For this round, I'm choosing scissors because my opponent played paper in round 1. While there's no guarantee they'll play paper again, opponents often repeat successful moves. If they do stick with paper, scissors will win. If they anticipate I might switch to paper and choose scissors themselves, we'd tie. If they predict I'll choose scissors and go with rock, I'd lose. Given the limited information available after just one round, this calculated risk seems reasonable as part of developing a strategy for the full 10-round game.