 times) over rock (2 times) and scissors (3 times). In rounds 7–9 his moves alternated between rock and paper, and it seems likely that paper could be his final choice. Since scissors beats paper, I’ll choose scissors for round 10.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247615375}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has consistently favored scissors. Rock counters scissors effectively and I\'m already leading comfortably, making rock a safe, logical selection.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247638522}]','2025-03-17 21:16:20','2025-03-17 21:40:38',9),(2674,7,14,1,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 6, \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 3}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}], \"players\": [\"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"gpt-4o\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"duration\": 86861, \"winner_id\": 1, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1177, \"oldRating\": 1190}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1262, \"oldRating\": 1249}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1177, \"oldRating\": 1190}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1262, \"oldRating\": 1249}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with a neutral choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247181213}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose \'rock\' as it\'s a strong and straightforward first move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247185019}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing paper to beat rock or tie with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247188377}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Last round was a tie with both selecting rock. There\'s a chance the opponent might choose paper to counter rock, so I\'ll go with scissors to counter paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247192423}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to be playing randomly. Choosing rock for a chance to win or tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247197780}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first two rounds, the opponent has shown diversity in choosing both rock and paper. Scissors is the best option as it covers their previous paper selection, and predicts they may avoid rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247202462}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose scissors in the last two rounds. Rock beats scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247207941}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern, the opponent has not repeated their choices. They went from rock to paper to scissors so far. To counter minimal repetition, I anticipate the opponent might return to rock. I\'ll choose paper to counter rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247212203}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent chose rock twice, paper once, and scissors once. I will choose paper, hoping they will choose rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247215476}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s strategy, they appear to alternate between rock and paper. Since they just used rock, they might switch to paper. Scissors would counter paper while also covering the possibility of them using scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247219798}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has played scissors twice and paper once in the last four rounds. I will choose rock to try and break their pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247225367}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing past rounds, it seems the opponent has chosen rock twice, paper twice, and scissors once. Given this distribution, the opponent might follow a cyclical pattern or shift unpredictably. I\'ll choose paper since it offers a counter to rock, which has appeared frequently.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247230200}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has favored paper and scissors, rock beats scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247235601}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing opponent\'s pattern, they chose rock in three of the past six rounds (Rounds 4, 6, and the tie in Round 1). Therefore, I suspect they may pick rock again. Paper would counteract rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247240157}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has been playing paper a lot. Switching to scissors in case they predict rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247243339}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Considering the opponent\'s past behavior, they have chosen \'rock\' four times out of seven rounds, including the last three consecutive rounds. Hence, it seems probable that they will choose \'rock\' again for round 8. Choosing \'paper\' will counter their frequent \'rock\' and maximize the chances of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247248121}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has been favoring paper, so I will counter with scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247253109}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played \'rock\' four times in the last eight rounds. Since the opponent lost multiple times to \'paper\' recently, they might adapt by choosing \'scissors\' to counter it. To counter this adaptation, I am choosing \'rock\' as it will beat scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247257539}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has been choosing paper frequently. Scissors beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247262145}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has frequently chosen rock across previous rounds, often losing with this strategy. To counter their tendency, I choose paper, as it beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247266088}]','2025-03-17 21:17:20','2025-03-17 21:34:26',1),(2675,7,15,3,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": 2, \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 2}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"o3-mini - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 122677, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": -5, \"newRating\": 1148, \"oldRating\": 1153}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": 5, \"newRating\": 1051, \"oldRating\": 1046}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -5, \"newRating\": 1148, \"oldRating\": 1153}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 5, \"newRating\": 1051, \"oldRating\": 1046}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with a random choice to test the opponent\'s strategy\", \"timestamp\": 1742247193305}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m picking rock because it\'s a common starting move and balanced, and there\'s no prior bias based on opponent behavior. Rock is a solid choice for round one.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247197169}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the previous round was a tie and both players chose rock, I will choose paper this round to try and gain an advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247203370}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the first round was a tie (rock vs. rock), I plan to mix my strategy. Paper is a good counter choice that may throw off the opponent if they stick to rock or try something different. Let\'s go with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247208251}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since both rounds 1 and 2 were ties, I will choose scissors for round 3, hoping to catch my opponent off guard.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247214243}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent\'s moves mirrored mine (rock then paper). If this pattern continues, it\'s likely that they\'ll play scissors this round. However, I\'m betting that I\'ll try to break the pattern by choosing the move that beats what I predict might be repeated. If they follow a mirror pattern, and I choose \'scissors\', they might pick \'scissors\' too, leading to a tie. But if they continue the pattern from earlier, they might go with \'scissors\' even if it\'s not optimal for them. Alternatively, I could aim to beat what I think they might try to mirror. Considering the cycle, I\'ll choose \'scissors\' for round 3 as a proactive choice to challenge the pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247220483}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since all previous rounds have been ties, I\'ll choose rock to see if the opponent changes their strategy\", \"timestamp\": 1742247225914}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since all rounds so far resulted in ties, our opponent might be random, so I\'ll choose rock for the next round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247231005}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since all previous rounds have been ties, I\'ll choose rock again to see if the opponent will deviate from their current strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247236654}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that all rounds have ended in draws so far, I decided to pick \'paper\' to try and break the tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247241011}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock multiple times, and in the last round, they chose paper and won. To increase the chances of winning, I will choose scissors, which beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247247170}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In previous rounds, the opponent has played rock most frequently, and hence I\'m predicting that they might lean on rock in this round as well. To counter their likely rock, I choose paper since paper beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247253428}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent won the last round they didn\'t tie, so I\'ll choose the option that beats the one they chose in that round, which is scissors since they chose paper. Also, in the previous round I won with scissors against paper, so the opponent might be less likely to choose paper this time, making scissors a safer choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247259930}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at previous rounds, the opponent\'s moves have been varied, with a tendency to repeat the same move as the previous round: round 4 they chose rock, round 5 rock again, and round 6 scissors. With no clear persistent pattern and given the randomness, I\'m opting for a safe call: rock, which can beat scissors and tie with itself, minimizing potential loss given uncertainty.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247270018}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock in round 7, and since rock beats scissors, I\'ll choose paper to increase my chances of winning in round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247276008}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent’s moves seem to follow some repetition: in rounds 5 to 7, they started with rock and then switched to scissors. Since rock beats scissors, I choose rock to counter a potential continuation of scissors in round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247281870}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds, the opponent has not shown a clear pattern, but they did win the last round they chose rock. Considering the current score is tied and we need a win, choosing scissors would not be the best option since the opponent might choose rock again. Therefore, I will choose rock to potentially get a tie or win if the opponent chooses scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247291098}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the opponent’s move sequence, it appears that they have played rock three times and scissors three times, while paper appeared only twice. By choosing rock, we would tie against their rock, win against scissors, and only lose against paper, which is less common. Thus, rock seems to be the best compromise for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247298839}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has chosen rock multiple times in the past and we are tied, I will choose paper to try to win the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247304567}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s moves in previous rounds, they tend to favor rock (appearing in rounds 1, 4, 5, and 9). In this context, paper is a solid counter to rock. Therefore, for round 10, I choose paper to beat a potential rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247309995}]','2025-03-17 21:18:20','2025-03-17 21:35:09',NULL),(2676,7,15,9,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": 4, \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 1}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"duration\": 275413, \"winner_id\": 9, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1113, \"oldRating\": 1127}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1192, \"oldRating\": 1178}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1113, \"oldRating\": 1127}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1192, \"oldRating\": 1178}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m starting with rock as it\'s a classic choice and can give me an idea of my opponent\'s strategy\", \"timestamp\": 1742247195825}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"At the start of a game and without prior information, paper might be a safe initial choice, as opponents often start with rock. This could give a potential early advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247205959}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I chose scissors because the opponent chose paper in the previous round, so I\'m trying to beat them by choosing the option that beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247211984}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Anticipating the opponent might switch to scissors or paper, choosing scissors provides a balanced strategic response.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247232737}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the previous round was a tie and the opponent won the first round with paper, I\'ll choose rock to potentially take advantage of the opponent\'s possible choice of scissors\", \"timestamp\": 1742247238188}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent appears to be cycling through moves (rock, scissors). There\'s a likelihood they\'ll choose rock again next round, so I choose paper to counter their potential rock move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247256376}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper in the last two rounds, so I\'ll choose scissors to beat paper if they choose it again, but since that\'s a risky strategy, a safer bet would be to choose paper to tie if they choose paper again or beat rock if they switch to it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247262864}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has mostly chosen rock or scissors so far. Anticipating a potential switch to counter my frequent choice of paper, choosing scissors now provides safety, aiming for a tie at worst or a win if the opponent switches to paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247283746}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper twice before, and since the last two rounds were ties with scissors, I\'m going to choose paper to potentially beat rock if the opponent chooses it again, or to tie if they choose paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247289987}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has consistently chosen rock and scissors. Introducing rock will either beat their scissors or at least avoid losing if they finally pick rock again. It\'s a safe yet surprising choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247312556}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper twice and scissors twice, and rock once. To gain an advantage, I will choose scissors, which beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247318405}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent is varying moves frequently, not showing clear patterns. After choosing paper, there\'s a chance they\'ll repeat paper or switch to rock, making scissors an optimal choice to either win or tie the next round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247339575}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper twice and scissors four times, so I\'m going to choose rock to potentially beat scissors if they choose it again\", \"timestamp\": 1742247345700}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent frequently chooses rock and scissors. Paper counters rock effectively, and since the opponent rarely chooses paper, selecting paper minimizes potential risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247366230}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper three times when I chose rock, so I\'m going to try and capitalize on that pattern by choosing scissors to beat their potential paper choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247372019}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has frequently chosen rock and scissors. Anticipating a potential shift towards scissors to counter my previous choice of paper, choosing rock gives me an advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247396563}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper three times and rock once in the previous rounds, while also having multiple ties with scissors. Considering the opponent\'s wins are mostly with paper, I will choose scissors to try and take advantage of the potential pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247402824}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"With the opponent frequently choosing rock and scissors, and potentially switching to paper, scissors offers a strong defensive option, capable of beating paper or at least tying scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247425713}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper three times and rock once in the previous rounds, and scissors six times. To win this round, I need to choose the option that beats the opponent\'s most frequent choice, which is scissors. Therefore, I choose rock to beat scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247432167}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent often chooses scissors, making rock a strategic choice to safely maintain my lead and either secure another win or at worst a tie without impacting my overall victory.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247466434}]','2025-03-17 21:20:20','2025-03-17 21:37:46',9),(2677,7,15,10,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 2, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": 4}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}], \"players\": [\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"duration\": 213801, \"winner_id\": 10, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": -10, \"newRating\": 1127, \"oldRating\": 1137}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 10, \"newRating\": 1275, \"oldRating\": 1265}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -10, \"newRating\": 1127, \"oldRating\": 1137}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 10, \"newRating\": 1275, \"oldRating\": 1265}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m starting with rock because it\'s a classic and straightforward choice, and I want to test my opponent\'s strategy from the beginning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247243796}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round without any prior information about my opponent\'s tendencies, I\'m choosing paper. Rock is statistically the most common opening move in Rock Paper Scissors games, as many players default to it as a \\\"strong\\\" first choice. By playing paper, I counter this common opening strategy. Since this is our first interaction, this gives me a slight strategic advantage if my opponent follows typical patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247257499}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I chose scissors in round 2 because my opponent chose paper in round 1, which means they might stick with the same strategy. If they choose paper again, my choice of scissors would give me a win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247263952}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I won with paper in the previous round, my opponent might expect me to stick with a winning move. They may choose scissors to counter my expected paper play. By choosing rock, I can potentially anticipate this adjustment in their strategy. Additionally, after losing, players often switch to what would have beaten their opponent\'s previous move - in this case, scissors would beat my previous paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247277696}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has won the previous two rounds, one with paper and one with rock. To increase my chances of winning, I will choose scissors, which beats paper. If the opponent continues to choose paper, I will have a chance to win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247283962}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, there\'s a good chance my opponent might play paper this round to counter my last move (rock). The opponent has already played rock and scissors, but not paper yet, which makes paper a likely choice for them. Additionally, by varying my moves (paper → rock → scissors), I maintain unpredictability while positioning myself to potentially win a third consecutive round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247296841}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent won the last two rounds with rock and paper, and the previous round was a tie with scissors, I\'ll try to beat the opponent\'s potential next move by choosing rock, which beats scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247302931}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I notice the opponent has chosen scissors in rounds 2 and 3. While they might switch tactics, there\'s also a chance they might stick with scissors for a third time. By choosing rock, I can capitalize if they continue with scissors. Additionally, my moves so far have followed a pattern (paper → rock → scissors), and breaking this pattern might catch my opponent off guard if they\'re attempting to predict my next move based on this sequence.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247320767}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper and rock in previous rounds, and since rock and paper have been chosen before, I\'m going to choose scissors to try and beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247326645}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing paper because the opponent has played rock twice so far, including in the previous round. If they continue with rock, I\'ll win. If they finally introduce paper, we\'ll tie. Though I risk losing if they play scissors, I\'m already ahead 2-0 in the match, so I can afford to take a calculated risk. The opponent has shown a pattern of alternating between rock and scissors, but never playing paper, which factors into my decision.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247345307}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent has chosen paper and rock twice, and scissors once. Since my last win was with scissors against paper, I\'ll choose rock to potentially beat scissors if the opponent chooses it again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247351242}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s previous moves, they\'ve chosen scissors 3 out of 5 rounds (rounds 2, 3, and 5), including the most recent round. This suggests a potential pattern or preference for scissors. Since rock beats scissors, choosing rock gives me a strategic advantage based on the opponent\'s history. Additionally, the opponent hasn\'t chosen paper yet in any round, further supporting rock as a good tactical choice for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247364143}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock and paper more often than scissors, and since paper has been chosen only once by the opponent, I will choose scissors to exploit this pattern and increase my chances of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247370252}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, I notice the opponent has shown a pattern of alternating between rock and scissors (they haven\'t played paper at all). In rounds 1, 3, and 5, they played rock, scissors, and scissors. In rounds 2, 4, and 6, they played scissors, rock, and rock. For odd-numbered rounds like round 7, they\'ve favored scissors in the past. If they continue this pattern, rock would be my best choice to counter their likely scissors play. Even if they switch to rock, I\'ll tie rather than lose, which helps maintain my current lead in the match.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247387697}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m trying to win the game by choosing a move that beats the opponent\'s most likely choice, which appears to be rock based on the previous rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247394347}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s pattern, they\'ve never chosen paper in the previous 7 rounds, favoring scissors (4 times) and rock (3 times). There seems to be a loose alternating pattern between rock and scissors, with the opponent playing scissors in round 7. Following this pattern, they might play rock in round 8. Additionally, since I\'m ahead 3-1, I can afford to take a calculated risk. Paper beats rock, so this seems like a strategic choice based on the opponent\'s historical preferences.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247409640}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock twice in the previous rounds, and also chosen paper once. Given the current score, I need to win this round. Since the opponent\'s last move was paper, I\'m going to choose scissors to beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247415595}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a strong preference for scissors (4 out of 8 rounds), and just recently switched to paper after not using it for 7 rounds. There\'s a good chance they might return to their most frequently used move (scissors) in this round. By choosing rock, I can counter their most common choice while maintaining my lead in the game. Even if we tie, I\'ll still have a significant advantage going into the final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247433656}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has been choosing rock frequently, I will choose paper to increase my chances of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247439195}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on my opponent\'s pattern, they\'ve shown a clear preference for scissors (5/9 rounds), especially recently. They played scissors in round 9, and have chosen it in the majority of rounds. Rock is the optimal counter to scissors, and given their historical tendency, this seems like the best strategic choice for the final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247453140}]','2025-03-17 21:20:21','2025-03-17 21:37:33',10),(2678,7,11,4,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (low)\": 5, \"o3-mini - (high)\": 4}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (high)\", \"o1 - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"duration\": 333324, \"winner_id\": 4, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1158, \"oldRating\": 1174}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1186, \"oldRating\": 1170}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1158, \"oldRating\": 1174}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1186, \"oldRating\": 1170}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the absence of explicit information about the opponent, I lean on statistical tendencies where many players, especially in initial rounds, tend to choose rock. Choosing paper would counter that tendency, offering a psychological edge. As such, I\'ll play paper for round 1.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247274203}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I will start strong with rock, anticipating your potential scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247278932}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round one, since I won by playing paper against the opponent\'s rock, and given that the opponent is a low-level player (likely sticking with a simple or fixed strategy such as repeatedly choosing rock), it makes sense to continue with paper to exploit that tendency.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247303672}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose paper last time, which could be a pattern or a bluff. Let’s try scissors this round, as scissors would beat paper if they continue with it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247309809}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s previous moves—rock in round 1 and scissors in round 2—it appears they might be cycling through the moves (rock, scissors, then paper). If that pattern holds, they could choose paper in round 3, which would lose to scissors. Therefore, I choose scissors to potentially beat their expected move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247334315}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s consecutive use of paper might indicate a tendency to protect against rock or to explore new strategies. Using paper again could anticipate a switch to rock. Paper also counters rock directly. Given the uncertainty, paper feels like a balanced choice for round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247340785}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds, the opponent played rock in round 1, scissors in round 2, and paper in round 3. This suggests a pattern of rock, scissors, paper. If we assume the opponent will continue this cycle, they are likely to play rock in round 4. Paper beats rock, so I choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247349971}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent last used scissors and might continue with them or switch to paper. Rock is a safe play to beat scissors if repeated and ties with rock. Thus, I\'ll choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247356279}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s previous moves (rock, scissors, paper, rock), there seems to be a cycle emerging: rock, scissors, paper, rock, which suggests that the next move might be scissors. Since rock beats scissors, I will choose rock for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247369404}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper in 3 of the 4 rounds so far. To beat paper, choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247376049}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent’s moves seem to follow a cycle: rock, scissors, paper, then repeating. Considering rounds 1-5 (rock, scissors, paper, rock, scissors), it is likely that round 6 will be paper. To beat paper, choosing scissors is the optimal choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247385061}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We anticipate the opponent might switch to scissors again; using rock is a fairly strong choice to counter that possibility.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247399414}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Our opponent has played rock in rounds 1, 4, and 6 (50% of the moves) and scissors in rounds 2 and 5, while paper was only used once (in round 3). Given that rock is his most frequent choice, selecting paper for round 7 offers a strong advantage as it directly beats rock. Thus, paper seems to be the optimal move to secure the win in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247418324}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used paper quite often, so I’ll choose scissors to cover that possibility and try to catch up in score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247427089}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the last few rounds, the opponent appears to be alternating between rock and scissors. In rounds 4 and 6, they chose rock, and in rounds 5 and 7, they chose scissors. Given this pattern, it’s likely that round 8 will be rock. Paper beats rock, so I will choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247449573}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used paper often, but they appear to be cycling through rock–scissors–paper in the most recent rounds. Based on the recent pattern, it seems likely that our opponent may switch back to rock, so paper appears to be our best choice for round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247495432}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern, after playing paper the opponent typically follows with rock (as seen when they played paper in round 3 and then rock in round 4). Since they played paper in round 8, it\'s likely they\'ll pick rock in round 9. Paper beats rock, so I\'ll choose paper in round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247556188}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent’s pattern of frequently choosing paper, scissors provides the best chance to win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247568568}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the previous rounds, the opponent frequently chose scissors (rounds 2, 5, 7, and 9). This suggests they may be inclined to stick with scissors, especially since my repeated use of paper has often invited scissors. In the final round, to counter an expected scissors move, the best response is rock, which beats scissors. Hence, my choice for round 10 is rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247585567}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has primarily chosen paper, but given that we’ve countered with scissors and won, they may try rock next. Paper should be a strong choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247599438}]','2025-03-17 21:21:20','2025-03-17 21:39:59',4),(2679,7,14,3,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": 1, \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 7}, \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}], \"players\": [\"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"o3-mini - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"duration\": 103696, \"winner_id\": 14, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": 11, \"newRating\": 1176, \"oldRating\": 1165}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -11, \"newRating\": 1040, \"oldRating\": 1051}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 11, \"newRating\": 1176, \"oldRating\": 1165}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -11, \"newRating\": 1040, \"oldRating\": 1051}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"I choose paper because it is a good starting move and can potentially beat rock, which is a common opening move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247296483}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'ll choose rock. It\'s a balanced initial choice and often a popular opener to test the opponent\'s tendencies.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247300230}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"I won the first round with paper. To be unpredictable, I will choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247303578}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, the opponent played paper to beat my rock. In many games, players often stick with their previous successful move. Even if they change, playing scissors is a strong counter to paper. Therefore, I\'ll play scissors in round 2.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247309024}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"I won the first two rounds by choosing paper then rock. My opponent seems to be choosing predictable moves. I will choose paper again, as it seems less likely they will predict that.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247313692}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s choices so far — paper in round 1 and rock in round 2 — one possibility is that Gemini Flash 2.0 might cycle through moves and could play scissors in round 3. Since rock beats scissors, I\'m choosing rock as my move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247321384}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has played rock, scissors, rock. Playing scissors would have won against their rock, and beats paper if they try to counter my perceived rock play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247326410}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s pattern so far: round 1 opponent played paper, round 2 rock, round 3 paper. If this pattern continues alternating between paper and rock, the opponent will likely choose rock in round 4. Since paper beats rock, my best counter-move is paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247331662}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock twice, I will play paper to beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247337535}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s moves in previous rounds—paper, rock, paper, scissors—it appears that they might be intentionally countering my previous moves. However, since trying the same moves has not been fruitful, I have decided to switch my strategy in round 5 by playing paper, hoping to disrupt any predictable countering pattern he may have adopted. If the opponent expects a pattern based solely on my previous moves, this may catch him off guard. Additionally, paper will win against rock should he choose it, which could be his likely move if he\'s following the pattern from the earlier rounds. Thus, I choose paper for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247347100}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has played paper most frequently, so I choose scissors to counter it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247350420}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose paper in rounds 1, 3, and 5, suggesting a frequency in his pattern. With his other moves being rock and scissors in rounds 2 and 4, I predict he might lean towards paper again. Hence, I choose scissors to beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247354806}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock, scissors, paper, paper, and scissors. I will choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247358321}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern across previous rounds, I noted a pattern where the opponent\'s moves seem to oscillate between paper, rock, paper and then scissors, paper, scissors. Predicting this pattern may continue, it could be that in round 7 the opponent might play paper again. Therefore, playing scissors would beat paper. Hence, I\'ll choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247363787}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Switching to rock to try and throw off the opponent, who may be expecting paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247368910}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds shows that the opponent picked paper in rounds 1, 3, 5, and 7. Given that paper seems to be the most frequently used move, choosing scissors would beat paper. Therefore, my move for round 8 is scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247375400}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to be playing scissors often. Rock beats scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247380810}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played paper 4 out of 8 rounds, which suggests paper is a common choice. Scissors beats paper. While the opponent might mix in other moves, facing a pattern leaning towards paper makes scissors a strong option for this round, especially when a win is crucial.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247386588}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has favored scissors, so rock is the best choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247391646}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing your opponent\'s pattern so far, they have chosen paper 4 times (rounds 1, 3, 5, and 7), rock 3 times (rounds 2, 8, and 9) and scissors 2 times (rounds 4 and 6). Given that paper is the most frequent move, choosing scissors would likely beat a paper, thereby increasing your chance for a win in the final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247397555}]','2025-03-17 21:21:21','2025-03-17 21:36:37',14),(2680,7,7,9,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": 4, \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": 1}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"duration\": 359373, \"winner_id\": 9, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1168, \"oldRating\": 1183}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1223, \"oldRating\": 1208}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1168, \"oldRating\": 1183}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1223, \"oldRating\": 1208}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'ll go with rock as an opening move. This is a common opening strategy since rock is psychologically perceived as strong and stable. Without any previous moves to analyze patterns from my opponent, starting with rock provides a solid baseline approach. Additionally, many players tend to choose scissors in their first round due to its aggressive nature, so rock would counter that effectively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247314532}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Since it\'s the first round, I\'ll choose randomly without any particular strategy. I\'ll start with paper to see how my opponent reacts and then plan accordingly for the upcoming rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247324213}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent chose paper in round 1, which beat my rock. There\'s a possibility that they might stick with paper since it previously won, following the strategy that \\\"if it\'s not broken, don\'t fix it.\\\" However, they might also anticipate that I would switch to paper to counter their previous rock, and therefore switch to scissors. Given these possibilities, I\'ll choose scissors which would win against paper if they stick with their previous move. This also prevents an exploitable pattern in my play style since I\'m not simply countering their last move with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247330642}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing scissors to avoid predictability after winning with paper. Claude might anticipate another paper and respond accordingly with paper, thus scissors can effectively counter that choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247354584}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because the opponent has shown a pattern of paper then scissors. If they continue rotating through options or try to counter what they think I\'ll play next (expecting me to play paper), they might play scissors, which my rock would beat. Additionally, they haven\'t played rock yet, so they might try that option next, which would result in a tie. This is a calculated risk based on the limited pattern observed so far.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247363222}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent hasn\'t yet chosen paper and might anticipate me choosing paper again, thus selecting scissors. Choosing rock can counter opponent\'s likely scissors and manage risk effectively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247382303}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen paper once and rock twice so far. There seems to be a slight tendency toward rock, and they haven\'t chosen scissors yet. Since my opponent might be expecting me to choose scissors after the previous ties with rock and scissors, I\'ll choose paper instead. Paper beats rock if they continue their recent pattern, and if they switch to scissors thinking I\'ll choose paper, they would win - but this risk is worth taking since I need to start winning some rounds to catch up in the overall score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247389881}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent shows slight preference for rock, using it twice previously. Paper could exploit this preference effectively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247409252}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent has chosen paper twice (rounds 1 and 4), there\'s a possibility they might choose paper again. Going with scissors would give me a win in that case. Additionally, my opponent hasn\'t shown a strong tendency toward rock (which would beat scissors), having only played it once in four rounds. This seems like a good opportunity to potentially break the series of ties we\'ve had recently.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247416501}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent might expect paper again and thus choose scissors; choosing rock will counter this.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247463290}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent has used paper twice (rounds 1 and 4) and might expect me to switch to rock after losing with scissors last round, there\'s a reasonable chance they\'ll play paper again. I\'ll choose scissors to counter that potential paper play. Additionally, we haven\'t seen the opponent choose scissors since round 2, so they may be less likely to play scissors now.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247496151}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Predicting that my opponent might opt for paper to counter my previous frequent choice of rock. Scissors is a strategic counterchoice while still being safe against repeated choices of scissors by my opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247518290}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, my opponent has chosen rock once and scissors three times. Statistically, they\'ve shown a preference for scissors. If they continue this pattern, choosing paper would lose. However, they might anticipate me noticing this pattern and switch to rock to counter my expected scissors. Therefore, I\'ll choose paper to beat their potential rock. Additionally, my opponent hasn\'t won with scissors yet despite using it multiple times, which might influence them to try rock this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247556513}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Anticipating Claude might switch to paper to counter my previous rock choice, I will choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247582971}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern analysis, the opponent has chosen scissors in 3 out of 7 rounds, including the most recent round. They seem to favor scissors more than the other options. Since rock beats scissors, I\'ll choose rock for this round to counter their apparent preference. Additionally, the opponent may anticipate me avoiding paper after losing with it in the previous round, making scissors a likely choice for them again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247591567}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude has been choosing scissors and rock frequently, rarely paper. Choosing paper now is a safe strategy to counter possible rock choices from Claude and preserve our advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247610856}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used scissors in rounds 2, 6, and 7, showing a pattern of returning to this move. Additionally, in the last round (8), they used paper, which suggests they might switch to scissors next following a rotation pattern. By playing rock, I can potentially counter their scissors play. While this is somewhat of a gamble, I need to start winning rounds to have any chance in the overall game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247618749}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"I have a strong lead and want to maintain unpredictability. Rock has not been used in several rounds, making it a less predictable choice for the opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247637205}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern analysis, my opponent has frequently matched my moves leading to ties, or played moves that counter mine. There\'s been a recent tendency toward rock (rounds 3, 5, 9), and after our mutual rock play in round 9, they might anticipate me switching to paper, leading them to play scissors. By choosing rock, I can potentially counter their scissors if they make this prediction. Additionally, rock has been involved in 5 of the previous 9 rounds, suggesting it might be a favored option in their strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247648057}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude has shown a strong preference for rock and scissors, rarely choosing paper. Given our significant lead, selecting scissors could either maintain our strong position or counter a rare paper pick from Claude.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247669405}]','2025-03-17 21:22:20','2025-03-17 21:41:09',9),(2681,7,12,2,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": 6, \"o1 - (high)\": 2}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"o1 - (high)\", \"gpt-4o-mini\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"duration\": 242031, \"winner_id\": 2, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": -17, \"newRating\": 1248, \"oldRating\": 1265}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-mini\", \"change\": 17, \"newRating\": 1260, \"oldRating\": 1243}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -17, \"newRating\": 1248, \"oldRating\": 1265}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 17, \"newRating\": 1260, \"oldRating\": 1243}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m going to pick rock for round 1 to try and beat scissors if the opponent chooses that.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247322061}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose paper because it beats rock, which is often chosen by players starting out in a new game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247325835}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Last round, the opponent used paper and won. They may try a different tactic this round, but scissors could still beat paper if they repeat it. It\'s a bit of a guess, but I\'m hoping they stick to paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247335763}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that I won the last round by choosing paper against rock, my opponent might predict that I will continue with paper. To counter this and anticipate a possible choice of scissors from the opponent, I will choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247339773}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played paper, then rock. A possible next choice might be scissors. Choosing rock can beat scissors, so I\'m going with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247349972}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I expect the opponent might choose paper after losing the last two rounds. Scissors will counter that choice effectively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247358347}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent’s previous choices have been paper, rock, and scissors in order. If that’s a pattern, they might choose paper next. Scissors would be optimal to beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247364139}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has previously chosen rock, which I lost to with scissors. There\'s a chance they might choose scissors this round since they may expect me to avoid scissors after losing. I will choose rock to counter any potential scissors and also because it has not been played yet this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247368721}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"We have yet to try paper and want to shake up our previous pattern of rock and scissors. If the opponent repeats rock (as in round 2 and 4), paper will win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247384657}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has lost with rock and scissors in the last two rounds, indicating that they might switch to paper to counter my previous choice of rock. I will choose scissors to win against paper, while still being a safe option against rock if the opponent decides to play it again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247388595}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent’s move pattern—paper, rock, scissors, rock, scissors—it suggests they may cycle back to paper this round. If so, scissors would beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247403210}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has already chosen rock in one of the previous rounds. Since the opponent might switch to paper or continue choosing rock, I will choose scissors to potentially beat the paper if they choose it this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247407630}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent favored scissors in the last two rounds, so they might expect us to pick rock this time. If they switch to paper to counter rock, our scissors can beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247425313}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has previously chosen rock in Round 3 and scissors in Round 6, suggesting they might favor more aggressive plays. To counter a potential return to rock, I will choose paper to ensure a win if they stick to that choice, while also being prepared for their potential switch to scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247429671}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent’s move history, they might follow their earlier pattern of playing rock after playing paper, so choosing paper would beat a potential rock. Therefore, I choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247444568}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"It\'s likely that my opponent will choose rock, since they have frequently countered my previous paper choice effectively. By choosing scissors, I can exploit this tendency and have a chance to win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247448885}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used scissors quite a lot so far, so I\'m betting on them choosing scissors again. Rock would beat scissors. I\'ll choose rock to try to secure a win for round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247468618}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has won twice with scissors and paper. They are likely to choose rock again to counter my previous choice of scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247498100}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"It’s hard to be certain, but given your opponent has chosen scissors most often and their recent paper-scissors-paper pattern, I’ll guess they’ll come back with scissors and choose rock to counter that.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247555011}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has lost the last round and might try to counter my previous winning move which was paper. Since my last choice was paper against rock and I won, there\'s a chance they might choose scissors this time. To counter that, I will choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247558953}]','2025-03-17 21:24:20','2025-03-17 21:39:18',2),(2682,7,11,6,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": 4, \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": 5}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (high)\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"duration\": 390040, \"winner_id\": 6, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -10, \"newRating\": 1151, \"oldRating\": 1161}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet\", \"change\": 10, \"newRating\": 1298, \"oldRating\": 1288}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -10, \"newRating\": 1151, \"oldRating\": 1161}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 10, \"newRating\": 1298, \"oldRating\": 1288}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since this is the first round and there is no prior information about the opponent\'s move, I will choose \'paper\' to start with. It’s a balanced option when no strategic bias exists.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247392760}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Against a high-level opponent in the first round, Rock is a strong opening move. Many skilled players tend to choose Scissors as their opening move, thinking it\'s less predictable. Additionally, Rock is psychologically perceived as a strong and stable choice, making it a solid option for the first round where we have no previous patterns to analyze.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247400938}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, my opponent chose rock and lost against my paper. Often, players who lose with rock may shift to paper in the next round (following a lose‐shift pattern), as paper beats rock. If the opponent adopts this behavior, then choosing scissors would counter their potential paper move. Thus, in round 2 I\'ll go with scissors to capitalize on that anticipated adjustment.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247424494}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might expect me to counter their previous paper move with scissors, so they could switch to rock. By choosing paper, I can win against rock while also winning if they stick with their previous paper choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247433175}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s previous moves — first choosing rock, then paper — it’s reasonable to suspect a cyclic pattern (rock, paper, scissors). If this pattern continues, the opponent might choose scissors in round 3, so I will choose rock to beat scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247441086}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used paper and scissors in previous rounds but not rock yet. They seem to be playing adaptively and successfully countering our moves. Since rock is their unused option, they may play it this round, making paper a strategic counter-choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247451720}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing previous rounds, the opponent’s moves were rock, paper, and paper. With paper having appeared twice, it seems likely the opponent could choose paper again. Scissors is the best choice against paper, so I choose scissors for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247465671}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may expect me to continue with paper after my recent win, so they might choose scissors to counter. By choosing rock, I can potentially beat their scissors. Additionally, the opponent hasn\'t repeated any move in consecutive rounds yet, making rock a reasonable counter to their potential next move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247496266}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s previous moves—rock in rounds 1 and 4 and paper in rounds 2 and 3—it appears that the opponent is only using rock and paper. Given this, choosing paper is a risk-averse strategy: if the opponent plays rock (which they did in rounds 1 and 4), paper wins; if they play paper (rounds 2 and 3), it\'s a tie rather than a loss (which is what would happen if I chose scissors against rock). With the score tied at 2-2 and wanting to avoid unnecessary risk, paper provides the most balanced option for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247555396}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a tendency to use scissors (2 times out of 4 rounds) but never used the same move three times. They might expect us to play paper to counter their previous rock move, so scissors would be effective. Additionally, if they anticipate us repeating rock (since it worked last round) and play paper, scissors would win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247566206}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent’s moves, his choices in rounds 3–5 were exactly the moves that would beat my own (rock countered with paper, scissors with rock, and paper with scissors). However, his earlier rounds (rounds 1–2) did not match a strict reactive pattern. This leaves me with two possibilities: either he’s following a fixed counter‐strategy (in which every move would lose for me) or his moves are more variable. His frequency so far is rock: 2 rounds, paper: 2 rounds, and scissors: 1 round. If he’s random (or trying to equalize frequencies), he might lean on rock and paper more often. Since my paper beats rock, using paper gives about a 40% win chance if his bias holds (while the other choices have lower odds). Given that I’m behind in score, I need to maximize my winning chances. With these considerations, I choose paper for round 6.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247646235}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used rock the least so far and might play it to counter our previous successful scissors move. They also tend to switch strategies after losing. Paper would beat their likely rock play while also protecting against a potential pattern break where they might stick with paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247657518}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s previous moves – notably playing paper three times (rounds 2, 3, and 6) – and my need to close the score gap, I lean towards a counter strategy. Scissors beats paper, and statistically the opponent appears to favor paper. Although there’s some risk if he shifts to rock, the probability favors using scissors. Thus, for round 7, I choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247669306}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of using paper frequently but just used it twice in a row. They might expect me to counter with scissors and thus play rock, so I\'m choosing paper to beat their potential rock move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247681808}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s pattern shows a heavy use of paper (rounds 2, 3, 6, and 7), and based on previous rounds this has proven effective. To counter a likely repeating tendency towards paper, I will choose scissors, which directly beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247692885}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing rock as a strategic defensive move. The opponent has shown a preference for scissors throughout the game, using it three times including the last round. If they repeat scissors, rock will win. Even if they anticipate this and choose paper, we still have two more rounds to recover. Additionally, rock has been my most successful move so far, winning against scissors in round 4.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247707161}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing Claude 3.5 Sonnet’s previous moves, paper has been his dominant choice (used in 4 out of 8 rounds) compared to rock (3 times) and scissors (once). Given that scissors wins against paper and has brought me wins before (rounds 2 and 7), I expect a high chance he might use paper again. Although there is a risk if he anticipates scissors and switches to rock (which lost to scissors in round 8), the statistical edge and past pattern suggest that choosing scissors maximizes my win probability in round 9. \", \"timestamp\": 1742247741745}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has used scissors in the last two rounds and might switch to rock. Playing paper would beat their rock if they make this switch. While risky, this could secure my game victory if successful.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247752069}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the past rounds, the opponent chose paper in 5 out of 9 rounds, rock in 3, and scissors only once. Since scissors beats paper, and given that the opponent appears to favor paper, I will choose scissors for round 10.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247765419}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has heavily favored scissors (6 out of 9 rounds, including the last 2 rounds), and this is the game-deciding round. Rock will beat their most common choice, and given their strong scissors preference, it\'s the most strategic option for this crucial final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247778690}]','2025-03-17 21:25:20','2025-03-17 21:42:58',6),(2683,7,15,1,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 3, \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 0}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}], \"players\": [\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"gpt-4o\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"duration\": 162570, \"winner_id\": 1, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": -10, \"newRating\": 1103, \"oldRating\": 1113}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": 10, \"newRating\": 1272, \"oldRating\": 1262}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -10, \"newRating\": 1103, \"oldRating\": 1113}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 10, \"newRating\": 1272, \"oldRating\": 1262}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with rock as it is a neutral choice and gives me an equal chance of winning or losing.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247402427}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Since this is the first move, no prior pattern exists, so I will pick rock as a baseline.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247406599}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the previous round was a tie with both choosing rock, I will choose paper to potentially take the lead in case the opponent chooses rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247412804}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent chose rock in the previous round, they might change their move to counter something I might choose next (e.g., expecting me to choose scissors). Therefore, to play unpredictably, I\'ll choose paper, which beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247417769}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the previous two rounds were ties, I will choose scissors in round 3, hoping to take advantage of the pattern that the opponent might also choose a move that would result in a tie, such as paper, which scissors can cut and win against.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247424061}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s behavior so far, it seems to be mirroring or matching choices strategically. To counter this, I will choose scissors, as it might break the pattern and give me a chance to win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247428168}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since all previous rounds were ties, I will choose rock to see if the opponent will deviate from their previous strategy\", \"timestamp\": 1742247434087}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"All previous rounds have been ties, which suggests that the opponent may not follow the same randomized pattern as a human. I will choose rock to adopt a balanced and slightly unpredictable strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247438110}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since all previous rounds have been ties, I will choose paper for round 5, hoping to break the tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247443597}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the last four rounds, the opponent consistently matched my choices. To potentially catch them off guard, I will switch to scissors, expecting they might pick something different.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247447588}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since all previous rounds have been ties except for the last one where the opponent won with scissors against my paper, I will choose rock to try and take the lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247453734}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to have repeated choices that match mine for the first four rounds. However, in round 5, I won with scissors beating their paper. Given this, the opponent may anticipate that I could continue using scissors and might switch to rock to counter it. To stay ahead, I will choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247458165}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has won the last two rounds, and since they chose scissors in round 5 and paper in round 6, I will choose rock to try and beat their potential scissors choice\", \"timestamp\": 1742247465000}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s past pattern, it has often repeated the same choice or gone in a loop. To counter most possibilities, I choose rock since it is the strongest against the expected variability.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247495006}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that the previous rounds have resulted in mostly ties, with the opponent winning two rounds and the score being 0-2, it\'s essential to break this pattern. The opponent has won with scissors once and paper once. Considering the last round was a tie with both choosing rock, I will choose paper this round because it beats rock, which the opponent chose last round, and it gives me a chance to win since the opponent hasn\'t won with rock yet.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247502194}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In previous rounds, Llama 3.3 has often followed a pattern of tying with our choice unless we make aggressive strategic moves. Since we are slightly ahead, I\'ll choose paper to counteract if it decides to use rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247506516}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has won two rounds, both with paper, and the rest have been ties, I\'ll try to exploit this pattern by choosing scissors to beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247512867}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In past rounds, my opponent seems to follow a pattern of mirroring moves frequently. Given that they\'ve shown repetitive behavior, I will choose scissors to counter if they repeat paper again or deviate slightly.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247517251}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the score is 0-2 and this is the last round, I need to win. Given the history, both players have been choosing the same move frequently, resulting in ties. To win, I should choose a move that beats the most frequently chosen move by the opponent. The opponent has chosen rock and paper more often than scissors when not tying. Therefore, I should choose a move that can potentially beat both rock and paper. However, since I need a guaranteed win, I will choose a move that has a higher chance of winning based on the pattern. The opponent has not been choosing scissors often when not tying, so I will choose rock to beat scissors if the opponent decides to choose scissors, or I will choose paper to beat rock if the opponent decides to choose rock. However, the opponent could choose paper to beat rock, so I should choose scissors to beat paper. Considering the opponent\'s history of choosing rock and paper more often, the best choice would be to choose scissors and hope the opponent chooses paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247556184}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds, my opponent is consistently choosing the same as me. To attempt to win, I\'ll anticipate this and choose rock, banking on their likely choice of scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247560162}]','2025-03-17 21:26:20','2025-03-17 21:39:20',1),(2684,7,15,8,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 3, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 4}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"duration\": 272350, \"winner_id\": 8, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": -10, \"newRating\": 1093, \"oldRating\": 1103}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 10, \"newRating\": 1240, \"oldRating\": 1230}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -10, \"newRating\": 1093, \"oldRating\": 1103}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 10, \"newRating\": 1240, \"oldRating\": 1230}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with rock as it is a classic and neutral choice\", \"timestamp\": 1742247457196}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the opening round, I\'m choosing paper as my first move. Rock is statistically a common first choice for many players due to its perceived strength, so paper would be a strategic counter. Since I don\'t have any prior information about my opponent\'s pattern yet, this gives me a reasonable starting position. After this round, I\'ll be able to begin analyzing if there are any patterns to Llama 3.3\'s play style.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247495405}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent chose paper in the previous round, I\'m going to choose scissors in this round to try and beat them.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247501215}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I won with paper in the previous round, my opponent might anticipate me sticking with paper and counter with scissors. By playing rock, I can counter this potential strategy. Additionally, playing rock would at worst result in a tie if my opponent also plays rock again, rather than a loss. With limited pattern data after just one round, this strategic adjustment seems prudent while I gather more information about my opponent\'s playing style.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247514845}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m trying to beat Claude 3.7 sonnet, and since they won the last two rounds, I\'ll try to mix it up and choose paper this time, hoping they\'ll choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247520873}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m noticing my opponent has played rock followed by scissors in the first two rounds. There\'s a reasonable chance they might play paper this round to complete a cycle or to counter what they think I might play. Additionally, I haven\'t used scissors yet, which adds some unpredictability to my strategy. My opponent might expect me to continue my own pattern (paper→rock→?), so scissors is a good tactical choice that breaks any pattern they might be anticipating.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247556405}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has won all the previous rounds, it\'s difficult to identify a pattern. However, I notice that the opponent has chosen paper, rock, and scissors in the previous rounds. To try and gain an advantage, I\'ll choose rock, which beats scissors. This might encourage the opponent to choose scissors, thinking I\'ll choose paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247563535}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I\'ve won with all three options in sequence (paper, rock, scissors), my opponent might expect me to continue this cycle and choose paper next. They might choose scissors to counter that expected move. By choosing rock instead, I\'m breaking my own pattern while also countering the scissors they might play. Additionally, given that they\'ve lost three rounds in a row, they might change their strategy entirely, making this a good time for me to be unpredictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247579589}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m trying to break the pattern of losses by choosing a move that could potentially beat the opponent\'s previous move, and also taking into account the tied round where both chose rock. Given that the opponent has been winning with paper, rock, and scissors respectively, I\'m going to choose paper as it beats rock and gives me a chance to win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247588723}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern of my opponent\'s play, they\'ve just used rock and might switch to scissors anticipating I\'ll choose paper. By choosing rock, I can counter their potential scissors play. Additionally, since we just had a tie with rock-rock, the opponent might expect me to change my move, making rock a somewhat unexpected choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247602568}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern of the game, Claude 3.7 sonnet has chosen rock and paper more frequently than scissors. Given that the opponent chose rock in the previous round, I will choose paper to increase the chances of winning this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247608791}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent appears to be adapting to my strategy, likely expecting me to switch to paper or scissors after my recent loss. If they anticipate I\'ll choose paper (a natural counter to their winning paper move), they\'ll likely play scissors. By choosing rock, I can counter this potential scissors play. Additionally, since they\'ve only played paper once so far, they might not repeat it immediately, making rock a calculated risk with good potential payoff.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247624934}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude 3.7 sonnet (high) has not chosen scissors yet, and considering the previous rounds, it is likely that the opponent will choose rock or paper. Since I have won the last two rounds with paper, I will choose scissors this time to possibly take advantage of the opponent\'s potential choice of paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247631384}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing scissors to break my pattern of playing rock. Since the opponent has played paper the last two rounds and won, they might continue with that successful strategy, in which case scissors would win. Even if they anticipate my switch, taking this calculated risk seems better than continuing with rock which has lost me the last two rounds. This move disrupts any pattern the opponent might have detected.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247650536}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, my opponent has chosen rock multiple times, and I have had success with paper in rounds 5 and 6. I will choose paper again to try and take the lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247656462}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the game history, I believe the opponent will anticipate me switching to rock after our scissors tie, and they\'ll play paper to counter. By choosing scissors again, I can potentially beat their paper. Additionally, the opponent has shown a tendency to counter predictable patterns, so maintaining scissors when they might expect a change could be advantageous.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247673350}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m going to choose rock because the opponent has chosen rock in rounds 4, 5, and 6, and I\'ve had success with paper in those rounds. However, since I won with paper in rounds 5 and 6, the opponent may expect me to choose paper again, so I\'ll choose rock to counter their potential choice of scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247680562}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on my opponent\'s clear pattern of frequently choosing paper (4 out of 8 rounds, including the last round), scissors is my best strategic choice. While they might try to counter my previous winning move, their historical preference for paper makes scissors the highest probability play. This would give me my 5th win and secure the overall game victory regardless of the final round\'s outcome.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247699592}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I need to win this round to tie the game, and since the opponent has chosen rock and scissors in the previous rounds, I will choose paper to increase my chances of winning, considering that paper beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247706106}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After using scissors heavily in recent rounds (and losing to rock in round 9), my opponent might anticipate I\'ll switch to rock as a natural response. By choosing paper, I can counter this potential rock play. Additionally, I\'ve only used paper once in the entire game (round 1), making it my least predictable move. Even if my opponent chooses scissors expecting this adjustment, a loss would still leave me tied at 4-4 in the overall match. Given my current lead, this balanced approach offers the best strategic value.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247725529}]','2025-03-17 21:26:21','2025-03-17 21:42:05',8),(2685,7,14,11,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 1, \"o3-mini - (high)\": 3}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}], \"players\": [\"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"o3-mini - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"duration\": 375075, \"winner_id\": 11, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": -17, \"newRating\": 1159, \"oldRating\": 1176}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": 17, \"newRating\": 1168, \"oldRating\": 1151}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -17, \"newRating\": 1159, \"oldRating\": 1176}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 17, \"newRating\": 1168, \"oldRating\": 1151}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"First round, choosing randomly.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247468564}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing rock as a bold and solid starting move. Rock has a straightforward, versatile profile that allows me to gauge my opponent\'s style early on. By opening with rock, I encourage a natural flow into the game, setting the tone for the strategy to adapt based on my opponent\'s responses.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247502132}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The first round was a tie with rock. My opponent may switch. Paper beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247508300}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1 we both chose rock, which led to a tie. For round 2, I anticipate that the opponent might stick with rock or try to adjust, so I choose paper to counter rock. This gives me a potential advantage if they do play rock again, and it’s a balanced move given the information so far.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247517417}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Trying scissors to break the tie and see if the opponent is mirroring moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247522903}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that in the first two rounds both moves were identical—rock in Round 1 and paper in Round 2—it seems plausible that Gemini Flash 2.0 is following a simple cycle: rock, paper, scissors. If that pattern continues, they are likely to choose scissors in Round 3. Since rock beats scissors, I\'ll go with rock for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247590191}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock in 2 of the 3 rounds. I will try paper to counter rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247595576}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent’s moves so far – round 1: rock, round 2: paper, and round 3: scissors – it appears they might be cycling through the three moves. If this pattern continues, round 4 is likely to be rock. In that case, choosing paper will beat rock, putting me in a favorable position for round 4.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247607707}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock twice and paper twice. Scissors beats paper, so it might be a good choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247610611}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Reviewing the past rounds, my moves were alternating between rock and paper (rock, paper, rock, paper), which might make my next move predictable as rock. However, Gemini Flash 2.0’s moves (rock, paper, scissors, paper) suggest he’s adjusting his play. If he expects a rock and might counter with paper, then deviating with scissors would beat paper. Therefore, I choose scissors for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247640515}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to be playing randomly, so I will too.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247643616}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent’s moves, I noticed a pattern from round 2 onward: they alternated between paper and scissors (round2-paper, round3-scissors, round4-paper, round5-scissors). If this pattern continues, it’s likely they’ll choose paper in round 6. Since scissors beats paper, I choose scissors for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247667969}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing paper to avoid being predictable and hoping to win against a random opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247673319}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds reveals that the opponent’s moves have been perfectly balanced – rock, paper, scissors, paper, scissors, rock – a pattern that hints at a 6‐round cycle. If this cycle repeats, round 7 should mirror round 1 (rock). Since paper beats rock, I choose paper to try and secure the win in round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247709917}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The game is very tied. The opponent seems to be playing randomly, with no clear pattern. I will choose rock, hoping to win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247715926}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I analyzed the opponent\'s moves from previous rounds: round 1: rock, round 2: paper, round 3: scissors, round 4: paper, round 5: scissors, round 6: rock, and round 7: paper. This suggests a possible repeating sequence: rock, paper, scissors, paper, scissors, rock, paper, ... which indicates that round 8 will likely be scissors. Since rock beats scissors, I choose rock for round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247738492}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has played rock and paper frequently, scissors counters paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247743522}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I noticed that in the earlier rounds, Gemini Flash 2.0 seems to be cycling through a set of moves—a sort of 3‐round block where each move (rock, paper, scissors) appears exactly once. In rounds 1–3, the opponent played rock, paper, and scissors. In rounds 4–6, they played paper, scissors, and rock. In rounds 7–8, their moves were paper then rock, leaving scissors as the missing third move. To beat an expected scissors, I’ll choose rock for round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247790281}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock in rounds 3 and 9, and has had many ties. I will try to play paper to beat their rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247793448}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds, I noticed that Gemini Flash 2.0’s moves are balanced: in 9 rounds he’s played rock, paper, and scissors exactly 3 times each. Looking closer at the sequence by round positions (rounds 1,4,7 being the 1st in groups of 3), I see that rounds 4 and 7 were both paper. Since round 10 is also in that position (10 mod 3 = 1), it’s likely that he’ll choose paper in the final round. And since scissors beat paper, I choose scissors for round 10 to win the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247841542}]','2025-03-17 21:27:20','2025-03-17 21:44:01',11),(2686,7,6,10,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": 2, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": 3}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"duration\": 267994, \"winner_id\": 10, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet\", \"change\": -17, \"newRating\": 1281, \"oldRating\": 1298}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 17, \"newRating\": 1292, \"oldRating\": 1275}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -17, \"newRating\": 1281, \"oldRating\": 1298}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 17, \"newRating\": 1292, \"oldRating\": 1275}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opening with paper is a strategic choice as many players tend to select rock in their first move. Paper beats rock, and while this is a simple strategy, it\'s effective against common opening patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247568130}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing paper as many players tend to open with rock since it feels like a strong, safe option. Without any prior knowledge of my opponent\'s patterns, this is a strategic opening move. If my opponent chooses rock, I\'ll win; if they choose scissors, I\'ll lose; and if they also choose paper, we\'ll draw. Since this is just the first of ten rounds, I\'ll be able to adjust my strategy based on what I learn about my opponent\'s choices in subsequent rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247581978}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After a paper-paper tie in round 1, choosing scissors could win if opponent repeats paper, while also being a reasonable prediction of opponent\'s possible strategy shift. While this carries the risk of losing to rock, it\'s a calculated risk worth taking at this early stage of the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247590759}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After our tied paper-paper round, my opponent might anticipate me staying with paper and choose scissors to counter. By choosing rock, I can potentially beat their scissors. Additionally, many players tend to shift to a different move after a tie, with scissors being a logical next choice as it would beat our previous paper move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247605421}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After losing to rock in round 2, anticipating opponent might use rock again expecting us to avoid scissors. Paper beats rock and gives us the best chance to score a needed win while behind in the match.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247615465}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent chose scissors in the last round and lost. Players often switch to what would have beaten their previous move, which would be rock in this case (to beat their scissors). Additionally, since I won with rock last round, my opponent might anticipate me using rock again and choose paper to counter it. By choosing paper myself, I can beat a potential rock move from my opponent. While this leaves me vulnerable if they choose scissors again, the psychological tendency to avoid repeating a losing move makes this less likely.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247629189}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown preference for paper and rock, but hasn\'t used scissors yet. They might use scissors this round to complete their move set. Rock would beat scissors if they do. Additionally, this breaks my pattern of paper and scissors usage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247638413}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen paper twice out of three rounds, showing a possible preference for paper. While they might anticipate me countering with scissors and choose rock, the data suggests paper is their most frequent choice. Since scissors beats paper, this seems like the optimal strategic move for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247654501}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern of changing moves after losses and their tendency to use Paper, I\'m predicting they might choose Paper to counter an expected Rock from me (since Rock just won). By choosing Scissors, I aim to counter their potential Paper play, while accepting the risk they might choose Rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247667511}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the previous rounds, I notice my opponent might be developing a pattern. In rounds 3 and 4, they chose moves that would counter what I played two rounds earlier. After my paper play in round 3, they chose rock in round 4 (which beats scissors, a natural counter to paper). Following this logic, they may play scissors in round 5 to counter my paper from round 3. Additionally, we\'ve seen my opponent use paper twice and then moved to rock - they haven\'t played scissors since round 2, making it a likely choice now. Rock would be my best counter to their potential scissors play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247683277}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a pattern of countering scissors with rock, which might make them think I\'ll avoid scissors. Anticipating they might choose paper expecting me to play conservatively with rock, I\'m choosing scissors to potentially catch them off guard and even the score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247693047}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper 40% of the time so far, and hasn\'t lost when playing paper. They might return to paper after losing with scissors in the previous round. Additionally, considering the expected value against their historical move distribution, scissors gives me the best chance of success. While the opponent might anticipate me choosing rock again after my recent wins, I\'ll break that pattern with scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247712387}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on previous rounds, the opponent has shown a tendency to use rock to counter scissors plays. After our mutual scissors choice in round 6, they might expect another scissors play and choose rock, which paper would beat. Additionally, their moves have been balanced so far, making rock a likely next choice since they haven\'t used it recently.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247721739}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our previous rounds, there\'s no clear pattern in my opponent\'s choices. They\'ve played scissors twice in a row now (rounds 5 and 6). After consecutive scissors plays, opponents often switch to rock, thinking I might continue with scissors. If they play rock, my paper will win. Even though this risks losing to scissors, I currently have a score advantage (2-1), which gives me room for this calculated risk. Additionally, we\'ve had two paper vs paper ties already, suggesting my opponent might not expect me to choose paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247739161}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a preference for paper (used 3 times). While there\'s a risk of them using rock (which they\'ve done successfully against scissors before), we need to take calculated risks to catch up in score. Breaking the pattern of paper-vs-paper ties could give us an advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247748723}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern of our previous rounds, I notice the opponent has chosen paper 3 times, scissors 3 times, but rock only once. Additionally, after the opponent plays paper (as in round 7), they\'ve previously followed with scissors twice. If they continue this pattern and play scissors, my rock would win. I also have a 2-1 lead and need to play strategically to maintain it. Rock seems to offer the best balance of offensive potential and defensive coverage against possible opponent moves at this stage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247766855}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of using rock to counter scissors plays, making paper a strong counter-choice. While there have been multiple paper ties, the opponent might avoid paper this round due to those previous ties. Given the score situation, this calculated risk is necessary to maintain a chance at tying the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247776231}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern, my opponent has chosen scissors in 4 out of 8 rounds (50% of the time), including 3 of the last 4 rounds. This tendency toward scissors makes rock a strong strategic choice. Additionally, rock has been my most successful move, winning all 3 times I\'ve played it. With a current lead of 3-1, winning this round would secure my overall victory regardless of the final round\'s outcome. While there\'s a chance my opponent might anticipate this and switch to paper, their demonstrated preference for scissors makes rock the highest probability play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247794103}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a preference for rock but might anticipate me countering with paper and choose scissors. Rock is a safe choice that could either win against scissors or tie against another rock. Given their pattern of adapting to counter my moves, they might expect paper from me and choose scissors, making rock the optimal choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247805947}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern, my opponent has chosen scissors in rounds 2, 5, 6, and 8 - appearing more frequently in even-numbered rounds (like this round 10). They\'ve also only chosen rock once throughout the game. After I chose rock in round 9, they countered with paper and won. They might expect me to switch to paper now, which could lead them to play scissors. Additionally, rock has been my most successful move (winning 3 out of 4 times). Since I\'m leading 3-2, a win or tie secures my victory, making rock a relatively safe choice against their potential scissors play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247826998}]','2025-03-17 21:28:20','2025-03-17 21:43:46',10),(2687,7,6,7,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": 5, \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": 2}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"duration\": 189440, \"winner_id\": 6, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet\", \"change\": 11, \"newRating\": 1288, \"oldRating\": 1277}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -11, \"newRating\": 1157, \"oldRating\": 1168}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 11, \"newRating\": 1288, \"oldRating\": 1277}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -11, \"newRating\": 1157, \"oldRating\": 1168}}}}','[{\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opening with scissors as it could be effective against opponents who anticipate a common \\\"rock\\\" first move and choose paper. Additionally, since this is the first round, this move helps establish unpredictability.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247570122}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m selecting scissors as my opening move. Since this is the beginning of the game, there\'s no pattern established yet. Scissors is a strategic first choice as it can win against paper, which is often a common opening move in Rock Paper Scissors since it appears less aggressive than rock. Without any prior history to analyze, this is a reasonable starting move to test my opponent\'s strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247576825}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After a mutual scissors play, opponents often switch to rock. Playing paper counters this common tendency while also accounting for the possibility that the opponent might try to continue with scissors expecting a rock play from me.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247590025}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Since we both played scissors in round 1, my opponent might anticipate me continuing with scissors or switching to paper (which beats rock). By choosing rock, I\'ll beat scissors if they stay consistent, and tie if they also predict this logic and choose rock. This is a strategic counter to the most likely move my opponent might make based on the previous round\'s tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247597560}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent may try to counter my previous paper play with scissors, or might use their unused paper option. Rock provides good coverage against scissors and is a calculated risk against potential paper play. Additionally, after losing with rock previously, opponent might be hesitant to use it again, reducing the chance of a tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247608788}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m currently behind 0-1, so I need to start winning rounds. Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent tied with scissors in round 1, then countered my rock with paper in round 2. This suggests they might be using a counter-strategy or following a pattern. Since they chose paper last time, they might anticipate me choosing paper and go with scissors, or they might stick with paper expecting me to choose rock again. I\'ll choose paper to either tie if they choose paper again, or win if they choose rock to counter what they might think is my pattern of cycling through options.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247616475}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern analysis, the opponent may expect me to switch to paper after losing with rock. If they try to counter this expected paper play with scissors, my rock choice would win. Additionally, this creates an interesting mind game as it shows I\'m willing to repeat a move that just lost, which might make my future moves less predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247628937}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, there appears to be a pattern in the opponent\'s choices: scissors → paper → rock. If this pattern continues, the opponent might choose scissors in round 4. To counter scissors, I would normally choose rock. However, considering that the opponent might be analyzing my moves as well, they might anticipate me choosing rock and switch to paper instead. In that case, scissors would beat their paper. Additionally, I\'ve only used scissors once so far (in round 1), which resulted in a tie, so the opponent might not expect me to use it again so soon. Given these considerations and the limited pattern data available, I\'ll choose scissors for round 4.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247635760}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent may expect me to stick with rock after winning with it. Paper would beat rock if they try to reset to their round 2 choice, and would tie against paper if they try to counter my previous rock play. While this risks losing to scissors, opponent just lost with scissors and might avoid it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247647154}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our match history, I notice patterns in both our choices. My opponent has played rock twice, paper once, and scissors once. There appears to be a slight preference for rock, which just beat my scissors in the previous round. Players often repeat successful moves, so there\'s a reasonable chance my opponent will play rock again. Additionally, I\'ve not played paper since round 3 (when I won), making it less predictable. While this is partly psychological reasoning and not guaranteed, choosing paper gives me a good chance to counter a potential rock play, which would help me catch up from my current 1-2 deficit.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247654582}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s alternating pattern between aggressive and defensive moves, and following the last tie with paper, they may anticipate me switching to scissors and thus play rock. Therefore, I\'m choosing paper to counter their potential rock move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247661978}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern, they\'ve shown a preference for rock in previous rounds. If they continue with any pattern recognition, they might choose rock again to counter my previous paper play (which was a tie). Furthermore, the opponent has played rock after I played scissors in round 3, and might repeat this pattern after I played paper in round 5. Paper beats rock, so this gives me a good chance to win this round and even the score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247670838}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a pattern of playing paper recently, which might lead them to expect me to counter with scissors. By playing rock, I protect against a potential scissors play if they try to break their pattern, while accepting the risk of losing to another paper play. Since I\'m leading in score, I can afford to make this defensive play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247680550}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing scissors because the opponent has played paper in the last two rounds, resulting in ties. This suggests they might choose paper again, expecting me to continue the same pattern. By switching to scissors, I can potentially counter their paper move. Additionally, the opponent has only played scissors once in the first 6 rounds, making it statistically less likely they\'ll play scissors now. While this is a risk as they might play rock again, I need to make a strategic move to catch up on points.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247689495}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent shows a pattern of alternating between paper and scissors in recent rounds, with their last move being scissors. Based on this pattern, they might play paper next. Additionally, they have shown a preference for paper and scissors over rock throughout the game, making scissors a strategically sound choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247700006}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, my opponent has chosen rock 3 times, paper 3 times, and scissors once. There seems to be a slight preference for rock and paper. In particular, when I\'ve chosen scissors (rounds 1, 4, and 7), my opponent has chosen scissors once and rock twice. This suggests they may be anticipating scissors again and choose rock. Given this pattern and the fact that I need to catch up in score (currently 1-3), I\'ll choose paper to counter a potential rock play by my opponent. While this is somewhat risky if they choose scissors, based on their previous pattern, paper seems to be the most strategic choice for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247707894}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a strong preference for paper (used 4 times), and just used paper in the previous round. Given my commanding lead in the score (4-1), I can take the aggressive approach with scissors, which would win against their favored move (paper).\", \"timestamp\": 1742247721265}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern analysis, I notice the opponent has played rock three times, paper three times, and scissors twice. Their most recent moves show they\'ve been countering your choices effectively. You\'ve chosen paper in rounds 5, 6, and 8, and scissors in rounds 1, 4, and 7. The opponent seems to anticipate your moves, so I\'m choosing rock for this round as you haven\'t played it since round 2. Additionally, the opponent has shown a tendency to play rock after you play scissors (as in rounds 4 and 7), so given your scissors play was countered by rock twice, they might expect you to switch to paper and thus play scissors themselves, which would make rock a winning move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247730528}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"With a 4-2 lead, I can play strategically. Paper is a balanced choice that works well against potential rock (which opponent just played) and ensures overall game victory even if I lose this round. The opponent has shown a pattern of mixing up their moves after decisive rounds, and paper gives me good winning chances while protecting my overall lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247740941}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern of plays, my opponent has chosen rock 3 times, paper 3 times, and scissors 3 times. Given this relatively balanced distribution, I need to consider what my opponent might anticipate me doing. The opponent won the last time I played scissors (Round 7) by playing rock, and I won the last round (Round 9) by playing rock against their scissors. The opponent might expect me to continue with rock after that success or switch to paper to counter an anticipated rock from them. However, the opponent has shown a tendency to counter my previous moves. Since I just played rock and won, they might expect me to play rock again and counter with paper. Therefore, I\'ll play rock, anticipating that my opponent might try to be clever by playing scissors, thinking I\'d switch to paper to counter their expected rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247749636}]','2025-03-17 21:28:21','2025-03-17 21:42:29',6),(2688,7,2,11,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": 5, \"o3-mini - (high)\": 3}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4o-mini\", \"o3-mini - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"duration\": 252187, \"winner_id\": 2, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-mini\", \"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1255, \"oldRating\": 1242}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1155, \"oldRating\": 1168}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1255, \"oldRating\": 1242}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1155, \"oldRating\": 1168}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose rock for this round because it is a strong opening move. It beats scissors, which is a popular choice against a new opponent, and provides a solid foundation for the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247602392}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round, I choose rock to start strong, and as rock is a common open move, it sets a straightforward strategy for the ensuing rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247607585}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I chose rock in the first round, and so did my opponent. It\'s possible that they might switch to paper to try and gain an advantage. To counter that, I will choose scissors this round, which beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247612156}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I chose paper because in round 1 we both picked rock. Assuming there might be a tendency to repeat, paper would be a smart counter if the opponent picks rock again, and it provides a fresh strategy in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247621604}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I won the last round with scissors, my opponent might anticipate that I would switch to a stronger move. However, it’s also possible they would choose something that beats scissors, like rock. To counter this potential choice, I will select paper, which would beat rock should the opponent choose it, while also providing an opportunity to win if they choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247625534}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 2, the opponent won by playing scissors. Players often stick with a winning move, so it\'s likely they\'ll repeat scissors. Since rock beats scissors, I choose rock for round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247642766}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I won the last two rounds using scissors and then paper, my opponent might expect me to continue with the trend of beating their last choice. They might opt for scissors to counteract my paper. Therefore, I will choose rock to counter their potential scissors and secure another win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247647305}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds, the opponent played rock, scissors, and paper. This appears to be a cycle (rock → scissors → paper), so if this pattern continues, round 4 might be rock. To beat rock, I choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247654255}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Expecting the opponent to choose rock after their last win, and paper beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247662053}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I noticed the opponent\'s moves seem to follow a repeating cycle: round 1 was rock, round 2 scissors, round 3 paper, and round 4 rock. This suggests that in round 5, the opponent might play scissors. Since rock beats scissors, I choose rock for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247671933}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I anticipate my opponent may switch to paper after losing to my paper in the previous round. Choosing scissors will allow me to win if they play paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247688361}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Examining the previous rounds, my repeated use of rock was often countered with opponent’s paper, leading to losses. By mixing in scissors this round, I aim to exploit the opponent\'s tendency to play paper (as seen in rounds 3 and 5) while breaking my own predictable pattern. Therefore, I choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247706421}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper twice (in rounds 3 and 5) and rock once (in round 4). Considering my previous choices, I believe the opponent might switch to a potentially winning move or stick with paper. Given this, I will choose scissors to counter the potential switch to rock. If the opponent stays with paper, I will win, and if they choose rock, I will lose, but overall I think choosing scissors is my best chance this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247710666}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent’s moves, we see a pattern: rounds 1 and 4 were both Rock, suggesting that in a pattern with a 3‐round cycle, the first move is Rock. With round 7 being the start of a new cycle, it’s likely that the opponent will choose Rock again. Since Paper beats Rock, my best move is to play Paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247756824}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has previously chosen paper twice and rock once. Given the score situation and their potential for a counter strategy, I will choose scissors to try and win against a potential paper choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247760645}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, the opponent has chosen scissors 3 times (rounds 2, 6, and 7), which is more often than rock or paper. The tendency to use scissors suggests that rock, which beats scissors, is a strong counter move for round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247773221}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has picked rock twice in previous rounds (Round 4 and Round 8), and they may be inclined to continue using rock to regain momentum. I will choose paper to counter that and hopefully secure a win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247780758}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds, the opponent has been favoring scissors in the later rounds (scissors in rounds 6, 7, and 8), while my win with rock in round 8 capitalized on that trend. Given that scissors is the most frequent move in the recent rounds, rock seems the best counter. With the score needing a win to close the gap, I\'ll choose rock for round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247814788}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I am choosing scissors to counter the possible repeated choice of rock or paper from my opponent, considering their past tendencies.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247821366}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds, the opponent has most frequently chosen scissors (4 out of 9 rounds) followed by paper (3 out of 9) and rarely rock (2 out of 9). To beat scissors, rock is the best counter-move, which maximizes the chance of winning the final round. Therefore, I choose rock for round 10.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247851670}]','2025-03-17 21:29:20','2025-03-17 21:44:11',2),(2689,7,10,6,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": 4, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": 4}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 284323, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -1, \"newRating\": 1291, \"oldRating\": 1292}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet\", \"change\": 1, \"newRating\": 1282, \"oldRating\": 1281}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -1, \"newRating\": 1291, \"oldRating\": 1292}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 1, \"newRating\": 1282, \"oldRating\": 1281}}}}','[{\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the opening round, I\'ll choose scissors. This is a strategic choice based on the tendency of many players to select paper in the first round, as paper counters the common opening move of rock. Without any prior pattern data from my opponent, this gives me a reasonable chance to start with a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247633707}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opening rounds often see rock as a common choice as it feels safe. By choosing paper, I\'m positioning to counter this common opening strategy, especially against an AI that might use more straightforward patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247642407}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I won with scissors last round, my opponent might expect me to either stick with scissors or switch to rock (a common move after winning). They may play rock to counter my potential scissors repeat. By playing paper, I can beat rock if they make this adjustment. This avoids the predictable pattern of repeating a winning move, while anticipating that my opponent might be trying to counter my previous successful choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247656442}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After losing to scissors in round 1, choosing rock provides protection against repeated scissors play while also being a solid fundamental choice. The opponent may expect me to avoid paper after losing with it, so they might choose paper expecting me to choose rock - but I\'m willing to take that calculated risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247665101}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our game history, I\'ve won with scissors and paper so far. My opponent might expect me to play rock this round to complete the rock-paper-scissors cycle. If they anticipate this, they might play paper to counter my expected rock. By choosing scissors, I can capitalize on this potential strategy. Additionally, since my opponent has played defensively so far (paper, then rock), they might continue this pattern and play paper again, which my scissors would beat.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247677991}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a pattern of good counter-moves and hasn\'t played rock yet. They might expect us to play scissors to counter their last paper move, so rock could give us an advantage if they try to predict that pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247686268}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ve noticed the opponent used rock for the last two rounds, winning with it in round 3. There\'s a good chance they might stick with rock again since it was successful. Even if they\'re trying to be unpredictable, rock is statistically a common fallback choice in RPS. Going with paper gives me a good chance to counter a potential rock play while keeping my overall strategy varied after using scissors twice in previous rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247703266}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing paper to break my pattern of using rock and to counter a potential paper play from the opponent if they expect me to use rock again. While this is risky against their observed scissors preference, it\'s a calculated risk to remain unpredictable and potentially catch them off-guard.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247713154}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern of my opponent\'s previous moves, they seem to alternate between paper and rock. Following this pattern, they might play rock in round 5, making paper my optimal choice. Additionally, paper has worked well for me in previous rounds (1 win, 1 tie), while scissors has had mixed results (1 win, 1 loss). Since I\'m currently leading 2-1, making this strategic choice could help extend my lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247739987}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of alternating between scissors and paper, never playing rock. If they continue this pattern, they might play scissors this round. Additionally, they\'ve used scissors in 2 out of 4 rounds, making rock a strong counter-play. Even if they break their pattern, this move helps us gather information about their strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247752332}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our previous rounds, I notice I\'ve chosen paper in the last two rounds and won with it. My opponent has chosen rock 3 times out of 5 rounds, showing a preference for it. However, they\'re likely aware of both their pattern and mine at this point. Given that I\'ve had success with paper, my opponent might anticipate I\'ll choose paper again and counter with scissors. By choosing rock, I can defend against a potential scissors play while breaking my own pattern of repeated paper choices. This seems like the best strategic adjustment to stay ahead in the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247774142}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a strong preference for paper but may anticipate us trying to counter with scissors, leading them to choose scissors themselves. Rock would win in this case. While this is a risk if they choose paper again, we\'re behind in score and need to make strategic plays to catch up.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247785108}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s previous choices, they\'ve selected rock 4 times (rounds 2, 3, 5, 6) and paper twice, but never scissors. With their strong preference for rock, choosing paper gives me the best strategic advantage. While there\'s a risk they might switch to scissors (which they haven\'t played yet), the pattern suggests they\'re most comfortable with rock. Since I\'m already ahead 3-1, making a calculated move based on their historical preference seems more logical than trying to guess a potential strategy change.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247801126}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a preference for paper (3 times). By choosing scissors, I can capitalize on this pattern while breaking my own predictable rock tendency. This is also a less predictable move since I haven\'t used scissors yet in the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247810027}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, my opponent has favored rock (4 out of 7 rounds) but just successfully countered my paper with scissors. After this successful deviation, they might revert to their preferred choice (rock). Additionally, after my recent loss with paper, they might expect me to switch to rock and prepare a paper counter, which scissors would beat. This also helps break my own predictable pattern of frequently choosing paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247826618}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s heavy paper usage, they may anticipate me using scissors again after my last win and switch to scissors themselves. Rock would counter this potential adaptation while also breaking my predictable pattern. Additionally, the opponent has only used rock once in seven rounds, suggesting they might be less likely to use paper again after losing to scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247842360}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a strong preference for choosing rock (5 out of 8 rounds), including in the most recent round. While there\'s a risk they may anticipate my paper choice and counter with scissors, their historical pattern suggests rock is their most likely move. Statistically, paper gives me the best chance of winning this critical round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247864315}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a pattern of favoring paper but rarely repeating moves. They just used scissors, so they\'re likely to switch. Rock provides good coverage against potential scissors repeat and is a calculated risk against their historical paper preference.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247874440}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has shown a strong preference for choosing rock (5/9 rounds), but might expect me to play paper again and switch to scissors. By choosing rock, I can defeat scissors while only risking a tie if they stick with rock. Since I\'m ahead 4-3, a tie would still secure my overall victory, making rock the safest strategic choice for this final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247897200}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has frequently used paper to counter my tendency to choose rock. For this final round, they might anticipate me breaking my rock pattern and choose scissors to counter that. Therefore, I\'m choosing paper as it would win against rock if they try to surprise me, and at worst tie against another paper. This gives me a balanced play for the final round while avoiding being too predictable with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742247907221}]','2025-03-17 21:29:21','2025-03-17 21:45:07',NULL),