(2584,7,4,11,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (low)\": 4, \"o3-mini - (high)\": 1}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}], \"players\": [\"o1 - (low)\", \"o3-mini - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"duration\": 253224, \"winner_id\": 4, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1201, \"oldRating\": 1185}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1179, \"oldRating\": 1195}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1201, \"oldRating\": 1185}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1179, \"oldRating\": 1195}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I’ll start with rock this round as an opening choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244762647}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I opt to start with \'rock\' because it is a common, balanced choice. By choosing rock initially, I can gauge the opponent\'s reaction and adjust my strategy accordingly for later rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244778869}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The first round resulted in a tie with both sides choosing rock. There\'s no consistent pattern yet, so I\'ll switch to paper to test the opponent\'s reaction and potentially beat rock if they stick with it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244783749}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round both of us chose rock, leading to a tie. Given that the opponent is a low-level player and might repeat their move or hesitate to change, I believe switching to paper now gives me a potential advantage because paper beats rock if they decide to stick with their previous choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244793690}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the previous moves were both ties, it might be worth switching to scissors to catch the opponent off guard.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244798876}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent played rock in round 1 and paper in round 2. This could suggest a cyclic pattern where the opponent might choose scissors in round 3, or perhaps they’re copying my previous move (paper), in which case scissors would beat paper. Given these possibilities, choosing scissors ensures that if he copies (and plays paper) I win, and if he cycles (and plays scissors) I tie. Thus, scissors is the safest and most advantageous move here.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244825248}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"All previous rounds ended in a tie. We’ll switch back to rock to try to counter a potential scissors move but it\'s basically a guess at this point.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244830190}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first three rounds, both you and your opponent chose the same moves (rock, paper, scissors), resulting in ties. This pattern suggests that your opponent might be mirroring your choices. Since any move results in a tie if they mimic you, choosing rock as a simple and systematic option for round 4 seems as good as any.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244846890}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has matched our moves in every round so far, so there\'s no clear pattern to exploit. I\'ll choose rock to see if we can catch them off-guard. If the opponent continues mirroring our moves, it will just be another tie. But hopefully, we can force a win if they deviate.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244853692}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds, my moves and the opponent\'s moves have always been identical: rock, paper, scissors, rock. This pattern can be interpreted in two ways: either the opponent is simply mirroring my moves, or he is following a cyclic pattern (rock, paper, scissors, repeating). If it\'s the cyclic pattern, then his round 5 move would be paper (after rock in round 4), which scissors would beat. On the other hand, if he’s just mirroring, any move will tie. Since scissors gives a chance for a win under the cyclic interpretation and only a tie under mirroring, I choose scissors for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244873184}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We have shown a tendency to use rock, so the opponent may shift to paper. We’ll try scissors to potentially take advantage if they choose paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244879870}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent used rock in 3 out of 5 rounds, while only occasionally using paper and scissors. Choosing paper will beat the frequent rock and is our best counter move to potentially secure a win in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244889396}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent’s prior moves suggest a repeating cycle of R-P-S, but then it alternated R-S-P. If the pattern continues in a cycle, the next move might be Rock, so Paper is a strong guess.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244898825}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the previous rounds, the opponent has chosen rock most frequently (3 out of 6 rounds) compared to paper or scissors. Given that paper beats rock, and considering the score and the need to secure wins in the remaining rounds, I choose paper for round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244928887}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent’s moves so far, a repeating pattern is not immediately obvious. Choosing rock is a safe approach to counter a potential scissors play while aiming to preserve our lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244937966}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In rounds 5-7, I noticed the opponent mirrors my previous move. For example, in round 5, my round 4 move was rock and they picked rock; in round 6, my round 5 was scissors and they picked scissors; in round 7, my round 6 was paper and they picked paper. Thus, it’s likely that for round 8, they will copy my round 7 move, which was paper. To win against paper, I will choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244961687}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Sticking with rock seems to be winning, so I\'ll continue with rock\", \"timestamp\": 1742244968294}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used rock in 4 out of 8 rounds (round 1, 4, 5, and 8), making rock their most frequent move. With rock being prevalent and paper beating rock, I choose paper as a strategic move to counter the likely pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244987528}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I have a comfortable lead and don’t risk the overall victory regardless. Given the opponent just played paper, there’s a fair chance they might do so again, and scissors would beat paper. Therefore, I’ll pick scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244996651}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a tendency to rely on rock (5 out of 9 rounds, including the last two rounds) which makes paper the most effective counter. Choosing paper gives us the best chance to win this final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245011799}]','2025-03-17 20:41:53','2025-03-17 20:56:51',4),(2585,7,11,8,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": 3, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 5}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (high)\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"duration\": 380943, \"winner_id\": 8, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -11, \"newRating\": 1136, \"oldRating\": 1147}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 11, \"newRating\": 1267, \"oldRating\": 1256}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -11, \"newRating\": 1136, \"oldRating\": 1147}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 11, \"newRating\": 1267, \"oldRating\": 1256}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"With no prior information about the opponent\'s strategy in round 1, I choose rock as a balanced, straightforward option that sets a solid baseline for the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244787636}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round against an unknown opponent, I\'m choosing paper as a strategic opening move. Rock is statistically the most common opening choice in Rock Paper Scissors, so paper would give me an advantage if my opponent follows that pattern. Since this is a high-level opponent (o3-mini - high), I\'m making a slightly counter-intuitive choice rather than going with the most obvious option.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244798428}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, the opponent won with paper against my rock. If the opponent is following a pattern, he might use paper again, and scissors would beat paper. Therefore, to counter a potential repeat of paper, I\'m choosing scissors in round 2.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244806351}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I won with paper in the first round, my opponent might anticipate me using paper again and counter with scissors. By choosing rock, I can potentially beat their scissors. Against a high-level opponent, they\'re likely to adapt their strategy rather than repeating their losing move from round 1.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244817769}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first two rounds, my opponent played paper and then rock. This pattern suggests he could be cycling through his moves: paper, rock, and then likely scissors next. Since rock beats scissors, I’ll choose rock for round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244848402}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent may try to counter my previous rock move by playing paper, so scissors would be effective. They\'ve shown a pattern of changing their move each round (rock then scissors), so they might play paper next. Additionally, they might expect me to continue with my winning move (rock), so they could play paper to beat that, making scissors a strategic counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244861775}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s moves—paper in Round 1, rock in Round 2, and scissors in Round 3—they seem to follow a cycle. If this cycle repeats, Round 4 would likely be paper. Since scissors beats paper, I choose scissors for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244887702}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a preference for rock, playing it in rounds 1 and 3. After winning with rock in the previous round, they may be inclined to use it again. Paper would be a strong counter to this tendency. While there\'s a risk they might anticipate this and play scissors, I believe capitalizing on their apparent rock preference is the best strategic move at this point.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244904088}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the rounds so far, I noticed the opponent’s moves might be following a cycle: Round 1: paper, Round 2: rock, Round 3: scissors, Round 4: paper. If that cycle continues, they are likely to play rock in Round 5. Since paper beats rock, I choose paper for Round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244917007}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s moves in the previous rounds, they appear to be following an alternating pattern of rock-scissors-rock-scissors. If this pattern continues, they will choose rock in Round 5, which would be beaten by paper. While there\'s a possibility they might anticipate this analysis and break the pattern, the evidence so far suggests sticking with the observed pattern is my best strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244948833}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Reviewing the opponent\'s moves in previous rounds, paper has been played in three of the five rounds (Rounds 1, 4, and 5), suggesting it could be a common or preferred move. Given that scissors beats paper, I choose scissors for round 6 to capitalize if the opponent relies on paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244959904}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern, they\'ve just played paper in round 5 after alternating between rock and scissors. If they continue cycling through options, they might play rock next, but they might also repeat paper since it worked as a tie last round. Choosing scissors gives me an advantage against paper while accepting the risk against a potential rock play. Since we\'re tied in score, taking a calculated risk is reasonable at this stage of the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244975814}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that our opponent’s moves so far show a preference for paper – which he played in three rounds – and knowing that scissors beat paper, I’ll choose scissors for round 7. This move capitalizes on his apparent bias, while my record in previous rounds has also used scissors with some success. Although there is some risk if he switches to rock, the higher occurrence of paper in his past moves makes scissors the best counter here.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244998468}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern, my opponent has chosen scissors in 3 out of 6 rounds (rounds 2, 4, and 6). They seem to favor scissors, using it half the time. They\'ve chosen rock twice and paper only once. Since scissors appears to be their preferred choice, and they used scissors in the last round, I\'ll play rock which beats scissors. Additionally, if they\'re noticing I\'ve played paper frequently (3 times), they might choose scissors expecting me to play paper again, making rock a strategic counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245012090}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I have played scissors several times in recent rounds, which might prompt my opponent to expect me to keep using it and thus counter it with rock (as they did in rounds 2 and 7). By switching to paper, I can beat rock—if the opponent anticipates my previous pattern and plays rock, paper wins. This is my tactical shift to counter their adaptation and narrow the score gap.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245042546}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a strong preference for scissors (4 out of 7 rounds). Playing rock gives me the best probability of winning against their established pattern. Even though they might anticipate this and change strategy, statistically rock offers the highest expected value based on their previous choices.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245059705}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent’s patterns, his last two moves (rounds 7 and 8) were rock—suggesting he might stick with rock in round 9. Since paper beats rock, choosing paper seems like a strategic counter, especially with the game tied at 3-3 before the final two rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245085875}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the game history, my opponent just played paper in round 8. Since the score is tied at 3-3 with only two rounds left, I need to be strategic. The opponent has played scissors most frequently (4 times), but just shifted to paper. This could indicate they\'re adjusting their strategy. Since they played paper last round, I\'ll counter with scissors. Additionally, they\'ve shown a tendency to repeat moves occasionally (playing scissors in rounds 6-7), which suggests they might stick with paper again after successfully beating my rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245105113}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent’s past moves, his choices appear balanced overall but a closer look reveals a subtle pattern. Notice that when his last move was scissors (as in rounds 3, 6, and now 9), he switched his move rather than repeating. Specifically, after round 3’s scissors he chose paper in round 4, and after round 6’s scissors he went with rock in round 7. If he’s alternating, it’s likely that after round 9’s scissors he’ll choose paper. Since scissors beat paper, I’ll choose scissors for round 10 in hopes of clinching the win (or at least a tie in wins, which is better than a loss).\", \"timestamp\": 1742245138739}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because the opponent has used scissors most frequently throughout the game (4 times). While they\'ve chosen paper in the last two rounds, they may anticipate I\'ll choose scissors again (since I just won with it) and switch back to rock. By choosing rock, I counter their potential scissors play. Even if I lose this round, the overall match would end in a tie, but I believe this gives me the best chance to win or tie the final round based on their historical patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245159719}]','2025-03-17 20:41:54','2025-03-17 20:59:19',8),(2586,7,12,14,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (high)\": 3, \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 4}, \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}], \"players\": [\"o1 - (high)\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"duration\": 192133, \"winner_id\": 14, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": -19, \"newRating\": 1208, \"oldRating\": 1227}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": 19, \"newRating\": 1190, \"oldRating\": 1171}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -19, \"newRating\": 1208, \"oldRating\": 1227}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 19, \"newRating\": 1190, \"oldRating\": 1171}}}}','[{\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"On the first round, let’s try going with the classic opening move Scissors to see how the opponent responds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244798131}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244800789}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round, the opponent won with rock. They might stick with rock for round 2. Paper beats rock, so I\'ll choose paper this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244811133}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent might play paper to counter my rock from last round, so I will play scissors to beat them instead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244816235}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"We suspect the opponent might be following a pattern, cycling through rock → paper → scissors, so rock should beat scissors if the pattern holds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244822935}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent seems to be playing randomly, so I will choose rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244826162}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent hasn’t used scissors yet, so they may switch to scissors next. Playing rock counters scissors and could secure a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244843140}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be playing randomly, choosing rock, paper, and scissors in the first three rounds. I will choose paper this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244848302}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has alternated between rock and paper in the last four rounds (rock, paper, rock, paper). If this pattern continues, they may choose rock again, so I will counter with paper to potentially secure a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244858425}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has played rock and paper in the last two rounds, so I predict they will play scissors next. Rock beats scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244861863}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be using a pattern of choosing rock on odd-numbered rounds and paper on even-numbered rounds. Because round 6 is an even round, I expect them to choose paper again. Scissors beats paper, so I\'ll choose scissors to maximize my chances of winning this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244870988}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to be playing randomly, so I will play it safe and choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244875846}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has been alternating rock and paper each round. If this pattern holds, they will choose rock for round 7, and paper would beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244884972}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The score is tied. I will choose scissors this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244890085}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In rounds 5, 6, and 7, the opponent’s moves formed a clear cycle of Rock → Paper → Scissors. If that cycle continues, they’ll choose Rock in round 8. Paper beats Rock, so choosing Paper is our best move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244912507}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Hoping opponent chooses scissors or loses to paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244918183}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has sometimes followed a rock-paper-repeating pattern and just played rock. There’s a reasonable chance they cycle next to paper, making scissors the best counter to beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244938382}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The score is tied and the opponent has played paper recently. I will choose scissors to try and win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244941672}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s history of moves, they have chosen rock more frequently, making paper the best bet to beat rock in this final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244981421}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The score is tied, and this is the final round. My opponent has played paper most frequently in the last few rounds, so I should play scissors to beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244984660}]','2025-03-17 20:41:55','2025-03-17 20:56:24',14),(2587,7,3,11,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": 4, \"o3-mini - (high)\": 3}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (low)\", \"o3-mini - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"duration\": 224647, \"winner_id\": 3, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1147, \"oldRating\": 1129}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1161, \"oldRating\": 1179}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1147, \"oldRating\": 1129}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1161, \"oldRating\": 1179}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I decide to choose rock. Often starting with rock is a balanced approach, and it aligns with many initial strategies. Let\'s see what our opponent plays.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244814261}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m starting with a balanced approach. Since it\'s the first round, choosing rock is a common strategy and can help me gauge my opponent\'s pattern. Let\'s see where it goes.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244819587}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round there was a tie when both picked rock. A common player might stick to the same move, so I\'ll choose paper in the hope it covers a potential future rock play. Also, paper is a balanced choice in Rock Paper Scissors, and I\'m aiming to gain an early advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244824076}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round we both picked rock, resulting in a tie. Since the opponent might choose rock again, I\'ll choose paper in round 2 because paper beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244831116}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, where both moves ended in a tie by mirroring each other, I suspect that my opponent might try to continue this pattern or change strategy. Playing \'paper\' might break the tie pattern and put us in control of the game. So I\'ll choose \'paper\'.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244836276}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s previous moves—rock in round 1 and paper in round 2—a common predictable pattern is a cyclic sequence (rock, paper, scissors). If that\'s the case, the opponent is likely to play scissors in round 3, and rock beats scissors. Therefore, I\'ll choose rock for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244867733}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the previous rounds, the opponent’s moves have been rock, paper, then rock, suggesting that they might be alternating or leaning towards a pattern. A viable assumption is that they might use paper next, as paper hasn’t been used as frequently. Scissors would beat paper, so choosing scissors is a good counter move against the possible pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244873146}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds, the opponent played rock in round 1 and then paper twice. It seems likely they might stick with paper. Since scissors beats paper, I’ll choose scissors to try and win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244884068}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In previous rounds the opponent\'s moves have varied: round 1 and 3 had rock, round 2 had paper, and round 4 had scissors. There isn’t an obvious repetition, so I\'ll assume a balanced choice. Scissors might risk a loss vs. rock, while rock could lose against paper if the opponent anticipates and chooses paper again. Choosing paper offers the possibility of beating rock (which appeared twice) while also being reasonably safe against potential moves. Thus, I\'ll choose paper for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244889646}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Reviewing the previous rounds, the opponent’s moves have been: rock, paper, paper, scissors. This gives a slight bias towards paper. Against paper, scissors is the winning move. Even if the opponent mirrors or picks randomly, choosing scissors provides the best chance to ever turn the tide with a win. Therefore, I choose scissors for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244911579}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Considering the rounds so far, the opponent won the previous round with scissors. Given that scissors were used and assuming they might repeat the strategy, I choose rock to beat scissors if they choose it again. Also, as a diversification strategy, rock provides a good counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244916438}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Reviewing the previous rounds, it appears that our opponent favored paper in three out of the five rounds (Rounds 2, 3, and 5), which suggests that paper might be a likely choice again. Since scissors beats paper, I opt for scissors in round 6.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244926019}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Previous rounds indicate that the opponent\'s recent moves have trended towards scissors (three consecutive rounds with scissors). To counter that, rock is the best option because rock beats scissors. Thus, I\'ll choose rock for round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244930881}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the six rounds so far, the opponent has played rock twice (rounds 1 and 6), paper three times (rounds 2, 3, and 5), and scissors once (round 4). Notably, after playing rock in round 1 the opponent shifted to paper in round 2, and after playing rock in round 6 it seems plausible they might repeat the pattern by choosing paper again. Since paper is the most frequent move so far and especially likely after a rock, the best counter is scissors. Therefore, to capitalize if the opponent plays paper in round 7, I choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244968875}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s trend, they\'ve played scissors consistently in rounds 4 to 7 after showing a mix of rock and paper. Scissors is vulnerable to rock, making rock a strong countermeasure in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244973534}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Examining the past rounds, the opponent has shown a pattern of using rock in the later rounds (rounds 6 and 7), and overall, rock and paper seem common in their moves. Since paper beats rock, I expect the opponent might stick with rock. Thus, I choose paper for round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244991569}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s past moves, it\'s evident that they\'ve been showing a tendency toward using scissors in several rounds. Considering this pattern, rock would be a strong counter as it beats scissors. Moreover, with the opponent slightly ahead, playing a move that exploits their frequent use of scissors seems logical. Thus, I choose rock for round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244997152}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ve analyzed the previous rounds and noticed that the opponent has favored rock in recent rounds (in rounds 6, 7, and 8). Since rock is their most frequent move and paper beats rock, I\'ll use paper to counteract that trend in round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245011750}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I noticed that in previous rounds, especially the latter ones, my opponent has leaned towards using paper (rounds 8 and 9). Knowing that paper beats rock, and since I\'ve thrown rock several times already, I suspect I might see more paper from them. To counter paper, I choose scissors for this final round. Scissors beats paper, tie with scissors, and only loses to rock, which seems less likely at this stage given the opponent\'s recent moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245019506}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds, the opponent has chosen rock in 5 out of 9 rounds, with paper coming in 3 times and scissors only once. Given this bias and the fact that paper beats rock, I will choose paper for round 10 to maximize my chances of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245036045}]','2025-03-17 20:41:56','2025-03-17 20:57:16',3),(2588,7,7,11,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": 3, \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": 4}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"o3-mini - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"duration\": 327005, \"winner_id\": 7, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1226, \"oldRating\": 1212}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1147, \"oldRating\": 1161}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1226, \"oldRating\": 1212}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1147, \"oldRating\": 1161}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round, there\'s no history to analyze patterns. Paper is a reasonable opening move since novice players and AI systems sometimes tend to start with rock. Without any prior information about this specific opponent, a balanced choice like paper offers good coverage. If the opponent plays rock, I win; if they play scissors, I lose; if they mirror with paper, it\'s a tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244835378}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first move, I\'m opting for \'rock\'. Starting with a straightforward move can sometimes set the tone without giving away too much strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244841815}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After winning with paper in round 1, there\'s a good chance my opponent will anticipate me choosing paper again and respond with scissors to counter. By choosing rock for this round, I\'m planning one step ahead to counter their likely scissors play. Additionally, since they played rock in the first round, they might be less likely to play rock twice in a row after losing with it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244851042}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, my rock was beaten by the opponent\'s paper, so a plausible strategy is that my opponent might stick with paper in round 2. Scissors, which cuts paper, is a strategic counter choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244859722}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, there\'s a potential pattern forming. My opponent chose rock in round 1, then scissors in round 2. If they\'re following a simple rotation (rock → scissors → paper), they might choose paper this round. Additionally, my opponent might anticipate that I\'ll choose rock again after it won me the previous round. By choosing scissors, I can counter if they play paper. Since I\'m already ahead 2-0, I can afford to take a calculated risk with scissors rather than playing defensively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244866542}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent’s previous moves—paper in round 1 and rock in round 2—it seems he might be cycling through moves (paper, then rock, then likely scissors). If that’s his pattern, his next move would be scissors, which is defeated by rock. Therefore, I’ll choose rock for round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244900189}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock twice out of three rounds, suggesting they favor it. However, after I won with rock in round 2, they might expect me to play rock again and counter with paper. By playing scissors, I can potentially beat their paper. Also, they might not expect me to play scissors again immediately after losing with it in the previous round, adding an element of surprise.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244908862}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent’s moves in the previous rounds: Round 1: paper, Round 2: rock, Round 3: scissors. This suggests a potential pattern of cycling through paper, rock, and scissors. If the cycle continues, Round 4 will likely be paper. To beat paper, I choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244917341}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, I notice the opponent has chosen rock twice and scissors twice, with no paper yet. The opponent seems to favor rock when I\'ve chosen scissors (round 3), suggesting they might anticipate scissors again. In rounds 1 and 4, the opponent\'s choices suggest they may be using a strategy based on my previous moves. Given that I\'ve chosen scissors in the last two rounds, the opponent might expect me to choose scissors again or switch to rock. To counter this, I\'ll choose rock, which would tie against rock and win against scissors. Since the opponent hasn\'t played paper yet in 4 rounds, this seems like the safest choice to either win or tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244926018}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds, the opponent\'s moves were paper, rock, scissors, and scissors – showing a slight tendency toward using scissors (twice in the last two rounds). Since rock beats scissors, I’ll choose rock for round 5 to counter his potential move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244943847}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern, they have played rock in alternating rounds (1, 3, 5), showing a preference for rock. Following this pattern, they might play scissors in round 6. However, considering they\'ve played rock 3 times out of 5 rounds, there\'s a higher probability they might stick with rock again. Paper would be the optimal choice to counter their most frequent move (rock), while also staying unpredictable after my last move of rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244953345}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds, I noticed the opponent’s moves have been: paper, rock, scissors, scissors, rock – with paper appearing least often. My own moves have often been rock, and my opponent has capitalized on that sometimes by playing scissors or rock. Based on either frequency‐analysis or a possible cyclic behavior, rock gives me a favorable risk profile: if he picks scissors (which he has done twice), rock wins; if he picks rock, it ties; and paper is the least frequent move. Thus, I choose rock for round 6.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245014495}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern, they have shown a strong preference for rock (4 out of 6 rounds) and have never chosen paper. They just played rock last round, and they have played rock consecutively before (rounds 5 and 6). Given their historical bias toward rock, paper is the most strategic choice. Additionally, paper has worked well for me already, winning in rounds 1 and 6.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245022985}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent’s moves from rounds 1–6 (paper, rock, scissors, scissors, rock, paper), a symmetrical pattern emerges. It appears that in round 7 the opponent might repeat his move from round 1 – namely, paper. To beat paper, the optimal choice is scissors. Therefore, I will choose scissors for round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245051056}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has never played paper in 7 rounds, making rock a safer play. They\'ve shown a preference for rock (4 times) but recently countered my paper plays with scissors. Since they just played scissors in the previous round and might anticipate me changing strategy, rock is a good counter to their potential scissors play while avoiding the risk of facing a non-existent paper strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245061797}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s previous moves, there is a noticeable frequency of paper—especially in the most recent rounds (round 6 and 7, both paper). With paper being the opponent’s favored move so far, choosing scissors gives us the best chance to win the round by directly countering paper. Thus, I choose scissors for round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245086038}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern of play, the opponent has never played paper and tends to play rock after losing. Since they lost the previous round, there\'s a higher probability they\'ll choose rock in this round. Paper beats rock, making it the strategic choice. Additionally, the opponent has played scissors less frequently than rock, reducing the risk of this choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245094175}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the rounds, the opponent has played rock in round 8 and often uses rock and paper throughout the game. Given that they won round 8 with rock, they might stick with rock on a win‐stay strategy. To beat rock, I choose paper, hoping to secure round 9 and turn the momentum.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245131797}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s history, they\'ve chosen rock most frequently (4 times). Since paper beats rock, this gives me a good chance of winning or at least tying the round. Even if they choose scissors, I\'m already ahead 4-2, so I would still win the overall game. Given that the opponent has only chosen paper twice in 9 rounds, paper seems to be the statistically sound choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245140429}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing previous rounds, the opponent played paper 4 times, rock 3 times, and scissors only twice. Paper is their most common move, and since scissors beats paper, I choose scissors for the final round in hopes to turn the tide.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245156233}]','2025-03-17 20:41:57','2025-03-17 20:59:16',7),(2589,7,11,7,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": 2, \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": 4}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (high)\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"duration\": 319655, \"winner_id\": 7, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -12, \"newRating\": 1124, \"oldRating\": 1136}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 12, \"newRating\": 1238, \"oldRating\": 1226}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -12, \"newRating\": 1124, \"oldRating\": 1136}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 12, \"newRating\": 1238, \"oldRating\": 1226}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For round 1, I\'ll start with \'paper\'. It’s a solid and balanced move that covers potential rock and keeps the options open for unpredictable outcomes.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244854621}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m selecting paper as my opening move. Paper is often a strong opening choice as many players tend to start with rock in the first round (a common psychological tendency). Without any data on my opponent\'s patterns yet, this gives me a strategic advantage if they choose the conventional rock opening.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244861112}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that both players chose paper in the first round, one possibility is that the opponent might stick with paper. Choosing scissors will beat paper if that pattern continues. I’m taking an early calculated risk by playing scissors, aiming to capitalize on a potential repeated move from the opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244874917}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Since both players chose paper in the previous round, there\'s a reasonable chance the opponent will stick with paper for round 2, thinking it worked for them previously. By choosing scissors, I can potentially win this round if they repeat their paper choice. Even if they anticipate my change and switch to rock, this gives me valuable information about their strategy for future rounds. This early in the game, gathering information about their pattern while attempting a reasonable counter to their previous move is a balanced approach.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244883623}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds: round 1 I chose paper and round 2 scissors—suggesting a simple rotation. Continuing this sequence, I choose rock for round 3. It’s also a balanced choice that might catch the opponent if they follow a mirror or cyclical pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244898315}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the pattern so far, I notice we\'ve had paper then scissors, which follows a classic rotation (rock→paper→scissors). If the opponent is thinking in terms of this rotation, they might choose rock next to continue the pattern. By choosing rock myself, I can at worst tie if they also choose rock, but I\'ll win if they decide to be unpredictable and choose scissors. This breaks out of the sequence of ties we\'ve had so far while managing risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244906484}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the previous rounds, the opponent has used a cyclical pattern: round 1: paper, round 2: scissors, round 3: rock. If this cycle continues, then round 4 will likely be paper. To beat paper, the best move is scissors. Therefore, I\'ll choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244920825}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I notice that in the previous three rounds, we\'ve had ties every time - paper vs paper, scissors vs scissors, and rock vs rock. This suggests my opponent might be mirroring my moves or following a pattern. Looking at our sequence, I\'ve played paper → scissors → rock. If the opponent is trying to predict my next move, they might expect me to cycle through options in some pattern. Since I started with paper, then scissors, then rock, they might anticipate I\'ll start the cycle over with paper. If they predict I\'ll choose paper, they\'ll likely choose scissors to beat me. Therefore, I\'ll choose scissors to create a tie rather than lose. Additionally, if they\'re using a complex pattern recognition system, introducing some unpredictability in my choice sequence is beneficial.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244933036}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds both players mirrored the same moves (paper, scissors, rock, scissors), leading to ties. With no clear advantage revealed by any deviation and given that a balanced choice is wise when patterns aren’t giving a clear edge, I’ll choose rock for round 5 to maintain unpredictability and potentially break the mirror pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244960474}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Since we\'ve been tied for 4 rounds with the opponent exactly matching my moves, I\'m selecting paper for round 5. If the opponent is using a mirroring strategy, they\'ll play paper again, resulting in another tie. However, if they\'re trying to predict my move and break the pattern, they might expect me to play rock (as we\'ve cycled through all three options). If they play rock expecting to beat my scissors, my paper would win. This introduces a strategic shift while acknowledging the possibility of continued mirroring.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244969471}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the previous rounds, it appears that the opponent initially mirrored my moves until round 5 when he deviated by choosing paper to beat my rock. That suggests he might be relying on a strategy where he plays the winning move against my previous play. Since I chose rock in round 5, he might be inclined to play paper again in round 6. To counter a potential paper, I will choose scissors for round 6.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244986264}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of matching my moves in the first four rounds, then I won with paper in round 5. The opponent might anticipate me playing paper again and choose scissors to counter. By playing rock, I would beat their scissors. Alternatively, if they\'re trying to establish a new pattern after losing, rock is a solid choice that would at worst tie against rock or win against scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245001547}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the past rounds, the opponent’s moves were: paper, scissors, rock, scissors, paper, rock. This arrangement suggests an alternating cycle: first round of a cycle is paper (followed by scissors and rock) and then the next cycle swaps the first two moves (scissors, paper, rock). If this pattern continues, round 7 likely mirrors the first move of the first cycle – that is, paper. To beat paper, I choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245031709}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to have been matching my moves initially but then fell behind. After my two wins with paper and rock, they might expect me to complete the cycle with scissors and therefore play rock to counter. By playing paper, I would beat their anticipated rock. Additionally, paper has already won for me once, so I\'m keeping with a move that has proven successful while trying to stay one step ahead of the opponent\'s potential adaptation to my strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245041437}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the seven rounds, the opponent has chosen paper 3 times, scissors 2 times, and rock 2 times. This indicates a tendency toward paper. Since scissors beats paper, I’m choosing scissors for round 8 to maximize my chances, even though there’s a chance the opponent might switch. This decision leverages the frequency of his moves in previous rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245094676}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the history, there seems to be a pattern where the opponent has been matching my moves in the early rounds (rounds 1-4 were all ties). Then in round 7, the opponent shifted to scissors when I played paper. This could indicate that the opponent is now trying to predict and counter my moves based on recent history. After my win with rock in round 6, the opponent might expect me to play rock again or switch to paper (thinking I might try to counter scissors). Given this analysis and that scissors appeared in the last two rounds, rock would be a strong choice to counter potential scissors. Additionally, my rock play was successful most recently in round 6, making it a psychologically sound choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245102944}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s recent moves in rounds 5-8 – paper, rock, paper, rock – it appears they are alternating between paper and rock. If this pattern continues, round 9 should be paper. Since scissors beats paper, I\'ll choose scissors for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245128498}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a strong preference for scissors (4 out of 8 rounds). They just lost to my rock in round 8, but given their historical preference, there\'s a good chance they\'ll return to scissors. Playing rock gives me the best chance to counter their most frequent choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245142544}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the analysis, the opponent\'s moves have largely been rock in recent rounds (rounds 6, 8, and 9, with rock being his most frequent move overall). Choosing paper will beat rock if that\'s what he picks again. While there\'s some chance he might switch, paper appears to maximize my chance for a win in this final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245163184}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, I can see that the opponent has chosen scissors in rounds 6, 8, and 9, and I won each of those times by choosing rock. There\'s a pattern of the opponent frequently choosing scissors (4 out of 9 rounds). The opponent has only chosen rock twice and paper once. Given this pattern and that the opponent seems to favor scissors, choosing rock gives me the highest probability of winning this final round. Even if we tie, I would still win the overall game since I already have 4 wins to the opponent\'s 1.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245169911}]','2025-03-17 20:41:58','2025-03-17 20:59:29',7),(2590,7,9,8,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": 5, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 4}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"duration\": 361303, \"winner_id\": 9, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": 20, \"newRating\": 1211, \"oldRating\": 1191}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -20, \"newRating\": 1262, \"oldRating\": 1282}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 20, \"newRating\": 1211, \"oldRating\": 1191}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -20, \"newRating\": 1262, \"oldRating\": 1282}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, the choice is arbitrary since there\'s no prior data on my opponent\'s strategy. Therefore, I\'ll start with \'rock\' as this tends to be a good neutral opener.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244877217}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing paper as my opening move. Rock is statistically a common first choice in Rock Paper Scissors games, as many players instinctively perceive it as strong or stable. By playing paper, I have a chance to counter this common opening strategy. Since this is our first interaction without established patterns, this gives me a balanced starting position while I observe my opponent\'s strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244888365}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Predicting the opponent expects me to move to paper after losing with rock, they\'re likely to play scissors. Choosing scissors gives me a safe play or potential advantage if they switch to paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244910698}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent lost the previous round with rock against my paper. Players often switch to what would have beaten their previous losing move, so my opponent may play paper this round. By choosing scissors, I can counter this expected paper play. Additionally, if they anticipate I\'ll stick with paper again (since it worked last time), scissors is still my best choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244924625}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent chose paper and scissors previously, potentially cycling choices and might pick rock next. Paper counters rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244939598}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, I notice the opponent started with rock, then switched to scissors after losing. There\'s a possibility they might expect me to continue cycling through moves (I went from paper to scissors), so they might anticipate me playing rock next and choose paper to counter. However, they might also stick with scissors again to try breaking a pattern. Since I\'m currently leading, playing rock gives me a strategic advantage - if they play scissors again, I win; if they play rock, we tie. While I risk losing to paper, this seems like a calculated risk worth taking at this stage of the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244953176}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen each option exactly once, indicating an unpredictable pattern. Selecting rock creates unpredictability, and ensures a win if opponent goes scissors or at least a draw if opponent chooses rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244987848}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our previous exchanges, I notice the opponent played paper in the last round. While there\'s no clear pattern yet, opponents often avoid repeating the same move immediately after using it. If they switch to rock, I\'ll lose, but if they stay with paper or try scissors, I\'ll either win or tie. Since we\'re tied 1-1 in score, making a calculated risk seems appropriate, and scissors gives me a good chance against a possible paper repeat.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245001936}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude might anticipate a change from my previous move (rock), and thus might choose rock to counter a potential scissors from me. Paper will counter this anticipated rock choice effectively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245019521}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m noticing that my opponent has followed a pattern of rock → scissors → paper → rock in the first four rounds. If this pattern continues, they would play scissors next. Additionally, since I\'ve played scissors twice recently (rounds 2 and 4) and lost with it in round 4, my opponent might expect me to switch away from scissors. By choosing rock, I can counter the potential scissors play while breaking my own recent pattern. This also protects against the possibility that my opponent is anticipating my strategy shift.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245039221}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent might anticipate a switch from paper to scissors, potentially choosing scissors. Choosing rock could counter this move effectively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245058128}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper twice in the last three rounds, including the previous round. This suggests a pattern that might continue. By choosing scissors, I can counter their paper if they repeat this choice. Additionally, since I\'ve lost the last three rounds, changing my strategy is necessary to avoid being predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245071510}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude has been consistently alternating between rock and scissors. Given the pattern, the next move is likely rock. Therefore, paper is the best counter choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245093425}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s choices in previous rounds (rock → scissors → paper → rock → paper → rock), there seems to be a pattern suggesting they might play paper next. Additionally, they\'ve played paper in rounds 3 and 5, which were both after rounds where they played rock. Since they played rock in round 6, there\'s a decent chance they\'ll play paper now. Choosing scissors gives me the best chance to counter this potential paper play and start making a comeback.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245111222}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude\'s recent pattern suggests a tendency towards scissors. After my previous loss with paper, Claude might again prefer scissors anticipating another paper choice from me. Rock is the logical counter to scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245134086}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent appears to be following an alternating pattern of paper-rock-paper-rock-paper in the last five rounds. If this pattern continues, they\'ll choose rock next, which would be beaten by paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245148088}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may anticipate my move to switch from rock to paper or scissors. If they choose scissors (expecting paper), rock will win. If they choose rock (expecting scissors from me), it will be a tie and safer than risking paper or scissors. Thus, rock is the strategic choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245175079}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s recent pattern of alternating between paper and rock over the last 5 rounds, with rock being their last move, they\'re likely to play paper next. Scissors would be the optimal counter to paper. Additionally, my last two wins came when I played scissors against their paper and paper against their rock, showing I\'m starting to read their strategy effectively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245189254}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s frequent use of scissors, choosing rock maximizes my chance of winning or tying.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245210962}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has shown a strong preference for playing rock (5 out of 9 rounds), including in the most recent round. While I can\'t win the overall match at this point, choosing paper gives me the best chance to counter their most frequent choice and end with a win in this final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245229457}]','2025-03-17 20:41:59','2025-03-17 21:00:29',9),(2591,7,3,12,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (high)\": 4, \"o3-mini - (low)\": 3}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (low)\", \"o1 - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"duration\": 193515, \"winner_id\": 12, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1134, \"oldRating\": 1147}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1221, \"oldRating\": 1208}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1134, \"oldRating\": 1147}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1221, \"oldRating\": 1208}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I chose \'rock\' to start the game aggressively and based on its solid performance as an opening move. It’s a balanced option that can set up interesting possibilities for round 1.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244882941}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Many players favor rock in the first round, so choosing paper takes advantage if they do pick rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244891673}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After reviewing the opponent\'s previous move of paper, the strategic move in rock paper scissors is to use scissors, which beats paper. Therefore, I\'m choosing scissors to secure a win for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244896884}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may expect us to stick with paper, countering it by using scissors. By switching to rock, we’ll beat any potential scissors play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244903132}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s previous moves, they played paper in round 1 and rock in round 2. This could suggest a cyclical pattern, as if the sequence is paper → rock → scissors. If the opponent continues this pattern, then the most likely move in round 3 would be scissors. Since rock beats scissors, I will choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244908293}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might try to beat rock by choosing paper, so we\'ll try scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244917878}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s pattern: their moves in previous rounds were paper, rock, scissors. This suggests a cyclical pattern, returning again to paper in round 4. To counter paper effectively, I will choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244922306}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent alternated between rock and scissors so far, so I suspect they may go with scissors again. Rock would beat scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244932592}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds: the opponent chose rock in rounds 2 and 4, and despite a win by us in round 3, the opponent seems to favor rock overall. Since rock is strong in their past choices, countering it with paper seems like a safe and effective choice in round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244937483}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has alternated between rock and scissors. It’s likely they will choose rock again, so paper is a strong option.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244945452}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s previous moves: paper, rock, scissors, rock, and paper, we see that rock has been used twice, making it the most frequent move so far. With rock as a likely candidate for round 6, the best counter is paper. Therefore, I choose paper for round 6.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244954189}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might switch to scissors next (to beat paper), so playing rock is a good counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244966007}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s moves, they have chosen rock frequently in the previous rounds along with some paper and scissors. Given that paper beats rock, I expect the opponent might play rock again, so I choose paper to both counter an expected rock and potentially exploit their pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244975083}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent just played paper in the last two rounds, so there’s a good chance they may stick with it or only recently switched to it. Playing scissors beats paper if they continue. We’ll go with scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245002354}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the past moves, the opponent has favoured rock contiguously (rounds 2, 4, 6) and it appears that rock is a common move. Choosing paper would beat rock, so I choose paper for round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245008699}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Throughout the last three rounds, the opponent has repeatedly chosen paper. They may believe we will stick to scissors, so they might switch to rock. Paper is a solid choice: we beat rock if they switch, tie if they stay with paper, and only lose if they switch to scissors. Given we\'re ahead, opting for paper is a safe and balanced move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245025216}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s strategy isn\'t entirely clear, but they seem to alternate moves. Considering the data, looking at the last rounds where they played paper in rounds 5 and 8, and given that they may try to use paper again or counter a potential reaction, I opt for a balanced conservative move: rock. Rock may beat scissors if they play that. Aiming for a strategic counter rather than following a pattern, I choose rock for round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245030248}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played paper for four consecutive rounds, making scissors a strong guess to earn the decisive lead. Scissors beat paper, giving us the best chance to secure the win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245045318}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the rounds, I looked at the opponent\'s choices: paper in rounds 1, 5, and 8; rock in rounds 2, 4, and 6; and scissors in rounds 3, 7, and 9. While they’ve used all three moves evenly overall, there’s an interesting tweak: the opponent’s move in even-numbered rounds (2,4,6) has consistently been rock. Given that round 10 is even, it’s plausible they might lean toward rock again. To beat rock, the best choice is paper. Hence, I choose paper for round 10.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245054660}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent’s history, you’re currently up by one, so you can afford a tie. The opponent never played scissors in response to your paper so far, which suggests that paper reduces your chance of losing. Paper beats rock if the opponent repeats last round’s rock and at worst ties if they go paper. So I’ll pick paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245073309}]','2025-03-17 20:43:20','2025-03-17 20:57:53',12),(2592,7,15,11,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": 2, \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 1}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}], \"players\": [\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"o3-mini - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"duration\": 335442, \"winner_id\": 11, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": -19, \"newRating\": 1166, \"oldRating\": 1185}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": 19, \"newRating\": 1143, \"oldRating\": 1124}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -19, \"newRating\": 1166, \"oldRating\": 1185}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 19, \"newRating\": 1143, \"oldRating\": 1124}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with a random move to gauge the opponent\'s strategy\", \"timestamp\": 1742244916970}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m beginning with a balanced move. Given that each option has equal chance to be the optimal move at the start, I choose rock as a moderate opening move in Round 1.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244926551}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the previous round was a tie with both players choosing rock, I\'ll choose paper to potentially exploit the opponent\'s possible tendency to stick with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244931028}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round, we both chose rock for a tie. I suspect that my opponent might lean on the same move or might stick to a pattern, so choosing paper will put me in a strong position in case they repeat rock. It’s a strategic counter based on an anticipated pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244938525}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the previous two rounds have been ties with both players choosing the same option, I will choose scissors in round 3 to potentially beat the opponent if they choose paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244944565}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous two rounds, my opponent mirrored my moves exactly (rock then paper). This suggests they might be copying my choices. While any move would likely result in a tie if they continue this pattern, I’m choosing to follow a natural cycle (rock, paper, scissors). Thus, to keep my own sequence unpredictable and to potentially catch any deviation, I’m selecting scissors for round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244982637}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since all previous rounds have been ties, I will choose rock to see if o3-mini will break the tie in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244988229}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing that in the previous rounds both players chose moves in a cyclical order (rock, then paper, then scissors), it\'s reasonable to suspect that the opponent, Llama 3.3 70B Instruct, might be following a similar cyclic pattern. If this pattern holds, then round 4 will likely see the opponent choose rock. To exploit this potential pattern, I choose paper, which beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245009375}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m trying to break the tie and take the lead by choosing a move that can potentially beat the opponent\'s previous move. Since the opponent chose paper in the last round, I\'ll choose scissors to beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245015544}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s moves, it appears they are following a cycle: round 1: rock, round 2: paper, round 3: scissors, then repeating with rock in round 4. This suggests that round 5 is likely to be paper. Since scissors beats paper, I\'ll choose scissors for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245030730}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has tied with me multiple times and won once, so I\'ll try to beat their most recent choice, which was scissors. To beat scissors, I need to choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245037100}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent’s moves shows that they’ve played rock twice and scissors twice—with paper only once. Choosing rock means I win if they play scissors (which appears most often) and tie if they play rock, while only losing if they unexpectedly switch to paper. This minimizes risk given the observed frequencies.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245079079}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since all rounds so far have been ties except for round 4 where the opponent won with paper, and considering the rules of the game, I should choose a move that can potentially beat the opponent\'s most likely next choice. Assuming the opponent may try to break the tie pattern, I\'ll choose scissors as it beats paper, which is what the opponent chose in the only winning round so far.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245085864}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Examining the previous rounds, the opponent chose rock three times (rounds 1, 4, and 6) while other moves appeared less frequently. Since rock is the most common choice so far and paper beats rock, I\'ll choose paper for round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245127202}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent\'s previous choice was paper and I won the last round with scissors, I\'ll choose rock to beat the opponent\'s potential scissors choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245133706}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, the opponent has mostly alternated between rock and scissors — with a recurring instance of scissors in rounds 3, 5, and 7. Since my previous use of paper led to a loss against their scissors (in round 7), I am leaning toward a move that better counters scissors. Rock beats scissors and at worst ties if the opponent picks rock. Given they rarely use paper, rock seems to be a safe and strong option.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245151306}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since most of the rounds have been ties and the opponent won only one round, I\'ll choose a move that could potentially beat the opponent\'s most likely choice, which is rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245157846}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the history, the opponent has played rock the majority of the time (rounds 1, 4, 6, and 8) while throwing in scissors a few times (rounds 3, 5, and 7) and only once choosing paper (round 2). With rock being the most frequent move, paper is the best option to counter it. Although there\'s a risk if the opponent plays scissors, the probability distribution makes paper the most favorable choice for round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245185872}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has chosen the same move as me in most rounds, and we are tied, I will try to break the pattern by choosing a different move than the one I chose in the previous round, which was paper. In the last few rounds, the opponent has also chosen the same move as me, so I will choose rock to try and capitalize on this pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245193037}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s moves in previous even rounds (rounds 4, 6, and 8), where he played rock consistently (with the exception of round 2), it seems likely that in even round 10 he will favor rock again. Since paper beats rock, choosing paper gives the best chance for a win in the final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245247935}]','2025-03-17 20:44:20','2025-03-17 21:00:47',11),(2593,7,11,3,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": 2, \"o3-mini - (high)\": 5}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (high)\", \"o3-mini - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"duration\": 303613, \"winner_id\": 11, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1159, \"oldRating\": 1143}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1118, \"oldRating\": 1134}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1159, \"oldRating\": 1143}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1118, \"oldRating\": 1134}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, there\'s no history to base my decision on, so I\'ll stick with a classic choice: rock. It’s a balanced and straightforward move to start with, allowing me to assess the opponent\'s strategy in subsequent rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244961743}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ll play rock to start the game, keeping my choice simple and neutral for the first round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244966394}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, both of us played rock, resulting in a tie. Expecting a potential repeat of rock by the opponent in round 2, paper would be a strategic choice since it beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244979420}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent chose rock in the first round, choosing paper in the next round is a counter-strategy most likely to beat rock if the opponent were to choose it again. Even if the opponent changes his move, paper is a good tactical choice as part of a diverse strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244983700}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the previous rounds, the opponent’s moves followed a simple pattern: round 1 was rock, round 2 was paper. A common predictable pattern, especially in low-level opponents, is to cycle through rock, paper, scissors in order. If this pattern holds, round 3 will be scissors. Since rock beats scissors, I choose rock in round 3 to exploit this pattern and secure a win if the cycle holds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245011416}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I observed that the opponent repeated the same move in two consecutive rounds (rock and paper, matching ours). Therefore, I suspect the opponent might be mirroring our moves. If that pattern continues, in round 3 the opponent might choose scissors (since I haven\'t chosen scissors in previous rounds yet) or might still mirror. However, to defeat a potential mimic from the previous pattern, I opt for scissors to counter what I expect might be paper if the opponent switches up. Additionally, if the opponent chooses rock, scissors at least gives a chance to force some dynamics. I decide to play scissors for round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245016509}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the previous rounds, the opponent played rock in round 1, paper in round 2, and scissors in round 3 — suggesting a predictable cyclic pattern (rock, paper, scissors). Assuming this pattern continues, the opponent is likely to choose rock in round 4. Since paper beats rock, my optimal move is paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245026479}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In previous rounds, the opponent has used rock on rounds 1 and 3, and paper on round 2. To counter the likely tendency to pick rock, I choose paper, which beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245031011}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the previous rounds, the opponent’s moves were: rock, paper, scissors, and paper. Paper appears most frequently, and if we assume this trend may continue in round 5, choosing scissors would beat paper. Hence, I choose scissors for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245052920}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Reviewing previous rounds shows a pattern: opponent used rock, paper, rock, paper. If this pattern continues, the opponent might choose rock in the next round. To beat rock, paper is the correct move. Therefore, I\'ll select paper for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245058446}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, the opponent has played \'paper\' in 3 out of the 5 rounds (rounds 2, 4, and 5). This suggests that the opponent might favor paper. Since scissors beats paper, I choose scissors for round 6 to try to secure another win against this expected pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245083420}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s previous moves, they appear to have used rock and paper fairly frequently, with one instance of scissors. I suspect there might be some oscillation or alternation in their choices. In anticipation that they might lean towards rock (which has appeared twice) or try to break the pattern, I choose paper, as paper beats rock and is a safe option against a likely repeat. Therefore, I choose paper for round 6.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245091818}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a strong bias towards using paper in recent rounds (rounds 2, 4, 5, and 6). Paper appears to be the dominant move, so to counter that I choose scissors, which beats paper. Even though the earlier rounds had some variety, their recent pattern suggests they are likely to continue with paper, making scissors the optimal choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245110843}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s previous moves: rock, paper, rock, paper, scissors, scissors, it appears they might be following a pattern where they last doubled one move before switching. After two consecutive scissors, it is likely they\'ll switch back to rock. To counter rock, I\'ll choose paper as my move for round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245119935}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent’s moves so far, he has played paper in the majority of rounds (Rounds 2, 4, 5, 6, and 7). Since paper is his dominant move, the counter move (scissors) is optimal for me in round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245132025}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Reviewing previous rounds, the opponent has played rock, paper and recently seems to settle on scissors repeatedly in last rounds. Knowing rock beats scissors, I choose rock to counter the opponent\'s likely choice of scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245137674}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent’s past moves, they have favored playing paper in most rounds but switched to rock in round 8 to counter my repeated use of scissors. Anticipating that they might use rock again (or revert to paper) in round 9, choosing paper is a safe option: it wins against rock and ties with paper, while scissors (my previous choice) risks another loss against rock. Hence, I will choose paper for maximum safety and a good chance to extend my lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245180626}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the past rounds, especially rounds 5-7 where the opponent chose scissors consistently, and round 8 where your rock beat their scissors, it is likely that the opponent may choose scissors again. Playing rock would beat scissors, so I choose rock for round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245185411}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I analyzed the opponent’s moves so far: he’s played paper most often (rounds 2, 4, 5, 6, 7) and rock a few times (rounds 1, 8, and 9), with scissors only once (round 3). Although his recent two rounds were rock, his overall tendency is to use paper. Since scissors beats paper and I’m already in the lead (5–1), even if I lose round 10 the match is safe. Thus, choosing scissors gives me the best chance to win this final round outright while keeping the match secure.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245252755}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Considering the opponent\'s pattern, they seem to choose scissors relatively often, especially in rounds 5-8. Choosing rock would beat scissors, so I\'ll go with rock in this final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245258916}]','2025-03-17 20:44:21','2025-03-17 21:00:58',11),(2594,7,7,8,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": 1, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 7}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"duration\": 236797, \"winner_id\": 8, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1223, \"oldRating\": 1238}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1282, \"oldRating\": 1267}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1223, \"oldRating\": 1238}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1282, \"oldRating\": 1267}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'ll choose rock. It\'s a solid opening move that many players default to. Since this is the first interaction with the opponent, there\'s no pattern to analyze yet. Rock is psychologically perceived as a \\\"strong\\\" first move, and many players tend to choose scissors in the first round expecting their opponent to choose paper. This is a calculated risk based on common RPS psychology and opening tendencies.\", \"timestamp\": 1742244989773}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the opening round, I\'m choosing paper as my initial move. Many players tend to start with rock as it\'s psychologically perceived as a \\\"strong\\\" or \\\"safe\\\" first choice. By playing paper, I\'m attempting to counter that common opening strategy. Since this is our first round and I don\'t have any data on my opponent\'s playing patterns yet, this is a strategic opening that gives me a good chance of success.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245004892}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent chose paper in round 1, there\'s a possibility they might stick with paper again, as players sometimes repeat successful moves. Alternatively, they might anticipate me switching to paper (to counter their previous rock) and choose scissors. By choosing scissors now, I can win if they repeat paper, and tie if they also switch to scissors. This is a calculated risk based on limited information from just one previous round, but scissors gives me a reasonable chance to counter their potential strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245013029}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I won with paper in round 1, my opponent might expect me to stick with paper or rotate to scissors. They may choose scissors to counter a potential paper play from me. By choosing rock, I can potentially counter this strategy. Additionally, if they\'re anticipating me to be unpredictable and choose rock (thinking I wouldn\'t repeat paper), they might play paper - but I\'m willing to take this calculated risk while I have a score advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245025234}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen rock and paper in the first two rounds, with no scissors yet. Looking at the pattern, the opponent played paper then rock, which might suggest scissors could be next in a rotating pattern. Alternatively, since the opponent won with rock last round, they might be tempted to play rock again. Paper would beat rock in both scenarios. While there\'s a risk the opponent might anticipate this and play scissors, given the current 0-2 score deficit, I need to take a calculated risk to try to win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245032293}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on my analysis of the previous rounds, scissors seems like a strategic choice. The opponent may be looking for patterns in my play and might expect me to continue cycling through options (paper → rock → scissors) or repeat a winning move. If they anticipate I\'ll play rock again, they might choose paper, which scissors would beat. Additionally, if they\'re following a rotation pattern themselves (they went rock → scissors), they might play paper next, which scissors would also beat.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245046282}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I notice my opponent has been consistently countering my moves. There\'s a possibility they might anticipate me switching strategies due to my losses, and might expect me to choose paper next (thinking they\'ll use scissors again). By choosing rock, I\'m attempting to break this potential pattern and counter their scissors if they continue their strategy. Additionally, since I\'ve already used each option once, returning to rock may be less predictable than continuing with a new option.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245055211}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern from previous rounds, my opponent may expect me to play paper next and might choose scissors to counter. By playing rock, I can potentially win against their scissors. Additionally, my opponent is likely to change their strategy after losing three consecutive rounds, and anticipating this adaptation is crucial.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245069159}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has played rock twice now including the last round. There\'s a possibility they might switch away from rock since they just played it, but they might also think I won\'t expect them to play rock again. Paper beats rock, so I\'ll choose paper for this round. This gives me a chance to win if they play rock again, or tie if they play paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245081937}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might expect me to play rock again or switch to paper after our tie. If they play paper to counter my potential rock, my scissors will win. If they play rock again (which they\'ve done twice already), I can afford a loss given my 3-0 lead. If they play scissors anticipating my paper, we\'ll tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245099700}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, I notice my opponent has chosen scissors in rounds 3 and 5 when I chose paper. There seems to be a pattern where my opponent adapts to counter my previous move. Since I played paper in round 5, there\'s a chance my opponent might anticipate me switching to rock (to beat their expected scissors), and thus they might play paper. By choosing scissors, I can potentially counter this paper play. Additionally, my opponent has already played scissors twice, rock twice, and paper once - statistically they might be due for another paper play. Given that I\'m significantly behind in the score (0-4), I need to take a calculated risk to catch up.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245107201}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent appears to be following a potential pattern (rock, scissors, paper, rock, paper) which would suggest scissors might be next. Additionally, I\'ve used scissors in the previous round, so changing my choice helps me remain unpredictable. Rock would be the optimal choice against scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245123107}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, my opponent has chosen rock in rounds 2, 4, and 6, showing a possible pattern of using rock in even-numbered rounds. Since we\'re now in round 7 (odd number), my opponent might not choose rock based on this pattern. Additionally, the opponent has chosen scissors twice and paper once in odd rounds. Given that the opponent might be recognizing their success with scissors (won rounds 3 and 5) and might continue with this strategy in odd rounds, I\'ll choose paper. While paper loses to scissors, it\'s a strategic choice to break the predictable pattern of my previous moves, as I\'ve been cycling through rock, scissors, paper in that order. By choosing paper now instead of the expected rock, I\'m attempting to disrupt any pattern recognition by my opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245131337}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the observed pattern, my opponent seems to be following a rock-scissors-paper sequence that repeats. If this pattern holds, they would play rock next, making paper my optimal choice. Even if I\'m wrong about the pattern, I\'m in a strong position with a 5-0 lead and can afford to take a strategic risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245147858}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, my opponent has shown a pattern of choosing rock when I select scissors (rounds 2 and 6), and scissors when I select paper (rounds 3 and 5). There\'s also been two ties, with rock-rock and paper-paper. Given this pattern, my opponent might anticipate me choosing rock, which would lead them to choose paper. To counter that, I\'ll choose scissors. Additionally, my opponent hasn\'t played paper in the last two rounds, which slightly increases the probability they might play paper this round to mix up their strategy. I\'m clearly behind in the score, so I need to take some calculated risks to try to catch up.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245155305}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern of previous rounds, I notice my opponent has played paper in rounds 3, 5, and 7. There appears to be a tendency for them to play paper frequently. Additionally, my opponent has never won a round so far, which might make them more likely to change strategies and try something new. Given my commanding lead (5-0), I can afford to make a strategic choice. Rock would beat scissors if my opponent tries to break their pattern with that move. Even if we tie with rock-rock, I maintain my lead. While paper beats rock, the risk is acceptable given my current advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245171452}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s pattern, they have chosen rock 4 times, paper 1 time, and scissors 3 times. Rock appears to be their most frequent choice, especially when I choose scissors (they\'ve chosen rock in all 3 rounds when I picked scissors). Since paper beats rock, and the opponent shows a preference for rock, I\'ll choose paper for this round to try to secure a win. Additionally, the opponent might expect me to choose rock since they\'ve beaten my scissors repeatedly, making paper a good counter to their potential strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245179290}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on pattern analysis, I predict my opponent might choose paper for round 9 - either to break their losing streak by countering my recent rock plays, or continuing their recent alternating pattern between scissors and paper. Scissors would be the optimal counter to paper. Additionally, since I only need one more win to secure the match mathematically, I can afford to make a slightly riskier play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245197812}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s pattern: they\'ve chosen rock 4 times, scissors 4 times, and paper only 2 times. There\'s a tendency for the opponent to alternate between choices rather than repeat the same choice consecutively (except for rock in rounds 2 and 4). In the last round, the opponent chose scissors. Based on their alternating pattern and less frequent use of paper, there\'s a higher probability they might choose rock for this final round. Therefore, I\'m selecting paper to counter the anticipated rock move. Though I cannot win the overall game, I can still attempt to win this single round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245205488}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, my opponent has shown a pattern of choosing scissors on even-numbered rounds (rounds 2, 6, and 8). This suggests they might choose scissors again for round 10. Additionally, I\'ve already secured the overall victory with 7 wins to 0, which allows me to make a safe choice. Rock has been successful for me in previous rounds (winning in rounds 2, 6, and 8), so I\'ll stick with this strategy for the final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245221491}]','2025-03-17 20:44:22','2025-03-17 21:00:21',8),(2595,7,6,12,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (high)\": 3, \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": 4}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"o1 - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"duration\": 242926, \"winner_id\": 6, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet\", \"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1258, \"oldRating\": 1243}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1206, \"oldRating\": 1221}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1258, \"oldRating\": 1243}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1206, \"oldRating\": 1221}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round against a high-level opponent, I\'m choosing paper based on the tendency of players to open with rock. A sophisticated opponent might anticipate this, but paper gives me a good chance of either winning (against rock) or drawing (against paper).\", \"timestamp\": 1742245019239}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Rock is often a strong opening move; let\'s see if we can win the opening round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245027506}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After winning with paper in round 1, the opponent may expect me to use paper again or try to counter it with scissors. By choosing rock, I can both counter a potential scissors play and avoid being predictable with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245037910}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may anticipate that we’ll play scissors to beat their previous paper and counter with rock. Therefore, choosing paper could exploit a possible rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245044885}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a pattern of escalating moves (rock → paper). If they continue this pattern, they\'ll choose scissors, making rock the optimal choice. Even if they don\'t follow this pattern, rock gives us a decent chance of either winning or drawing.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245054059}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since we won with paper in the last round, the opponent may anticipate paper again and choose rock. By choosing scissors, we can beat paper if they choose it, and at worst we tie if they go scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245064470}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of rock→paper→scissors in the first three rounds. If they continue this pattern, they will play rock next. Even if they are trying to set up this pattern to break it, paper is a reasonable choice as we\'re already ahead in score and can afford to take a calculated risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245073236}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played paper, then rock twice in a row. Given this pattern, paper stands a good chance of beating a recurring rock. Going with paper is a logical risk to outmaneuver a likely repeat of rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245082434}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a tendency to use paper (2/4 rounds) but might expect me to counter their paper with scissors. By choosing rock, I protect against a potential scissors play while accepting the risk of paper, which they may avoid since they\'ve used it frequently already.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245094302}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent’s choices so far have alternated between paper and rock, suggesting they might choose scissors next. Selecting rock could beat scissors and tie with rock. It’s a safer move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245108258}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown balanced play but slightly favors rock and paper. After two consecutive ties, they might expect me to switch to scissors or stay with rock. Paper is a good choice as it beats rock if they try to establish a pattern, and ties with paper if they try to counter my perceived switch to scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245120051}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent’s heavy use of rock so far, choosing paper has a strong chance to win against another rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245129361}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a strong preference for paper (played in 3 out of 6 rounds, including the last round). Additionally, scissors has been underutilized in the game so far, making it less predictable. Given the opponent\'s high skill level, they might expect me to continue my rock-paper pattern, making scissors a strategic surprise move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245139481}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has alternated between rock and paper in recent rounds (R, P, R, P). If that pattern continues, they may play rock next. Paper would beat rock while only tying if they also choose paper. Therefore, paper is the best choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245165073}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a strong preference for paper (4/7 rounds), including playing it in the last two rounds. Continuing with scissors gives us a good chance to counter their paper preference.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245176741}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent just chose scissors in round 7, and they’ve used rock and paper most often so far. A plausible pattern suggests they might switch back to rock next. Paper would beat rock, so I choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245202994}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a strong preference for paper, especially in recent rounds (4 out of last 5 moves). While they might try to counter with rock, their pattern suggests they may stick to paper. Scissors has been successful in the last two rounds, and with a significant lead, we can afford to maintain this strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245214842}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used scissors recently after we repeatedly chose paper. If they continue using scissors, rock will beat scissors. Hence, I choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245225672}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a strong preference for paper throughout the game (5 out of 9 moves). While they countered my scissors with rock last round, they may return to their comfort zone of paper for the final round, especially since they need a win. Even if this choice loses, I\'ve already secured the overall game victory with my current 4-2 lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245237218}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has thrown scissors three rounds in a row, suggesting they may continue with scissors. Choosing rock can counter scissors and maximize the chance to win the last round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245254758}]','2025-03-17 20:44:23','2025-03-17 21:00:54',6),(2596,7,7,10,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": 2, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": 4}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"duration\": 259791, \"winner_id\": 10, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1207, \"oldRating\": 1223}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1230, \"oldRating\": 1214}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1207, \"oldRating\": 1223}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1230, \"oldRating\": 1214}}}}','[{\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'ll choose scissors. Since this is the opening round, there\'s no pattern to analyze yet from my opponent. Scissors is a strategic first move because many players tend to choose paper in the first round as it seems less aggressive than rock. If my opponent does choose paper, scissors will win. If they choose rock or scissors, I\'ll use that information to adjust my strategy in subsequent rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245040627}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing scissors as a strategic opening. Many players tend to select paper in the first round as it\'s perceived as a less aggressive option than rock. If my opponent follows this pattern, scissors would give me an advantage. Additionally, since this is a match between AIs, my opponent might anticipate me choosing rock (a common first move) and play paper to counter it, making scissors a good counter-strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245058121}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After a tie with scissors in round 1, there\'s a psychological tendency for opponents to either stick with the same move or switch to what would beat their previous move. If my opponent stays with scissors, rock will win. If they anticipate me staying with scissors and switch to rock themselves, we\'ll tie again. If they try to counter an anticipated rock from me by playing paper, I\'ll lose. Given these possibilities, rock seems to offer a good chance of either winning or tying this round. Additionally, rock is often played after scissors in patterns, making it a strategically sound choice for round 2.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245071331}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After a tie with scissors in round 1, there\'s a good chance my opponent might switch to rock, as players often change their move after a tie. By playing paper, I can counter this potential rock play. Additionally, if they anticipate my thinking and stick with scissors, I\'m accepting that calculated risk as part of my strategy for the full 10-round game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245089139}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent played scissors in round 1 and paper in round 2. There\'s a chance they might continue rotating and play rock next, or they might repeat paper since it won for them. I\'ll choose scissors as it would beat paper if they repeat their winning move. Additionally, this early in the game, it\'s good to be unpredictable rather than falling into obvious patterns myself, so I\'ll avoid playing rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245096482}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, there\'s a psychological element at play. My opponent lost with rock in round 2, so they might be less likely to choose rock again. They may switch to paper, thinking I\'ll choose rock to complete a scissors-paper-rock sequence. By choosing scissors, I can beat their paper if they make this adjustment. Even if they choose scissors again (like in round 1), it would result in a tie rather than a loss.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245110423}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent has chosen scissors twice and paper once. There seems to be a slight tendency toward scissors. Additionally, when I chose rock in round 2, they countered with paper. I\'ll try paper this round as my opponent might expect me to choose rock again to counter their scissors pattern, and they might choose rock to counter that expectation. Paper would beat their rock if they make this adjustment. Also, mixing up my strategy is important to avoid being predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245117168}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent has chosen scissors twice (rounds 1 and 3) and rock once (round 2). There\'s a possibility they might continue favoring scissors, which they\'ve chosen in 2/3 rounds. Additionally, since I\'ve played scissors in my last round, they might expect me to continue with that choice. I\'m choosing rock because it will defeat scissors if my opponent repeats their most common choice, and it would tie against rock if they attempt to counter my previous scissors play. This seems like the most strategic move given the limited pattern data available.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245133026}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I notice a pattern in my opponent\'s choices. They\'ve chosen scissors twice and paper and rock once each. What\'s notable is that after I played scissors in rounds 1 and 3, my opponent also played scissors, resulting in ties. When I played rock in round 2, they countered with paper. When I played paper in round 4, they played rock but lost. \\n\\nMy opponent might anticipate me playing paper again since it just won, and could choose scissors to counter. Alternatively, they might stick with rock expecting me to repeat paper, or they might try to establish their own pattern. Given that scissors has led to ties before rather than losses, and considering the psychological dynamics of the game, I\'ll choose scissors for round 5 to potentially beat paper if they choose it, while accepting a tie if they mirror with scissors again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245141487}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, I notice some patterns forming. The opponent chose paper in the last round to counter my rock. They might expect me to switch to paper now to counter their anticipated rock, in which case they would likely choose scissors. By choosing rock again, I can break this prediction cycle and potentially win against scissors. Additionally, if they\'re following their own pattern (scissors, rock, scissors, paper), they might choose rock next, resulting in a tie. This move balances reasonable odds while being somewhat unpredictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245156106}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s recent patterns, they\'ve played rock twice and may be noticing my tendency to choose scissors. Their last move was rock, and they might continue with rock anticipating I might choose scissors again. Paper beats rock, so I\'ll play paper for this round to counter that possibility. Additionally, I\'ve only played paper once (which was successful), so varying my selection may make my moves less predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245163750}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern, my opponent has chosen scissors three times (rounds 1, 3, and 5), rock once, and paper once. While choosing paper is risky against an opponent with a scissors preference, I\'ve just played rock twice in a row, which might lead my opponent to anticipate rock again and counter with paper. By choosing paper, I\'m breaking my recent pattern while taking a calculated risk. If my opponent continues their scissors preference, I\'ll lose, but if they try to counter my recent rock streak with paper or shift to rock, I\'ll either tie or win. Given we\'re ahead 2-1, I can afford a strategic risk to disrupt predictability.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245182956}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the previous rounds, I noticed my opponent hasn\'t played scissors in the last 3 rounds, instead favoring rock and paper. There\'s a possibility they might return to scissors in this round based on rotation patterns. Even if they continue with rock, I\'ll tie rather than lose. While they could play paper (which would beat my rock), based on their recent choices and potential strategies, rock seems to be the most balanced choice for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245191561}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our game history, there\'s been a mix of ties and wins for both sides. My opponent has chosen paper in the last round and has shown a tendency to repeat scissors (rounds 1, 3, 5). Since I\'m leading 2-1, I\'ll choose paper for this round anticipating they might go with rock to try countering what they might expect me to play (scissors). If they continue their pattern of playing scissors frequently, we\'ll tie, but if they switch to rock thinking I might play scissors, I\'ll win and extend my lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245205941}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has played paper for the last two rounds (rounds 6 and 7). If they continue this pattern, scissors would be the optimal counter. Additionally, paper is my opponent\'s most frequently played move (3 times out of 7 rounds), making scissors a strategic choice. I need to win this round to improve my chances of winning the game, as I\'m currently behind.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245222310}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because my opponent has used scissors most frequently (3 times). Also, since I\'ve chosen paper in the last two rounds and won with it in round 7, they might anticipate me choosing paper again and counter with scissors. Rock would beat their scissors in that case. Even though this might risk losing to paper, it\'s a calculated risk given my current lead in the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245243402}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous 8 rounds, my opponent has shown a pattern of favoring rock (3 times) and paper (3 times), with scissors only twice. They\'ve used rock most recently in rounds 5 and 8, suggesting they might switch to something else. However, looking at my own pattern, I\'ve chosen scissors 4 times, which my opponent might anticipate and counter with rock again. To break this cycle, I\'ll choose paper, which would beat rock if they continue that counter-strategy. This gives me a chance to win this round while avoiding being too predictable by not choosing scissors again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245249921}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a strong preference for scissors (chosen in 50% of previous rounds, including the most recent round). Rock beats scissors, so this gives a good chance of winning. Even if I lose this round, I\'ll still be ahead 4-2 with one round remaining, keeping me in a strong position to win the overall game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245267612}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern of my opponent\'s moves, I notice they\'ve chosen rock 3 times, paper 3 times, and scissors 2 times. In the most recent round, they chose rock, and there seems to be a tendency for them to not repeat the same move consecutively. Given that the current score is 2-4 in their favor, they\'ve already secured at least a tie for the overall game, which might make them play more conservatively. Rock would be a conservative choice for them in this final round. Additionally, I won with paper in the previous round, which could make me more likely to stick with a winning move. Considering these factors, I\'ll choose paper to counter the anticipated rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245275952}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern analysis, the opponent has played paper after I played rock in the most recent round. They might expect me to switch to scissors to counter their paper, which they could then counter with rock. By choosing paper, I can win if they play rock and tie if they stick with paper. Since I\'m already ahead 4-2, even a tie in this final round secures my overall victory. This is a balanced strategic choice that accounts for the opponent\'s potential anticipation of my move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245295878}]','2025-03-17 20:45:20','2025-03-17 21:01:35',10),(2597,7,2,8,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": 3, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 3}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4o-mini\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 210753, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-mini\", \"change\": 3, \"newRating\": 1205, \"oldRating\": 1202}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -3, \"newRating\": 1259, \"oldRating\": 1262}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 3, \"newRating\": 1205, \"oldRating\": 1202}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -3, \"newRating\": 1259, \"oldRating\": 1262}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing rock as the first move since it is a strong opener against scissors, which is a common starting choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245075893}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing paper as a strategic opening move. Rock is statistically a common first choice for many players, so paper would counter that effectively. Without any pattern information from my opponent yet, this gives me a good chance to start with an advantage while establishing an unpredictable pattern for future rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245086717}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent won the last round with paper, they may switch to a different choice. To counteract their potential switch, I\'ll choose scissors as it beats paper and has a chance of winning if they choose any of the common moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245090726}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After winning with paper in the first round when my opponent played rock, I\'m anticipating that my opponent might switch to paper in this round. This is a common psychological pattern - after losing with one option, players often switch to what would have beaten their opponent\'s previous move. Since my opponent lost with rock against my paper, they might choose paper this time to counter what they think I might play again. By choosing scissors, I\'m positioning myself to counter this potential strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245110284}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that the opponent has chosen paper in the first round and scissors in the second, they might attempt to cycle or repeat strategies. Choosing rock will counter scissors effectively and potentially exploit the opponent\'s typical reaction pattern since they may expect me to switch after my previous moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245114622}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After the opponent used scissors in round 2 resulting in a tie, they might use scissors again or switch to paper expecting me to change. I\'m choosing rock because it would beat scissors if they repeat, and if they switch to paper (expecting me to use scissors again), we\'d just have another strategic cycle. This choice helps maintain my lead while countering their most recent move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245128918}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent won the first round with paper and has now chosen scissors in the last two rounds, I will choose rock this time. This counters the possibility of them continuing to choose scissors in hopes of an easy win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245132601}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock twice (rounds 1 and 3) and scissors once. There appears to be a slight preference for rock. Additionally, after I chose rock in the previous round resulting in a tie, the opponent might anticipate me switching to paper and therefore choose scissors to counter. However, considering their historical preference for rock and the fact that they might stick with what has worked well for them (avoiding losses), I believe paper is the strongest play. If they choose rock again, I win; if they predict my paper and choose scissors, I lose; if they choose paper, we tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245147829}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper twice in the previous rounds, which indicates a potential pattern. I will choose scissors to try and beat their paper selection.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245151673}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has predominantly chosen rock (3 out of 4 rounds). After my two wins with paper, they might expect me to choose paper again and switch to scissors to counter. By choosing rock, I can beat their potential scissors play while taking a calculated risk based on their previous patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245169216}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has won previous rounds with paper and rock. Since they have played paper and rock twice each, they might switch to scissors to avoid falling into a pattern. I will choose paper to beat their potential scissors and counter their strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245172683}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has shown a tendency to play rock most frequently and just played scissors in the previous round. They might return to rock this round. By choosing rock, I\'ll either tie if they play rock or win if they continue alternating and play scissors again. While they might finally try paper to surprise me, the historical pattern suggests rock or scissors is more likely. Since I\'m ahead 3-0, I can afford to be a bit conservative with my choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245188860}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that my opponent has won the previous rounds with paper and rock, I will choose scissors to potentially catch them off guard, as they may be inclined to stick with their previous winning strategies.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245192357}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has historically favored rock, which scissors would lose against. However, they\'ve just won with paper in the previous round and might be inclined to play it again or return to their most common choice (rock). If they play paper again, scissors will win, and if they try to anticipate my move and switch to something new, scissors gives me a good chance against potential paper plays.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245208609}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may choose paper after previously favoring rock, and scissors will give me a chance to win if that\'s the case.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245214840}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on previous rounds, my opponent has favored rock (3 times) and scissors (3 times), with paper only once. They\'ve often returned to rock after playing scissors multiple times. Since scissors appeared in the last round, there\'s a decent chance they\'ll switch to rock now. Additionally, I\'m ahead 3-1, so I can afford to make a strategic choice that would counter their most frequent pattern, while maintaining my lead even if I lose this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245227269}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude may switch to rock or scissors after my last win with scissors, so I will choose paper to counter that.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245238073}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, my opponent has chosen scissors in 4 out of 8 rounds, including the last two rounds (7 and 8). Since rock beats scissors, this seems like a strong statistical play. Additionally, my opponent has only chosen paper once (round 6), making it a less likely threat. Given that I\'m ahead 3-2, choosing rock gives me good odds to either win the round or at worst tie if they also choose rock, helping secure my overall lead in the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245254041}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since both players are tied at 3 wins each, I should choose my move based on the assumption that my opponent may try to counter my previous move. In round 9, I chose paper and won, so the opponent might anticipate that I will switch to rock this round. Therefore, I will choose scissors to beat paper, in case my opponent chooses it to counter my last move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245258474}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen paper the last two times I played rock (rounds 6 and 9). Since I just played rock in round 9, they might anticipate I\'ll choose rock again and counter with paper. By playing scissors, I can potentially beat their paper. Additionally, this breaks my recent pattern, making my move less predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245284095}]','2025-03-17 20:45:21','2025-03-17 21:01:24',NULL),(2598,7,15,2,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": 2, \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 1}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"gpt-4o-mini\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"duration\": 110696, \"winner_id\": 2, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1151, \"oldRating\": 1166}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-mini\", \"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1202, \"oldRating\": 1187}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1151, \"oldRating\": 1166}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1202, \"oldRating\": 1187}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m starting with rock as it\'s a classic and neutral choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245160645}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose rock because it is a strong opening move, as many players choose scissors to start, and rock beats scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245164450}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the previous round was a tie, I will choose paper to try and gain an advantage in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245170296}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose paper because it beats rock, which is a common choice after a tie. The opponent may also try to anticipate me and select scissors, but I believe the higher likelihood is they select rock again after tying.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245174709}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the scores are tied and the previous rounds have been ties as well, I\'ll choose rock again to see if the opponent will change their strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245180268}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock and paper in the previous rounds, most likely indicating a tendency to select rock or paper again. I will choose scissors, which can potentially beat their next move if they choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245184906}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has chosen the same move as me in the first two rounds, they might be trying to mimic my moves. In the third round, they chose scissors, which lost to my rock. This time, I\'ll choose paper, which would beat rock if they try to mimic my previous winning move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245191645}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent won with rock in the last round, they may choose to play rock again. I will choose paper to counteract that and hope to secure a win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245195319}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has chosen paper twice and rock once in the previous rounds, it\'s possible they may try to switch to scissors to beat paper. Therefore, I will choose rock to potentially beat scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245202354}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent may choose scissors, so I will choose rock to potentially win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245208918}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock and paper multiple times, but since the last round was a tie with both choosing rock, I\'ll choose paper to try and take advantage of a potential repetition of rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245214605}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing paper because my opponent has shown a tendency to select rock in the previous rounds, and paper will beat rock if they choose it again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245219100}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen the same move as me in all previous rounds except for round 3, where I won with rock against scissors. To try and win this round, I will choose scissors, hoping the opponent will choose paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245226489}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen either rock or paper multiple times in the previous rounds, with no choice of scissors. To counter this tendency, I will choose scissors for this round, as it has a chance to win against paper if they continue that pattern, while not using rock again in case they switch to scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245231406}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since all previous rounds have been ties, I will choose rock to try and break the tie and potentially win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245239356}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent has chosen rock several times, I will choose paper to increase my chances of winning this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245242949}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent won the previous round by choosing paper, so I\'ll choose scissors to beat paper\", \"timestamp\": 1742245248279}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I choose rock to counter the potential for the opponent to choose scissors again after my last win with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245254820}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has been choosing the same option as me in most rounds, I\'ll try to mix it up and choose an option that can beat a commonly chosen option by the opponent. The opponent chose rock in round 9, so I will choose paper, which can beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245261897}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent may choose rock, as they have been more predictable in their previous choices. By choosing paper, I can secure a win if they go with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245266961}]','2025-03-17 20:45:22','2025-03-17 21:01:06',2),(2599,7,12,11,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (high)\": 2, \"o3-mini - (high)\": 1}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"o1 - (high)\", \"o3-mini - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"duration\": 569262, \"winner_id\": 12, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1233, \"oldRating\": 1220}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1146, \"oldRating\": 1159}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1233, \"oldRating\": 1220}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1146, \"oldRating\": 1159}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Let’s start with a strong opening. Rock is often considered a reliable first choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245172287}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ll start with \'rock\' to keep things straightforward. Since it\'s the first round and we have no data on the opponent\'s tendencies yet, choosing rock gives a good baseline. It puts some pressure on if the opponent also chooses rock or tries something different; I\'ll then adjust my strategy in further rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245178887}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might choose rock again, so opting for paper can secure a win if that happens. If the opponent chooses scissors, we lose, but if they choose rock or paper, we will tie or win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245187564}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, both players chose rock. Suspecting that the opponent might stick with rock or try to anticipate a change, I will choose paper in round 2 to cover rock, since paper wins over rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245194177}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may be cycling choices: rock, then paper, likely next is scissors. Rock will beat scissors if that pattern holds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245206498}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first two rounds, my moves were rock and paper, and the opponent mirrored my choices (rock and paper respectively). This might suggest a cyclic pattern. Continuing that logic, the natural progression would be to select scissors next. Even if the opponent matches scissors, it remains a tie, so it’s a safe and logical choice for round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245232801}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"So far, the opponent has gone Rock-Paper-Scissors in sequence. If that pattern continues, Rock might come next, which Paper can beat. Thus, choosing Paper seems like a solid strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245241215}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I observed that the opponent has thrown rock twice and paper once over the previous rounds. Given that rock appears frequently, choosing paper should counter it, as paper beats rock. Therefore, I choose paper for round 4.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245261052}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"So far, the opponent’s sequence of moves has been R, P, S, P. There is a chance they’re cycling back to rock, so the safest bet is to choose paper to beat rock if that pattern continues.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245289274}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s moves so far, they played an alternating pattern: rock in round 1, paper in round 2, rock in round 3, and paper in round 4. This suggests that they might stick to this pattern and choose rock in round 5. Since paper beats rock, I choose paper for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245298097}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"They played paper in the last two rounds, so I expect they might stick with paper. Scissors would beat another paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245346816}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the past rounds, I observed that the opponent has only played rock and paper – with paper appearing 3 times and rock 2 times. Given my history (I have played paper 3 times in the last rounds) and the fact that paper guarantees that I win if the opponent goes with rock (which he does sometimes) and ties if he goes with paper, choosing paper minimizes the risk of falling further behind. In contrast, choosing scissors would win more often only if the opponent sticks with paper but would cost me a loss if he instead picks rock—which is too risky given I’m already behind. Balancing safety and winning potential, the safest and most favorable choice is paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245396962}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper in four of the last six rounds, including the last three straight. While they may change strategy, playing scissors now gives us the best chance to beat a repeated paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245410025}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ve noticed that in the past rounds my moves have been dominated by paper, which may have made my play pattern predictable. The opponent appears to mirror my moves on most rounds (rounds 1, 2, 4, and 5) except when he goes for a winning counter (as in rounds 3 and 6). Given that this pattern might suggest that win moves occur on rounds divisible by 3, round 7 is likely to be a mirror round. By switching from my overused paper to rock, I diversify my play. In a mirror round, rock yields a tie, while in the unlikely event that he mistakenly uses his win mode expecting my usual paper, his counter (scissors) will be beaten by rock. Based on this analysis, I choose rock for round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245507935}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has favored paper so far, and using scissors maximizes our chance to continue to stay ahead in score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245533388}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent’s moves so far and noting that they lost round 7 when playing scissors against my rock, I suspect a lose‐shift strategy. Specifically, after a loss players often switch to the move that would beat their last move’s counter – in this case, since rock beat their scissors, they might shift to paper in round 8. Given that paper is also their most frequent move overall, I believe they could lean into paper next. To counter paper, I choose scissors, which should have the best chance to win round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245569053}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I’m currently ahead and want to avoid losing. The opponent has picked paper most often, so choosing paper myself keeps me fairly safe (ties if they pick paper, wins if they choose rock). Although it risks losing if they pick scissors, it still seems like a sensible choice overall.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245595706}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s moves—rounds 1-3 oscillated with rock and paper, then rounds 4-5 featured repeated paper, and rounds 6-8 were all scissors—I suspect a block strategy where the opponent is pre-programmed to use each move a certain number of times. With only 2 occurrences of rock so far versus 3 each of paper and scissors, it’s likely that the opponent will switch to rock in round 9 to balance his sequence. Since paper beats rock, I choose paper for round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245640718}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played paper most of the time so far. Since we only need a tie in the final round to finish ahead, picking scissors has a good chance of beating their most common move and at worst only ties the overall match if they switch to rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245684249}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent has played paper most frequently (rounds 2, 4, 5, and 9), whereas rock and scissors have been used less often. With my previous moves leaning heavily on paper, and given that winning is my only chance to level the score (a win would result in a 2-2 tie which is the best I can do now), I’m aiming to win round 10. To beat paper, the best move is scissors. This is in line with the opponent’s pattern and the frequency analysis, so I choose scissors for round 10.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245729017}]','2025-03-17 20:45:23','2025-03-17 21:08:49',12),(2600,7,2,7,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": 3, \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": 2}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4o-mini\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"duration\": 139851, \"winner_id\": 2, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-mini\", \"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1221, \"oldRating\": 1205}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1191, \"oldRating\": 1207}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1221, \"oldRating\": 1205}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1191, \"oldRating\": 1207}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I choose rock because it is a strong opening move that can win against scissors, which is a common choice for the first round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245172495}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"For the opening round, I\'ll choose rock. This is a common opening move in Rock Paper Scissors since many players tend to choose scissors in the first round. Without any prior pattern to analyze from my opponent, rock provides a solid starting option that could give me an early advantage if the opponent chooses scissors, while drawing if they also choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245178377}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since both I and my opponent chose rock in the first round, I will choose paper in this round. Paper beats rock, so it gives me a better chance of winning against Claude 3.7 Sonnet.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245182553}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Many players tend to stick with the same move after a tie, so there\'s a decent chance my opponent will play rock again. Even if they try to anticipate my move and choose paper (thinking I\'ll choose rock again), I can at worst tie. If they try to be clever and choose scissors to beat my anticipated paper, they would win - but this is less likely in early rounds. Paper gives me a good chance to win if they repeat rock, while limiting my potential loss.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245190111}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since both players have played the same moves (rock and paper) resulting in ties in the previous rounds, it\'s strategic to counter a likely move from the opponent. Claude may choose to play scissors this time to try to secure a win, so I will choose rock to beat scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245194534}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the first two rounds, there seems to be a pattern where the opponent has mirrored my moves (rock then paper). If this pattern continues, the opponent might expect me to choose scissors next and mirror it. However, I can try to break this pattern by choosing scissors, which would counter their paper if they stick with mirroring my previous move. Additionally, there\'s often a psychological tendency to progress through the three options in sequence (rock -> paper -> scissors), so my opponent might naturally choose scissors next, which would result in a tie if I also choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245201976}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since Claude has not won any rounds yet and has played rock and paper in the previous rounds, it is likely that he will choose scissors this time to try and catch me off guard. I will choose rock to ensure that I maintain my lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245206310}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent has played rock, paper, rock in the first three rounds. There\'s a possibility they might be cycling back to paper for this round. Also, they\'ve shown a preference for rock (playing it twice), which paper would beat. Since I\'m currently behind in the score, I need to make a strategic choice that has a good chance of winning this round. Paper seems to be the optimal choice based on the opponent\'s previous moves and potential patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245213454}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen paper in the last round, and assuming they may go for a different approach this round, I will choose scissors to beat their potential rock or to tie against paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245217387}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a tendency to play rock (3 out of 4 times). After I won with paper in the last round, they may stick with rock again thinking I\'ll change my strategy, or they might switch to scissors anticipating me playing paper again. Since they\'ve played rock more frequently, I\'ll take the calculated risk that they\'ll play rock again and choose paper. This gives me a winning chance if they stick with their most common move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245235078}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing paper to potentially counter my opponent\'s likely choice of rock after they previously played paper and lost to my scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245240956}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, there appears to be a pattern where my opponent is responding to my moves. After I chose scissors in round 3, they chose rock to counter. After I chose paper twice in rounds 4 and 5, they adapted from rock to scissors. This suggests they might be analyzing my moves and adjusting. Since I just lost with paper to their scissors, they might expect me to switch to rock (which beats scissors). However, they might try to counter my expected rock by choosing paper. To counter their anticipated paper, I could choose scissors, but this creates a second-level mind game. Given that they\'ve shown adaptation, I\'ll choose rock, which would tie if they predict I\'ll choose scissors, but win if they stick with scissors again thinking I might repeat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245249325}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I choose scissors because it can potentially win against the opponent\'s expected choice of paper, while also giving me an edge in maintaining variety in my moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245254783}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern of my opponent\'s moves, they\'ve played rock twice, paper twice, and scissors once. My opponent seems to favor rock and paper. In the last round, they played paper, and there might be a tendency to not repeat the same move twice in a row. Additionally, my opponent might expect me to play rock again after losing with rock in the previous round. Given that I\'m behind in score (1-3), I need to take a calculated risk. Choosing scissors gives me a good chance to counter if they play paper again, which has been one of their more frequent choices.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245263636}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock to counter potential scissors from my opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245269636}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock for round 8 because there\'s a possibility that my opponent might go with scissors again, having just played it in round 7. Additionally, the opponent has played paper only twice so far, making rock a somewhat safer choice than scissors. Given the current score (1-3), I need to be strategic to catch up, and rock offers a good balance between offense and defense based on the opponent\'s previous choices.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245277768}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might stick with rock since they have chosen it in the last two rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245287805}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that the opponent chose rock in rounds 1, 3, 4, and 8, there\'s a pattern of the opponent frequently using rock. In the last round, we both chose rock, and there\'s a tendency for players to switch after ties. My opponent might expect me to choose paper (to beat their anticipated rock), so they might choose scissors to counter. Therefore, I\'ll choose scissors to either tie if they choose scissors or win if they choose paper. This is a strategic move to improve my score, as I need to win this and the next round to tie the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245296187}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent has just played scissors in round 9 and is likely trying to guess my next move, I will choose rock this time. Rock beats scissors, and this choice can lead to winning the match either by countering their expected move or securing a win against their last choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245300343}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern analysis, I believe my opponent is likely to choose scissors in this final round. They\'ve shown a tendency not to repeat the same move too often and just played paper in the previous round. Since they need only a tie to win the overall game, they might anticipate that I would choose paper to counter their previous paper move, and thus they would play scissors. By choosing rock, I can potentially counter their scissors and win the final round to tie the overall match at 3-3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245309800}]','2025-03-17 20:46:20','2025-03-17 21:01:49',2),(2601,7,14,4,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (low)\": 5, \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 2}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}], \"players\": [\"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"o1 - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"duration\": 118045, \"winner_id\": 4, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1175, \"oldRating\": 1190}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1216, \"oldRating\": 1201}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1175, \"oldRating\": 1190}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1216, \"oldRating\": 1201}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing rock as a classic opening move to start the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245225209}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I will start with a strong classic opening. Rock is often considered a solid first move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245230451}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent played rock last round, paper beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245233603}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I suspect the opponent might play paper to beat our previous rock choice. Therefore, I\'ll choose scissors to counter potential paper and gain a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245239130}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent might expect scissors, so I will choose rock to surprise them.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245242527}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We suspect the opponent might choose rock to counter our successful scissors move, so we can choose paper to beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245249163}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be playing a predictable pattern. They played rock, scissors, paper. I will try to break their pattern. I will choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245252497}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has not shown a strong pattern yet, but given their previous moves (rock, paper, rock), choosing paper may be a safe bet since it can beat rock if repeated.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245257044}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Trying to be unpredictable to throw off the opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245260269}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We lost the last round by using paper against opponent’s scissors. The opponent might predict another switch, but focusing on a balanced approach, rock counters a probable repeat of scissors. I’ll choose rock to try to beat scissors and avoid losing to a potential switch to paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245268849}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be playing randomly, perhaps with a slight preference for paper. I\'ll try to exploit this by choosing scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245271848}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent’s previous pattern, they have alternated between moves without a clear cycle. The safest bet here is to switch to scissors, which can beat the opponent’s more common leaning toward paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245279091}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"No clear pattern, choosing paper to try and break the tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245284527}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Examining the opponent\'s past moves (rock, paper, rock, scissors, paper, scissors) suggests a possible cycle with rock likely up next. Paper would beat rock if this pattern continues. I’ll choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245293183}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent played paper last round, so I will play scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245296346}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent appears to be alternating patterns of rock, paper, and scissors in a cyclical way, and based on that pattern, there\'s a good chance they will pick scissors again. Choosing rock is the safest option to beat scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245305228}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent is beating me, and I need to win this round to have any chance of winning the game. I will choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245308461}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used paper in several key rounds, and you’ve already had success beating paper with scissors. Choosing scissors this round could capitalize if they pick paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245327145}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has been playing scissors and rock recently. I will play paper to try and beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245330306}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We’re already securely in the lead and essentially can’t lose the match. However, observing the opponent’s strong use of paper, opting for scissors gives a good chance to beat that choice if they repeat it. Hence, let’s go with scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245339583}]','2025-03-17 20:47:20','2025-03-17 21:02:19',4),(2602,7,3,15,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": 3, \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 3}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (low)\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 125018, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": 2, \"newRating\": 1120, \"oldRating\": 1118}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": -2, \"newRating\": 1149, \"oldRating\": 1151}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 2, \"newRating\": 1120, \"oldRating\": 1118}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -2, \"newRating\": 1149, \"oldRating\": 1151}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I choose paper because it\'s a strong counter to rock if my opponent is likely to choose rock. My choice is to take an unpredictable but strategic move early in the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245232444}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with a random choice to test the opponent\'s strategy\", \"timestamp\": 1742245237688}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I choose scissors for this round. Given I won the first round with paper (which beats rock), I suspect my opponent might switch to scissors or stick with a pattern. Choosing scissors could force a decision, and it helps in disrupting any potential pattern from my opponent. Hence, I\'ll go with scissors to try and secure another win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245242272}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ll choose scissors because the opponent chose paper in the previous round, so I\'m anticipating they might choose paper again and scissors beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245247993}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock for round 3 in order to maintain an unpredictable pattern while capitalizing on any possible overcorrection from the opponent. Since the opponent started with a losing move (rock) and then matched with scissors (leading to a tie), I suspect they might switch up their tactic. Rock is a balanced choice that could catch them if they try another move, and it\'s a safe option at this stage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245256654}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m trying to exploit the fact that the opponent won the first round with paper, so I\'ll choose rock to try and neutralize their potential paper choice\", \"timestamp\": 1742245263178}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I observed that the opponent seems to favor \'rock\' and \'scissors\' in previous rounds. Given that \'rock\' appears twice, and \'scissors\' once, I\'m going to take a risk by anticipating a possible \'scissors\' in this round, which I can beat with \'rock\'. Therefore, I\'ll choose \'rock\' for round 4.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245268361}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has chosen paper and rock in the previous rounds, and we tied in rounds 2 and 3, I\'ll choose scissors to potentially beat paper if they choose it again or to tie if they choose scissors again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245274687}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analysis of previous rounds suggests that the opponent is alternating between rock and scissors (rounds: rock, scissors, rock, scissors). If this pattern holds, round 5 will likely be rock. To beat rock, the optimal response is paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245282543}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has won two rounds with paper and rock, and tied two rounds with scissors and rock. To win this round, I need to choose a move that beats the opponent\'s most likely move, which is rock or paper. Scissors beats paper, so I\'ll choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245291556}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s previous moves, they have chosen rock and scissors. The recent rounds indicate a trend toward scissors (in rounds 2, 4, 5, there are lots of scissors). To beat scissors, I\'ll choose rock. Additionally, repeating rock has worked well in previous rounds. So for round 6, I choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245296463}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock and paper more often than scissors, so I will choose paper to try and take advantage of this pattern and increase my chances of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245302052}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s moves so far, after playing rock and scissors repeatedly, they seem to have transitioned to playing paper in round 6. It might be anticipated that they could try paper again, so choosing scissors counters paper. Thus, I choose scissors for round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245306758}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the current score and previous rounds, I need to consider the opponent\'s possible next move and choose a move that has a higher chance of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245312460}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at previous rounds, the opponent has played rock in rounds 1, 3, and 7, which appears to be a recurring theme. Rock was the opponent\'s most frequent move. To counter that, and with the potential that Llama may repeat their pattern, I\'ll choose paper to beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245317710}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen paper twice, rock twice, and scissors twice in the previous rounds, while I have chosen rock three times, paper once, and scissors three times. Since my opponent\'s moves appear to be somewhat random and they have chosen rock twice, I\'ll choose paper to potentially beat rock if they choose it again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245324493}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Considering the opponent’s pattern so far, there seems to be a tendency to alternate between rock, scissors, and occasionally paper. In the previous rounds, the opponent played rock in rounds 1, 3, and 7, scissors in rounds 2, 4, and 5, and paper in rounds 6 and 8. With a slight preference for rock and scissors, and since I need a win in this round, I suspect the opponent might lean towards scissors again. To counter scissors effectively, I\'ll choose rock. This move is intended to give me a chance of winning round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245336669}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has chosen paper and scissors an equal number of times and rock slightly more, I\'ll choose scissors to beat paper if they choose it again, considering the previous rounds\' results.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245342805}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I observed that the opponent played scissors most frequently (4 out of 9 rounds), suggesting a tendency towards scissors. Since rock beats scissors, I choose rock for the final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245347939}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because it\'s a solid choice that can potentially beat scissors, and the opponent has chosen rock multiple times in the past, so I\'m hoping to get a tie or a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245354544}]','2025-03-17 20:47:21','2025-03-17 21:02:34',NULL),(2603,7,10,7,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": 1, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": 5}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"duration\": 233399, \"winner_id\": 10, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1244, \"oldRating\": 1230}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1177, \"oldRating\": 1191}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1244, \"oldRating\": 1230}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1177, \"oldRating\": 1191}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing paper based on the tendency for many players to open with rock. Without any established pattern yet, this gives me a strategic chance to counter what is statistically a common opening move. As we progress through more rounds, I\'ll be able to adapt my strategy based on any patterns that emerge.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245258753}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'ll start with rock as an opening move. Since there\'s no prior history to analyze patterns yet, this is a balanced opening choice. Rock has the psychological advantage of feeling \\\"strong\\\" as an opening move, and many players tend to choose scissors in the first round, which rock would beat.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245264475}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After winning with paper in round 1, my opponent might expect me to play paper again and choose scissors to counter. By playing rock, I can potentially anticipate and defeat this scissors play. Additionally, players sometimes switch strategies after a loss, so Claude might switch from rock to scissors, making rock a good counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245277200}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent chose paper in round 1, there\'s a possibility they might stick with a winning move. Even if they anticipate that I might switch to paper (to beat their previous rock), scissors would be effective against that. Additionally, choosing scissors creates unpredictability since I\'m not simply cycling through options in sequence. This approach balances counter-strategy with unpredictability.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245284271}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our previous rounds, I\'ve won with paper and then rock. My opponent might expect me to either repeat rock (since it won last time) or follow a predictable pattern. If they anticipate me using rock again, they might choose paper to counter, making scissors my best option. Additionally, choosing scissors completes the natural rock-paper-scissors cycle from my previous moves, but in a way that\'s strategically sound rather than predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245302669}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, my opponent has used paper and rock. There seems to be a potential pattern forming where my opponent might choose scissors next (following the sequence paper-rock-scissors). If they\'re thinking strategically, they might anticipate me choosing rock again after losing to rock, so scissors would beat that. By choosing paper, I would beat rock if they repeat their last move, and I would tie against paper if they revert to their first move. Paper gives me coverage against what appears to be my opponent\'s preference for rock based on the most recent round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245309855}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because if my opponent thinks I\'m cycling (paper→rock→scissors→paper), they might play scissors to counter my expected paper. Additionally, breaking my own apparent pattern will keep my strategy unpredictable while we\'re in a strong position. With a 3-0 lead, I can afford to be slightly more conservative with rock, which tends to be played more frequently in many RPS tournaments.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245326383}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I chose paper in round 3 and lost to scissors, if the opponent is following a pattern of countering my previous move, they might choose rock expecting me to choose scissors again. By choosing rock, I can potentially break this pattern. Additionally, since I\'ve gone through the complete cycle of choices (rock, scissors, paper), it\'s time to reset and see if I can identify a clearer pattern in the opponent\'s strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245333705}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the observed pattern, my opponent appears to be playing what would counter my previous move. Since I played rock in round 4, they might play paper in round 5 to beat my previous choice. Therefore, I\'ll play scissors to counter their anticipated paper. Additionally, this maintains an unpredictable sequence in my own moves (paper→rock→scissors→rock→scissors), making it harder for them to establish a pattern for me.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245350534}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ve observed my opponent\'s pattern - they\'ve gone paper, rock, scissors, rock in the first four rounds. If they\'re continuing with a pattern, they might choose scissors next. However, I suspect they might anticipate me trying to counter their pattern and choose rock or paper instead. Given that my opponent has chosen rock twice already, including in the most recent round, there\'s a decent chance they\'ll switch to paper. I\'ll choose paper, which would tie against their paper or win against their rock. This breaks my own pattern as I haven\'t chosen paper since round 3, making me less predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245357634}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent has chosen paper in rounds 3 and 5, and has never chosen scissors in consecutive rounds. Given that I\'ve used scissors successfully in the last round, my opponent might anticipate I\'ll use scissors again and counter with rock, or they might try scissors to break their own pattern. Rock is a strategic choice that would beat scissors and tie with another rock. Additionally, I\'m leading 4-0, so I can afford to make a slightly more conservative play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245376843}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen scissors in rounds 3 and 5, and rock in rounds 2 and 4. There seems to be a pattern where the opponent alternates between scissors and rock. Following this pattern, my opponent might choose rock in this round. However, I\'ve noticed that my opponent has been countering my moves effectively. Since I\'ve chosen paper and rock recently, they might anticipate me choosing scissors and go with rock again. Instead, I\'ll try to break my own pattern and choose scissors, anticipating that my opponent might switch to paper to counter what they think will be my next logical move (rock).\", \"timestamp\": 1742245385091}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern of rock→scissors→paper→rock→paper→scissors, they\'re likely to play rock next. Choosing paper would counter this expected move. Additionally, it breaks my recent rock-scissors alternating pattern, making my strategy less predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245398948}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent has chosen rock in rounds 2, 4, and 6, which suggests they might continue the pattern in round 7. If they choose rock again, paper would be the winning move. Additionally, my opponent seems to be reacting to my previous moves - when I chose paper, they followed with scissors twice. When I chose scissors, they countered with rock twice. This suggests they might be anticipating my next move based on patterns, so I\'ll try to break that expectation. Since I lost with scissors in the previous round, they might expect me to switch to rock, in which case they\'d play paper - making my paper choice lead to a tie rather than a loss.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245406910}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern analysis, my opponent has played paper in rounds 3, 5, and 7. After playing paper in round 3 and 5, they followed with rock and scissors respectively. There\'s a higher probability they might play rock this round to try to break their losing streak. Choosing paper gives me the best chance to counter a potential rock play while maintaining my lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245425058}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, I notice my opponent has chosen rock 3 times, paper 2 times, and scissors 2 times. There appears to be a tendency for my opponent to favor rock slightly more than the other options. Additionally, my opponent\'s recent choices show some cycling, with rock appearing in rounds 2, 4, and 6. If this pattern continues, round 8 might see another rock. Therefore, I\'ll choose paper which would beat rock. I\'m also aware that my opponent might anticipate this reasoning and try to counter, but given the current game state (0-5 behind), I need to make strategic choices that have the best chance of winning based on observed patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245432580}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, my opponent has chosen paper in rounds 3, 5, 7, and 8, showing a clear preference for this move (four times out of eight rounds). Most notably, they\'ve selected paper in the last two consecutive rounds. Given this pattern and their apparent tendency to repeat moves, scissors would be the optimal choice to counter another potential paper play. Even if they attempt to break their pattern, I have a commanding lead at 5-0, so I can afford to take a strategic risk with scissors. This move maintains my aggressive stance that has been successful throughout the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245447762}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the previous rounds, I notice that my opponent has chosen rock 3 times, paper 3 times, and scissors 2 times. Looking at the most recent pattern, my opponent has chosen paper twice in a row, suggesting they might switch to something else. Since the opponent has often countered my moves effectively, I\'ll choose rock for this round. Rock would beat scissors if the opponent decides to switch to scissors after playing paper twice. Additionally, the opponent has shown a tendency to play rock after I play paper (as in rounds 5-6), so anticipating this pattern could result in a tie rather than a loss.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245455722}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has favored paper more than any other move (4 times out of 9 rounds). After losing with rock in the previous round, they might return to their most comfortable choice. Additionally, the opponent hasn\'t shown a strong pattern of repeating their last move, making paper a reasonable prediction for their next choice. Since I\'ve already secured the overall win with 5 victories to their 1, I can afford to make this strategic choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245472078}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"For the final round, I\'m choosing scissors based on a few strategic considerations. My opponent has shown a tendency to play rock when I\'ve previously chosen scissors (rounds 2 and 6), but they might expect me to avoid scissors due to those past losses. After I just won with rock in round 9, there\'s a good chance my opponent will play paper expecting me to stick with rock. By choosing scissors, I can potentially counter this paper play. While this is somewhat risky if they choose rock again, the pattern suggests they may be more likely to play paper in this final round as an adjustment to my recent win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245481365}]','2025-03-17 20:48:20','2025-03-17 21:04:41',10),(2604,7,4,9,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (low)\": 4, \"gpt-4.5-preview\": 2}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}], \"players\": [\"o1 - (low)\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"duration\": 314781, \"winner_id\": 4, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 17, \"newRating\": 1217, \"oldRating\": 1200}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": -17, \"newRating\": 1204, \"oldRating\": 1221}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 17, \"newRating\": 1217, \"oldRating\": 1200}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -17, \"newRating\": 1204, \"oldRating\": 1221}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting off strong with rock, hoping to break any potential scissors strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245258301}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Since this is the first round, I\'ll start randomly with rock to gauge the opponent\'s strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245266227}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"They tied with rock last time. They might expect me to switch to paper, so I can subvert that expectation by staying with rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245272325}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent chose rock previously. By selecting paper, I can possibly capitalize if the opponent sticks with rock, ensuring either a tie or a win while diversifying my tactics.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245288608}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s recent use of paper, I\'ll try to counter it and go with scissors for round 3 to cut through any repeated attempt at paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245296033}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent chose rock twice in a row. I\'ll continue choosing paper, as it can defeat rock, to test if they stick with their repetitive strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245319265}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We anticipate the opponent might respond with rock, so let\'s choose paper to beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245325126}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has leaned towards rock and scissors in past rounds, avoiding paper. Choosing rock is safe as it either ties or defeats scissors, reducing risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245351293}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s unpredictable pattern, I\'m choosing scissors to try to counter a possible paper and maintain a potential advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245360556}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent is cycling through different moves and may expect a scissors pick from me after losing twice with rock. Paper is the best choice to counter a possible rock from my opponent or secure at least a tie if they choose paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245389484}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might try to counter your successful scissors strategy by playing scissors themselves, in which case rock would secure a win. This is a strategic pivot to keep them guessing.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245397680}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s recent repeated choices of scissors, selecting rock is strategically optimal as it counters scissors effectively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245413224}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I am already ahead by 2 points. Maintaining the lead is beneficial, so I\'ll stick with rock again, hoping that ties are safe and if the opponent goes scissors, I can secure another win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245420110}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent frequently chooses rock and scissors, showing a pattern of cycling between the two. After a tie using rock, they\'re likely to revert to scissors expecting paper. Selecting rock will counter scissors and provide a safe bet against another rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245445433}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of choosing rock in the last few rounds. Choosing paper will beat rock if the opponent continues that pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245454568}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent frequently chooses rock. We\'ve repeatedly selected rock in recent rounds, which might prompt the opponent to switch to paper or continue with rock. Choosing paper gives us the best chance to win or at least tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245478180}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We have a two-point lead going into round 9. Playing rock is a generally safe move; it can either tie if the opponent also chooses rock or beat scissors if they try to counter our recent patterns. It’s a conservative choice to preserve our lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245486491}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent frequently chooses rock. Paper is the safest, most beneficial choice to counter the opponent\'s repeated selection of rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245513398}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"My best guess based on previous patterns: The opponent often alternates rock and paper, without using scissors yet, so I’ll choose paper to hedge my bets. Paper will either tie if they pick paper or win if they pick rock, avoiding a worst-case scenario.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245532736}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing rock maximizes our chances of either tying (likely scenario if the opponent chooses rock again) or winning outright (if they switch to scissors anticipating my last round\'s move of paper). It minimizes the risk of losing compared to paper or scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245569571}]','2025-03-17 20:48:21','2025-03-17 21:06:09',4),(2605,7,4,1,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 4, \"o1 - (low)\": 2}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}], \"players\": [\"o1 - (low)\", \"gpt-4o\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"duration\": 164055, \"winner_id\": 1, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": -17, \"newRating\": 1199, \"oldRating\": 1216}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": 17, \"newRating\": 1222, \"oldRating\": 1205}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -17, \"newRating\": 1199, \"oldRating\": 1216}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 17, \"newRating\": 1222, \"oldRating\": 1205}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Round 1 is a random guess. Playing rock is a classic opening move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245262415}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent level is low, so their strategy might be random or less optimal. Rock is a balanced option for starting the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245266870}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round, we played rock and tied. To mix things up and possibly beat an expected paper by the opponent, we\'ll try scissors this time.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245272719}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Both of us chose rock last round, and the opponent might try to change their choice. If they choose scissors to counter an expected repeat of rock, choosing rock again would be fine. However, they might also lean towards paper. To cover most scenarios, I\'ll pick scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245277360}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The first two rounds ended in ties with rock and scissors. Paper might give us a new edge.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245286394}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played the same move as me in the last two rounds, suggesting they might try to predict my next move. I will choose paper, assuming they will continue following this pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245290483}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"All previous rounds have been ties, let\'s break the pattern by going with Rock this turn\", \"timestamp\": 1742245295533}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"All previous rounds have been ties. The opponent appears to mirror my choices. To break this pattern, I will choose rock in anticipation that the opponent might continue mirroring, which will also result in them choosing rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245300138}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has mimicked our choices for the first four rounds. If that pattern continues and the opponent repeats our move, choosing paper now will beat rock if they’re stuck repeating that previous pattern of choosing rock. So we’ll go with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245313128}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In previous rounds, the opponent has consistently mirrored my choices. To break this pattern and possibly win, I will choose scissors in case the opponent decides to copy rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245317907}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I think choosing rock now could help level the score if the opponent chooses scissors again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245323208}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to favor repetition or default moves, as their past choices have been consistent. Since they might repeat \'paper\' (based on their loss pattern), choosing \'scissors\' again maximizes my chances of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245327860}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s pattern so far suggests they might choose Paper, in which case Scissors is the safe bet to win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245341082}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the history, the opponent has chosen rock twice, paper twice, and scissors twice, showing no clear preference. They won the last round with rock. Predicting they might repeat rock or switch to paper, I choose paper to counter rock and tie paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245345782}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might lean towards scissors again, and rock has been successful previously. We\'ll use rock to aim for another win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245367871}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has a pattern of likely picking the move that beats my previous choice. Since I chose paper in the last round and the opponent chose scissors, it seems the opponent might expect me to pick scissors and choose rock this round. To counter that, I will choose paper, which beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245372245}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent’s pattern has no clear single tendency, but they have used rock, scissors, and paper fairly evenly overall. I’ll choose scissors in hopes of beating any attempt at paper but also aiming to mix up my own choices.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245391575}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing opponent\'s past behavior, they\'ve avoided consecutive moves of the same type, meaning they might play scissors after their recent rock. I\'ll counter scissors with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245396204}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We need a win to tie the match (3-3). The opponent just used rock in Round 9, so picking paper is our best chance to beat rock. Although there’s no perfect guarantee, paper gives us the chance to tie the overall score if the opponent repeats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245418498}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s pattern has shown strong randomness without a noticeable bias, but they might try to counter trends. Based on recent winning choices, they could resort to paper, so I choose scissors to counter it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245423002}]','2025-03-17 20:48:22','2025-03-17 21:03:43',1),(2606,7,9,4,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (low)\": 4, \"gpt-4.5-preview\": 4}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"o1 - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 288788, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": -1, \"newRating\": 1221, \"oldRating\": 1222}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 1, \"newRating\": 1200, \"oldRating\": 1199}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -1, \"newRating\": 1221, \"oldRating\": 1222}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 1, \"newRating\": 1200, \"oldRating\": 1199}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"It\'s the first round, and a random pick helps analyze the opponent\'s move pattern. Choosing paper as an initial safe stratagem.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245279547}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I want to start with a balanced approach, so I\'ll pick rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245283553}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent lost the first round with rock against my paper. They may switch to scissors expecting me to repeat paper. Choosing rock counters their anticipated scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245299298}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that the opponent used paper last round, choosing scissors could give us an advantage if they repeat paper. Scissors could also hold potential if the opponent tries to switch to rock—while that would result in a loss, we’re taking a calculated risk. Let’s go with scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245311222}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may choose paper to counter our successful rock move from the previous round, so scissors is the best strategic choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245326328}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous moves (paper, then rock), the opponent might choose scissors now. Rock would beat scissors, so let\'s go with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245333623}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has tended towards rock, choosing rock twice in three rounds. Selecting paper anticipating another rock gives a higher probability of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245356986}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s pattern so far (paper -> rock -> scissors), I guess they might continue in a cycle and choose paper next. Scissors would win against paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245364445}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to alternate between rock and scissors. They chose scissors in the previous round, thus they\'re likely to choose rock next. Paper is the best counter against rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245379514}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Our opponent has used paper and scissors in previous rounds, and we want to gain an advantage. Paper can beat rock if the opponent tries to revert to rock. We’ll choose paper to cover that possibility and avoid a direct pattern from our previous move (scissors).\", \"timestamp\": 1742245387397}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent choices are relatively balanced and somewhat unpredictable; anticipating a shift back towards rock, so choosing paper to counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245407247}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might repeat paper again or might shift to rock. However, based on their recent moves, they\'ve picked paper twice in a row, so I\'ll try scissors to potentially beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245418423}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent is currently favoring scissors, having chosen it in the last two of three rounds, thus rock is the safest and most strategic choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245439577}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"My best guess is that GPT-4.5 might keep repeating paper, so I’ll choose scissors to try to beat paper. This is an aggressive choice that can secure a win if they continue with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245454726}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has frequently chosen scissors, so they might switch to paper to counter my previous rock. Choosing scissors is strategic, as it will beat their potential paper choice or tie against their habitual scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245477008}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent used Rock in round 7, likely to counter my frequent use of Scissors. They may do so again, so I can counter by choosing Paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245487526}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent frequently chooses scissors, especially after losing with paper. Choosing rock gives us a strategic advantage, particularly anticipating scissors from them.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245509959}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to favor throwing rock after scissors, so I\'ll play paper to try and beat rock this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245520589}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent tends to favor scissors, especially in crucial rounds. Choosing rock will likely counter their preferred move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245546279}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We are tied 4-4, so we need a winning move. Opponent’s choices haven’t shown a clear pattern, but rock can either tie if they pick rock or defeat scissors if they choose scissors, which is somewhat plausible. We’ll take a chance on rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245555790}]','2025-03-17 20:49:20','2025-03-17 21:05:55',NULL),(2607,7,3,9,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": 2, \"o3-mini - (low)\": 1}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (low)\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"duration\": 239543, \"winner_id\": 9, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -11, \"newRating\": 1099, \"oldRating\": 1110}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": 11, \"newRating\": 1222, \"oldRating\": 1211}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -11, \"newRating\": 1099, \"oldRating\": 1110}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 11, \"newRating\": 1222, \"oldRating\": 1211}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m starting the game with a balanced approach by choosing rock. This move is often seen as strong and is a common opening strategy, providing a straightforward option without giving any initial pattern away.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245287043}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"I have no previous rounds to analyze, so I\'ll start with a neutral option. Rock is often a good first choice, as it serves as a baseline and can help gauge the opponent\'s strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245296936}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, we both chose rock resulting in a tie. For round 2, I\'m switching to paper as it beats rock, anticipating that the opponent might stick to their previous choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245301170}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent chose rock last round, resulting in a tie. Anticipating the opponent might switch to paper to beat my previous choice, I\'ll choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245319212}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I noticed that after choosing rock in round 1 and facing a tie, my paper in round 2 was countered by scissors. Since the opponent used scissors last round, I expect they may continue with scissors or try to mix up their strategy. I will choose rock since rock beats scissors, aiming to secure a win if they repeat scissors or try to play similar moves. It’s a balanced, cautious, yet opportunistic decision.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245324083}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that the opponent might switch strategies after previously losing with paper, they are likely to choose scissors next. Rock will counter scissors effectively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245340703}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After reviewing previous rounds, the opponent appears to favor \'rock\' (rounds 1 and 3) while dropping in a \'scissors\' in round 2. Since \'paper\' wins against \'rock\' and only loses to \'scissors\', and given that the opponent appears more likely to choose \'rock\', playing \'paper\' maximizes my chances of winning this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245348992}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent frequently chose rock, expecting repetition. Paper beats rock, making paper the optimal choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245365224}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Considering the opponent played rock twice (most common in past rounds), along with scissors and paper once each, it seems reasonable to play paper, which beats rock. This choice might maximize the chance of winning in a scenario where the opponent may be inclined to reuse his most common move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245372004}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent is alternating moves between rock and paper. Given the sequence, the next anticipated move from the opponent is rock. Paper is the effective counter to rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245396250}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent has used rock and paper more frequently than scissors, and they won round 2 by choosing scissors against my paper. In addition, the last two rounds the opponent chose paper, which might indicate a tendency towards repeating paper. To counter potential paper with scissors, I\'m choosing scissors for round 6.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245402276}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has consistently chosen paper in recent rounds, making scissors a strategic choice to potentially secure a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245418003}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, the opponent played rock twice, scissors twice, and paper twice. Although there is no clear pattern, the opponent’s last move was scissors, which might indicate a tendency to repeat if they are trying to disrupt my expectations. Choosing rock not only beats scissors, but also could exploit any potential repetition. Hence, I\'ll choose rock for round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245423058}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Introducing variety to break the tie pattern and create unpredictability, we\'ll select rock this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245436497}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s moves in previous rounds, rock was chosen most frequently (rounds 1, 3, and 7). Given this bias and anticipating that he may continue to lean towards rock, I choose paper as it beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245442852}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has consistently chosen rock and paper. Picking paper gives a good balance between potential win and low risk, increasing chances of breaking the tie pattern and staying safe from losses.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245467420}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent’s moves, they have shown a balanced tendency to choose all three options with a slight preference towards rock and paper. Considering that many rounds have ended in ties and the only loss (round 2) occurred when the opponent chose scissors against my paper, I suspect they may be leaning towards rock or paper in this round. By choosing scissors, I aim to counter their potential habit of leaning towards paper. Therefore, I\'ll play scissors in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245473670}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent consistently mirrors my choices, choosing rock is a cautious strategy that continues the current trend and maintains the lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245495473}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent often repeats rock in crucial moments (rounds 1, 9). Choosing paper seems to be a strong counter to rock. Therefore, for round 10, I\'ll choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245500011}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"I have a comfortable lead (2-0) and my opponent tends toward rock and paper. Choosing rock again is safe as it likely guarantees at least a tie, ensuring overall victory without unnecessary risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245523669}]','2025-03-17 20:49:21','2025-03-17 21:05:23',9),(2608,7,8,3,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": 2, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 8}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"o3-mini - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"duration\": 200800, \"winner_id\": 8, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 10, \"newRating\": 1269, \"oldRating\": 1259}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -10, \"newRating\": 1110, \"oldRating\": 1120}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 10, \"newRating\": 1269, \"oldRating\": 1259}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -10, \"newRating\": 1110, \"oldRating\": 1120}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'ll choose paper as many players tend to start with rock. Without any pattern information yet, this is a strategic opening move that counters the most common first choice. As the game progresses, I can adapt my strategy based on any patterns that emerge in my opponent\'s play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245307180}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ll choose rock for round 1 as a strong opening move, hoping it can catch the opponent off guard and set a positive tone for the match.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245312683}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round, I won with paper against my opponent\'s rock. Many opponents tend to adjust their strategy after losing and would likely counter my previous successful move (paper) by playing scissors in this round. By choosing rock, I\'m anticipating and countering this potential scissors play. Additionally, since I\'m already ahead 1-0, I can afford to make a conservative play that protects against the most likely counter-strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245325797}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, the opponent chose paper to beat my rock. This might suggest they are likely to choose paper again, so I will choose scissors to counteract that. Of course, there\'s no guarantee, but this is a rational counter-strategy based on the prior round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245330363}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the first two rounds, there appears to be a pattern where the opponent might be responding to my previous moves. Since I played rock in round 2, there\'s a good chance they\'ll choose rock in an attempt to break their losing streak (assuming they might predict I\'ll choose scissors). Playing paper gives me coverage against rock. Additionally, mixing up my moves makes my strategy less predictable while maintaining a strong position with my 2-0 lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245343904}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s previous moves (paper in Round 1 and rock in Round 2), a pattern might be emerging where their move may counter what I might be tempted to choose next. In order to counter the possibility of their results, I\'ll opt for scissors which can beat paper, while also preparing to potentially break their pattern. This is a strategic gamble to shift momentum.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245349901}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played scissors in rounds 2 and 3, winning with it in round 3. There\'s a good chance they\'ll stick with a winning move, so rock would counter scissors effectively. Even if they anticipate this and switch to paper, I would still be tied 2-2 in the overall match.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245363606}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s previous moves, they played paper twice (Rounds 1 and 3) with only one rock (Round 2). This suggests a potential bias towards paper. Choosing scissors would beat paper. Therefore, I choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245369224}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen scissors in rounds 2, 3, and 4, showing a strong preference for this move. Rock beats scissors, so I\'ll choose rock to counter this pattern. This strategy has already worked for me in rounds 2 and 4, so it\'s logical to continue with it. If I win this round, I\'ll be at 4-1, needing just one more win to secure victory.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245381444}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s moves suggest a pattern: paper, rock, paper, rock. Assuming they continue alternating, they might play paper in round 5. Scissors beats paper, so I\'ll choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245386807}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen scissors for the last four rounds in a row. Given this strong pattern and the fact that this is described as a \\\"low\\\" level opponent, they are likely to continue with scissors. Rock beats scissors, so I\'m continuing with the strategy that has won me rounds 2, 4, and 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245400087}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that the opponent has picked rock in 3 out of the 5 rounds and also picked paper twice, I suspect that the opponent tends to favor rock. Paper beats rock, so I plan to choose paper for round 6.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245404808}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has heavily favored scissors throughout the game but just switched to paper in round 6 and won with it. They may stick with paper for another round since it worked, making scissors a strong counter-move. Additionally, I\'m leading 4-2, so making a strategic choice based on the opponent\'s most recent successful move is reasonable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245419347}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the history, the opponent has played rock in 4 rounds and especially in the last round (round 6), it was rock. Given this pattern, it\'s likely they might favor rock again, so I\'ll choose paper, which beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245425191}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played paper in rounds 6 and 7, suggesting they might continue with paper in round 8. They\'ve previously shown a tendency to repeat moves for multiple rounds (played scissors for 4 consecutive rounds earlier). Scissors beats paper, so this gives me the best chance of winning this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245437846}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern, the opponent has frequently chosen rock (Rounds 2, 4, 5, 6) and even though they switched to scissors in Round 7, there is a tendency towards rock. To beat rock, I choose paper, hoping to counter the repetitive pattern of rock. Therefore, my move is paper for round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245444338}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of repeating the same move for multiple rounds (scissors for 4 rounds, then paper for 3 rounds). Since they\'ve played paper for the last three rounds, there\'s a high probability they\'ll play paper again. Scissors beats paper, so I\'ll choose scissors for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245457200}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that my opponent has used rock frequently (4 times) and appears to alternate between rock and other moves, I choose paper to counter rock. Even though the opponent might adjust, my reasoning is to exploit the frequency of rock in previous rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245462786}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of sticking with the same move for multiple rounds (4 rounds of scissors, then 4 rounds of paper). Since they\'ve just completed 4 rounds of playing paper, they\'re likely to switch to a new move. Based on their cyclic pattern, rock seems like a probable choice. Paper beats rock, so I\'ll choose paper for this final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245487996}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent played scissors in rounds 7, 8, and 9. This indicates they might continue to choose scissors. To counter scissors, rock is the optimal choice. Therefore, I\'ll play rock in round 10.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245496723}]','2025-03-17 20:49:22','2025-03-17 21:04:56',8),(2609,7,9,3,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": 7, \"o3-mini - (low)\": 1}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"o3-mini - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"duration\": 270008, \"winner_id\": 9, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": 12, \"newRating\": 1216, \"oldRating\": 1204}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -12, \"newRating\": 1092, \"oldRating\": 1104}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 12, \"newRating\": 1216, \"oldRating\": 1204}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -12, \"newRating\": 1092, \"oldRating\": 1104}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Players commonly start with rock, making paper a potentially advantageous first move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245321619}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose rock for round 1 to start with a balanced option, aiming to see how the opponent reacts in the early stage of the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245325919}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent might expect me not to repeat paper. If they switch to paper attempting to counter my previous choice, scissors will secure a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245340606}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, my rock was beaten by paper, so if the opponent repeats their choice, scissors would beat paper. It is a counter move that aims to take advantage of any expected pattern. Therefore, I\'ll choose scissors for round 2.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245346269}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent hasn\'t chosen paper yet, which makes it probable they could choose paper this round. Selecting scissors allows me to counter potential paper moves effectively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245368519}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent won with paper then tied with scissors, there is a possibility that they might expect me to counter one of those moves in subsequent rounds. To maintain a balanced approach, I choose paper for round 3. Paper can counter rock if the opponent decides to switch back to a previously used move, and overall provides a balanced option in this scenario.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245382884}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent appears to cycle through rock, scissors, and paper sequentially. They chose rock in Round 1, scissors in Round 2, and paper in Round 3. Following this pattern, they might return to rock this round, and choosing paper would give me the advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245409412}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Considering the opponent\'s pattern where they\'ve used paper once and scissors twice, there\'s a reasonable chance they\'ll lean towards scissors again in an attempt to gain momentum. Choosing rock would beat scissors. Therefore, I am opting for rock in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245415031}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may anticipate another Paper and opt for Scissors this round. Playing Rock now counters this expected move and maintains our balanced strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245434107}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent’s previous moves—paper in rounds 1 and 4, scissors in rounds 2 and 3—a pattern seems to emerge where they might be alternating between paper and scissors. If the opponent opts for paper in round 5, scissors would win. Considering this pattern, I choose scissors for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245439717}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has frequently chosen rock and occasionally scissors. Paper is a strategic choice as it will likely beat rock or lead to a safety tie against a less likely scissors choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245460423}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s previous moves – paper, scissors, scissors, paper, rock – there\'s no clear pattern, but one plausible guess is that the opponent may try to repeat his winning move from round 5 (rock) or even switch. Choosing paper would be an effective counter if the opponent chooses rock. Also, paper works as a balanced choice against alternating moves, so I\'m selecting paper this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245469982}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s moves have been evenly distributed with no clear pattern. Selecting rock maintains unpredictability and could effectively counter scissors if they choose it again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245499095}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s moves in previous rounds, the opponent tended to choose \'paper\' frequently (rounds 1, 4, and 6), along with some scissors and rock in other rounds. Given that paper is a recurring move and scissors beat paper, I\'ll choose scissors in this round to counter the likely move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245504144}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent frequently picks rock and scissors, rarely paper. Paper covers the opponent\'s most frequent choice (rock) effectively and maintains safety against infrequent paper usage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245525500}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s tendency throughout the game, and especially after using rock in the last round, my prediction is that they\'re likely to play paper or rock. Scissors would beat paper and yield at least a tie if they choose rock. With a 0 score so far, I need to be aggressive; therefore, I\'ll choose scissors for round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245532751}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has frequently chosen scissors. Choosing rock has consistently been successful against the opponent\'s frequent choice of scissors, making it a strong strategic choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245552037}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s predominant pattern of choosing paper in recent rounds, I decide to choose scissors to counter it. Choosing scissors gives a win against paper and might exploit the opponent\'s frequency in that move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245557601}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent frequently chooses scissors, making rock a strong choice to counter this pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245573283}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Examining the opponent’s previous moves, there seems to be a pattern: the opponent frequently uses paper (in rounds 1, 4, 6, and 8) along with a notable recurrence of rock (in rounds 5, 7, and 9). Given that the last three rounds were rock, paper, rock, one might anticipate the opponent falling back to a high probability of using paper in this final round as they oscillate between rock and paper. Therefore, choosing scissors would be a good counter measure, as scissors beat paper. This is our best strategic guess for round 10.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245579844}]','2025-03-17 20:51:20','2025-03-17 21:06:19',9),(2610,7,14,15,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 2, \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 6}, \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}], \"players\": [\"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"duration\": 104456, \"winner_id\": 15, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": -17, \"newRating\": 1158, \"oldRating\": 1175}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": 17, \"newRating\": 1166, \"oldRating\": 1149}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -17, \"newRating\": 1158, \"oldRating\": 1175}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 17, \"newRating\": 1166, \"oldRating\": 1149}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with a neutral choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245343389}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with a neutral choice to gauge the opponent\'s strategy\", \"timestamp\": 1742245348813}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent chose rock last round, so I will choose paper this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245352036}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the previous round was a tie, I\'ll choose a move that has a high chance of beating the opponent\'s likely choice. If the opponent chose rock in the previous round, they might choose paper in this round, thinking I\'ll choose rock again. So, I\'ll choose scissors to beat their potential paper choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245358766}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent played scissors last round, and rock the round before. I will choose rock this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245364503}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent chose rock in round 1 and paper in round 2, I\'ll choose paper to try and take advantage of a potential pattern of alternating between rock and paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245369100}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Trying paper this round to mix things up.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245373776}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has not won any rounds yet, and there is no clear pattern in their choices. I will choose rock, a relatively safe option, to try to win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245379645}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be adapting. They started with rock, then went to scissors, then paper. I will choose scissors this round, hoping they predict I will play rock to counter their paper and instead I will win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245382993}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because the opponent chose paper in the previous round and I want to try and take advantage of their potential pattern of choosing paper again, and rock beats scissors so it\'s a safe choice if they choose scissors\", \"timestamp\": 1742245389070}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to be favoring rock, so I will counter with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245392234}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has only won one round so far, and it was with paper. They have not yet shown a consistent pattern, but they did choose rock in the first round and scissors in the fifth round. I will choose scissors, as it beats paper, which the opponent chose in the round they won, and also takes into account the opponent\'s potential to go back to rock or try something else.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245398888}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to favor rock and scissors, so I will pick paper to counter. Hoping to win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245404281}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has only won one game so far, it seems they may be favoring paper, given that I\'ve won with scissors twice and they lost those rounds. However, considering my previous wins with rock and the fact that the opponent\'s choice pattern isn\'t clearly established, choosing rock might be a safe option as it has provided me with wins in the past and could potentially beat scissors if the opponent decides to go with that.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245411509}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has favored rock and scissors in the past, so paper has a higher chance of winning.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245414896}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper twice in the last three rounds, so I will choose scissors to beat paper if they choose it again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245420207}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to favor scissors and rock. I will try scissors to break the pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245425226}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the pattern of Gemini Flash 2.0\'s moves, they seem to predominantly choose paper. Considering the rules of Rock Paper Scissors, scissors beat paper. Therefore, choosing scissors would be a strategic move to potentially win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245431437}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be favoring scissors and rock. I will choose rock to try and draw or win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245436701}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent\'s last choice was scissors and we also chose scissors, we should consider the fact that the opponent has chosen paper multiple times and won against our rock. Given our lead in score, we can afford to be cautious and choose paper to beat rock, but also considering the possibility that the opponent might choose scissors again, in which case our choice of paper would lose. However, given the pattern of the game and the fact that we are ahead, it seems reasonable to expect the opponent to choose rock, so we\'ll choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245444070}]','2025-03-17 20:51:21','2025-03-17 21:04:04',15),(2611,7,12,15,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (high)\": 4, \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 1}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"o1 - (high)\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"duration\": 237491, \"winner_id\": 12, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1220, \"oldRating\": 1206}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1152, \"oldRating\": 1166}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1220, \"oldRating\": 1206}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1152, \"oldRating\": 1166}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with rock is a solid choice that often counters common opening moves. I’ll choose rock for round 1.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245365372}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with a random move to gauge the opponent\'s strategy\", \"timestamp\": 1742245370753}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since our opponent used rock last time, choosing paper might help us win if they repeat rock. Paper is also a safer bet to avoid losing if the opponent switches to scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245386952}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the previous round was a tie, I will choose paper to try and gain an advantage in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245394716}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the last two rounds, both moves have been ties. The opponent used rock then paper, so they might continue to scissors next. Therefore, I\'ll choose rock to potentially win if they do choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245406673}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has chosen the same move as me in the previous two rounds, I will change my strategy and choose scissors to try and gain an advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245412292}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing that the opponent tied with rock and paper previously, I\'m guessing they might revert to rock to break the tie this round. Paper is a strong bet to outplay rock, so I\'m choosing paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245427088}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent won the previous round by choosing rock against my scissors, indicating they may continue to choose rock. To win this round, I should choose paper, which beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245433073}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent’s pattern so far (Rock → Paper → Scissors → Paper), I suspect they may return to Rock next. Paper would beat Rock if that’s the case, so I’m choosing Paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245447026}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen the same option as me for the last three rounds, and I lost the only round where we chose differently. To win this round, I will choose rock, which beats scissors. Since the opponent has been mirroring my moves, I expect them to choose scissors if they continue this pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245458787}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I suspect the opponent might play scissors to counter our last paper move, so playing rock is a safe choice to maintain our lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245478028}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper twice and rock once in the previous rounds, and they won the last round with paper. To counter this, I\'ll choose scissors to beat paper if they choose it again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245484056}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s alternating pattern of rock, paper, and scissors so far, it\'s plausible they might choose paper this time. Throwing scissors would be a reasonable guess to beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245510618}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock twice in the last three rounds, and I chose scissors in the last round, so I will choose rock this round to potentially beat their scissors or tie if they choose rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245516323}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern (after the opponent’s Rock, they often switch to Paper), Scissors seems a good counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245535726}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has won three rounds, and in the previous round, I won with rock. The opponent\'s moves have been unpredictable, but I\'ll try to exploit the fact that they chose rock in rounds 3 and 6, and scissors in round 7. I\'ll choose paper, hoping to beat their potential rock choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245542202}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent’s last three moves formed a scissors-rock-paper cycle, so it seems likely they may play scissors again. Rock would beat scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245561681}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock multiple times, and I won the last time I chose rock. Also, since the opponent is labeled as \'high\', they may choose paper to try to win, so choosing rock gives me a chance to win or tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245566344}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to follow a pattern that points to scissors next. Rock is a strong choice, and we’re guaranteed the match either way.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245583986}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has won 4 rounds and I have won 1 round, I need to win this round to have any chance of winning the game. Looking at the previous rounds, the opponent has chosen rock 4 times, paper 3 times, and scissors 2 times. The opponent has not chosen scissors in the last 2 rounds, so I will choose rock to beat scissors if the opponent chooses scissors. Additionally, since the opponent chose rock in the last round, they might choose a different option this round. Rock is a relatively safe choice and gives me a chance to win if the opponent chooses scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245592065}]','2025-03-17 20:51:22','2025-03-17 21:06:32',12),(2612,7,2,3,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": 3, \"o3-mini - (low)\": 3}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4o-mini\", \"o3-mini - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 104099, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-mini\", \"change\": -5, \"newRating\": 1216, \"oldRating\": 1221}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": 5, \"newRating\": 1104, \"oldRating\": 1099}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -5, \"newRating\": 1216, \"oldRating\": 1221}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 5, \"newRating\": 1104, \"oldRating\": 1099}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Rock is a strong choice for the first round as it beats scissors, which is a common choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245425788}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I choose rock because it\'s a solid option to start the game, keeping my choices unpredictable in the long run.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245430118}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose rock in the previous round, which indicates they might either stay with rock or switch to a different choice. To counter the possibility of them playing rock again, I will choose paper to potentially win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245434141}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round, both chose rock, resulting in a tie, so my opponent might assume continuation by repeating rock or might switch. Choosing paper would effectively cover both possibilities; it beats rock and is resilient if they unexpectedly change. Thus, I\'ll go with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245438427}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose rock and then paper, both resulting in ties. They might choose scissors, trying to gain an advantage. Therefore, I will choose rock to potentially beat their expected scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245444148}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the previous rounds were tied with the same moves for both players (rock and paper) and randomness could be used, I choose scissors to mix things up and potentially win if the opponent repeats a previous move. It is a strategic diversification to see if my opponent might deviate from their current pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245449437}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock and paper in the previous rounds, so I anticipate they might choose scissors next. To counter that, I choose rock, which will beat scissors if that\'s what they select.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245455648}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s pattern, they seem to alternate between rock and paper with an instance of rock in round 1 and round 3 making me think that they might lean towards playing rock again, so playing paper to counter rock is a reasonable choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245460149}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may choose scissors after their last loss, so I choose rock to counter their potential move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245465973}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing previous rounds, the opponent has some tendency of choosing rock with some paper variation, but has predominantly favored rock. Given my win condition, paper is a safe bet because it covers rock. Thus I choose \'paper\' for round 5.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245472448}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds, the opponent chose paper twice after I picked rock. They might continue this strategy, so I\'m choosing scissors to counteract their potential paper choice and regain my score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245476453}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s tendency to choose rock in previous rounds and the current score, playing paper seems to be the optimal choice, since paper beats rock. Therefore, I am choosing paper for round 6.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245481846}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has chosen paper twice in the last three rounds, I believe they might choose paper again. To counter this, I will choose scissors to potentially win against paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245485852}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent has chosen rock in 4 of the 6 rounds. While there have been instances of paper and scissors, the tendency to pick rock is dominant. Choosing paper would beat rock, maximizing the chance of winning if the opponent falls back into that pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245490955}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has lost two rounds in a row, so they might anticipate that I will continue using scissors since it\'s worked well. To counter this, I will choose rock to block any scissors they might play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245496164}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I observed that in previous rounds the opponent switched between rock and scissors, and in rounds 6 and 7 they played scissors to take wins from my repeated paper choices. To counter this, I’m expecting either a return to rock (which I would tie with rock) or a possible repeated use of scissors. By choosing rock, I secure a tie against rock and potentially a win if they revert to scissors. This seems like the best tactical choice given the scoring and patterns so far.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245506333}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that my opponent has won the last two rounds with paper, they may try to shift back to rock or use scissors to counter my previous choices. I will choose paper to potentially counter their move if they go with rock again and to also maintain my winning streak against their previous choice of scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245510765}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent’s moves so far, they have chosen rock in 5 out of 8 rounds, with occasional paper and scissors moves. Since rock is the most frequent, picking paper is a strong counter. Therefore, I\'ll choose paper for round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245515663}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen paper in the last two rounds, which could imply they might switch to something else like scissors. However, they have shown a tendency towards paper, and since their score is lower than mine, they might choose something more aggressive to secure a win. I will play rock since it beats scissors and ties with rock, giving me a chance against their potential choices.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245521060}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the observed pattern in the previous rounds, the opponent tended to favor rock a lot (5 out of 9 rounds) along with occasional paper and scissors. To best counter the most frequent move (rock), the optimal choice is paper, which beats rock. Thus, I\'ll select paper in round 10.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245527134}]','2025-03-17 20:51:23','2025-03-17 21:05:27',NULL),(2613,7,1,10,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 1, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": 3}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4o\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"duration\": 212030, \"winner_id\": 10, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1207, \"oldRating\": 1222}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1259, \"oldRating\": 1244}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1207, \"oldRating\": 1222}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1259, \"oldRating\": 1244}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round of a random game like Rock, Paper, Scissors, there\'s no clear pattern or strategy yet. I\'ll choose rock as it is a solid and balanced starting option.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245448111}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing paper as my opening move. Rock is statistically a common first choice for many players since it feels \\\"strong\\\" or \\\"stable\\\" as an opening move. By playing paper, I\'m making a strategic choice that might give me an advantage if my opponent follows this common pattern. Since this is our first interaction without established patterns, this gives me a reasonable starting position.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245460789}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent chose paper in the first round and I chose rock, I\'ll anticipate that they might consider switching to scissors to counteract a potential paper choice from me. To counteract scissors, I will choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245465392}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I won with paper in the previous round, my opponent might anticipate me playing paper again and choose scissors to counter. Alternatively, they might switch to paper to beat my previous winning move of paper. By choosing scissors, I can win if they switch to paper, while changing my own pattern to be less predictable. This early in the game, creating unpredictability while making educated guesses about potential opponent adaptation is key.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245478689}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, my opponent might avoid scissors due to losing in Round 2 when I chose rock. Since they used paper successfully earlier, they might repeat that strategy. To counter paper, I will choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245483019}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock in both previous rounds. In round 2, they successfully beat my scissors with rock. There\'s a good chance they might switch to paper this round, expecting me to avoid scissors. However, they might also anticipate that I\'ll choose paper to counter their rock pattern, leading them to choose scissors. By choosing rock, I can beat their scissors if they make that prediction, or at worst tie if they stick with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245496566}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing past patterns, the opponent may avoid repeating the previous winning choice of rock. They might pick paper to counter my scissors or consider switching to rock again. Choosing paper is strategic as it can counter a potential rock and minimally lose to scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245504689}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent chose rock twice before switching to scissors in round 3. This could indicate they\'re trying to adapt to my strategy. If they\'re analyzing patterns, they might expect me to continue with paper (completing a cycle of paper→scissors→rock→paper) or they might anticipate me repeating rock after my win. They would likely choose paper to counter rock, or rock to counter my potential scissors. By choosing paper, I can beat their rock if they return to it, and I\'m breaking any obvious pattern they might be tracking.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245520242}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has previously shown a tendency to avoid repetition and switch strategies regularly. Given their mix of choices, using paper seems like a strong option as it\'s neither overused by me nor predictable based on the last round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245524361}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, my opponent has played rock twice (rounds 1-2), followed by scissors and paper. There might be a tendency for them to return to rock in this round based on this pattern. Additionally, paper has worked well for me, winning in round 1. While there\'s a risk that my opponent might anticipate this and choose scissors, I believe the probability of them choosing rock again is higher given their overall preference shown so far.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245539312}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude has chosen \'paper\' in both of the last two rounds and seems to prefer repeating moves for ties. I\'ll choose \'scissors\' to counter their pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245543317}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played paper for the last two rounds, resulting in ties. There\'s a good possibility they might play paper again, expecting me to continue with paper or switch to rock. By playing scissors, I can potentially beat their paper. Even if they anticipate this and switch to rock, taking this calculated risk makes sense given my current lead in the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245564884}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In previous rounds, the opponent has shown a tendency to repeat moves after ties (e.g., Round 5 and Round 6 both being \'paper\' for the opponent). Given that the last move was \'scissors\' (which tied), it\'s plausible they might choose scissors again. To counteract this, I choose \'rock\' to cover a potential repeat \'scissors\' and gain an upper hand.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245569538}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After three consecutive ties ending with scissors in round 6, I\'m choosing rock strategically. My opponent might expect me to choose paper after our scissors tie and prepare to counter with scissors. By choosing rock, I can potentially win if they follow this pattern. Additionally, there\'s a history of success with rock - I won with it in round 3 when my opponent chose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245587844}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a slight tendency to repeat choices, as seen in rounds 4, 5, and 6. In round 7, both players chose rock, which might suggest a continued use of rock in round 8. To counter this, I will choose paper, as it beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245592305}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our recent history, we\'ve had 4 consecutive ties, with the last 3 rounds showing the opponent mirroring my exact choices (paper-paper, scissors-scissors, rock-rock). This suggests they might be using a matching or prediction strategy. Since I chose rock last round, they might anticipate I\'ll choose rock again and counter with paper. By choosing scissors, I can potentially cut through their paper if they follow this counter-strategy. Additionally, the opponent hasn\'t shown a strong preference for any particular move, making scissors a reasonable tactical choice to break the tie pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245611601}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing opponent\'s recent pattern, where they chose scissors often when I chose other options. I predict scissors might occur again, so paper covers most possible outcomes.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245617719}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing paper because the opponent might expect me to use scissors again (after my win in round 8) and counter with rock. Also, given the pattern of multiple ties followed by my win with scissors, the opponent might try to break this pattern by using rock. Paper would give me an advantage in that scenario. While this leaves me vulnerable to scissors, the opponent has used scissors less frequently than the other options so far.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245636977}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s previous moves, they seem to favor ties, especially with paper. To counter this trend and have the best chance to win, I will choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245640862}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen paper in the last two rounds and 4 times overall (their most frequent choice). Choosing scissors gives me a good chance to win if they continue this pattern. Even if they switch to rock and I lose this round, I would still win the overall game 3-2.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245656132}]','2025-03-17 20:52:20','2025-03-17 21:07:36',10),(2614,7,4,7,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (low)\": 2, \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": 2}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"o1 - (low)\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 148877, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": -2, \"newRating\": 1215, \"oldRating\": 1217}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 2, \"newRating\": 1179, \"oldRating\": 1177}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -2, \"newRating\": 1215, \"oldRating\": 1217}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 2, \"newRating\": 1179, \"oldRating\": 1177}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Rock is often a solid first throw, and there\'s no pattern established yet.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245486079}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"For the opening round against a low-level opponent, I\'ll start with rock as it\'s a solid opening move. Without any prior pattern to analyze, rock provides good stability for the first round. Low-level opponents might be more likely to choose scissors initially, making rock a potentially advantageous choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245492730}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that the previous round was a tie with both choosing rock, we can try switching to paper in case the opponent sticks with rock. Paper beats rock and would give us a chance to pull ahead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245499675}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent chose rock in round 1 and we\'re playing against a low-level opponent, they might repeat their move after a tie. Paper beats rock, so this gives me a good chance to win this round if they follow a simple pattern. Even if they switch to scissors anticipating my paper, I can adjust my strategy in future rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245506704}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the first two rounds were ties—rock vs rock, paper vs paper—I will try scissors this time to keep the opponent off-guard and potentially catch them if they choose paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245514906}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern so far, the opponent has matched my moves exactly (rock then paper). If they\'re using a mirroring strategy, they might choose paper again since that was my last move. Alternatively, if they\'re using a progression strategy (rock→paper→scissors), they would choose scissors next. Either way, scissors would be a good strategic choice - it would win against paper if they mirror my last move, and tie with scissors if they\'re progressing naturally.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245522471}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We’ve had three straight ties with each move so far (rock-rock, paper-paper, scissors-scissors). It’s impossible to read the pattern. Let’s choose rock again to try to break the tie streak.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245528351}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern so far, the opponent has mirrored our moves in each round. If this pattern continues, they will likely play scissors (our last move). By choosing rock, we can beat their expected scissors. This opponent is labeled as \\\"low\\\" difficulty, which may indicate a simple strategy like mirroring. Breaking this potential pattern could give us our first win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245535771}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Because the previous rounds have all been ties, I’ll switch to scissors in hopes the opponent continues to cycle and chooses paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245543309}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"So far, every round has resulted in a tie with both players choosing the same move. The opponent appears to be mirroring my moves or following a predictable pattern. Based on the pattern of the first 4 rounds (rock, paper, scissors, rock), I\'m predicting the opponent might choose paper next following the sequence. However, since we\'ve both chosen the same thing every time, there\'s also a chance they\'re simply matching my previous move. If they continue the pattern and choose paper, I\'ll tie again. If they\'re trying to beat my previous move (rock), they\'ll choose paper, and I\'ll tie. If they choose rock again, I\'ll win. This seems like the safest strategic choice based on the observed pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245552676}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that we just won with scissors, the opponent might anticipate that we will use it again. Choosing rock can potentially counter the opponent’s shift to scissors and maintain our lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245558586}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the observed pattern, the opponent seems to be following a sequence that might indicate they\'ll play paper next. If they choose paper, my rock will lose. However, given that the opponent is labeled as \\\"low\\\" skill level, they might be using a simple pattern that I\'m overthinking. Since they just played scissors and won in round 5, they might feel confident to play scissors again. If I play rock, I would beat their scissors. Additionally, the opponent has chosen rock twice so far, which suggests they may favor this move. I\'ll choose rock to counter a potential scissors play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245567390}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has repeatedly chosen rock, likely trying to force another tie or anticipate a shift to scissors or paper next. They may switch to paper to beat our rock from last time, so we choose scissors to catch and beat their likely paper play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245576626}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on previous rounds, the opponent has matched my moves in 5 out of 6 rounds. Their only winning move was scissors in round 5 when I played paper. They might try scissors again since it worked for them previously. To counter this, I\'ll play rock which beats scissors. This seems to be a low-level opponent with a somewhat predictable pattern, so playing rock gives me a good chance to win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245583980}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to pick rock quite frequently, so I\'ll choose paper to counter rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245589256}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock for round 8 because the opponent has shown a tendency to play scissors when not mirroring (as in round 7). Since rock beats scissors, this gives me a good chance to win. Additionally, in the last round where I chose rock, I won. The opponent seems to be using a simple strategy and might continue with scissors thinking I\'ll change my move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245595735}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has leaned toward rock recently, so I\'ll throw paper to try to beat rock and extend my lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245606130}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent played paper in the last round, which suggests they might expect me to play paper again or continue with rock. If they anticipate me continuing with rock, they might play paper again, which scissors would beat. If they try to counter what they think I\'ll play, they might choose rock expecting my scissors - making this a calculated risk. Given that we\'re near the end of the game and I\'m trailing in score, taking a strategic risk with scissors seems appropriate.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245614075}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Scores are tied. Historically, the opponent played rock frequently, so rock is a decent defensive choice while giving a chance to beat scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245621592}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern, they\'ve played paper in the last two rounds. Low-skill opponents often don\'t repeat the same choice more than twice, so they\'re likely to switch to either scissors or rock. If they choose scissors, rock would be my winning move. If they choose rock, we\'ll tie. Since the score is currently tied at 2-2, I need to aim for a win rather than another tie. Playing rock seems to have the best probability based on the opponent\'s previous patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245630295}]','2025-03-17 20:53:20','2025-03-17 21:07:10',NULL),(2615,7,10,1,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 4, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": 3}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"gpt-4o\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"duration\": 218989, \"winner_id\": 1, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1241, \"oldRating\": 1259}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1225, \"oldRating\": 1207}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1241, \"oldRating\": 1259}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1225, \"oldRating\": 1207}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing paper as it\'s a strategic opening move. Rock is statistically a common first choice for many players as it feels like a strong, safe option. By choosing paper, I\'m countering what might be a predictable opening. While I don\'t have any prior data on my opponent\'s tendencies yet, this gives me a good starting position to establish a pattern for future rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245508052}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with rock as it is a straightforward and solid initial move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245511997}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After winning with paper in round 1 where my opponent chose rock, there\'s a good chance they\'ll expect me to use paper again. Many players would counter this by switching to scissors for round 2. By choosing rock, I can counter that potential scissors play. Additionally, my opponent might be hesitant to use rock again after just losing with it, making scissors a more likely choice from them.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245525902}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round, I chose rock and my opponent chose paper. To counteract and anticipate my opponent\'s potential repetition of paper, I will play scissors in this round. Scissors counters paper effectively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245530196}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, I\'ve won with paper against rock in round 1, and rock against scissors in round 2. My opponent might expect me to complete the cycle with scissors next, so they might play rock to counter that. Alternatively, since I\'ve won twice, they might expect me to stick with the successful rock from the previous round and play paper to counter it. By choosing paper, I can win if they play rock again, and at worst tie if they also choose paper. This breaks my own pattern, which could be harder for my opponent to predict.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245545963}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s past behavior, they seem to strategically counter my moves. To pivot and destabilize this predictable pattern, I choose paper for round 3 to counter their potential rock move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245550032}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing scissors because my opponent has shown a potential rock-scissors-paper pattern. If they continue this pattern, they would play rock, which would beat my scissors. However, they might expect me to anticipate this and play paper instead to counter my expected rock move, in which case scissors would win. Additionally, I\'ve played paper twice already, so they might expect me to play it again and choose scissors themselves, which would result in a tie if I also choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245576985}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds, I observed that the opponent has shown a tendency to avoid repeating the same move that led to a tie or was used multiple times. Based on this, if they chose paper in the last round, they may avoid it and lean toward rock or scissors. Paper would be a good choice because it can counter rock and avoid a loss if they choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245582615}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent has chosen paper in the last two rounds (rounds 3 and 4). Since I won with scissors last round, they might anticipate me choosing scissors again and counter with rock. Alternatively, they might switch to scissors to counter my potential paper play. Given my strong lead (3-0), I can strategically choose rock, which would win against scissors if they decide to change their pattern. Even if I lose this round, I maintain a comfortable lead in the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245596142}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s previous moves, they may be favoring paper and scissors. Choosing rock could counteract scissors and avoid a tie with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245600108}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s pattern so far (rock → scissors → paper → paper → rock), they might follow with paper next to establish a classic cycle after their last rock move. They also appear to sometimes mirror my previous move, as seen in rounds 3 and 5. Since I played rock in round 5, they might anticipate me playing paper and choose scissors, or they might play paper following their own rock. Scissors would counter both of these possibilities. Additionally, I\'m leading 3-0, so I can afford to take a calculated risk while trying to maintain unpredictability in my own pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245617718}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing opponent\'s patterns, they seem to avoid repeating moves and alternate to counter probable choices. Predicting opponent might choose scissors to counter my paper trend, I will choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245621768}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock in rounds 5 and 6, showing a tendency toward rock. While they might anticipate this pattern and switch to scissors, the higher frequency of rock in their overall play history suggests they might stick with what has worked for them recently. Playing paper gives me the best chance to counter their most common choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245635890}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s past pattern, the opponent played scissors just now, but has not used paper directly after scissors yet. The likelihood of him switching to paper is high. To counter this, I\'ll choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245640717}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used scissors in two rounds (rounds 2 and 7), winning with it most recently. Since they just won with scissors against my paper, they might continue with scissors expecting me to stay with paper, or they might anticipate I\'ll switch to rock and choose paper instead. I\'m selecting rock as it breaks my recent pattern and could potentially counter if they use scissors again. Additionally, rock has worked well for me earlier in the game (winning in round 2).\", \"timestamp\": 1742245656752}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on Claude\'s choices, there is a pattern where he avoids repeating the same move twice and seems to counter the move I just made. Since I chose scissors last round, Claude might predict that I will switch moves and could choose rock to beat paper. Therefore, I\'ll choose paper to counter his potential rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245661502}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on my analysis of the last three rounds, my opponent appears to be predicting my moves and countering them. If they expect me to play paper (to beat their previous paper), they\'ll likely play scissors. By choosing rock, I can break this losing streak and counter their anticipated scissors move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245680004}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude has shown a tendency to pick moves that follow a basic pattern: avoiding repeated moves and seemingly shifting to the counter of what I last picked. In the last round, I picked paper, and Claude picked rock. He might consider switching to scissors next to counter my potential repetition of paper. Therefore, I choose rock to counter scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245685148}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because: 1) If my opponent follows the recent pattern, they may play scissors next, which rock would beat. 2) After our rock-rock tie in round 9, my opponent might expect me to switch to paper and therefore play scissors. 3) Even if they play rock again, a tie is better than losing in this final round where we\'re evenly matched.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245711447}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on my opponent\'s previous choices, they appear to favor rock, with a tendency to repeat it more frequently. To counter that, I choose paper, which beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245715745}]','2025-03-17 20:53:21','2025-03-17 21:08:35',1),(2616,7,11,14,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 2, \"o3-mini - (high)\": 2}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}], \"players\": [\"o3-mini - (high)\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 263261, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": 1, \"newRating\": 1147, \"oldRating\": 1146}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": -1, \"newRating\": 1158, \"oldRating\": 1159}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 1, \"newRating\": 1147, \"oldRating\": 1146}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -1, \"newRating\": 1158, \"oldRating\": 1159}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I choose rock because as the first move it provides a solid foundation and it’s often a reliable option when opponent behavior is unknown. Starting with rock also forces the opponent to reveal their initial strategy, enabling me to adapt in upcoming rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245530415}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"First round, choosing randomly.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245534957}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1 both players chose rock, resulting in a tie. To take advantage of what might be a recurring move by the opponent, I predict they might choose rock again. Choosing paper, which beats rock, seems like the best decision for round 2.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245542870}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose rock in the first round, they might be inclined to choose rock again. Paper covers rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245546686}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds Gemini Flash 2.0 mirrored my moves exactly — rock then paper. It appears he may follow a cyclic pattern matching my choices. Continuing the natural sequence in rock, paper, scissors, my next move would be scissors. Therefore, I choose scissors for round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245564812}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The first two rounds were ties. It seems like the opponent is choosing their moves randomly. I will choose scissors for round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245567931}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the previous rounds – rock, then paper, then scissors – it seems Gemini Flash 2.0 might be cycling through these moves. If the cycle repeats, round 4 should be rock, which can be beaten by paper. Thus, I choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245591078}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be mirroring my moves. I will try to break the pattern and choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245594578}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s moves so far (rock, paper, scissors, rock) appear to follow a cyclical pattern. If the cycle holds, the fifth move should be paper. Since scissors beats paper, I choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245611191}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper once and has otherwise mirrored my moves. I will choose scissors in the hope that the opponent continues to mirror my moves, which would result in another tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245614300}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds, I noticed that in ties our opponent often mirrored our move – round 1 was rock, round 2 paper, round 3 scissors, and round 5 scissors, so it’s plausible that for round 6 they might copy our last move (scissors). This suggests that rock, which beats scissors, is a safe bet. Additionally, rock only risks a tie if they also choose rock, and the chance of them unexpectedly choosing paper (which would beat rock) appears lower. Therefore, I choose rock for round 6.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245640368}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has been mirroring my moves for the first three rounds, then won with paper after I chose rock. Then another tie. It seems like the opponent might be random, or trying to predict my moves based on previous rounds. I will choose paper, as it is unlikely that they will choose paper again, and it beats rock, which they might choose.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245644597}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After reviewing the previous rounds, I noticed that the opponent played rock in both round 1 and round 4 – possibly hinting at a pattern where the first move of a new cycle is rock. If this pattern holds for round 7, the opponent might choose rock again. To counter rock, I choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245664497}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be playing randomly, with a slight tendency towards mirroring my previous move. I will choose paper, hoping they might predict rock and play paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245667927}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the rounds so far, the opponent has played paper most frequently (especially in rounds 6 and 7). Since paper is vulnerable to scissors, I predict that playing scissors can help me exploit this tendency. Thus, I\'ll choose scissors for round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245683038}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Trying to break the tie pattern and anticipate the opponent mirroring my moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245686642}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I analyzed the previous rounds: in most rounds Gemini Flash 2.0 mirrored my moves (resulting in ties), but on the few occasions where they deviated, the reaction depended on my move. Notably, when I played paper in round 4 the deviation (rock) worked in my favor, whereas when I played rock in round 6 the deviation (paper) gave them the win. Continuing with paper in round 9 is thus a safe play—it ties if they mirror (which they do most of the time) and capitalizes on a likely favorable deviation if they try to counter. This analysis leads me to choose paper for round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245734384}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The game is tied 1-1. The opponent seems to be playing randomly, with a lot of ties. I will choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245742859}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s moves, a three‐round grouping pattern emerges:\\n• Rounds 1–3: [rock, paper, scissors]\\n• Rounds 4–6: [rock, scissors, paper]\\n• Rounds 7–9: [paper, scissors, rock]\\nNotably, the first move in groups 1 and 2 is rock, and group 3’s third move is rock. If the opponent repeats the cycle, then round 10 (beginning a new group) is likely to be rock. To beat rock, my optimal move is paper. With this win I secure the overall game, so I choose paper for round 10.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245781308}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to favor paper, and might expect me to play rock to counter it. I will play scissors instead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245786976}]','2025-03-17 20:53:22','2025-03-17 21:09:46',NULL),(2617,7,9,15,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": 5, \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 1}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"duration\": 305030, \"winner_id\": 9, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1229, \"oldRating\": 1216}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1139, \"oldRating\": 1152}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1229, \"oldRating\": 1216}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1139, \"oldRating\": 1152}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"I will choose paper for the first round, as players often expect rock due to its popularity. Starting with paper could give me an early advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245537027}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with a random move to test the opponent\'s strategy\", \"timestamp\": 1742245542521}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent lost the last round with rock. They might anticipate I\'ll stick with paper and counter with scissors. Choosing rock should clearly counter their potential scissors move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245558443}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing scissors because the opponent chose paper last round and I\'m trying to beat their potential choice of rock or scissors this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245564879}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has already chosen rock and scissors, and might anticipate my repeating previous moves. By choosing scissors, I\'m introducing a new tactical option likely upsetting potential predictions.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245579232}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has won the previous two rounds, once with paper and once with rock. To increase my chances of winning, I will choose scissors, which beats paper, in case the opponent chooses paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245585405}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s previous choices, they might anticipate paper from me and choose scissors to beat paper. Therefore, choosing rock counters this anticipated strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245604138}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has won two rounds and I have not won any, I will try to analyze their behavior. In the previous rounds, the opponent has chosen paper and rock, and in the last round, they chose scissors. This could indicate that they are trying to alternate their moves or adapt to my choices. Given that the last round was a tie with both of us choosing scissors, I will choose paper in this round, hoping to take advantage of the possibility that they might choose rock again or stick with scissors, both of which paper beats.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245611389}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems adaptable and may anticipate a shift from my previous losing choice. Choosing scissors is strategic since the opponent may repeat paper or switch from it based on previous patterns.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245646490}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that the opponent has chosen rock and paper in previous rounds, and I won the last round with paper, I\'ll choose scissors to potentially take advantage of the opponent\'s possible choice of paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245652664}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has frequently chosen scissors, so selecting rock will potentially secure a win or at least another tie, maintaining my advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245687580}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because my opponent has chosen scissors twice in the previous rounds, which might indicate a pattern of preferring scissors. Rock beats scissors, so I have a chance of winning this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245693595}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ve frequently selected rock in previous rounds (2, 4, 6). The opponent might predict rock again and choose paper. Choosing paper counters this expectation and protects against a loss, turning a likely tie or potential win. \", \"timestamp\": 1742245720581}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock and paper previously, and scissors has resulted in ties. To increase the chances of winning, I will choose paper, which beats rock, a move the opponent has made before.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245729103}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent frequently tied by mirroring or cycling moves. Choosing scissors may disrupt their anticipated pattern following my previous paper pick.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245747164}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper and rock multiple times, but also scissors. To win this round, I should choose a move that beats the opponent\'s most frequent choice, which seems to be a tie between rock and scissors. However, considering the opponent\'s score is higher, they might try to choose rock to beat scissors. Therefore, I will choose paper to beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245755895}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"In previous rounds, the opponent has shown a variety of choices, but notably chose scissors twice in rounds 2 and 5 and paper in rounds 4 and 7. Given the opponent\'s recent loss choosing paper, which lost to my scissors, they may anticipate I might pick scissors again. To counteract their possible choice of rock (thinking I\'ll repeat scissors), I will pick paper, expecting to overcome rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245776560}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has won 3 rounds and I have won 1 round, I need to win this round to have a chance at winning the game. Given that the opponent has chosen scissors twice and rock twice in the previous rounds, I will choose rock to increase my chances of winning, as rock beats scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245788000}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The match is already secured with a 3-point lead going into the final round. To stay unpredictable and balanced, I\'m cycling back to \'rock\', as previous choices in recent rounds were paper and scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245825952}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I need to win this round to try and catch up, and my opponent has chosen paper twice in the last three rounds, so I\'ll choose scissors to try and take advantage of that pattern\", \"timestamp\": 1742245832200}]','2025-03-17 20:54:20','2025-03-17 21:10:32',9),(2618,7,14,7,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 2, \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": 2}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}], \"players\": [\"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 127425, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": 1, \"newRating\": 1159, \"oldRating\": 1158}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -1, \"newRating\": 1178, \"oldRating\": 1179}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 1, \"newRating\": 1159, \"oldRating\": 1158}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -1, \"newRating\": 1178, \"oldRating\": 1179}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245557793}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'ll choose rock as an opening move. Rock is a solid opening choice since it\'s psychologically perceived as strong and stable. Many players tend to choose scissors in the first round, which rock would beat. Without any prior patterns to analyze from my opponent, starting with rock provides a balanced approach.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245563516}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"I am choosing paper because my opponent chose rock last round, and paper beats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245566442}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent chose rock in the first round, there\'s a reasonable chance they might stick with rock again (as players often repeat successful moves). Even if they anticipate I might switch to paper and choose scissors, this introduces a balanced risk. Paper is a strategic choice that counters their previous selection while acknowledging they might adapt their strategy as well.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245573828}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock and paper in the first two rounds, so I will play scissors to try and win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245577070}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, we\'ve had two ties in a row - rock vs rock and paper vs paper. This suggests my opponent might be mirroring my moves or following a predictable pattern. Since we\'ve progressed from rock to paper, there\'s a good chance my opponent will choose scissors next, following the natural rock-paper-scissors sequence. However, they might also anticipate that I\'ll choose scissors and counter with rock. Given that we\'ve tied twice, I\'ll break the pattern and choose scissors, betting that my opponent will either stick with paper (giving me a win) or also choose scissors (another tie). This seems like the most strategic option based on the limited information available.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245583807}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude has mirrored my moves for the first three rounds. I will break the pattern and choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245588941}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After three consecutive ties with the exact same moves on both sides, this suggests either a coincidence or that the opponent might be mirroring my choices. If they\'re using a pattern-matching approach, they might expect me to change my strategy after three ties. Since the last move was scissors, they might anticipate me choosing rock (as a logical progression), and therefore choose paper to counter. Alternatively, they might expect me to choose paper (moving one step ahead in the rock-paper-scissors cycle) and thus choose scissors. By choosing rock, I\'m protecting against the scissors possibility while taking a calculated risk against a potential paper play. This breaks the pattern of ties while giving me reasonable win chances.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245597855}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Breaking the mirroring pattern by choosing paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245601512}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing paper for this round based on two strategic considerations. First, if my opponent is truly using a mirroring strategy (as suggested by the four consecutive ties), they might choose paper again, resulting in another tie. Second, if they\'re anticipating that I might switch to scissors to break the pattern, they might choose rock, in which case my paper would win. The pattern of consecutive ties is unusual and suggests either a mirroring algorithm or an attempt to establish a pattern before breaking it. By choosing paper, I\'m balancing between maintaining the pattern if that\'s what the opponent expects, while also having an advantage if they try to counter a move they think I might make.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245612458}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The game is tied, and the opponent has consistently mirrored my choices. To break this pattern, I will choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245617358}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"So far, we\'ve had a perfect sequence of rock, paper, scissors, rock, paper. If my opponent is following patterns, they might expect me to choose scissors next to continue the rock-paper-scissors cycle. However, if they\'re mirroring my moves, they\'ll also choose scissors. I\'m selecting scissors because: (1) If they continue the pattern themselves and play scissors, we\'ll tie again; (2) If they try to anticipate me breaking the pattern and choose rock to beat my expected scissors, I\'ll lose; but (3) If they try to be clever and choose paper, thinking I\'ll go with rock to break the pattern, I\'ll win. Given the 5 consecutive ties, it\'s worth testing if they\'re mirroring me or following a predictable sequence.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245625876}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Breaking the tie pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245628859}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent has matched every single one of my moves, resulting in ties. This suggests they might be using a mirroring strategy. If they continue this pattern, they\'ll play paper again. However, they might anticipate that I\'ll switch to scissors to beat their expected paper, and thus they might play rock. By choosing paper, I\'m preparing for that potential rock play. Additionally, if they truly are just mirroring, we\'ll tie again, which is better than losing.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245636798}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has been mirroring my moves, then chose paper when I chose rock. I will choose scissors to break the pattern, hoping they predict rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245640294}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the pattern, I see two possibilities: either the opponent is mirroring my moves (which changed in round 7), or they\'re following a pattern (rock, paper, scissors, rock, paper, scissors...). Based on round 7, where I played paper and they played rock, they might have started a new sequence. If they\'re continuing that sequence, they\'ll likely play paper next. Alternatively, they might try to beat my previous winning move (paper) by playing scissors. Given these possibilities, I\'ll play paper again, as it would tie if they play paper and win if they play rock again. While scissors would be a good counter if they play paper, I assess the likelihood of them playing rock again or attempting to match my previous move as higher.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245649783}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose paper in the last two rounds. I am predicting they will play paper again. Scissors beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245653152}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern analysis, there\'s a strong possibility that the opponent might continue to counter my previous moves. Since I played paper in round 8 (and lost to scissors), the opponent might anticipate I\'ll switch to rock (to counter their scissors). If they follow this logic, they would choose paper to beat my rock. However, I\'m going to attempt a double-prediction by choosing rock anyway - this would defeat scissors if they simply repeat their last winning move, which is another plausible strategy they might employ. The repeating pattern in rounds 1-6 followed by the switches suggests this game has both elements of pattern matching and counter-play, making rock a balanced strategic choice for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245667334}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has won the last two rounds, and seems to be choosing paper and then rock. I will choose paper to try and break this pattern, as it would beat rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245672094}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s last two moves were scissors, so there\'s a chance they may choose scissors again. After our history of mirroring each other in the first 6 rounds, they might try to return to rock predicting I\'ll choose scissors. However, I\'m currently leading, so I have an advantage - I can win or tie to win the game. Rock is a solid defensive choice that beats scissors and ties with rock. Given the opponent needs to win this round, they\'re likely to try to counter my previous winning move (rock), which would suggest they might choose paper. However, if they\'re thinking even deeper, they might anticipate this reasoning and choose scissors. In this complex situation, I\'ll choose rock because it would win against their potential scissors play and tie if they choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245683257}]','2025-03-17 20:54:21','2025-03-17 21:08:03',NULL),(2619,7,7,3,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": 1, \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": 3}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"o3-mini - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"duration\": 139052, \"winner_id\": 7, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1177, \"oldRating\": 1164}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1079, \"oldRating\": 1092}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1177, \"oldRating\": 1164}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1079, \"oldRating\": 1092}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'ll start with rock as it\'s a solid opening move against a low-level opponent. Without any previous patterns to analyze, rock is a balanced choice that can help establish a baseline for future rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245573450}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I choose scissors because it gives an unpredictable twist in the first round, potentially catching the opponent off guard and balancing the probabilities of each move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245577163}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I won the previous round with rock against the opponent\'s scissors, the opponent is likely to switch their move. A common strategy after losing to rock is to play rock or paper. If they play rock, my paper will win. If they stick with scissors, I\'ll lose, but this is less likely based on typical RPS psychology where players tend to change after losing. This calculated risk seems worth taking in the current game state where I already have a lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245584914}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s opening move was rock which beat my scissors in round 1, I\'ll assume they might stick with rock or a similar pattern. Using paper in round 2 should counter rock effectively. It\'s a balanced risk, and it\'s wise to respond with a move that would have beaten the opponent\'s previous move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245589267}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern so far (scissors then paper), they might play rock next in the sequence. Also, since we\'ve already shown rock and paper, they might anticipate us playing scissors to complete our pattern, so they might stick with rock to counter that. Therefore, I\'ll play paper which beats rock. This maintains unpredictability while responding to the likely opponent strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245601019}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I analyzed the previous rounds: in round 1 the opponent chose rock and in round 2 they chose paper. To counter at least one of these moves and considering the opponent might try to alternate, I choose paper for round 3 as it\'s a balanced choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245605916}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern, my opponent has used scissors once and paper twice, but never rock. Since they\'ve used paper in the last two rounds (resulting in ties), there\'s a good chance they might stick with paper again. By choosing rock, I would lose if they switch to scissors, but I would win if they continue with paper. Given their tendency to repeat moves (paper twice) and their need to catch up in score, this seems like a strategic choice to potentially extend my lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245614147}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the previous rounds, the opponent appears to be favoring \'paper\' in the last two rounds, and a \'rock\' in the first round. To counter the paper, scissors is a good choice. Therefore, my move for round 4 is scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245619568}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has never played rock in previous rounds, only scissors and paper. They\'ve shown a pattern of matching our paper plays (rounds 2 and 3) and playing scissors against our rock (rounds 1 and 4). If they continue this pattern and match our paper again, we\'ll tie. If they try to counter what they might expect (us playing rock again), they might play paper, in which case our paper would win. And if they play scissors, we would lose. Given that they haven\'t chosen rock yet, paper seems like a reasonable calculated risk with potential for either a win or tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245628925}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the observed pattern, the opponent alternated between rock and paper, with a higher frequency of rock in rounds 1 and 4 and paper in rounds 2 and 3. Choosing paper gives a win against rock and a tie against paper, making it a balanced, safe option in the context of this distribution.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245638539}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of playing paper frequently (3 out of 5 rounds) and scissors occasionally (2 out of 5 rounds), but never rock. Their most recent move was paper, and if they follow their alternating pattern, they might play scissors next. Rock would beat scissors, giving me another win. Additionally, since they\'ve lost twice when I played rock and scissors, they might anticipate me playing paper this round, which would make scissors a logical choice for them. I\'ll counter this with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245647463}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to favor rock in rounds where they win (rounds 1 and 4) and play paper on ties. Therefore, playing paper might catch a switch if the opponent repeats their pattern. I choose paper to counter possible opponent repeats.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245652804}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a strong preference for playing paper (4 out of 6 rounds). They seem to be falling into a pattern of playing paper repeatedly, especially after winning with it in the last round. By playing scissors, I have a good chance of beating their paper if they continue this pattern. This is a calculated risk based on the observed tendency of the opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245661183}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent’s moves in previous rounds, they have alternated between rock and paper in a pattern (rock, paper, paper, rock, paper, rock). This suggests a possible recurring sequence. If the opponent continues with paper in round 7, I want to choose scissors to counter it. Therefore, my choice is scissors for round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245665949}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent has shown a strong preference for choosing paper (4 out of 7 rounds) and scissors (3 out of 7 rounds), but has never chosen rock. Since paper ties with paper and beats rock (which the opponent hasn\'t used), while scissors beats paper, my best strategic move is to choose paper. The opponent seems to favor repeating moves, especially paper, so there\'s a good chance they\'ll choose paper again, resulting in a tie rather than a loss. If they switch to scissors, I would lose, but if they finally choose rock, I would win. Given their pattern so far, paper seems to be the optimal balance of risk and reward.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245673933}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent seems to favor rock as a move (suggested in rounds 1, 4, and 6) while also using paper a few times. Choosing paper could give us an advantage if they choose rock. Therefore, I choose paper for round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245680348}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played paper in 5 out of 8 rounds, showing a strong preference for this move. By playing scissors, I have a good chance of winning against their likely paper play. Additionally, the opponent has only played scissors twice so far, making it less likely they\'ll play rock (which would beat my scissors). With the current score at 2-1 in my favor, a win in this round could secure my overall victory.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245689110}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the previous rounds, the opponent has chosen paper four times, rock three times, and scissors once. Given that paper is the most frequent and that scissors beats paper, I\'ll choose scissors to try to win round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245694782}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of repeating moves and just played scissors in the previous round. Rock will beat scissors if they repeat, and if they switch to paper (their other common choice), I would lose but still win the overall game since I\'m leading 2-1. Rock provides the best strategic balance of potentially winning the round while ensuring I win the overall game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245703308}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s past moves, they have shown a tendency to choose paper in many rounds (4 times out of 9). With the possibility that they might pick paper again, scissors would be the best counter-move as it beats paper. Therefore, I choose scissors for round 10.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245708663}]','2025-03-17 20:54:22','2025-03-17 21:08:28',7),(2620,7,7,2,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": 6, \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": 1}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o-mini\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"gpt-4o-mini\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"duration\": 127861, \"winner_id\": 2, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1164, \"oldRating\": 1178}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-mini\", \"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1230, \"oldRating\": 1216}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1164, \"oldRating\": 1178}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1230, \"oldRating\": 1216}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'ll choose rock as an opening move. Rock is often a popular first choice for many players as it\'s perceived as a \\\"strong\\\" opening. Since this is the first round and I don\'t have any pattern data on my opponent yet, this is a reasonable starting point. Rock also has psychological appeal as a stable, defensive choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245585310}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"I choose paper because it beats rock, which is a common choice for the first round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245589440}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent chose paper in round 1, there\'s a possibility they might stick with a winning move. Choosing scissors would counter their paper if they repeat. Additionally, in Rock Paper Scissors, players sometimes avoid repeating the same move right after using it, so my opponent might move away from paper. However, scissors is a reasonable choice that has potential to win this round while avoiding what lost previously.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245596924}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing rock to counter any scissors move my opponent might make.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245603226}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has shown a pattern of choosing paper then rock. If they\'re following a simple rotation pattern, they might choose scissors next. Additionally, they may anticipate me choosing rock again after losing with scissors. By choosing paper, I can win if they choose rock (continuing their apparent rotation), and draw if they anticipate me returning to rock and choose paper themselves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245611004}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"To switch up my strategy and counter the potential choice of paper from my opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245616121}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern so far, my opponent appears to be choosing the option that beats my previous move. Since I chose paper last round, they might anticipate I\'ll choose scissors next and therefore play rock. If I choose rock instead, I could force a tie or potentially win if they deviate from this pattern. Additionally, breaking my own pattern of cycling through rock-scissors-paper might catch them off guard.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245629229}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Given that I have won the last three rounds, there\'s a chance that my opponent might choose the option that beats my last choice. I chose scissors last, so they may play rock to counter that. Therefore, I will choose paper to cover possible future plays.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245633078}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I notice my opponent has chosen paper twice and may be expecting me to choose rock again to counter their potential paper choice. If they\'re following a pattern, they might go with paper again, so scissors would be my best option. Alternatively, if they\'re using reverse psychology expecting me to avoid rock (since it lost twice), they might choose rock, but I\'m willing to take that risk. I\'m changing my strategy to try to break my losing streak.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245641365}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent has not won any rounds yet, it is likely they will try to be more unpredictable. I will choose scissors to cover the possibility of them selecting paper, which is a safer bet.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245645616}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m breaking my previously established pattern since it appears my opponent might be anticipating it. Looking at the history, my opponent has played scissors twice (including the tie), so playing rock gives me a chance to win if they play scissors again. Also, since I\'ve lost with rock twice already, my opponent might not expect me to choose it again, potentially anticipating paper from me and playing scissors to counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245653859}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent has been choosing rock and scissors in the previous rounds, and they haven\'t chosen paper yet, I will choose paper this time to cover the possibility of their next move being rock. Choosing paper gives me a good chance against rock while also keeping a balanced strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245657730}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing scissors for round 7 because my opponent has shown a preference for playing paper (3 out of 5 winning moves). Since scissors beats paper, this gives me a higher probability of winning this round. Additionally, the last time I played scissors it resulted in a tie, suggesting my opponent might anticipate me avoiding scissors and play paper again. I need to start winning rounds to have any chance of catching up in the overall score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245664548}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has chosen rock 4 times, it\'s likely they will change their strategy. I will choose scissors to counter paper, which is a common shift after losing several rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245668671}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a tendency to choose paper when I\'ve selected rock. They\'ve also chosen rock only once in 7 rounds, suggesting they might be less likely to play rock. However, they may anticipate I\'ll avoid rock due to previous losses, potentially leading them to choose scissors expecting me to choose paper. Despite this risk, I\'ll select paper, hoping to break the pattern and potentially catch them playing rock as they adjust their strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245676508}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has lost every round so far and might try to change their strategy to win. Since they have used rock and scissors frequently in previous rounds, they may now choose paper as a counter. To counter this, I will choose scissors because they are likely to transition to a more aggressive move like paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245682268}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m noticing that my opponent has chosen paper in rounds 1, 4, and 6 when I chose rock, and scissors in rounds 3, 5, 7, and 8. With scissors appearing most frequently in recent rounds, I\'ll choose scissors hoping for another tie, while also being prepared for the possibility that they might switch to rock as a counter-strategy. Given that I\'ve chosen scissors twice and resulted in ties, it\'s worth trying again while also being unpredictable by not following a simple pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245690040}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s previous choice patterns, they seem to favor rock and paper. Since I have won the last few rounds, I will anticipate a change from the opponent. I will choose paper to counter a possible rock from the opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245693930}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern, my opponent has chosen paper 4 times, scissors 4 times, and rock only once. Additionally, in the last round when I finally won, my opponent chose paper. There\'s a good chance they\'ll switch to rock after losing with paper, as this is a common psychological response. The opponent may also be recognizing that they\'ve overused paper and scissors throughout the game. While I\'m currently behind 1-6, I\'ll choose rock for this final round to counter their potential switch to scissors, or at least force a tie if they choose rock as well.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245703753}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o-mini\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent just won with scissors in the previous round, they may lean towards choosing scissors again. To counter that, I will choose rock, which will beat scissors and secure my final win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245707748}]','2025-03-17 20:55:20','2025-03-17 21:08:27',2),(2621,7,6,9,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": 5, \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": 3}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"duration\": 388189, \"winner_id\": 9, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet\", \"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1254, \"oldRating\": 1272}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1247, \"oldRating\": 1229}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -18, \"newRating\": 1254, \"oldRating\": 1272}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 18, \"newRating\": 1247, \"oldRating\": 1229}}}}','[{\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opening with scissors as it could be effective against an opponent who might anticipate the common \'rock\' opening and play paper. While this is a risk if the opponent plays rock, it\'s a strategic choice that could give an early advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245600310}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing rock initially as it\'s a neutral move often used as a safe opening to gauge the opponent\'s strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245614952}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After losing to rock in round 1, choosing paper gives me a good chance to either win (if opponent repeats rock) or draw (if opponent anticipates I\'ll switch and chooses paper). It\'s a balanced choice that covers multiple possibilities.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245626273}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent might expect me to choose rock again, possibly shifting to paper to counter it. Choosing scissors will effectively counter this potential change in strategy, while still minimizing risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245648667}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown adaptive gameplay by countering my previous moves. They might expect me to play rock to counter their last scissors play, so they could play paper. By choosing paper, I can win if they play rock, draw if they play paper, and lose if they continue with scissors. Given the need to start scoring points, this calculated risk seems worthwhile.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245662543}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"To counter the possibility that my opponent anticipates me choosing paper next, I select rock, which will beat their choice if they opt for scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245688269}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on opponent\'s previous moves showing a rock preference, they might anticipate me choosing paper to counter rock, and thus might switch to paper themselves. By choosing scissors, I can potentially catch them in this adjustment. Additionally, breaking my own paper pattern from the last two rounds adds unpredictability to my strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245698812}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude previously chose scissors, then paper twice. Anticipating Claude might choose rock expecting me to switch again, I\'m choosing paper to remain unpredictable and target a potential rock choice from Claude.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245719539}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on pattern analysis, the opponent has shown a preference for rock and tends to counter previous winning moves. They might expect scissors from me and choose rock to counter it, so paper would be effective. Additionally, introducing paper maintains unpredictability in my strategy while potentially beating their most frequently used choice (rock).\", \"timestamp\": 1742245730750}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent hasn\'t chosen rock yet and might switch to it now. Paper counters rock effectively and this choice allows further insights into their playing pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245761674}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After observing the opponent playing paper twice in a row, they might expect me to choose scissors and counter with rock. By choosing paper, I can beat a rock play and at worst tie against another paper play. This is a safer option than scissors which would be vulnerable to a rock counter-play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245777782}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent is likely to choose rock to break their pattern. Therefore, I\'ll play paper to counter this.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245800718}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of repeating moves (paper in rounds 5 and 6). While they might try to break this pattern, the probability of them sticking to paper is significant enough to warrant choosing scissors. Additionally, this choice protects against them trying to predict that I\'ll play paper to beat their expected rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245813940}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"After consecutive ties picking paper, the opponent may anticipate continuing or switching to scissors. Choosing rock gives me an advantage over a possible scissors choice by my opponent, making it the safest and most strategic option.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245847792}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown a preference for rock (3 times) and paper (3 times), with minimal scissors usage (1 time). Given their tendency to counter scissors with rock, and their overall higher rock usage, paper provides a good chance of winning while managing risk against their least-used option (scissors).\", \"timestamp\": 1742245857422}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent might anticipate my rock again and switch to paper. Choosing scissors will capitalize on this prediction and provides a balanced chance of winning or at least tieing.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245875727}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of countering my paper plays with scissors in recent rounds. Choosing rock could catch them if they continue with scissors, and while it\'s vulnerable to paper, I need to take calculated risks given my trailing position. Rock also hasn\'t been used much in my recent moves, which might make it less predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245886221}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has avoided rock thus far, frequently choosing scissors and paper. Scissors is a safer option, as it beats paper (frequent pick) and ties scissors. This minimizes risk and strategically counters their recent pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245918559}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a strong preference for scissors throughout the game (4 times), and just lost to rock in the previous round. While they might try to counter with paper, their historical preference for scissors makes rock the most strategic choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245934299}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent tends not to repeat moves consecutively, often switching between rounds. Given the opponent selected rock previously for the first time, they\'re likely to shift towards paper or scissors, their preferred choices. Choosing paper ensures a win if they repeat rock, a tie if they return to their most favored choice (paper), or at worst, a tie overall in the case they select scissors. It\'s the safest strategic choice to maintain the winning advantage or secure a tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245980293}]','2025-03-17 20:55:21','2025-03-17 21:13:00',9),(2622,7,8,1,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 4, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 5}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"gpt-4o\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"duration\": 225552, \"winner_id\": 8, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1279, \"oldRating\": 1264}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1217, \"oldRating\": 1232}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 15, \"newRating\": 1279, \"oldRating\": 1264}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -15, \"newRating\": 1217, \"oldRating\": 1232}}}}','[{\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing scissors as my opening move. Since this is the first round with no previous pattern to analyze, I\'m using a bit of psychology. Many players expect their opponents to start with rock (as it\'s often perceived as the strongest or most common first choice), which leads strategic players to counter with paper. By playing scissors, I\'m attempting to anticipate this second-level thinking. Additionally, opening with scissors can help establish an unpredictable pattern for future rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245642863}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with rock to see how my opponent responds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245650570}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the first round, my opponent chose rock and won against my scissors. There\'s a good chance they might stick with rock again since it worked for them (winner\'s tendency), in which case paper would be my best counter. Even if they anticipate this and switch to scissors, establishing unpredictability early in the game is valuable for later rounds. This choice balances both direct strategy against their potential rock repeat and sets up psychological dynamics for future rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245672472}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round, I chose rock and won against scissors. The opponent might now predict me to choose rock again to build on my win streak. Instead of being predictable, I\'ll choose paper to counter their likely rock choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245676541}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, I notice my opponent chose rock in round 1 and paper in round 2, which could suggest an ascending pattern (rock → paper → scissors). If they continue this pattern, they might choose scissors next, which would make rock my best option. Additionally, since we\'ve seen all moves except my rock so far, introducing it now may catch my opponent off guard. I\'m currently behind, so I need to make strategic choices to catch up.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245694953}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, I won by choosing rock against scissors. In round 2, the opponent played paper, which tied with my paper. If the opponent tries to counter my potential choice of rock by playing paper, I choose scissors to potentially win against paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245699427}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I notice that my opponent may be following a classic rock-paper-scissors cycle (rock → paper → scissors). If this pattern continues, they would play rock next. Additionally, since they just lost with scissors in the previous round, they might be hesitant to play scissors again and could revert to rock. Playing paper gives me a good chance to win if they choose rock, while maintaining a balanced strategy overall.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245713155}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the patterns, in round 3 the opponent chose rock after I selected scissors. This suggests they might try to outthink me. Predicting the opponent may choose paper to counter my rock, I will choose scissors to counter paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245717495}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played scissors in rounds 3 and 4, suggesting they might play scissors again. Rock beats scissors, giving me the best chance to even the score. Additionally, they might expect me to avoid paper since it lost last round, making rock a strategically sound choice against a potential third scissors play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245732939}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might anticipate a pattern in my choices. To break patterns, I\'ll choose paper, as it has a balanced chance against both aggressive rock or a reactive scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245736815}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our previous rounds, I notice the opponent has chosen scissors twice (rounds 3 and 4) and paper twice (rounds 2 and 5). They seem to be alternating between paper and scissors in recent rounds. Since they chose paper in the last round, there\'s a possibility they might go with scissors again, following their recent pattern. By choosing rock, I can potentially counter their scissors play. Additionally, since I\'m behind in the score (1-3), I need to make strategic choices to catch up, and playing rock gives me a good chance based on the opponent\'s recent tendencies.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245754335}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s history, they seem to rotate strategies slightly instead of sticking to one sequence. In the last round, I chose paper and the opponent chose rock, which I won. To counter any potential adjustments they might make to anticipate me picking paper again, I will choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245762890}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on my opponent\'s tendency to play scissors (3 out of 6 rounds, including the last round), choosing rock gives me a strong chance of winning. Also, since I\'ve played rock twice in a row, my opponent might expect me to switch to paper, making scissors their likely choice - which rock would counter effectively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245781877}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be alternating their strategies, having chosen rock twice in the last three rounds but avoiding repetition in consecutive rounds. To counter this possible variation, paper is a balanced choice because it counters rock and ties with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245791545}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern, my opponent has chosen paper in rounds 2, 5, and 7, showing a tendency to play paper in odd-numbered rounds. Since round 7 was paper, there\'s a good chance they\'ll break this pattern to avoid being predictable, but paper remains a strong possibility given they\'ve won with it twice recently against my rock. I\'ve also used rock too frequently (last 3 rounds), making me predictable. Choosing scissors gives me the best chance to counter their potential paper play while breaking my own predictable pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245809298}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Examining my opponent\'s past trends, whenever I chose paper, they seem inclined to pick rock frequently. Since this worked in rounds 5 and 7, I\'ll exploit this potential streak by choosing paper again, which might give me an edge.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245813463}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern of my opponent\'s moves, they\'ve chosen paper in 3 of the last 4 rounds (rounds 5, 7, and 8). This suggests a tendency toward paper that I can exploit. While my opponent might anticipate me choosing scissors again after my win in round 8, the statistical pattern favors scissors as my best move. With the score at 3-4, I need to win this round to have a chance at tying the game, so I\'ll counter their apparent paper preference with scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245828183}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the pattern of the opponent\'s moves, they seem to alternate between moves and favor counters to my previous choices (e.g., favoring rock when I pick scissors, and scissors when I pick paper). Based on this, I predict they might lean toward choosing rock since I recently chose paper. I\'ll choose paper to counter rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245832860}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m continuing with scissors for the final round because: 1) It\'s been successful for me in the last two rounds, 2) There\'s a pattern of my opponent choosing paper multiple times in a row, and 3) Even if my opponent anticipates this choice, they might overthink and assume I\'ll switch, potentially leading them to stick with paper or choose rock which would result in a tie or loss for them respectively.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245851405}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing Claude\'s past pattern, it appears to heavily favor rock and scissors after a loss or a win. To counteract both possibilities, I\'ll choose paper for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245855878}]','2025-03-17 20:55:22','2025-03-17 21:10:55',8),(2623,7,14,8,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 2, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 2}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}], \"players\": [\"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 199617, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": 5, \"newRating\": 1150, \"oldRating\": 1145}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -5, \"newRating\": 1264, \"oldRating\": 1269}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 5, \"newRating\": 1150, \"oldRating\": 1145}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -5, \"newRating\": 1264, \"oldRating\": 1269}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with a neutral choice to observe the opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245658263}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing paper as an opening move. Rock is statistically a common first choice for many players due to its perceived strength, so paper would counter that approach. Without any previous moves to analyze patterns, this gives me a balanced starting position while covering the most common opening strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245670362}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing scissors to counter the possibility of the opponent choosing rock again or anticipating my reaction to their previous win with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245673822}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round, I won with paper against rock. Since I won with paper, my opponent might expect me to use paper again and could switch to scissors to counter it. By choosing rock now, I can potentially anticipate and defeat this scissors move. Additionally, players often avoid repeating the same move after losing, so it\'s less likely they\'ll play rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245686220}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"I am currently losing and need to try something different. My opponent seems to be predicting my moves, so I will choose paper to be unpredictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245689781}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I notice my opponent has played rock then scissors in the first two rounds, while I\'ve played paper then rock. Since I\'ve won both rounds, the opponent might shift strategy. They may anticipate I\'ll play scissors next to complete the cycle, so they might choose rock to counter. Playing paper would beat that rock. Additionally, the opponent hasn\'t played paper yet, which might indicate they\'re due to try it. While this risks losing to scissors, it\'s a calculated risk worth taking at this point in the game where I have a comfortable lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245703668}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has played paper and rock. Choosing scissors to potentially break the pattern and secure a win if they predict I will play rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245707287}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I notice that my opponent has played a standard rock→scissors→paper sequence in the first three rounds. If they continue this pattern, they might choose rock next. However, they might also anticipate that I\'ll choose paper again since I\'ve used it twice already with success. By choosing scissors, I can win if they play paper (breaking their pattern) or tie if they play scissors (continuing to counter my previous moves). This is a calculated risk that balances pattern recognition with psychological gameplay.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245722384}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing rock at random to try and break the losing streak.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245727140}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen scissors twice already (rounds 2 and 4), suggesting they might favor this move. Playing rock would counter scissors if this pattern continues. Additionally, since I chose scissors in the last round, they might anticipate me choosing rock next and play paper, but this psychological prediction is harder to rely on than the observed frequency of their choices.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245741263}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Hoping to catch a paper after seeing rock and paper played by the opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245746036}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the previous rounds, I notice the opponent has used paper the least (only once). They might be due to play paper again to balance their choices. Additionally, we\'ve had three consecutive ties, which might lead to a pattern break. Since I\'ve used scissors the least in my own sequence, it makes strategic sense to choose it now while potentially catching the opponent playing paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245766063}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Trying rock to break the tie streak and potentially win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245774432}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern of previous rounds, my opponent has chosen scissors in even-numbered rounds (2, 4, 6). This suggests they might choose something different for round 7. If they choose scissors again, rock will win. If they try to counter what they think I\'ll play, they might choose paper, but I\'m willing to take that calculated risk. With my 2-0 lead, even if I lose this round, I\'ll still be ahead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245792156}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Trying paper to break the tie and hopefully win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245795691}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern analysis, my opponent seems to alternate between rock and scissors in recent rounds, with rock in rounds 5 and 7. If this pattern holds, they\'re likely to play scissors in round 8. Additionally, after several ties, they may be looking to break the pattern, but I\'m already ahead by 2 points, so playing rock is a safer strategic choice that would either win against scissors or tie against another rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245813278}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to favor rock and paper, and I need to win. Scissors beats paper. If opponent picks rock, I lose, but if they pick scissors, it\'s a tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245817052}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the game history, I notice several patterns. Recently, my opponent broke a mirroring pattern in round 8 by playing paper against my rock. This suggests they might be anticipating I\'ll play rock again since I\'ve chosen it frequently in recent rounds (rounds 5, 7, and 8). If they expect me to play rock and counter with paper, scissors would be my best move. Additionally, there\'s a potential \\\"scissors → rock → paper\\\" cycle in their recent moves, which would make scissors a tie at worst. Since I\'m currently ahead 2-1, this is a calculated risk that prevents me from being too predictable while maintaining my advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245834286}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The score is 1-2, so I need to win this round to have a chance at a tie. The opponent has been somewhat random, but seems to be leaning towards rock and scissors. I will choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245837706}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen scissors in the last two rounds and has picked scissors most frequently throughout the game (5 times total). By choosing rock, I would win against scissors and tie against rock. Even if they choose paper (which they\'ve only done twice), the worst outcome would be a tied game overall at 2-2. Since I\'m already leading 2-1, this is a strategic choice that gives me good winning odds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245855784}]','2025-03-17 20:56:20','2025-03-17 21:10:55',NULL),(2624,7,1,3,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 2, \"o3-mini - (low)\": 2}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4o\", \"o3-mini - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 119923, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": -6, \"newRating\": 1219, \"oldRating\": 1225}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": 6, \"newRating\": 1085, \"oldRating\": 1079}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -6, \"newRating\": 1219, \"oldRating\": 1225}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 6, \"newRating\": 1085, \"oldRating\": 1079}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round, there\'s no past data to analyze. I\'ll choose \'rock\' as an initial move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245686307}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing paper because it\'s a balanced option and can potentially beat rock, which might be a common initial move for opponents.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245690290}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round, the opponent chose paper. To counter a pattern, I\'ll assume they might stay with paper or shift to scissors. Therefore, I\'ll choose scissors as it beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245695184}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent won’t likely repeat the same move from round to round because that might be too predictable, and based on the previous round where I won with paper against rock, I want to mix things up. By choosing scissors, I cover a potential pattern change while also avoiding obvious counters for a paper strategy. This adds unpredictability while still being competitive for round 2.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245701250}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper and scissors in previous rounds. To counter, choosing rock is a steady option that has the potential to beat scissors if repeated.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245705279}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds and potential tendencies, I opt for \'rock\' in this round. It is a safe and balanced approach that may beat scissors if picked by the opponent while dealing with other scenarios reasonably.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245711857}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s choices in the previous rounds (paper, scissors, rock in sequential order), they seem to be cycling through their choices. To counter their probable next choice of paper, I will choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245716340}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Considering the opponent\'s moves in previous rounds, noting they chose rock twice (Rounds 1 and 3) and scissors once (Round 2), there\'s a possibility of repeating a pattern or alternating between his choices. Choosing paper would beat rock if he repeats it, and even though it loses to scissors, the likelihood of rock coming up again seems plausible. With the current score and the uncertainties involved, paper seems like a strategic option.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245725813}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on previous rounds, the opponent has used paper twice. To counter their probable use of paper again or a switch to rock, scissors is a good choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245732291}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the previous round outcomes and assuming some repetition patterns might be present, I will counter by choosing rock. In round 4 the opponent used scissors and won against my paper, so I expect that the opponent might cycle back. By selecting rock, I aim to potentially beat anticipated scissors or at least not lose against paper if they decide to bluff. Thus, my move for round 5 will be rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245736839}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s behavior suggests a pattern of switching moves to win strategically. After playing rock in round 5, their previous tendencies suggest they might play scissors or repeat rock. Choosing paper gives me an advantage against both options.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245743642}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing previous rounds, the opponent used scissors twice in a row (rounds 4 and 5) after alternating with rock in earlier rounds. This suggests that they might opt for scissors again in round 6. Since rock beats scissors, I choose rock for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245754522}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has previously chosen rock in two rounds and it\'s a winning pattern for them. To counter that and considering they might choose rock again, I will choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245758514}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given the opponent\'s previous moves, it appears they are switching patterns between rock and scissors and may also attempt strategies based on prior rounds. I decided to choose \'paper\' to cover the possibility of a rock from the opponent, and it also could counter a potential switch to rock from earlier rounds. Therefore, I\'ll pick paper for round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245770049}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent previously seems to cycle through rock, paper, and scissors without consistent patterns. To avoid guessing incorrectly, I will choose rock, which is strategic since it counters scissors and starts fresh after ties with paper, providing a balance of safety and chance.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245774986}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s previous moves, there\'s a tendency to favor scissors (rounds 2, 4, 5) and a couple of occurrences of rock and paper. To counter his likely choice of scissors, I choose rock, which beats scissors. Thus I\'ll go with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245781416}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to alternate their strategies between repeating and changing selections. They\'ve recently chosen rock consistently. To counter their pattern and maximize winning probability, I will choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245787969}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Considering the opponent\'s previous moves (rock, scissors, rock, scissors, scissors, paper, paper, rock) showing no clear pattern but a slight tendency to choose rock and scissors, I\'ll select paper, which counters rock and ties with paper. It seems like a balanced choice for round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245792454}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In previous rounds, the opponent chose a pattern of rock and paper, with a preference for repeating their last move or choosing a counter to prior patterns. I predict the opponent may choose paper again. Scissors beats paper, so I choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245797196}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Considering the opponent\'s recent moves, there\'s a hint of favoring paper. Against paper, scissors would be the winning move and secure the win in the final round. Hence, I choose scissors in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245803217}]','2025-03-17 20:57:20','2025-03-17 21:10:03',NULL),(2625,7,6,1,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 2, \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": 4}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.5 sonnet\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"gpt-4o\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"duration\": 164106, \"winner_id\": 6, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.5-sonnet\", \"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1272, \"oldRating\": 1258}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1203, \"oldRating\": 1217}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 14, \"newRating\": 1272, \"oldRating\": 1258}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -14, \"newRating\": 1203, \"oldRating\": 1217}}}}','[{\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Opening with scissors as it may catch opponents who anticipate a common \\\"rock\\\" first move and choose paper to counter it. Many players default to rock first, so their counter-players often choose paper, making scissors a strategic opening choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245716374}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"There is no gameplay pattern yet as this is the first round, so I\'ll choose paper as a neutral option to counter a potential \'rock\' response.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245723218}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After winning with scissors, my opponent is likely to switch from paper to either rock or scissors. Rock protects against a scissors play and is a safe choice that maintains my strategic advantage even if I lose to a paper play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245731279}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first round, the opponent chose scissors, possibly trying to counter paper. To counteract any pattern and maintain unpredictability, I will choose rock, as it beats scissors if repeated.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245737967}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"After a tie with rock, opponents often switch to paper to try to beat the previous move. By choosing scissors, I can potentially counter this strategy. Additionally, scissors worked well for me in round 1, and varying my moves makes me less predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245748656}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the last two rounds, the opponent chose scissors and rock. These choices suggest randomness, but in case they attempt to predict a pattern, I\'ll select paper to counter if the opponent repeats rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245755642}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of favoring paper with occasional rock plays. After playing paper in round 3, they might switch to rock in round 4. Paper would beat rock and tie with paper, giving us the best probability of maintaining our lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245770859}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to favor scissors, having chosen them twice to counter paper. To counter the trend of their previous choices, I\'ll pick rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245778237}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be alternating between paper and rock. Following this pattern, they are likely to play paper this round. Choosing scissors would counter this and potentially extend my lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245788583}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen scissors most frequently so far, potentially signaling a bias. Choosing rock counters this.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245792364}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has shown a strong preference for rock in recent rounds (3 of the last 4 moves). While they might anticipate this and switch to scissors, playing paper here gives me the best chance to counter their established pattern. Additionally, I haven\'t used paper much in recent rounds, making it less predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245803808}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds, my opponent has favored scissors 3 times (Rounds 1, 3, and 5), paper 2 times (Rounds 4 and 5), and rock only once (Round 2). To counter their likely repeated use of scissors or to address the possibility of a shift to rock or paper, I\'ll choose \'rock,\' which counters scissors and ties with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245810523}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of playing rock repeatedly but has now lost several rounds in a row. They\'re likely to switch to paper (their only other historical move) to try to break their losing streak. Therefore, I\'m choosing scissors to counter this anticipated paper play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245821526}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent, Claude 3.5 Sonnet, might predict that I will continue using rock based on my previous consistent usage. Since my opponent has won multiple times using paper against my rock, I\'m choosing scissors this time to counteract their likely paper move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245827321}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a strong preference for rock (4 out of 7 moves). While they might try to change their strategy, playing paper gives me a good chance to counter their most frequent choice. Additionally, paper has already won me two rounds against their rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245838750}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on Claude\'s preference in past rounds: 4 scissors, 3 paper, and no rock choices, it seems they are less inclined toward rock. Therefore, paper is risky as it loses to scissors, but Claude may expect me to pick rock. I choose scissors as it has a higher chance to counter Claude\'s expected paper usage or be neutral against scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245843289}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing rock because: 1) Opponent used scissors in the last round and might continue the pattern, 2) They\'ve shown a preference for scissors and rock over paper, 3) They\'re in a must-win situation which might make them more predictable, 4) Rock provides good protection against their most commonly used moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245853205}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has previously shown a tendency to choose scissors after I selected scissors in the last round, and they may also assume I will follow a predictable pattern (like playing rock). Considering this, I will opt for rock this round, aiming to counter their likely choice of scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245857622}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.5 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"With a 4-2 lead, I can afford to play strategically. The opponent shows a preference for rock but might anticipate me playing paper to counter their rock tendency. By playing scissors, I\'m prepared for if they play paper (trying to counter my potential paper play). Even if they play rock and win this round, I\'ll still win the overall game. And if they play scissors, a tie still gives me the game victory.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245867678}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s patterns, they have chosen scissors twice, paper three times, and rock three times in previous rounds. Given that their rock and paper choices are more frequent, I choose scissors to counter paper and avoid losing to rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245871905}]','2025-03-17 20:57:21','2025-03-17 21:11:11',6),(2626,7,8,10,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": 3, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 3}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 407827, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -2, \"newRating\": 1285, \"oldRating\": 1287}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 2, \"newRating\": 1252, \"oldRating\": 1250}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -2, \"newRating\": 1285, \"oldRating\": 1287}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 2, \"newRating\": 1252, \"oldRating\": 1250}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since this is the first round, I have no data on my opponent\'s patterns yet. However, research suggests that rock is a common first move for many players as it feels psychologically \\\"strong\\\" or \\\"safe\\\". By choosing paper, I can counter this potential strategy. Additionally, this choice will help me establish a baseline for my opponent\'s behavior that I can analyze for future rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245720492}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the opening round, I\'m choosing paper based on the statistical tendency that many players select rock as their first move. Without any previous rounds to analyze patterns, this gives me a strategic starting point. If my opponent follows this common tendency, paper would win against rock. Even if they don\'t, this establishes an initial move that they might factor into their future decisions.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245732809}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After our mutual paper play in round 1, there\'s a psychological tendency for players to switch to scissors in the following round, expecting their opponent to repeat their previous move. By choosing rock, I\'m anticipating this potential shift in strategy. Additionally, with minimal pattern data available after just one round, this gives me a strong counter against the most likely psychological play while establishing unpredictability in my own strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245746361}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After our tie with paper in round 1, I anticipate that my opponent might stick with paper expecting me to change, or they might try to counter what they think I\'ll play next. Scissors is a strategic choice here as it would win against paper if they repeat their previous move. While this is a risk if they choose rock, it\'s a calculated one based on the common tendency for players to either repeat a move that resulted in a tie or to try to counter the opponent\'s previous move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245767906}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our history, my opponent chose paper in round 1 and scissors in round 2. After losing with scissors, they might be reluctant to choose it again. They might predict I\'ll choose rock again since it worked for me last round, so they could switch to paper to counter that. By choosing scissors, I can beat their paper if they make this adjustment. While this is risky if they choose rock, the psychological tendency to avoid repeating a losing move (scissors) and to counter what beat them (rock) suggests paper is their likely choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245787563}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent used rock in the previous round and won, so they might use rock again (win-stay strategy). However, they might also anticipate that I\'ll play paper to counter their rock, in which case they might play scissors. By choosing rock, I can counter a potential scissors play. Additionally, if they follow a pattern (paper → rock → scissors), rock would be the best counter. Based on these considerations, rock seems like the most strategic choice for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245801461}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our history so far, there\'s a possibility my opponent expects me to play paper in this round, thinking I might cycle through options (paper→rock→scissors→paper). If they anticipate paper, they might play scissors, which my rock would beat. While they could also counter my previous scissors play with paper (which would beat my rock), I think there\'s a higher chance they\'ll try to predict a pattern in my choices rather than simply countering. Also, since rock worked for me in round 2, returning to a previously successful move might be advantageous.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245817662}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the previous rounds, I notice both of us have played each option once, with no clear pattern emerging yet. Since I just played rock in round 3 and won, my opponent might anticipate me continuing with rock or switching to paper (which would beat rock). If they expect me to play paper, they might choose scissors. Alternatively, they might play paper to counter my previous rock. Either way, scissors would be effective - beating paper or tying with scissors. This also avoids being too predictable by not repeating my previous move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245836533}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent has played scissors twice (rounds 2 and 4), rock once (round 3), and paper once (round 1). They\'ve shown a preference for scissors, which I\'ve countered successfully with rock twice. However, they might anticipate me choosing rock again and switch to paper to counter. To adapt, I\'ll play paper this round. If they play rock expecting my scissors, I win. If they play scissors again maintaining their most frequent choice, I lose but would gain valuable information about their strategy. This choice helps maintain unpredictability while responding to the emerging pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245849420}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the history, my opponent has chosen rock twice already (rounds 2 and 4), both times successfully against my scissors. They may be comfortable playing rock again, expecting me to avoid scissors due to previous losses. By playing paper, I can counter a potential rock play. Additionally, they haven\'t played paper since round 1, so they might be due for it less often than other moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245864880}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent has chosen paper twice, scissors twice, and rock once. After choosing paper in round 5, there\'s a reasonable chance they\'ll switch to scissors in round 6 based on the transition pattern observed (after paper in round 4, they played paper again in round 5, but they may not repeat this). Additionally, their most frequent choices have been scissors and paper. If they choose scissors again, rock would be the optimal counter-move. I currently have the lead at 2-1, so making a strategic choice that covers their most likely move is important to maintain my advantage.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245879821}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s pattern, they\'ve played paper → rock → scissors → rock → paper in the previous rounds. Following this pattern, they might play scissors next. Additionally, they\'ve played rock twice so far (more than scissors), suggesting they may be comfortable with that choice. If I play rock, I would counter scissors if they follow their pattern, while at worst risking a tie if they choose rock again or a loss if they predict my choice and play paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245894785}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I notice my opponent has alternated between rock and scissors in the last few rounds (rock in round 6, scissors in round 4, rock in round 3). If this pattern continues, they might play scissors in round 7. However, they might also anticipate that I\'ll expect scissors and choose rock instead to counter. By choosing paper, I\'ll beat rock if they\'re trying to be clever with a counter-strategy. Also, my opponent has used each option exactly twice so far, with no clear pattern, so this balanced approach gives me a reasonable chance while I\'m ahead in the overall score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245911819}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent seems to favor rock, but I notice they\'ve alternated between paper and rock in the last two rounds. If this pattern continues, they might choose paper next. Additionally, after we both chose rock in round 6, there\'s a psychological tendency to switch moves after a tie. I\'ll choose scissors to counter a potential paper play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245927907}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, I notice a potential pattern in my opponent\'s moves. They played paper-rock-scissors in rounds 5-7, which could suggest they might continue or restart this cycle with paper in round 8. Additionally, my opponent has chosen scissors in 3 of the 7 rounds so far (rounds 2, 4, and 7), suggesting they favor this move. Since I haven\'t played scissors since round 3, it might be unexpected. If they\'re anticipating me to play rock (which worked for me twice), scissors would be a good counter to their potential paper play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245945091}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on my opponent\'s history, they favor rock (played 3 times) and have shown a pattern of playing rock after losing. Since I just won with scissors in round 7, they may anticipate I\'ll play scissors again and counter with rock. Paper would be effective against their potential rock choice. Additionally, they\'ve only played scissors once in 7 rounds, making it a statistically safer choice to avoid scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245965086}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s previous moves (paper, scissors, rock, scissors, paper, rock, scissors, paper), I notice a pattern that suggests they may play rock next. In rounds where a pattern appears, they\'ve cycled through \\\"rock, scissors, paper\\\" sequences with some variation. Additionally, I\'ve had success when anticipating their moves in previous rounds. Paper beats rock, so I\'ll choose paper for this round to capitalize on the predicted pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245981335}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on pattern analysis, the opponent may anticipate me playing rock to counter their scissors from round 8, and thus they might play paper. Scissors would be effective against this anticipated paper move. Additionally, when I\'ve played scissors historically, they\'ve played both rock and paper, showing some inconsistency in countering this choice, which gives me a reasonable chance of success.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246010063}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern of play, my opponent has chosen scissors in rounds 2, 4, 7, and 9 - including two of the last three rounds. They\'ve shown a tendency to counter my paper plays with scissors (as in rounds 7 and 9). Since I just played paper in round 9, there\'s a reasonable chance they\'ll anticipate me switching to scissors this round (to counter their expected paper) and they might play rock. However, there\'s also a strong possibility they\'ll play scissors again given their recent pattern. By choosing rock, I can win if they play scissors and tie if they play rock. While I risk losing to paper, based on the patterns observed, this seems like the most strategic choice for the final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246056182}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has shown a preference for paper (4/9 rounds), but may anticipate my scissors trend (used in 2 of last 3 rounds) and switch to rock. By playing rock, I can counter a potential scissors play while taking a calculated risk against their paper tendency. In this final, tie-breaking round, I\'m betting they\'ll break their own pattern to try to counter what they expect from me.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246116524}]','2025-03-17 20:57:22','2025-03-17 21:15:16',NULL),(2627,7,1,14,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"gpt-4o\": 6, \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": 2}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"rock\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"scissors\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}, {\"moves\": {\"gpt-4o\": \"paper\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\"}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4o\", \"Gemini Flash 2.0\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4o\", \"duration\": 118922, \"winner_id\": 1, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4o-2024-11-20\", \"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1232, \"oldRating\": 1219}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"google/gemini-2.0-flash-001\", \"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1145, \"oldRating\": 1158}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1232, \"oldRating\": 1219}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1145, \"oldRating\": 1158}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"This is the first round, and there is no information about the opponent\'s tendencies or strategy. I\'ll start with rock as a solid and balanced opening choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245721329}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with a classic choice: rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245726135}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent chose rock in the first round, so they might follow a pattern or switch to paper to counter rock. To counter a possible paper, I will choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245733226}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The first round was a tie with both of us picking rock. For round 2, I will choose paper. My reasoning is that since we both picked rock last time, there\'s a chance the opponent might pick scissors this time to try and win. If they think I\'ll pick rock again, they might pick paper to counter it. So, I\'ll pick paper, hoping they pick rock or scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245741257}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 2, I chose scissors and won. The opponent might anticipate me repeating scissors to try and counter it with rock. Therefore, I\'ll choose paper to counter their expected rock choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245748155}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent is playing randomly, choosing rock this time.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245755581}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first three rounds, my opponent has not repeated any of their moves consecutively and seems to be rotating through them. So far, they have chosen rock, paper, and scissors. Since my opponent hasn\'t repeated a move yet, I predict they might repeat the cycle starting with rock. I will counter this possibility with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245763055}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent seems to favor rock and paper. Choosing scissors hoping for a surprise win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245769392}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous rounds, the opponent has chosen rock twice, scissors once, and paper once. While there isn\'t a clear pattern, I will counterbalance their possible choice by going with rock, as it adds a safe probabilistic move against scissors while still having a strategy for coming ties.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245785080}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has chosen paper twice in the last 4 rounds. Choosing scissors in anticipation of paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245790026}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent might anticipate I will choose rock again after my last win. To counter their possible paper move, I\'ll choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245794119}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Hoping the opponent might pick rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245797356}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"In the past 6 rounds, the opponent has played rock twice, scissors twice, and paper twice, showing no clear bias. To maintain unpredictability and counter randomness, I will choose rock this time, as it beats scissors, which the opponent might play, while tying with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245801330}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent seems to be favoring scissors, so I will pick rock to counter this.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245806069}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s moves suggest they may randomly tie with rock (Rounds 1 and 7) or lose to my scissors (Rounds 2 and 6). To maintain my lead and possibly predict their preference, I will choose scissors again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245810259}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has been favoring scissors and paper. I will choose rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245813791}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s past moves, they have recently chosen rock and scissors. They are likely trying to anticipate my choice of scissors to counter with rock or possibly even stick with rock. To counter their tendency to favor rock and occasionally switch to scissors, I\'ll choose paper as it covers both.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245819175}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has played scissors recently, rock beats scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245827072}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4o\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent tends to favor rock the most based on their previous choices (4 times out of 9 rounds). Since paper beats rock and I only need to secure a stable move, choosing paper is logical.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245831522}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Gemini Flash 2.0\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has favored scissors and paper. Rock crushes Scissors and beats paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245834698}]','2025-03-17 20:58:20','2025-03-17 21:10:34',1),(2628,7,10,12,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (high)\": 5, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": 2}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"o1 - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"duration\": 459798, \"winner_id\": 12, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1236, \"oldRating\": 1252}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1258, \"oldRating\": 1242}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -16, \"newRating\": 1236, \"oldRating\": 1252}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 16, \"newRating\": 1258, \"oldRating\": 1242}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing rock as it\'s a solid opening move. Against a high-level opponent, there might be expectations of strategic thinking. While they might anticipate common opening patterns, rock provides a balanced first move that can help establish a baseline for future rounds. As the game progresses, I\'ll adapt my strategy based on any patterns I observe from my opponent.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245749220}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ll try to get the edge by anticipating that the opponent might choose rock and I\'ll counter with paper\", \"timestamp\": 1742245762012}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent chose paper in the first round, they might stick with it as it was successful. Even if they expect me to change, there\'s a psychological tendency for players to repeat winning moves. Choosing scissors gives me a good chance to counter if they play paper again. If they anticipate this and choose rock, I\'ll learn from that pattern for future rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245781287}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Because we won with paper last time, our opponent might switch to scissors to counter paper. We’ll try rock this round to potentially beat scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245802916}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing paper because the opponent played rock in the previous round. They might continue with rock again, or they could be following a pattern. If they\'re anticipating me to play rock (a common choice after losing), my paper would counter that. Additionally, by not playing rock or scissors again, I\'m avoiding any obvious pattern in my own moves that the opponent could exploit.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245820098}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"We\'ve used paper in Round 1 and rock in Round 2. Let\'s keep the opponent guessing by rotating to scissors in Round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245832093}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the previous rounds, I notice my opponent has consistently chosen moves that counter mine. If they\'re following a pattern of choosing what beats my previous move, they might play scissors this round (to beat my paper from round 3). Playing rock would be strategic in this case. Additionally, this breaks any predictable sequence I might have established, making my choice less predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245846752}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent’s sequence of moves so far (rock → scissors → paper) suggests a repeating pattern of R-S-P. If that pattern continues, they might choose rock again. Paper beats rock, so I’ll choose paper this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245860025}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern so far, I\'ve made predictable choices (rock, scissors, paper, rock) and the opponent has countered each time. If I continue the pattern, I would choose scissors next, which the opponent might anticipate and counter with rock. By choosing paper instead, I\'m breaking my pattern while also preparing for the possibility that the opponent will play rock, which they haven\'t used since round 2.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245875045}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"We’ve already beaten the opponent with paper multiple times, so they may try scissors to counter paper. By choosing rock, we can defeat scissors if they try it and continue our winning streak.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245897827}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s pattern so far (paper → rock → scissors → paper → rock), they are likely to play scissors in this round. Rock beats scissors, so this gives me the best chance to win this critical round. I\'m already down 1-4 and need to start winning consistently to have a chance at the overall game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245915025}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent’s apparent pattern (rock, scissors, paper, rock, paper) they might be cycling to scissors, which rock would beat. We already have a comfortable lead, so choosing rock is likely a safe option.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245933831}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern, my opponent has chosen rock for the last two rounds (rounds 5 and 6). Given this recent consistency, there\'s a good chance they might continue with rock, which would make paper a winning move. Additionally, the opponent seems to have shifted away from their initial strategy of consistently countering my moves. With them leading 4-1, I need to make strategic choices to catch up, and paper gives me a good chance to win if they maintain their recent rock tendency.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245946476}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used paper in odd rounds (3,5). It’s possible they’ll use paper again, so I’ll choose scissors to counter paper and further secure my lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245962482}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s sequence of moves, they might play paper this round following their recent rock-rock-scissors pattern. Additionally, the opponent has chosen paper twice when I played rock, so they might anticipate me choosing rock again and respond with paper. By choosing scissors, I can potentially counter this and improve my score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245975853}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The last few turns suggest a rock–paper alternation from the opponent, so we predict rock and choose paper to beat it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246006744}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"After analyzing the opponent\'s pattern, I believe they are likely to play rock in this round. When the opponent played paper (as they did in round 8), they followed with rock twice in previous rounds. Additionally, if they\'re following the classic rock→scissors→paper sequence seen in the last three rounds, they would play rock next. Paper beats rock, giving me the best chance to win this round and improve my score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246054985}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I suspect the opponent may return to rock next, so I\'ll play paper to cover that possibility.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246116421}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has played paper in the last two rounds (8 and 9), and has chosen paper most frequently overall (4 times). While they might anticipate I\'ll choose scissors to counter their paper trend and switch to rock, I believe they\'re more likely to stick with paper given their recent history. Playing scissors gives me the best chance to win this final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246176576}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played paper most often, so I\'ll play scissors to counter that trend.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246188936}]','2025-03-17 20:59:20','2025-03-17 21:16:28',12),(2629,7,10,3,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": 2, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": 3}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"o3-mini - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"duration\": 199521, \"winner_id\": 10, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 9, \"newRating\": 1250, \"oldRating\": 1241}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -9, \"newRating\": 1076, \"oldRating\": 1085}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 9, \"newRating\": 1250, \"oldRating\": 1241}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -9, \"newRating\": 1076, \"oldRating\": 1085}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'m choosing paper as my opening move. Many players tend to start with rock in the first round of Rock Paper Scissors, so paper would be a strategic counter. Since I have no data yet on my opponent\'s patterns, this gives me a reasonable chance to start with a win while I observe my opponent\'s strategy.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245796567}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"For round 1, I\'ll start with \'rock\' as a balanced and strong option to test my opponent\'s initial play. Starting with rock often initiates pressure and prevents overly predictable responses.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245800789}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I won with paper in the previous round, my opponent might anticipate me playing paper again and choose scissors to counter. By playing rock, I can beat their potential scissors play. Additionally, simple algorithms often switch tactics after losing, making scissors a likely choice for my opponent in this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245813276}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, my rock was beaten by the opponent\'s paper. To counter the choice of paper that brought me defeat, I\'ll choose scissors, which beats paper. This is a direct counter attempt in round 2.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245820164}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, there\'s a pattern where the opponent might follow a rock-scissors-paper rotation, which would make paper their likely next move. Additionally, they might try to counter my previous rock play by choosing paper. Either way, scissors would be effective against paper. I\'m also introducing scissors for the first time in our game, adding unpredictability to my strategy while maintaining a logical response to the opponent\'s potential moves.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245834813}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s previous moves (paper in round 1 followed by rock in round 2), it appears that the opponent might be alternating or using a reaction strategy. If the pattern continues with a repeat of paper in round 3, then choosing scissors would beat paper. Therefore, I\'ll choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245840202}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a preference for scissors, playing it in rounds 2 and 3. They haven\'t played paper yet, but the probability seems higher that they\'ll continue with scissors or possibly return to rock. Rock is a strategic choice as it beats scissors (which they\'ve played most frequently) and ties with rock. I\'m already ahead 2-0, so this calculated risk makes sense.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245851308}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I have observed that in previous rounds the opponent has chosen a different move each time making it unpredictable, so I will pick paper in hopes of countering a potential rock move while also staying balanced. This move aligns with my broader strategy of variation and risk management.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245857859}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has shown a pattern of using scissors frequently (rounds 2 and 3) but just switched to paper in the last round. They might expect me to play scissors to counter their paper, so they could play rock next to beat my anticipated scissors. By playing paper, I can counter this potential rock move. Additionally, my opponent hasn\'t shown any clear repeating pattern yet, so I\'m making a strategic choice based on this counter-prediction rather than assuming they\'ll simply repeat a previous move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245871966}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I observed that the opponent has played rock twice (in rounds 2 and 4) and might be likely to use it again, so I will choose paper to counter rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245876568}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has shown a pattern of repeating moves for two consecutive rounds (scissors in rounds 2-3, paper in rounds 4-5). Since they\'ve played paper for the last two rounds, I\'m expecting either another paper or a switch. If they play paper again, scissors will win. If they try to counter my previous move (paper) with scissors, we\'d tie. I currently have the lead at 2-1, so I can afford to make a slightly aggressive play.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245890569}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Examining the opponent\'s previous moves, we see a mix of rock, paper, and scissors. While no deterministic pattern emerges, there is a slight appearance of alternating moves that leads one to expect a paper from the opponent in some cases. To cover that possibility, I\'ll choose scissors which beats paper, while also hedging against other outcomes.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245897543}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a preference for scissors (3 out of 6 rounds), including their most recent move. By choosing rock, I have a good chance of winning if they continue this pattern. Also, considering we\'ve had three consecutive ties, it\'s likely the opponent might try to break this pattern by repeating their most successful move (scissors), which would make rock the optimal counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245912090}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the observed pattern: the opponent\'s moves appear to follow a cycle (paper, rock, scissors, rock, paper, scissors). Assuming the cycle repeats, round 7 is likely to be rock. Since paper beats rock, I choose paper for round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245918142}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has frequently played paper (3 times, including 2 of the last 3 rounds). They seem to favor paper recently, so scissors is the logical counter-move. Additionally, we\'re tied in score (2-2), so I need to make strategic choices to take the lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245934193}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock in rounds 2, 4, and 7 (and overall shows a pattern of frequent rock choices). Choosing paper will beat rock, so I will choose paper in round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245938815}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper in 4 out of 8 rounds, including rounds 5, 7, and 8. This pattern suggests they favor paper, making scissors a strong counter-move. Even if they anticipate this and switch to rock, we still have round 10 to potentially secure a win or tie in the overall game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245953931}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s previous pattern – they have thrown paper in rounds 1 and 5, rock appears in rounds 2,4,7, and scissors from rounds 3,6,8 – there seems to be a cyclic pattern where paper appears every 4 rounds. Given that rounds 1 and 5 were paper, it\'s plausible that round 9 might also be paper. To counter an anticipated paper, I will choose scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245960994}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on pattern analysis, the opponent has frequently played scissors (including the last round) and paper. Since I\'m ahead and only need to avoid losing, rock is a strategic choice that would beat scissors and only lose to paper. The opponent has used scissors in 4 out of 9 rounds, making rock a high-percentage play for the final round. Additionally, there appears to be a pattern where the opponent might respond to consecutive scissors plays (which I just did) with scissors again, which rock would defeat.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245980894}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Reviewing the opponent\'s past moves, I see that they have played scissors quite frequently (4 times out of 9 rounds), making it a likely candidate. Since rock beats scissors, playing rock gives me a better chance in round 10.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245986535}]','2025-03-17 20:59:21','2025-03-17 21:13:06',10),(2630,7,8,7,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": 3, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 3}, \"winner\": null, \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"claude 3.7 sonnet\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": null, \"duration\": 262544, \"winner_id\": null, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -5, \"newRating\": 1274, \"oldRating\": 1279}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 5, \"newRating\": 1182, \"oldRating\": 1177}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -5, \"newRating\": 1274, \"oldRating\": 1279}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 5, \"newRating\": 1182, \"oldRating\": 1177}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'ll choose paper as many players tend to open with rock. Without any previous pattern data from my opponent, this is a strategic opening move that counters the most common first choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245813404}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round, I\'ll choose scissors. Since this is the opening round, there\'s no prior pattern to analyze. Scissors is a good initial choice as it\'s neither the most obvious first move (which might be rock) nor the counter to the most obvious move (which would be paper). This could give me a slight psychological edge if my opponent is thinking about conventional opening strategies. Additionally, if my opponent is anticipating that I might overthink and choose paper to counter an expected rock, scissors would win in that scenario.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245820766}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"After losing to scissors in round 1, I\'m choosing rock as it would beat scissors if my opponent repeats their winning move. Many players tend to stick with a move that just won them a round. Additionally, since we\'re early in the game, establishing some unpredictability in my strategy is important. Rock is a strong countermove to the scissors that defeated me in the previous round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245833370}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"In round 1, I chose scissors and my opponent chose paper, which led to my win. My opponent (Claude 3.7 Sonnet) is likely to anticipate that I might stick with scissors since it worked for me before, or switch to paper thinking I might choose rock. To counter this, I\'ll choose rock for round 2. If my opponent switches to paper expecting my rock, they would win, but I think there\'s a good chance they\'ll choose scissors to counter my potential paper choice, in which case my rock would win. Additionally, Claude may try to break a pattern that gave them a loss, making scissors a reasonable prediction for their move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245841672}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, my opponent has shown a sequence of scissors then rock. There\'s insufficient data to establish a strong pattern, but my opponent might expect me to avoid paper since I lost with it in round 1. They might anticipate me choosing rock again or switching to scissors. If they expect me to choose scissors, they might play rock. By choosing paper, I can potentially counter a rock play. Additionally, returning to a previously losing move might be unexpected and break any pattern recognition my opponent is attempting.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245856040}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern so far, my opponent chose paper in round 1 and rock in round 2. They may anticipate that I\'ll choose paper in this round (thinking I\'ll try to beat their rock from round 2). If they expect me to play paper, they might choose scissors to counter. Therefore, I\'ll choose scissors, which would tie with their scissors or beat them if they revert to paper. This also maintains unpredictability in my strategy while capitalizing on the possibility that they might repeat their round 1 move (paper).\", \"timestamp\": 1742245864323}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a preference for scissors in rounds 1 and 3, winning both times when I played paper. They haven\'t played paper yet in our games. Since rock beats scissors, this seems like the most strategic choice based on their previous behavior. Additionally, if they continue alternating between rock and scissors as they\'ve done so far, they would play rock this round (following the scissors from round 3), which would result in a tie rather than a loss.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245877540}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, my opponent has chosen paper twice and rock once. They haven\'t chosen scissors yet. There seems to be a pattern where after they tied with rock, they went back to paper. Since I\'ve won with scissors twice, they might anticipate me choosing scissors again and switch to rock to counter. If they\'re expecting me to choose scissors and they choose rock, I should choose paper to beat their rock. Additionally, diversifying my moves is strategically sound since repeating the same move too often becomes predictable.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245884526}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen scissors twice so far (rounds 1 and 3), which suggests they might favor this move. By choosing rock, I can potentially counter another scissors play. Additionally, when I played rock in round 4, they switched to paper, showing they might be adapting to my previous move. Since they may expect me to avoid rock after losing to paper, playing rock again could be unexpected.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245903913}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has shown a pattern of playing paper and rock, but never scissors. If they\'re following a pattern, they might play scissors this round after playing rock in the previous round. By choosing rock, I would win against scissors. Additionally, if they continue avoiding scissors and play rock again, we would tie, which is acceptable given my current lead. Even if they play paper (which would beat my rock), I would still maintain a strong lead at 3-1.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245912691}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, I notice that my opponent has chosen scissors twice (rounds 1 and 3), rock twice (rounds 2 and 5), and paper once (round 4). They seem to have a slight preference for scissors when I choose paper. Since they\'ve played rock in the most recent round and they\'ve shown a pattern of not repeating paper, there\'s a decent chance they might play paper this round. Additionally, they might anticipate me playing paper to counter their recent rock plays. By choosing scissors, I can potentially win if they play paper while breaking my own pattern of playing rock in the last two rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245929465}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, I notice that my opponent has chosen rock three times and paper twice, but never scissors. This suggests they may be less likely to play scissors. Additionally, I\'m already leading 3-0, which might make my opponent more desperate and likely to fall back on rock (which is psychologically seen as the \\\"strongest\\\" option). Given that my opponent has chosen rock in the last round and in other rounds, I\'ll choose paper which beats rock. While there\'s some risk they might finally play scissors, the pattern so far makes paper seem like the optimal choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245937861}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because there\'s a pattern in the opponent\'s last few moves (rock → paper → rock → paper), suggesting they might play scissors next. Additionally, they\'ve chosen scissors twice when I played paper previously, so they might expect me to play paper again and counter with scissors. Rock would give me an advantage against their potential scissors play. While I risk losing to paper, the pattern analysis and the need to catch up in the score makes this a calculated risk worth taking.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245955458}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern analysis, my opponent may expect me to avoid paper after losing with it in round 6, likely anticipating I\'ll choose scissors. If they choose rock to counter my expected scissors, my choice of rock would result in a tie. If they choose scissors expecting me to choose paper, my rock would win. As I\'m currently leading 3-1, playing somewhat defensively with rock is a strategic choice that reduces risk while maintaining a chance to win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245964543}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a pattern of responding to my rock plays with paper in previous rounds. Since I just played rock in round 7, they might anticipate I\'ll play rock again and choose paper to counter. Scissors would give me an advantage in this scenario. Additionally, scissors gave me my only win so far in round 6, so I\'ll try this strategy again to improve my score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245979218}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, I notice several patterns. My opponent has chosen rock three times, paper twice, and scissors once. They seem to favor rock. In our history, there were three ties with rock, indicating my opponent might be anticipating I\'ll choose rock again. There\'s also a pattern that after my wins, the opponent tends to either match my previous move or counter it. Since I last played rock in round 7 (which was a tie), there\'s a good chance the opponent will stay with rock (expecting me to change) or switch to paper (to counter my expected rock). Paper would be my best choice as it beats rock and ties with paper. While scissors is tempting, the opponent has shown less tendency to choose paper, making paper the safer strategic choice for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245987565}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing paper because the opponent might expect me to play scissors again (after my recent wins) and counter with rock. Paper beats rock, giving me a chance to tie the overall game. The opponent has shown a tendency to play rock more than other options (4 times vs 2 each for scissors and paper), and I believe they\'re likely to return to rock after losing twice to scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246005675}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern of the opponent\'s choices, I notice they\'ve played rock 4 times, paper 2 times, and scissors 2 times. They seem to favor rock as their most common choice. In the last two rounds, they\'ve played scissors twice in a row, possibly developing a pattern. If they continue with scissors, rock would be my best move. \\n\\nAdditionally, I\'m currently leading 3-2, so playing defensively makes sense. Rock is a strong defensive choice as it can at worst tie against rock or lose to paper, but beats scissors, which my opponent has been playing recently. Given the opponent\'s preference for rock and recent scissors plays, choosing rock gives me a good chance to either win this round or at least tie, maintaining my lead in the overall game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246014019}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the alternating pattern in the last three rounds, my opponent is likely to play paper in this decisive round. Additionally, having just lost to my paper with their rock, they might expect me to play paper again, which would lead them to play scissors. To counter both of these possibilities, scissors is my best strategic choice. If they play paper as per their alternating pattern, I win. If they anticipate my paper and play scissors, we tie rather than me losing.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246056533}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern of previous rounds, my opponent has consistently played paper when I chose scissors (rounds 1 and 3). Also, my opponent seems to be adapting to counter my most recent moves - I played rock in round 9 and lost to paper, suggesting they might stick with paper expecting me to play rock again. Additionally, my opponent has never played rock in response to my scissors. While there\'s always a risk they might anticipate this logic and play rock, based on the established pattern, scissors appears to be my best chance to win this final round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246065801}]','2025-03-17 21:00:20','2025-03-17 21:14:25',NULL),(2631,7,8,15,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": 4, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 2}, \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"}, {\"moves\": {\"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"duration\": 292267, \"winner_id\": 15, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": -22, \"newRating\": 1263, \"oldRating\": 1285}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct\", \"change\": 22, \"newRating\": 1164, \"oldRating\": 1142}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -22, \"newRating\": 1263, \"oldRating\": 1285}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 22, \"newRating\": 1164, \"oldRating\": 1142}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the opening round, I\'m choosing paper as my strategic play. Many players tend to start with rock as their first move, as it\'s often perceived as a \\\"strong\\\" or \\\"safe\\\" opening choice. By selecting paper, I\'m anticipating this potential rock play. While there\'s no prior history to analyze yet, this gives me a small strategic advantage if my opponent follows this common pattern.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245844092}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with rock as it is a classic and neutral choice\", \"timestamp\": 1742245849254}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since I won with paper in the first round, my opponent (Llama 3.3) might anticipate me playing paper again and switch to scissors to counter. Alternatively, they might switch to paper thinking I\'ll choose rock. Either way, scissors gives me a good chance - it would tie against scissors or win against paper. Based on psychological patterns in RPS where players often change their move after losing, I think scissors is my best strategic choice for this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245862339}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent won the previous round by choosing paper, I will choose scissors to beat paper in this round\", \"timestamp\": 1742245868272}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because after our scissors tie in round 2, the opponent may expect me to stay with scissors (as players sometimes stick with the same move after a tie). If they try to counter scissors, they\'ll play rock, resulting in a tie. However, there\'s also a chance they\'ll play paper expecting me to switch to rock, but this is a calculated risk I\'m willing to take. Additionally, if they simply repeat their last move (scissors), my rock will win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245895829}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent won the first round with paper and tied the second round with scissors, I\'m going to choose rock for this round to try to take the lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245901917}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern so far, my opponent has played rock twice (rounds 1 and 3) and scissors once (round 2). After playing scissors, they returned to rock. There might be a tendency for them to favor rock, but they could also be trying to establish a pattern of alternating between rock and scissors. If they follow that pattern, they would play scissors next, which rock would beat. Additionally, since I won with paper in round 1, they might anticipate me using paper again and counter with scissors. Playing rock provides protection against a potential scissors play while resulting in a tie if they choose rock again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245914480}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"My opponent has chosen paper in the first round and tied with me in the next two rounds. Since my opponent\'s strategy is not yet clear, I will choose paper as it has the potential to beat rock and tie with itself, giving me a chance to catch up.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245920492}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our game history, I see we\'re tied at 1-1 with two ties. The opponent chose paper last round to counter my rock, suggesting they might be adapting to my previous moves. They may expect me to switch to scissors after losing with rock, in which case they might play rock to counter. Alternatively, if they expect me to stick with rock, they might play paper again. Paper gives me good coverage against a potential rock play while risking a loss only if they anticipate this exact reasoning and choose scissors. Given that rock has appeared most frequently in our game so far, paper seems to be the strategic choice.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245935877}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Claude 3.7 sonnet has chosen paper and rock in previous rounds, and since the last round I won with paper, I\'ll choose scissors this time to exploit the potential weakness if Claude chooses paper again\", \"timestamp\": 1742245941858}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern of my opponent\'s moves (rock, scissors, rock, paper, scissors), they appear to be alternating between different options without a strict pattern. They\'ve used scissors twice (rounds 2 and 5), which might indicate a preference. Since I lost the last round with paper against their scissors, they might expect me to choose rock next as a counter-strategy. If they\'re thinking this way, they\'ll likely play paper to beat my anticipated rock. By choosing scissors, I can counter this potential paper play. Additionally, if they repeat scissors again (which they\'ve done before), we\'ll tie rather than lose.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245957294}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m choosing rock because the opponent has only won once and that was with paper, and since the last round the opponent lost with paper, they might choose scissors this round to beat my potential paper choice, but I\'ll choose rock to beat scissors if that\'s the case\", \"timestamp\": 1742245963881}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I notice the opponent has chosen rock 3 times out of 6 rounds, including the most recent round. There appears to be a pattern where they\'ve used rock in rounds 1, 3, and 6. Given that they just played rock, they might play rock again to capitalize on their winning streak, or they might anticipate I\'ll choose rock and play paper. Paper gives me the best chance here - it beats rock if they continue their pattern, and ties with paper if they try to counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245978333}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, I notice that the opponent has chosen paper, scissors, rock, rock, paper, and scissors. Since my last choice was rock and I won, I will choose paper this time to take advantage of the opponent\'s potential repetition of rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245984722}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at our previous rounds, I notice my opponent has played paper in the last round. Analyzing their pattern, they\'ve shown a tendency to switch moves after playing paper (like going from paper in round 4 to scissors in round 5). Given I\'m behind 1-3 in score, I need to make a strategic choice. If they follow their previous pattern and switch to scissors after their last paper move, rock would be my best choice to counter that. Additionally, they\'ve played rock in rounds 1, 3, and 6, suggesting they might not play it again immediately.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246000163}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has only won once and mostly tied, and considering the previous rounds, I notice that the opponent often chooses the same move as me or a move that would beat mine. In round 7, both of us chose paper, so for round 8, I will choose scissors, anticipating that the opponent might choose paper again, which scissors can beat.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246007084}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern analysis, the opponent might expect me to switch to paper after winning with rock in the previous round. If they anticipate this and play scissors, choosing rock again would be advantageous. Additionally, the opponent has played scissors in rounds 2, 5, and 8, showing a possible pattern of playing scissors every third round, which would make rock a strong counter for round 9.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246026666}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent won the last round with rock, I\'ll choose paper to increase my chances of winning this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246059728}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the pattern of play, I notice my opponent has used paper in rounds 4, 7, and 9, including the most recent round. There appears to be a tendency to play paper after I play rock, which I did in round 9. Additionally, the opponent has used scissors less frequently than the other options (only 2 times). While the opponent has already secured the overall win with 4 points to my 2, I\'ll choose scissors as it would beat paper if they follow their recent pattern. Even though I can\'t win the match at this point, I can still try to narrow the final score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246116315}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"Llama 3.3 70B Instruct\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the current score is 4-2 in my favor, I need to win or tie this round to guarantee a win. The opponent\'s previous moves have been unpredictable, but I notice that they chose rock in rounds 3 and 9. Given that I won the last round with paper, I\'ll choose scissors to beat paper in case they choose paper again, or to tie if they choose scissors. This move also has a chance to win if the opponent chooses rock, but it\'s a risk I\'m willing to take.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246124498}]','2025-03-17 21:01:20','2025-03-17 21:15:24',15),(2632,7,4,8,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (low)\": 3, \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": 4}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"paper\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"rock\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (low)\": \"scissors\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"o1 - (low)\", \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"duration\": 281652, \"winner_id\": 8, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1202, \"oldRating\": 1215}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet\", \"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1287, \"oldRating\": 1274}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": -13, \"newRating\": 1202, \"oldRating\": 1215}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": 13, \"newRating\": 1287, \"oldRating\": 1274}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"No pattern is established yet for the opponent’s moves, so I\'ll start by playing rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245838383}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"For the first round against an unknown opponent, I\'m choosing paper as a strategic opening move. Rock is a common first choice for many players, so paper would counter that effectively. Without any pattern data yet on this opponent (labeled \\\"low\\\"), I\'m starting with a balanced approach that counters the most common opening move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245848032}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent used paper in round 1, picking scissors now could let us beat paper if they try it again. We have only one round of data, so this is partly a guess, but going with scissors gives us a chance to gain ground if the opponent sticks with paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245854157}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since my opponent chose rock in round 1 and lost, a common basic strategy is to switch to paper in the next round (which would have beaten their previous choice). By choosing scissors, I\'m anticipating this potential paper play. Additionally, against lower-level opponents, there\'s often a tendency to rotate through the options in a predictable manner. Even if they try to counter my previous paper by playing scissors, I\'m willing to take this calculated risk based on the likelihood of them switching to paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245868092}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen paper and then scissors, and to beat them if they pick rock next, I\'ll choose paper to potentially gain the upper hand.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245883448}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s previous moves (rock, scissors), they may be cycling through options which would make paper their next move. Additionally, if they\'re trying to counter my last move (scissors), they might choose rock. My rock would beat their scissors if they repeat, and tie with their rock if they try to counter me. Against less experienced opponents, this balanced approach often works well.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245899077}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"We used paper in the previous round and won, so the opponent might try scissors to beat paper. To counter, rock is a strong choice to beat scissors and possibly secure a lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245905067}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the opponent\'s pattern so far, they\'ve gone rock → scissors → paper. This could suggest they\'re cycling through options in a predictable sequence. If they continue this pattern, they would play rock next. However, another possibility is that they\'re responding to my previous moves by playing what would beat my last choice. After I played rock in round 3, they might play paper again in round 4. Given these possibilities and that the opponent is labeled \\\"low\\\" (suggesting they might use simple strategies), I\'ll choose scissors which would beat paper if they continue responding to my previous move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245920797}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has used Paper, Scissors, Rock, Scissors so far, and might throw Paper again. Choosing Scissors counters Paper and offers a good chance to extend our lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245928918}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has shown a tendency to choose rock (rounds 1 and 4), especially after I play scissors. Since they\'ve used rock to beat my scissors in the previous round, there\'s a good chance they might choose rock again. Playing paper would give me the best chance to win this round.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245943007}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent may anticipate a repeated scissors, so they might choose rock. Playing paper will likely counter that strategy and secure a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245949716}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent appears to be following a repeating pattern of rock, scissors, paper, rock, scissors. Based on this pattern, they are likely to play paper in round 6. I\'m choosing scissors to counter their expected paper move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245967190}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent’s pattern so far (paper, scissors, rock, scissors, paper, scissors), it seems they might be about to throw rock. Paper typically counters rock, so I’ll go paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245974261}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent appears to be following a rock-scissors-paper cycle. Based on this pattern, they should play rock in round 7, so I\'m choosing paper to counter it. Since I\'m currently behind (2-3), making accurate predictions is crucial to catch up in the remaining rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245989235}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous choices, the opponent’s selections haven’t revealed an obvious pattern, but scissors is a strong, balanced option that has a good chance to counter potential paper from the opponent. I’ll pick scissors for round 8.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245996677}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the pattern, my opponent has chosen paper twice in a row (rounds 6 and 7). They\'re likely to break this pattern and choose scissors for round 8, making rock my optimal choice. Additionally, looking at their overall pattern (rock, scissors, paper, rock, scissors, paper, paper), scissors would follow next if they maintain some consistency. Rock beats scissors and gives me the best chance to even the score.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246014197}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent’s pattern shows a high frequency of scissors, which rock beats. I’ll choose rock to counter that possibility.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246021488}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Looking at the previous rounds, my opponent appears to follow a pattern that roughly resembles rock-scissors-paper with some variations. The opponent just played scissors in round 8, and historically has often played rock after scissors (rounds 1 after 8, and round 4 after 5). \\n\\nAdditionally, the score is currently tied at 3-3 with only two rounds left, so this is a critical move. If I predict the opponent will play rock in this round, playing paper would give me an advantage. Even if they break pattern, choosing paper balances my overall strategy since I\'ve used a mix of all three options so far in the game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246056337}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the last two rounds, our rock was countered with paper. A shift to scissors may give us a better chance if the opponent continues favoring paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246061995}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"claude 3.7 sonnet (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent\'s recent pattern (paper→scissors→rock in rounds 7-9), they might play paper next to complete a rotation. Also, with my current lead, choosing scissors gives me a good chance to win if they play paper, and even if we tie (both choosing scissors), I still win the overall game.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246116383}]','2025-03-17 21:01:21','2025-03-17 21:15:16',8),(2633,7,12,3,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (high)\": 4, \"o3-mini - (low)\": 3}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"o3-mini - (low)\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o3-mini - (low)\"}], \"players\": [\"o1 - (high)\", \"o3-mini - (low)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"duration\": 210885, \"winner_id\": 12, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": 9, \"newRating\": 1242, \"oldRating\": 1233}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o3-mini\", \"change\": -9, \"newRating\": 1067, \"oldRating\": 1076}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 9, \"newRating\": 1242, \"oldRating\": 1233}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -9, \"newRating\": 1067, \"oldRating\": 1076}}}}','[{\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"This is the first round with no prior information, so I\'ll choose Rock as a simple starting tactic.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245860513}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'ll start with a balanced strategy by choosing rock for its simplicity. Since this is the first round, there\'s no pattern to exploit, and rock is a solid and unpredictable initial move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245864708}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Given no strong read after a tie with rock, I\'ll pick paper to potentially beat rock if repeated.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245872743}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the previous round both players chose rock resulting in a tie, making this a good opportunity to try something different. By choosing paper, I cover rock and also present a different pattern that might disrupt the opponent\'s strategy in subsequent rounds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245877873}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has chosen rock then paper, possibly rotating. We\'ll choose rock to beat scissors if they continue rotating.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245892786}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Since the opponent has played identical moves (rock then paper) in the first two rounds, I suspect they might be following a pattern or trying to bait our next move. Choosing scissors seems like a balanced option: if the opponent mistakenly repeats the prior move of paper, I win, and if they anticipate and change their move, it\'s not too risky. I\'ll go with scissors for round 3.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245897665}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to be rotating through rock, paper, then scissors, so they might pick rock again this round. Paper beats rock, so I\'ll choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245912746}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent has chosen rock twice and paper once. Since rock is the most frequent choice so far, choosing paper is optimal to beat rock, knowing the opponent may favor rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245917185}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played paper twice out of the last four rounds; I\'ll pick scissors this time to try beating paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245931225}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous rounds, the opponent appears to be alternating between rock and paper (Round 1: rock, Round 2: paper, Round 3: rock, Round 4: paper). Predicting that pattern continues, the opponent will likely choose rock next, making paper the optimal counter move. Hence, I choose paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245935999}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played paper in three out of five rounds so far, including the last two, so choose scissors to beat paper again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245946571}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent\'s moves—rounds one through four he alternated between rock and paper, then in round five he switched to scissors—there might be a pattern emerging. If he is likely to repeat his earlier cycle from rounds one to four, rock is a possible comeback move in round six. Choosing paper would allow me to win if he picks rock, and in worst-case, if he picks paper, it results in a tie. Hence, I choose paper for round six.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245955381}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"They’ve played paper in the last three rounds, so going with scissors again is a strong bet if that pattern holds.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245973116}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock, paper, rock, paper, scissors, scissors. This suggests a possible pattern of alternating sequences, with the last two rounds being scissors. This might imply that the opponent may consider repeating scissors or switching to rock. Given that I have already lost three times when using paper (since paper loses to scissors), I want to try to counter the possibility of the opponent’s scissors while also being prepared if he switches back to rock. My assessment is that rock might be the best bet: if the opponent continues with scissors, rock wins; if he switches to paper, it’s a tie; and if he uses rock, it’s a tie as well. Considering these options and my past performance with paper, I will choose rock for round 7.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245980143}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has tended to favor paper (in four of seven rounds so far), so choosing scissors is a strong counter.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246001314}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Observing the opponent\'s pattern, they\'ve played rock or scissors but used scissors three times in the last two rounds. If they follow their recent frequency, I expect another scissors, which rock would beat. Therefore, I choose rock to potentially counter the opponent\'s likely move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246006841}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent played rock in the last two rounds, likely expecting us to keep using scissors. We can capitalize on this pattern by playing paper to beat rock and possibly secure a decisive lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246019498}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Considering the opponent\'s history, they played rock in rounds 1 and 3, paper in rounds 2 and 4, and then switched to scissors in rounds 5 through 8. The recent trend suggests they are favoring scissors, and playing rock would beat scissors. Although they might change, the most likely scenario is that they continue with scissors, making rock the optimal counter-move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246026062}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"You are already ahead 4 to 2, and the opponent has recently stuck with rock in the past few rounds. Choosing paper is likely the safest path to another win (or at worst a tie if the opponent switches to paper).\", \"timestamp\": 1742246056367}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o3-mini - (low)\", \"reasoning\": \"Analyzing the opponent’s moves – they have favored scissors in the mid-game and then switched to paper in round 9 – and weighing the distribution of moves (rock: 2; paper: 3; scissors: 4), rock and scissors offer similar expected outcomes. Given that scissors would win against paper (which they played last) and tie against scissors (their most frequent choice), I choose scissors for round 10.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246066706}]','2025-03-17 21:01:22','2025-03-17 21:14:26',12),(2634,7,9,12,'completed',NULL,'{\"state\": {\"moves\": {}, \"scores\": {\"o1 - (high)\": 1, \"gpt-4.5-preview\": 2}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"history\": [{\"moves\": {}, \"round\": 0, \"result\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 1, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 2, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 3, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 4, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 5, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"rock\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 6, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 7, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"scissors\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"scissors\"}, \"round\": 8, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"rock\"}, \"round\": 9, \"result\": \"win\", \"winner\": \"o1 - (high)\"}, {\"moves\": {\"o1 - (high)\": \"paper\", \"gpt-4.5-preview\": \"paper\"}, \"round\": 10, \"result\": \"tie\", \"winner\": null}], \"players\": [\"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"o1 - (high)\"], \"game_over\": true, \"totalRounds\": 10, \"currentRound\": 10}, \"scores\": {}, \"winner\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"duration\": 560392, \"winner_id\": 9, \"eloChanges\": {\"modelRatings\": {\"player\": {\"model\": \"openai/gpt-4.5-preview\", \"change\": 17, \"newRating\": 1264, \"oldRating\": 1247}, \"opponent\": {\"model\": \"openai/o1\", \"change\": -17, \"newRating\": 1241, \"oldRating\": 1258}}, \"playerRatings\": {\"player\": {\"change\": 17, \"newRating\": 1264, \"oldRating\": 1247}, \"opponent\": {\"change\": -17, \"newRating\": 1241, \"oldRating\": 1258}}}}','[{\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting with paper as it\'s a neutral initial choice without knowing the opponent\'s tendency.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245874292}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Starting off with rock for a strong defensive approach—it can beat scissors and tie with rock. Let\'s see where it takes us.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245883611}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing scissors anticipating the opponent might switch to paper to outsmart my previous winning move (paper). Scissors gives a balanced chance to either win or draw without high risk.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245904575}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent used paper last round, so I’ll try scissors this round to counter paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245913819}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing rock as a balanced approach, anticipating another scissors move from the opponent or a neutral result against a potential paper move, ensuring defensive stability while currently leading.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245933868}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m suspecting my opponent might repeat scissors or try to counter paper, so I\'ll go with rock to potentially win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245944443}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Considering my opponent might anticipate a shift towards paper and thus select scissors to counter it, I will strategically choose rock to beat their potential scissors move.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245958017}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"In the first three rounds, the opponent cycled through paper, scissors, and rock. If they continue that pattern, paper could be next, so scissors will beat paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245965153}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent seems to alternate between rock and scissors. Following this pattern, the opponent is expected to choose rock this round. Paper beats rock, so choosing paper is advantageous.\", \"timestamp\": 1742245985407}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"We haven\'t tried paper yet, and our opponent used rock in the last round. Paper will beat rock if the opponent attempts it again.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246003163}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent\'s choices are unpredictable, alternating frequently. Choosing rock is strategic as it counters scissors and stages a safe stance likely resulting in either a win or tie.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246056161}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the opponent’s recent moves, they may be cycling through paper → scissors → rock. After playing paper in the previous round, I suspect they might choose scissors. Rock will beat scissors, so I’ll go with rock.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246069293}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent frequently chooses rock. Paper is advantageous as it beats rock, giving me the highest probability of a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246116586}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"The opponent has played rock multiple times. Paper will beat rock if they use it again, improving our odds of getting a win.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246176429}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent\'s recent repeated selections of paper suggest they might stay with paper or switch to scissors. Choosing scissors maximizes our chances, either securing a win if they choose paper again or resulting in a tie if they select scissors.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246236179}, {\"move\": \"scissors\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I\'m behind in score, and the opponent has used paper often. I\'ll try scissors to beat paper if they repeat it.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246250244}, {\"move\": \"rock\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Opponent has shown repetition and last chose scissors. Playing rock is safe because it either secures a win against scissors or ends in a tie if they pick rock again, preserving the current lead.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246296143}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"Based on the previous pattern, the opponent might play rock again. Choosing paper can beat rock and gives us a chance to gain a point.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246304816}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"gpt-4.5-preview\", \"reasoning\": \"Choosing paper is the safest strategy. It mitigates risks effectively, securing the win if my opponent decides on rock, and providing a tie scenario if the opponent selects paper, ensuring I preserve my current lead and victory overall.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246356336}, {\"move\": \"paper\", \"player\": \"o1 - (high)\", \"reasoning\": \"I’m behind 1 to 2 and need a win to tie the match. The opponent has chosen rock most often so far, and paper beats rock, so I’ll pick paper.\", \"timestamp\": 1742246416306}]','2025-03-17 21:01:23','2025-03-17 21:20:16',9),